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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Indian markets

Study shows demonetization strengthened Indian currency and stock market.

problem Impact of demonetization on Indian stock market and foreign exchange rate.
method Daily rate of return analysis of foreign exchange rate and Nifty 50 index, use of dummy variable for demonetization period.
result Demonetization led to an upward trend in Indian stock market and strengthened the Indian currency (decreased foreign exchange rate).

Historical daily data for eleven years of the fifty constituent stocks of the NIFTY index traded on the National Stock Exchange have been analyzed to check for the stylized facts in the Indian market. It is observed that while some stylized facts of other markets are also observed in Indian market, there are significan…

2019-03-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Study clusters Indian stocks using polyspectral means for nuanced market insights.

problem Analyzing temporal patterns and financial relationships in Indian stock market.
method k-means clustering algorithm applied to polyspectral means of stock data.
result Identified five distinctive clusters of stocks with varying ownership structures.

Machine learning improves financial stress testing in Indian markets.

problem Conventional stress testing limitations in Indian financial markets.
method Dimensionality reduction, latent factor modeling, Variational Autoencoders, Monte Carlo simulation.
result Improved flexibility, robustness, and realism in financial stress testing.

This study compares three portfolio optimization methods on Indian stocks.

problem Comparing portfolio optimization methods on Indian stocks.
method Mean-Variance, Hierarchical Risk Parity, and Reinforcement Learning approaches.
result Reinforcement Learning outperformed other methods in terms of Sharpe ratio.

A new HOM model improves forecasting of Indian base metal prices.

problem Improving accuracy in predicting base metal prices in the Indian market.
method A Higher Order Markovian (HOM) model with varying order based on market delay.
result The HOM model consistently outperforms the standard Markovian model in forecasting.

This study analyzes how the Indian stock market reacts to budget announcements using fractal methods.

problem Understanding the impact of Union Budget announcements on the Indian stock market.
method Utilizes fractal interpolation function and fractal dimensional analysis to study the NIFTY50 index over -15 to +15 days post-budget day.
result The budget announcements significantly affect the Indian stock market, as evidenced by average abnormal return and cumulative abnormal return.

Study finds physical momentum portfolios in Indian stock market yield higher returns than benchmarks.

problem Determining abnormal returns for physical momentum portfolios in the Indian stock market.
method Constructed physical momentum portfolios for daily, weekly, monthly, and yearly timescales, evaluated historical returns and risk profiles.
result Daily time scale physical momentum portfolios showed the strongest reversal with a 16-fold profit.

Study models Indian stock market using hyperbolic geometry for market stability and volatility analysis.

problem Identifying market stability and volatility in the Indian stock market.
method Modelled as a heterogeneous scale-free network, embedded in a 2D hyperbolic space, applied coalescent embedding, hyperbolic kmeans, and Bollinger Band analysis.
result Clusters in the embedded network better represent market communities than Euclidean clusters, allowing for early detection of market changes.

Research predicts money market volume based on capital market and bank rates ratio.

problem Understanding the influence of capital market and bank rates on money market instruments.
method Correlation matrix and time series model to predict money market volume.
result Predictive model for money market instrument volume based on historical data.

A flexible calendar rebalancing approach for Indian stock portfolios.

problem Optimizing stock portfolio performance in the Indian stock market.
method Calendar rebalancing of sector-specific portfolios based on historical stock prices.
result The proposed calendar rebalancing approach improves portfolio performance over the test period.

The paper analyzes Indian stock sectors using multifractal analysis for long and short-term investment.

problem Investment risk and stability in Indian stock sectors.
method Sector-wise multifractal analysis of Bombay Stock Exchange, India, over short and long time scales.
result Long-term investment in stable sectors is more profitable, while sectors with large fluctuations may lead to downturns.

In this paper we investigate the scaling behavior of the average daily exchange rate returns of the Indian Rupee against four foreign currencies namely US Dollar, Euro, Great Britain Pound and Japanese Yen. Average daily exchange rate return of the Indian Rupee against US Dollar is found to exhibit a persistent scaling…

2005-04-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Project forecasts crop prices to help Indian farmers choose optimal crops for better ROI.

problem Indian farmers struggle to choose crops that fetch decent profits due to lack of scientific decision-making.
method Price forecasting to create an optimal portfolio of crops for better ROI.
result Data-driven decision-making for crop selection leads to higher estimated ROI.

This paper evaluates financial competitiveness of Indian real estate companies using entropy method.

problem Improving financial competitiveness of Indian real estate companies in a competitive market.
method Financial competitiveness evaluation index system using key financial ratios and a scoring system.
result Companies with high scores have strong profitability and operational capacity, while those with lower scores struggle with solvency and working capital.

