arXiv research

Investors choose between bonds and savings accounts based on utility maximization.

The utility-based pricing of defaultable bonds in the case of stochastic intensity models of default risk is discussed. The Hamilton-Jacobi- Bellman (HJB) equations for the value functions is derived. A finite difference method is used to solve this problem. The yield-spreads for both buyer and seller are extracted. Th…

Study optimizes option pricing with robust strategies, ensuring consistency with vanilla option prices.

This paper considers exponential utility indifference pricing for a multidimensional non-traded assets model, and provides two linear approximations for the utility indifference price. The key tool is a probabilistic representation for the utility indifference price by the solution of a functional differential equation…

Q-learning adapted to find near-equivalent treatment strategies.

The paper defines and implements risk-indifference pricing for American-style contingent claims.

We consider a general local-stochastic volatility model and an investor with exponential utility. For a European-style contingent claim, whose payoff may depend on either a traded or non-traded asset, we derive an explicit approximation for both the buyer's and seller's indifference price. For European calls on a trade…

We consider utility maximization problem for semi-martingale models depending on a random factor $ξ$. We reduce initial maximization problem to the conditional one, given $ξ=u$, which we solve using dual approach. For HARA utilities we consider information quantities like Kullback-Leibler information and Hellinger inte…

The model of rational decision-making in most of economics and statistics is expected utility theory (EU) axiomatised by von Neumann and Morgenstern, Savage and others. This is less the case, however, in financial economics and mathematical finance, where investment decisions are commonly based on the methods of mean-v…

Study utility indifference pricing in a Bachelier model with small linear price impact.

Study indifference pricing for insurance policies in a regime-switching market model.

We study the dynamic indifference pricing with ambiguity preferences. For this, we introduce the dynamic expected utility with ambiguity via the nonlinear expectation--G-expectation, introduced by Peng (2007). We also study the risk aversion and certainty equivalent for the agents with ambiguity. We obtain the dynamic …

We prove results on bounded solutions to backward stochastic equations driven by random measures. Those bounded BSDE solutions are then applied to solve different stochastic optimization problems with exponential utility in models where the underlying filtration is noncontinuous. This includes results on portfolio opti…

Financial markets based on Lévy processes are typically incomplete and option prices depend on risk attitudes of individual agents. In this context, the notion of utility indifference price has gained popularity in the academic circles. Although theoretically very appealing, this pricing method remains difficult to app…

We consider the problem of pricing derivatives written on some industrial loss index via utility indifference pricing. The industrial loss index is modelled by a compound Poisson process and the insurer can adjust her portfolio by choosing the risk loading, which in turn determines the demand. We compute the price of a…

Proposes indifference pricing to estimate weak information value.

This work focuses on the indifference pricing of American call option underlying a non-traded stock, which may be partially hedgeable by another traded stock. Under the exponential forward measure, the indifference price is formulated as a stochastic singular control problem. The value function is characterized as the …

Study utility indifference pricing with delayed investment information in a Bachelier model.

This paper considers exponential utility indifference pricing for a multidimensional non-traded assets model subject to inter-temporal default risk, and provides a semigroup approximation for the utility indifference price. The key tool is the splitting method, whose convergence is proved based on the Barles-Souganidis…

In this article, we look at the effect of volatility clustering on the risk indifference price of options described by Sircar and Sturm in their paper (Sircar, R., & Sturm, S. (2012). From smile asymptotics to market risk measures. Mathematical Finance. Advance online publication. doi:10.1111/mafi.12015). The indiffere…

Study scaling limits of utility indifference prices in discretized Bachelier model.

This paper formulates an utility indifference pricing model for investors trading in a discrete time financial market under non-dominated model uncertainty. The investors preferences are described by strictly increasing concave random functions defined on the positive axis. We prove that under suitable conditions the m…

We model a nonlinear price curve quoted in a market as the utility indifference curve of a representative liquidity supplier. As the utility function we adopt a g-expectation. In contrast to the standard framework of financial engineering, a trader is no more price taker as any trade has a permanent market impact via a…

We study the utility indifference price of a European option in the context of small transaction costs. Considering the general setup allowing consumption and a general utility function at final time T, we obtain an asymptotic expansion of the utility indifference price as a function of the asymptotic expansions of the…

Study optimal liquidation under high risk aversion and small price impact.

