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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Indian derivatives

Stochastic model prices weather derivatives for Indian states, highlighting temperature volatility impacts.

problem Quantifying financial risk in Indian markets due to seasonal weather variations.
method Modified Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with jumps for temperature dynamics, calibrated with historical data, Monte Carlo simulations for pricing.
result Volatility significantly impacts weather derivative pricing, with higher prices in colder states and lower in hotter states.

Study shows demonetization strengthened Indian currency and stock market.

problem Impact of demonetization on Indian stock market and foreign exchange rate.
method Daily rate of return analysis of foreign exchange rate and Nifty 50 index, use of dummy variable for demonetization period.
result Demonetization led to an upward trend in Indian stock market and strengthened the Indian currency (decreased foreign exchange rate).

Project forecasts crop prices to help Indian farmers choose optimal crops for better ROI.

problem Indian farmers struggle to choose crops that fetch decent profits due to lack of scientific decision-making.
method Price forecasting to create an optimal portfolio of crops for better ROI.
result Data-driven decision-making for crop selection leads to higher estimated ROI.

By expressing prior distributions as general stochastic processes, nonparametric Bayesian methods provide a flexible way to incorporate prior knowledge and constrain the latent structure in statistical inference. The Indian buffet process (IBP) is such an example that can be used to define a prior distribution on infin…

2013-07-31abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper evaluates financial competitiveness of Indian real estate companies using entropy method.

problem Improving financial competitiveness of Indian real estate companies in a competitive market.
method Financial competitiveness evaluation index system using key financial ratios and a scoring system.
result Companies with high scores have strong profitability and operational capacity, while those with lower scores struggle with solvency and working capital.

In this paper we investigate the scaling behavior of the average daily exchange rate returns of the Indian Rupee against four foreign currencies namely US Dollar, Euro, Great Britain Pound and Japanese Yen. Average daily exchange rate return of the Indian Rupee against US Dollar is found to exhibit a persistent scaling…

2005-04-06abs ↗pdf ↗

This study compares three portfolio optimization methods on Indian stocks.

problem Comparing portfolio optimization methods on Indian stocks.
method Mean-Variance, Hierarchical Risk Parity, and Reinforcement Learning approaches.
result Reinforcement Learning outperformed other methods in terms of Sharpe ratio.

We investigate a class of feature allocation models that generalize the Indian buffet process and are parameterized by Gibbs-type random measures. Two existing classes are contained as special cases: the original two-parameter Indian buffet process, corresponding to the Dirichlet process, and the stable (or three-param…

2015-12-08abs ↗pdf ↗

A new memory-efficient sign language translation model reduces weight usage.

problem Memory constraints in real-time sign language translation.
method Variational Bayesian sequence-to-sequence network with Gaussian posterior and Indian Buffet Process prior.
result The proposed model achieves substantial weight compression without compromising performance.

Latent feature models are widely used to decompose data into a small number of components. Bayesian nonparametric variants of these models, which use the Indian buffet process (IBP) as a prior over latent features, allow the number of features to be determined from the data. We present a generalization of the IBP, the …

2011-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Historical daily data for eleven years of the fifty constituent stocks of the NIFTY index traded on the National Stock Exchange have been analyzed to check for the stylized facts in the Indian market. It is observed that while some stylized facts of other markets are also observed in Indian market, there are significan…

2019-03-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Study finds physical momentum portfolios in Indian stock market yield higher returns than benchmarks.

problem Determining abnormal returns for physical momentum portfolios in the Indian stock market.
method Constructed physical momentum portfolios for daily, weekly, monthly, and yearly timescales, evaluated historical returns and risk profiles.
result Daily time scale physical momentum portfolios showed the strongest reversal with a 16-fold profit.

Study clusters Indian stocks using polyspectral means for nuanced market insights.

problem Analyzing temporal patterns and financial relationships in Indian stock market.
method k-means clustering algorithm applied to polyspectral means of stock data.
result Identified five distinctive clusters of stocks with varying ownership structures.

Machine learning improves financial stress testing in Indian markets.

problem Conventional stress testing limitations in Indian financial markets.
method Dimensionality reduction, latent factor modeling, Variational Autoencoders, Monte Carlo simulation.
result Improved flexibility, robustness, and realism in financial stress testing.

