A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
This work constructs a hypothesis test for detecting whether an data-generating function h:Rp→R belongs to a specific reproducing kernel Hilbert space H0 , where the structure of H0 is only partially known. Utilizing the theory of reproducing kernels, we reduce this hypothesis …
The problem of multiple hypothesis testing arises when there are more than one hypothesis to be tested simultaneously for statistical significance. This is a very common situation in many data mining applications. For instance, assessing simultaneously the significance of all frequent itemsets of a single dataset entai…
Comparative learning combines realizable and agnostic settings for two hypothesis classes, reducing sample complexity.
problem Learning with two hypothesis classes in a more general setting than single hypothesis classes.
method Introduces comparative learning, defines mutual VC dimension and Littlestone dimension, and applies insights to multiaccuracy and multicalibration.
result Sample complexity of comparative learning is characterized by mutual VC dimension and Littlestone dimension.
PAC-Bayes bounds have been proposed to get risk estimates based on a training sample. In this paper the PAC-Bayes approach is combined with stability of the hypothesis learned by a Hilbert space valued algorithm. The PAC-Bayes setting is used with a Gaussian prior centered at the expected output. Thus a novelty of our …
A novel feature selection method using noise-based hypothesis testing improves feature selection accuracy.
problem Challenges in feature selection for complex, high-dimensional datasets.
method Introduces multiple random noise features and evaluates feature importance against noise feature maxima using non-parametric bootstrap-based hypothesis testing.
result Outperforms existing methods in simulated and real-world datasets.
Motivated by the Basel 3 regulations, recent studies have considered joint forecasts of Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall. A large family of scoring functions can be used to evaluate forecast performance in this context. However, little intuitive or empirical guidance is currently available, which renders the choice…
StatLoRA uses statistical inference to allocate ranks in LoRA fine-tuning, improving performance.
problem Balancing efficiency, expressiveness, and generalization in LoRA rank allocation.
method Formulates LoRA rank allocation as a statistical hypothesis testing problem, using estimated p-values to determine component retention or pruning.
result StatLoRA achieves comparable or better performance than existing methods under matched rank budgets.
Revises precision-recall curves for generative models.
problem Improves evaluation of generative models by distinguishing mode-collapse and quality issues.
method Generalizes PR curve formulation to arbitrary measures, exposes a bridge to error rates, proposes a new algorithm to approximate precision-recall curves.
result Demonstrates the interest of the new formulation over the original approach on multi-modal datasets.
We explore a relationship between topological properties of orbits of 2-cycles in the symplectomorphism group Symp(M) and the existence of rational curves in M. Under the absence of rational curves hypothesis, we show that evaluation map vanishies on the second homotopy group and obtain a Gottlieb-type vanishing theore…
Active learning (AL) repeatedly trains the classifier with the minimum labeling budget to improve the current classification model. The training process is usually supervised by an uncertainty evaluation strategy. However, the uncertainty evaluation always suffers from performance degeneration when the initial labeled …
DBPA assesses LLM perturbations using frequentist hypothesis testing.
problem Quantifying input perturbation impacts on LLM outputs.
method DBPA reformulates perturbation analysis as frequentist hypothesis testing, using Monte Carlo sampling for empirical null and alternative distributions.
result DBPA provides interpretable p-values and scalar effect sizes for LLM perturbations.
Statistical analysis of financial data most focused on testing the validity of Brownian motion (Bm). Analysis performed on several time series have shown deviation from the Bm hypothesis, that is at the base of the evaluation of many financial derivatives. We inquiry in the behavior of measures of performance based on …
Dropout is often used in deep neural networks to prevent over-fitting. Conventionally, dropout training invokes \textit{random drop} of nodes from the hidden layers of a Neural Network. It is our hypothesis that a guided selection of nodes for intelligent dropout can lead to better generalization as compared to the tra…
This paper reviews the functional aspects of statistical learning theory. The main point under consideration is the nature of the hypothesis set when no prior information is available but data. Within this framework we first discuss about the hypothesis set: it is a vectorial space, it is a set of pointwise defined fun…
We propose a methodology for testing linear hypothesis in high-dimensional linear models. The proposed test does not impose any restriction on the size of the model, i.e. model sparsity or the loading vector representing the hypothesis. Providing asymptotically valid methods for testing general linear functions of the …