arXiv research

A new relaxed framework for pricing illiquid derivatives using bid-ask spreads.

New concept of illiquidity linked to credit risk, using Jarrow & Turnbull's analogy.

Several models for the pricing of derivative securities in illiquid markets are discussed. A typical type of nonlinear partial differential equations arising from these investigation is studied. The scaling properties of these equations are discussed. Explicit solutions for one of the models are obtained and studied.

Develops a nonparametric model for arbitrage-free pricing of illiquid derivatives.

This work addresses the problem of optimal pricing and hedging of a European option on an illiquid asset Z using two proxies: a liquid asset S and a liquid European option on another liquid asset Y. We assume that the S-hedge is dynamic while the Y-hedge is static. Using the indifference pricing approach we derive a HJ…

Study optimal semi-static hedging for illiquid markets using dynamic cash and static quoted derivatives.

We study the problem of optimal pricing and hedging of a European option written on an illiquid asset $Z$ using a set of proxies: a liquid asset $S$, and $N$ liquid European options $P_i$, each written on a liquid asset $Y_i, i=1,N$. We assume that the $S$-hedge is dynamic while the multi-name $Y$-hedge is static. Usin…

The paper models Gasoil options using Brent benchmarks, improving volatility estimation.

This paper studies the equilibrium price of an asset that is traded in continuous time between N agents who have heterogeneous beliefs about the state process underlying the asset's payoff. We propose a tractable model where agents maximize expected returns under quadratic costs on inventories and trading rates. The un…

Study reveals how illiquidity network signals Chinese stock market crashes.

Introduces a new Lévy process for modeling illiquid markets.

In illiquid markets, option traders may have an incentive to increase their portfolio value by using their impact on the dynamics of the underlying. We provide a mathematical framework within which to value derivatives under market impact in a multi-player framework by introducing strategic interactions into the Almgre…

The paper addresses XVA valuation under market crises using a renewal process.

Optimizes asset allocation with illiquid assets using MPC.

Framework improves risk neutral density estimation in illiquid markets.

The article models illiquid stocks using quantum calculus with asymptotic methods.

Paper examines trade/no trade patterns in illiquid stocks, highlighting effects of varying zero returns probabilities.

Study models illiquid stock prices and finds low correlation due to constant prices.

The classical linear Black--Scholes model for pricing derivative securities is a popular model in financial industry. It relies on several restrictive assumptions such as completeness, and frictionless of the market as well as the assumption on the underlying asset price dynamics following a geometric Brownian motion. …

Model simulates sparse order books in illiquid markets.

We study the valuation and hedging problem of European options in a market subject to liquidity shocks. Working within a Markovian regime-switching setting, we model illiquidity as the inability to trade. To isolate the impact of such liquidity constraints, we focus on the case where the market is completely static in …

This paper uses RL to optimize bid-ask spreads for illiquid corporate bonds.

We study a problem of optimal investment/consumption over an infinite horizon in a market consisting of a liquid and an illiquid asset. The liquid asset is observed and can be traded continuously, while the illiquid one can only be traded and observed at discrete random times corresponding to the jumps of a Poisson pro…

Families of explicit solutions are found to a nonlinear Black-Scholes equation which incorporates the feedback-effect of a large trader in case of market illiquidity. The typical solution of these families will have a payoff which approximates a strangle. These solutions were used to test numerical schemes for solving …

We study the general model of self-financing trading strategies in illiquid markets introduced by Schoenbucher and Wilmott, 2000. A hedging strategy in the framework of this model satisfies a nonlinear partial differential equation (PDE) which contains some function g(alpha). This function is deep connected to an utili…

Framework for realistic insurance liability valuation.

Develops a framework for optimal investment in assets with different liquidity constraints.

Unified asymptotics for investment in markets with transaction costs and search frictions.

We study contingent claims in a discrete-time market model where trading costs are given by convex functions and portfolios are constrained by convex sets. In addition to classical frictionless markets and markets with transaction costs or bid-ask spreads, our framework covers markets with nonlinear illiquidity effects…

We study a problem of optimal investment/consumption over an infinite horizon in a market consisting of two possibly correlated assets: one liquid and one illiquid. The liquid asset is observed and can be traded continuously, while the illiquid one can be traded only at discrete random times corresponding to the jumps …

We study the problem of optimal portfolio selection in an illiquid market with discrete order flow. In this market, bids and offers are not available at any time but trading occurs more frequently near a terminal horizon. The investor can observe and trade the risky asset only at exogenous random times corresponding to…

Management of the portfolios containing low liquidity assets is a tedious problem. The buyer proposes the price that can differ greatly from the paper value estimated by the seller, the seller, on the other hand, can not liquidate his portfolio instantly and waits for a more favorable offer. To minimize losses in this …

A one-factor asset pricing model with an Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process as its state variable is studied under partial information: the mean-reverting level and the mean-reverting speed parameters are modeled as hidden/unobservable stochastic variables. No-arbitrage pricing formulas for derivative securities written on a …

Develops optimal trading strategy for illiquid currency pairs.

We analyze the martingale selection problem of Rokhlin (2006) in a pointwise (robust) setting. We derive conditions for solvability of this problem and show how it is related to the classical no-arbitrage deliberations. We obtain versions of the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing in examples spanning frictionless mar…

One of the shortcomings of the Black and Scholes model on option pricing is the assumption that trading of the underlying asset does not affect the price of that asset. This assumption can be fulfilled only in perfectly liquid markets. Since most markets are illquid, this assumption might be too restrictive. Thus, taki…

In this paper we ask whether, given a stock market and an illiquid derivative, there exists arbitrage-free prices at which an utility-maximizing agent would always want to buy the derivative, irrespectively of his own initial endowment of derivatives and cash. We prove that this is false for any given investor if one c…

Improved ARMA-GARCH model for illiquid assets like cryptocurrencies.

Investment strategy optimized in markets with transaction costs and search delays.

Paper is based on "The cost of illiquidity and its effects on hedging", L. C. G. Rogers and Surbjeet Singh, 2010. We generalize its thesis to constant elasticity model, which own previously used Black-Schoels model as a special case. The Goal of this article is to find optimal hedging strategy of European call/put opti…

We propose an option approach for pricing bond illiquidity that is reminiscent of the celebrated work of Longstaff (1995) on the non-marketability of some non-dividend-paying shares in IPOs. This approach describes a quite common situation in the fixed income market: it is rather usual to find issuers that, besides liq…

QCML improves bond similarity learning in illiquid markets.

CDS (credit default swap) contracts that were initiated some time ago frequently have spreads and/or maturities that are not available on the current market of CDSs, and are thus illiquid. This article introduces an incomplete-market approach to valuing illiquid CDSs that, in contrast to the risk-neutral approach of cu…

Taylor's law of temporal fluctuation scaling, variance $\sim$ $a($mean$)^b$, is ubiquitous in natural and social sciences. We report for the first time convincing evidence of a solid temporal fluctuation scaling law in stock illiquidity by investigating the mean-variance relationship of the high-frequency illiquidity o…

We consider an optimal consumption/investment problem to maximize expected utility from consumption. In this market model, the investor is allowed to choose a portfolio which consists of one bond, one liquid risky asset (no transaction costs) and one illiquid risky asset (proportional transaction costs). We fully chara…

We study super--replication of European contingent claims in an illiquid market with insider information. Illiquidity is captured by quadratic transaction costs and insider information is modeled by an investor who can peek into the future. Our main result describes the scaling limit of the super--replication prices wh…

New framework replicates private equity performance using AI and liquid strategies.

Improved pricing method for illiquid assets using Lambert function.