A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
We relate two notions of local error for integration schemes on Riemannian homogeneous spaces, and show how to derive global error estimates from such local bounds. In doing so, we prove for the first time that the Lie-Butcher theory of Lie group integrators leads to global error estimates.
Integration of the form ∫a∞f(x)w(x)dx, where w(x) is either sin(ωx) or cos(ωx), is widely encountered in many engineering and scientific applications, such as those involving Fourier or Laplace transforms. Often such integrals are approximated by a numerical integration…
Asymptotic error distribution for approximation of a stochastic integral with respect to continuous semimartingale by Riemann sum with general stochastic partition is studied. Effective discretization schemes of which asymptotic conditional mean-squared error attains a lower bound are constructed. Two applications are …
The aim of this article is to design a moment transformation for Student- t distributed random variables, which is able to account for the error in the numerically computed mean. We employ Student-t process quadrature, an instance of Bayesian quadrature, which allows us to treat the integral itself as a random variable…
Computation of moments of transformed random variables is a problem appearing in many engineering applications. The current methods for moment transformation are mostly based on the classical quadrature rules which cannot account for the approximation errors. Our aim is to design a method for moment transformation for …
A complete error analysis of variational integrators is obtained, by blowing up the discrete variational principles, all of which have a singularity at zero time-step. Divisions by the time step lead to an order that is one less than observed in simulations, a deficit that is repaired with the help of a new past-future…
This paper diagnoses factor-model pricing errors using a new method.
problem Measuring pricing errors in factor models with general characteristic axes.
method Developed a method to measure factor-model pricing errors as bridge-alpha curves, using a predetermined characteristic order and prefix portfolios.
result Adding a counterpart factor flips the curve's sign on every axis, but only HML and CMA overcorrect enough to be rejected.
This paper proposes a novel multiscale estimator for the integrated volatility of an Ito process, in the presence of market microstructure noise (observation error). The multiscale structure of the observed process is represented frequency-by-frequency and the concept of the multiscale ratio is introduced to quantify t…
A research frontier has emerged in scientific computation, wherein numerical error is regarded as a source of epistemic uncertainty that can be modelled. This raises several statistical challenges, including the design of statistical methods that enable the coherent propagation of probabilities through a (possibly dete…
There is renewed interest in formulating integration as an inference problem, motivated by obtaining a full distribution over numerical error that can be propagated through subsequent computation. Current methods, such as Bayesian Quadrature, demonstrate impressive empirical performance but lack theoretical analysis. A…
This paper deals with the evaluation of double line integrals of the squared exponential covariance function. We propose a new approach in which the double integral is reduced to a single integral using the error function. This single integral is then computed with efficiently implemented numerical techniques. The perf…
Kernel thinning compresses distributions more effectively than i.i.d. sampling or standard thinning.
problem Efficiently compressing distributions for better sampling and integration accuracy.
method Introduces kernel thinning, a procedure that compresses an n-point approximation of a distribution into a sqrt(n)-point approximation with comparable integration error.
result Kernel thinning achieves a maximum discrepancy in integration error of O_d(n^(-1/2) sqrt(log n)) in probability for compactly supported distributions and O_d(n^(-1/2) (log n)^(d+1/2) sqrt(log log n)) for sub-exponential distributions.
The paper diagnoses factor-model pricing errors using characteristic axes and bridge-alpha curves.
problem Tackles systematic sign reversals and overcorrections in factor-model pricing errors.
method Extends cap-axis integral diagnostic to characteristic axes, measures pricing errors as bridge-alpha curves, and uses a predetermined characteristic order to generate zero-curve restrictions.
result Axis-level pricing errors are nearly orthogonal to maximum-Sharpe gains, showing significant sign reversals and overcorrections.
In this work, we develop a simple algorithm for semi-supervised regression. The key idea is to use the top eigenfunctions of integral operator derived from both labeled and unlabeled examples as the basis functions and learn the prediction function by a simple linear regression. We show that under appropriate assumptio…
Thermodynamic integration (TI) for computing marginal likelihoods is based on an inverse annealing path from the prior to the posterior distribution. In many cases, the resulting estimator suffers from high variability, which particularly stems from the prior regime. When comparing complex models with differences in a …
The paper analyzes how grid cells perform path integration and learns hexagon grid patterns.
problem Understanding how grid cells perform path integration calculations.
method Theoretical analysis of a general representation model of path integration by grid cells, identifying group representation and isotropic scaling conditions.
result The learned model of hexagon grid patterns is capable of accurate long distance path integration.
We consider the problem of estimating the discrete clustering structures under the Sub-Gaussian Mixture Model. Our main results establish a hidden integrality property of a semidefinite programming (SDP) relaxation for this problem: while the optimal solution to the SDP is not integer-valued in general, its estimation …
Signature volatility models are analyzed for existence, arbitrage, completeness, and hedging-error decomposition.
problem Existence, arbitrage, completeness, and hedging-error decomposition of signature volatility models.
method Global existence and uniqueness of strong solutions, asset-pricing, market completeness, and hedging-error decomposition derived through structural results.
result Signature volatility models are structurally sound with existence, arbitrage, completeness, and hedging-error decomposition.
A latent force model is a Gaussian process with a covariance function inspired by a differential operator. Such covariance function is obtained by performing convolution integrals between Green's functions associated to the differential operators, and covariance functions associated to latent functions. In the classica…
The standard Kernel Quadrature method for numerical integration with random point sets (also called Bayesian Monte Carlo) is known to converge in root mean square error at a rate determined by the ratio s/d, where s and d encode the smoothness and dimension of the integrand. However, an empirical investigation re…
VISTA learns causal structures by integrating local subgraphs, improving accuracy and efficiency.
problem Efficiently learning causal structures from high-dimensional observational data.
method VISTA decomposes the global causal structure learning problem into local subgraphs based on Markov Blankets, integrating them via a weighted voting mechanism.
result VISTA achieves notable improvements in accuracy and efficiency over existing methods.