A new HOM model improves forecasting of Indian base metal prices.

problem Improving accuracy in predicting base metal prices in the Indian market.
method A Higher Order Markovian (HOM) model with varying order based on market delay.
result The HOM model consistently outperforms the standard Markovian model in forecasting.

A flexible calendar rebalancing approach for Indian stock portfolios.

problem Optimizing stock portfolio performance in the Indian stock market.
method Calendar rebalancing of sector-specific portfolios based on historical stock prices.
result The proposed calendar rebalancing approach improves portfolio performance over the test period.

This study analyzes how the Indian stock market reacts to budget announcements using fractal methods.

problem Understanding the impact of Union Budget announcements on the Indian stock market.
method Utilizes fractal interpolation function and fractal dimensional analysis to study the NIFTY50 index over -15 to +15 days post-budget day.
result The budget announcements significantly affect the Indian stock market, as evidenced by average abnormal return and cumulative abnormal return.

Time series analysis and forecasting of stock market prices has been a very active area of research over the last two decades. Availability of extremely fast and parallel architecture of computing and sophisticated algorithms has made it possible to extract, store, process and analyze high volume stock market time seri…

2017-05-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Study examines Indian equity mutual funds' investment style and risk-shifting.

problem Understanding how Indian equity mutual funds' investment styles affect their returns.
method Estimating size and style beta coefficients, identifying breakpoints, analyzing investment styles, and assessing risk-shifting intensity.
result Funds can enhance returns by shifting to high-return styles like Small Value and Small Blend.

We study the various sectors of the Bombay Stock Exchange(BSE) for a period of 8 years from April 2006 - March 2014. Using the data of daily returns of a period of eight years we make a direct model free analysis of the pattern of the sectorial indices movement and the correlations among them. Our analysis shows signif…

2015-04-22abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes Indian stock sectors using multifractal analysis for long and short-term investment.

problem Investment risk and stability in Indian stock sectors.
method Sector-wise multifractal analysis of Bombay Stock Exchange, India, over short and long time scales.
result Long-term investment in stable sectors is more profitable, while sectors with large fluctuations may lead to downturns.

Study examines how information flows in Indian stock market during crises.

problem Understanding information diffusion in financial networks during market turbulence.
method Applied communicability, a measure of ease of information flow, to financial networks.
result Approximately 70% and 80% of stock pairs exhibit significant changes in communicability during crises.

New model allocates features sublinearly, improving model fit and performance.

problem Linear growth of shared features limits model flexibility and performance.
method Developed non-exchangeable feature allocation models with sublinear feature sharing.
result Sublinear feature sharing leads to better model fit and predictive performance.

Study models Indian stock market using hyperbolic geometry for market stability and volatility analysis.

problem Identifying market stability and volatility in the Indian stock market.
method Modelled as a heterogeneous scale-free network, embedded in a 2D hyperbolic space, applied coalescent embedding, hyperbolic kmeans, and Bollinger Band analysis.
result Clusters in the embedded network better represent market communities than Euclidean clusters, allowing for early detection of market changes.

We characterize the combinatorial structure of conditionally-i.i.d. sequences of negative binomial processes with a common beta process base measure. In Bayesian nonparametric applications, such processes have served as models for latent multisets of features underlying data. Analogously, random subsets arise from cond…

2013-12-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Study examines impact of capital structure on Indian auto companies' profitability.

problem Understanding the impact of capital structure on profitability of Indian auto companies.
method Used fixed and random effect models with 10 years of data from 17 companies.
result Optimal capital structure improves company performance and maintains capital adequacy.

This paper compares three portfolio designs for Indian stocks.

problem Designing an optimum portfolio that balances return and risk.
method Three approaches: minimum risk, optimum risk, and Eigen portfolios.
result Optimum risk portfolios and Eigen portfolios identified for each sector.

Model predicts VKA dosage for Indian patients, aiding in safe medication.

problem Safe and accurate dosing of VKA drugs for Indian patients.
method Support Vector Machine (SVM) Regression model trained on patient data.
result Predicted dosages closely match actual dosages.

The paper models ATM cash withdrawal chaos and forecasts using deep learning.

problem Forecasting ATM cash withdrawals in an Indian bank.
method Chaos modeling of ATM cash withdrawal time series, deep learning methods (ARIMA, RF, SVR, MLP, GMDH, GRNN, LSTM, 1D CNN).
result Deep learning models show similar performance to random forest in forecasting ATM cash withdrawals.