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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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481216 · Apr 202619922001200920172026
48 results for Influenza-like Illness

Paper proposes a graph neural network for accurate long-term ILI prediction.

problem Limited long-term prediction performance and spatio-temporal dependency in existing models.
method Cross-location attention based graph neural network (Cola-GNN) for time series embeddings and location aware attentions.
result Proposed method shows strong predictive performance and interpretable results for long-term epidemic predictions.

Bayesian consensus improves accuracy of forecasts from miscalibrated sources.

problem Aggregating predictions from miscalibrated and noisy sources.
method Bayesian approach to adjust for bias and noise, using hierarchical models.
result Bayesian consensus estimator is unbiased and more efficient than alternatives.

Conventional surveillance systems for monitoring infectious diseases, such as influenza, face challenges due to shortage of skilled healthcare professionals, remoteness of communities and absence of communication infrastructures. Internet-based approaches for surveillance are appealing logistically as well as economica…

2018-11-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper addresses ill-conditioning in large spatial data, proposing solutions for prediction and likelihood estimation.

problem Ill-conditioning of the kernel matrix in large spatial data sets.
method Introduction of various optimality criteria and solutions for managing large spatial data.
result Solutions for managing large spatial data, addressing ill-conditioning and improving prediction and likelihood estimation.

AI system predicts acute critical illness from EHRs with explainability.

problem Lack of clinical interpretability in AI predictions for acute critical illness.
method Developed an explainable AI early warning score (xAI-EWS) system.
result System provides clinicians with insights into EHR data explaining predictions.

MCGDiff uses SGM to guide SMC for solving ill-posed linear inverse problems.

problem Solving ill-posed linear inverse problems in Bayesian settings.
method Exploiting SGM structure, defining a sequence of intermediate problems, and using SMC methods.
result MCGDiff outperforms competing methods in Bayesian ill-posed inverse problems.

Scalable method completes ill-conditioned matrices from few samples.

problem Matrix completion from few samples for ill-conditioned matrices.
method Iterative algorithm combining IRLS, smoothing Newton, and proximal gradient methods.
result Local quadratic convergence rate and well-conditioned linear systems.

Paper optimizes estimation of quadratic functionals in nonparametric IV models.

problem Optimal estimation of a nonlinear functional in ill-posed inverse regression.
method Adaptive, minimax estimation using leave-one-out, sieve NPIV estimator with data-driven sieve dimension selection.
result Adaptive estimator achieves minimax optimal rate in various ill-posed cases.

Improves numerical solution of ill-conditioned linear systems for machine learning.

problem Wastefulness and instability in solving ill-conditioned linear systems.
method autonugget combines Richardson extrapolation to determine the solution of the ill-conditioned system, improving accuracy over a single nugget.
result Improves accuracy of numerical solution of ill-conditioned linear systems.

Paper explores challenges in training PINNs and loss landscape effects.

problem Challenges in training Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) due to loss landscape issues.
method Examined gradient-based optimizers Adam, L-BFGS, and their combination Adam+L-BFGS, and introduced NysNewton-CG (NNCG).
result Adam+L-BFGS outperforms other optimizers, and NysNewton-CG significantly improves PINN performance.

New framework assesses regularization norms in ill-posed problems, revealing L2 instability and proposing adaptive fractional RKHS solutions.

problem Comparative analysis of regularization norms in ill-posed problems.
method Small noise analysis framework for Tikhonov and RKHS regularizations.
result Optimal convergence rates achieved with adaptive fractional RKHS, but hyper-parameters decay too fast.

A method learns representations for conditional moment models with controlled ill-posedness.

problem Efficient estimation of nonparametric conditional moment models with flexible models is challenging.
method Proposes a procedure that learns spectral representations with controlled measures of ill-posedness.
result The proposed method can efficiently estimate representations from data and is L2 consistent.

Perturbation theory improves nonparametric instrumental variable estimation accuracy.

problem Improving nonparametric instrumental variable estimation accuracy in high-dimensional settings.
method Perturbative approach based on physics perturbation theory, extending kernel ridge methods with higher-order corrections.
result First-order perturbative corrections reduce prediction error by up to 99% in high-dimensional ill-defined cases.

New framework uses score-based priors to solve ill-conditioned polynomial equations, improving signal recovery from noisy data.

problem Recovering signals from low-order moments in inverse problems, especially ill-conditioned polynomial equations.
method Integrates score-based diffusion priors with moment-based estimators to regularize and solve nonlinear inverse problems.
result Diffusion priors improve recovery from third-order moments and make super-resolution MTD feasible.

In the present paper we consider application of overcomplete dictionaries to solution of general ill-posed linear inverse problems. In the context of regression problems, there has been enormous amount of effort to recover an unknown function using such dictionaries. One of the most popular methods, lasso and its versi…

2016-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

The Fredholm integral equation of the first kind improves solutions for ill-posed supervised learning problems with limited data.

problem Ill-posed supervised learning problems with insufficient data.
method Using the Fredholm integral equation of the first kind (FIFK) with semi-supervised assumptions and MSDF methods.
result Improved accuracy and stability in solutions for ill-posed problems.