For incomplete preference relations that are represented by multiple priors and/or multiple -- possibly multivariate -- utility functions, we define a certainty equivalent as well as the utility buy and sell prices and indifference price bounds as set-valued functions of the claim. Furthermore, we motivate and introduc…

Study on hedging and valuation of basis risk in incomplete markets with partial information.

This paper considers the optimal portfolio selection problem in a dynamic multi-period stochastic framework with regime switching. The risk preferences are of exponential (CARA) type with an absolute coefficient of risk aversion which changes with the regime. The market model is incomplete and there are two risky asset…

For utility functions $u$ finite valued on $\mathbb{R}$, we prove a duality formula for utility maximization with random endowment in general semimartingale incomplete markets. The main novelty of the paper is that possibly non locally bounded semimartingale price processes are allowed. Following Biagini and Frittelli …

We develop a single-period model for a large economic agent who trades with market makers at their utility indifference prices. A key role is played by a pair of conjugate saddle functions associated with the description of Pareto optimal allocations in terms of the utility function of a representative market maker.

In the context of an incomplete market with a Brownian filtration and a fixed finite time horizon, this paper proves that for general dynamic convex risk measures, the buyer's and seller's risk indifference prices of a contingent claim are bounded from below and above by the dynamic lower and upper hedging prices, resp…

Yield curve forecasting is an important problem in finance. In this work we explore the use of Gaussian Processes in conjunction with a dynamic modeling strategy, much like the Kalman Filter, to model the yield curve. Gaussian Processes have been successfully applied to model functional data in a variety of application…

Study optimal semi-static hedging for illiquid markets using dynamic cash and static quoted derivatives.

Develops a machine-learning framework for optimal share repurchase hedging.

We apply the concepts of utility based pricing and hedging of derivatives in stochastic volatility markets and introduce a new class of "reciprocal affine" models for which the indifference price and optimal hedge portfolio for pure volatility claims are efficiently computable. We obtain a general formula for the marke…

This paper uses crypto derivatives data to estimate yield curves for cryptocurrencies.

We propose a model for an insurance loss index and the claims process of a single insurance company holding a fraction of the total number of contracts that captures both ordinary losses and losses due to catastrophes. In this model we price a catastrophe derivative by the method of utility indifference pricing. The as…

In fixed income sector, the yield curve is probably the most observed indicator by the market for trading and fifinancing purposes. A yield curve plots interest rates across different contract maturities from short end to as long as 30 years. For each currency, the corresponding curve shows the relation between the lev…

The paper shows that energy futures yield curves have an affine geometry.

Optimizes liquidity provision in decentralized exchanges with utility indifference market makers.

We derive an equation of motion for interest-rate yield curves by applying a minimum Fisher information variational approach to the implied probability density. By construction, solutions to the equation of motion recover observed bond prices. More significantly, the form of the resulting equation explains the success …

Algorithm identifies Copeland winners in dueling bandits with ternary feedback.

In a Markovian stochastic volatility model, we consider financial agents whose investment criteria are modelled by forward exponential performance processes. The problem of contingent claim indifference valuation is first addressed and a number of properties are proved and discussed. Special attention is given to the c…

We present a framework on how to hedge the interest rate sensitivity of liabilities discounted by an extrapolated yield curve. The framework is based on functional analysis in that we consider the extrapolated yield curve as a functional of an observed yield curve and use its Gâteaux variation to understand the sensiti…

Optimal hedging framework with variational preferences under convex risk measures.

Extends Mallows model to handle item indifference in rankings.

This study models Burundi's bond market yield curve using Nelson-Siegel and Svensson models.

Deep learning models forecast multiple yield curves with improved accuracy.