This paper compares three portfolio designs for Indian stocks.

problem Designing an optimum portfolio that balances return and risk.
method Three approaches: minimum risk, optimum risk, and Eigen portfolios.
result Optimum risk portfolios and Eigen portfolios identified for each sector.

Time series analysis and forecasting of stock market prices has been a very active area of research over the last two decades. Availability of extremely fast and parallel architecture of computing and sophisticated algorithms has made it possible to extract, store, process and analyze high volume stock market time seri…

2017-05-14abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper compares advanced deep learning models for Indian stock price forecasting.

problem Complexity of stock price forecasting due to numerous influencing factors.
method Utilizes historical data from national banks in India, combines deep learning models and sentiment analysis.
result Achieved higher accuracy in stock price forecasting compared to traditional methods.

One of the principal statistical features characterizing the activity in financial markets is the distribution of fluctuations in market indicators such as the index. While the developed stock markets, e.g., the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) have been found to show heavy-tailed return distribution with a characteristi…

2006-07-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Stochastic model prices weather derivatives for Indian states, highlighting temperature volatility impacts.

problem Quantifying financial risk in Indian markets due to seasonal weather variations.
method Modified Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with jumps for temperature dynamics, calibrated with historical data, Monte Carlo simulations for pricing.
result Volatility significantly impacts weather derivative pricing, with higher prices in colder states and lower in hotter states.

Study examines how information flows in Indian stock market during crises.

problem Understanding information diffusion in financial networks during market turbulence.
method Applied communicability, a measure of ease of information flow, to financial networks.
result Approximately 70% and 80% of stock pairs exhibit significant changes in communicability during crises.

Financial markets can be seen as complex systems in non-equilibrium steady state, one of whose most important properties is the distribution of price fluctuations. Recently, there have been assertions that this distribution is qualitatively different in emerging markets as compared to developed markets. Here we analyse…

2006-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

A new approach for green investing in Indian markets considers environmental factors.

problem Identifying and managing climate risk in sustainable investing.
method Combining ESG ratings with modern portfolio theory and scenario analysis.
result The green portfolio performs better than market returns, highlighting the importance of climate risk.

This paper uses cointegration to identify profitable pair-trading strategies for Indian stocks.

problem Finding profitable pair-trading opportunities in Indian stock market.
method Cointegration analysis to identify co-movement stocks, forming pairs, evaluating portfolios.
result Pairs from auto and realty sectors generally yielded the highest returns, while IT sector pairs had negative returns.

This study evaluates different portfolio designs for Indian stocks.

problem Optimizing portfolio weights for risk and return in volatile stock markets.
method Three portfolio design approaches: risk minimization, risk optimization, and equal weighting. Historical data from 2017-2022 used.
result Equal-weight portfolios outperformed other designs in most sectors.

Project predicts stock performance and builds an efficient portfolio for six Indian sectors.

problem Predicting stock prices accurately for optimal portfolio design.
method Analysis of time series, machine learning, and deep learning models; Modern Portfolio Theory; minimum variance and optimal risk portfolio optimization.
result Built and tested an efficient portfolio for six Indian sectors using historical stock prices.

To investigate the universal structure of interactions in financial dynamics, we analyze the cross-correlation matrix C of price returns of the Chinese stock market, in comparison with those of the American and Indian stock markets. As an important emerging market, the Chinese market exhibits much stronger correlations…

2012-02-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Study examines Indian equity mutual funds' investment style and risk-shifting.

problem Understanding how Indian equity mutual funds' investment styles affect their returns.
method Estimating size and style beta coefficients, identifying breakpoints, analyzing investment styles, and assessing risk-shifting intensity.
result Funds can enhance returns by shifting to high-return styles like Small Value and Small Blend.

New approach predicts stock price synchronization using RNNs and LSTMs.

problem Forecasting synchronization of stock prices in the Indian market.
method Utilizing recurrence plots and CRQA for non-linear analysis, RNNs and LSTMs for prediction.
result Accuracy of 0.98 and F1 score of 0.83 in predicting stock price synchronization.

This study optimizes stock portfolios for Indian sectors using historical data.

problem Challenges in optimizing stock portfolios due to volatility and future value estimation.
method Used Sharpe, Sortino, and Calmar ratios to design mean-variance optimized portfolios.
result Identified the ratio that maximizes cumulative returns for most sectors.

We examine volatility of an Indian stock market in terms of aspects like participation, synchronization of stocks and quantification of volatility using the random matrix approach. Volatility pattern of the market is found using the BSE index for the three-year period 2000-2002. Random matrix analysis is carried out us…

2005-12-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Hypothesis of Market Efficiency is an important concept for the investors across the globe holding diversified portfolios. With the world economy getting more integrated day by day, more people are investing in global emerging markets. This means that it is pertinent to understand the efficiency of these markets. This …

2017-09-12abs ↗pdf ↗