This paper analyzes adaptive gradient algorithms for better performance in ill-conditioned problems.

problem Poor performance of standard stochastic gradient algorithms in ill-conditioned problems.
method Non-asymptotic analysis of adaptive gradient algorithms (Adagrad and Stochastic Newton) for strongly convex objectives.
result Theoretical analysis and adaptation to practical applications like linear regression and regularized GLM.

Personalized predictive medicine necessitates the modeling of patient illness and care processes, which inherently have long-term temporal dependencies. Healthcare observations, recorded in electronic medical records, are episodic and irregular in time. We introduce DeepCare, an end-to-end deep dynamic neural network t…

2016-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved convergence for overparameterized low-rank matrix sensing.

problem Overparameterized low-rank matrix sensing with unknown rank and ill-conditioning.
method ScaledGD(λλ) - preconditioned gradient descent method.
result ScaledGD(λλ) converges at a constant linear rate after a logarithmic number of iterations.

IAGAN method improves medical image reconstruction by incorporating adaptive GAN priors.

problem Reconstructing high-fidelity medical images from incomplete data.
method Image-adaptive GAN-based reconstruction method (IAGAN).
result IAGAN can recover fine structures relevant for medical diagnosis.

Bayesian optimisation framework considers only variable orderings to handle ill-conditioned objectives.

problem Bayesian optimisation fails with ill-conditioned or discontinuous objectives.
method Proposes a new framework that considers only the ordering of variables in input and output spaces, fitting a Gaussian process in a latent space.
result Proves optimal performance under the measure of regret for an optimistic strategy in the latent space.

Researchers develop methods to recover agent behavior from sparse data using Gaussian processes.

problem Recovering agent behavior from limited, noisy data in potential mean field games.
method Two Gaussian process-based frameworks: inf-sup formulation and bilevel approach.
result Surrogate MFG models can accurately reproduce observed data, even when prior information is limited.

Scaled gradient descent improves matrix recovery for ill-conditioned matrices with optimal sampling complexity.

problem Recovering low-rank matrices from limited measurements efficiently and accurately.
method Scaled gradient descent (ScaledGD) with optimal sample complexity and improved iteration complexity.
result ScaledGD achieves optimal sample complexity and improved iteration complexity for ill-conditioned matrices.

Aggregated variables can mask causal effects, turning unconfounded into confounded relations.

problem Aggregated variables can mask causal effects, leading to paradoxical confounding.
method Analysis of how aggregated variables can change the definition of causality and the feasibility of causal relations.
result Macro causal relations are defined by micro states, not just aggregated variables.

More than two thirds of mental health problems have their onset during childhood or adolescence. Identifying children at risk for mental illness later in life and predicting the type of illness is not easy. We set out to develop a platform to define subtypes of childhood social-emotional development using longitudinal,…

2016-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Score-based models improve diffuse optical tomography accuracy.

problem Improving accuracy in diffuse optical tomography with uncertainty quantification.
method Score-based diffusion models with a mixed score function to prevent overfitting.
result Data-driven prior distribution results in posterior samples with low variance and centred around the ground truth.

New methods for estimating complex causal effects in econometrics.

problem Estimating causal parameters in short panel data models using nested nonparametric instrumental variable regression.
method Introducing techniques to limit ill-posedness in nested NPIV, providing explicit mean square rates and efficient inference.
result Explicit mean square rates for nested NPIV and efficient inference for causal parameters.

Preconditioned SGD accelerates convergence for ill-conditioned huge-scale matrix completion.

problem Recovering a low-rank matrix from incomplete data with high condition number.
method Preconditioned Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) for huge-scale online optimization.
result Preconditioned SGD converges to ε-accuracy in O(log(1/ε)) iterations, compared to O(κlog(1/ε)) for unpreconditioned SGD.

New method for adaptive estimation and inference in econometric models without knowing smoothness.

problem Adaptive estimation and inference in ill-posed linear inverse problems with unknown smoothness.
method Discrepancy principle-based framework for adaptive hyperparameter selection.
result Achieves optimal rates in weak and strong metrics for linear functionals.

We study the geodesic X-ray transform XX on compact Riemannian surfaces with conjugate points. Regardless of the type of the conjugate points, we show that we cannot recover the singularities and therefore, this transform is always unstable (ill-posed). We describe the microlocal kernel of XX and relate it to the con…

2014-02-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses machine learning to predict future health from various health data types.

problem Predicting future health using diverse health data types.
method Applied machine learning (neural networks and XGBoost) to longitudinal data from 6830 individuals.
result Health-related measures were the strongest predictors of future health status, while genetic data performed poorly.

Novel method uses Gaussian process to estimate particle sizes from scattering data.

problem Estimating particle size distributions from noisy optical scattering measurements.
method Constrained Gaussian process regression with normalization constraints.
result Accurately reconstructs particle size distributions from noisy data.