Report examines Muskrat Falls Project's cost and schedule overruns.
problem Analyzing Muskrat Falls Project's cost and schedule overruns.
method Examines national and international context, causes, and recommendations.
result Provides insights into preventing cost and schedule overruns in hydroelectric dam projects.
New method optimizes pumped hydroelectric storage with state constraints.
problem Optimal management of pumped hydroelectric production with state constraints.
method Transformed constrained problem into an unconstrained one in augmented spaces with state constraints penalized.
result Solved the problem using dynamic programming.
A brisk building boom of hydropower mega-dams is underway from China to Brazil. Whether benefits of new dams will outweigh costs remains unresolved despite contentious debates. We investigate this question with the "outside view" or "reference class forecasting" based on literature on decision-making under uncertainty …
Extends DAMs to Gaussian distributions for efficient pattern storage and retrieval.
problem Limited storage capacity and retrieval methods for non-vector pattern representations.
method Introduces a log-sum-exp energy function over Gaussian distributions, using optimal transport maps for retrieval dynamics.
result Proves exponential storage capacity and provides quantitative retrieval guarantees.
Machine learning predicts dam-break flood wave behavior accurately.
problem Predicting long-term wave behavior in dam-break floods.
method Solved Saint-Venant equations using Lax-Wendroff scheme, trained RC-ESN with flow depth data.
result RC-ESN model predicts 286 time-steps ahead with RMSE < 0.01, outperforming LSTM.
New DAM method improves AUC scores in medical image classification.
problem Maximizing AUC in large-scale medical image classification.
method Proposes AUC margin loss for robust optimization, conducts extensive empirical studies.
result Improves performance on four medical image classification tasks, achieving 1st place on Stanford CheXpert.
The energy transition is well underway in most European countries. It has a growing impact on electric power systems as it dramatically modifies the way electricity is produced. To ensure a safe and smooth transition towards a pan-European electricity production dominated by renewable sources, it is of paramount import…
Deep learning improves probabilistic river discharge forecasting for hydroelectric power.
problem Uncertain river discharges due to climate variability.
method Modified recurrent neural network architecture conditioned on global circulation model projections.
result Generates parameterized probability distributions for realistic long-term discharge scenarios.
Study uses satellite data to predict tailings dam collapse risk.
problem Detecting early signs of tailings dam instability.
method Spectral analysis of satellite InSAR displacement time series data.
result Algorithm detects risk milestones up to 5 months before dam collapse.
Forecast dam inflow using sea surface feature weights.
problem Accurate dam inflow forecasting for flood mitigation.
method Extracted sea surface features, applied L2-norm ensemble weighting, used PCA and t-SNE for dimensionality reduction, and calibrated regression models.
result The proposed method improves predictor stability and accuracy in dam inflow forecasting.
Proposes DAM for optimizing discrete generative models.
problem Challenges in optimizing discrete generative models.
method Discrete Adjoint Matching (DAM) for discrete state spaces.
result Demonstrates effectiveness on synthetic and mathematical reasoning tasks.
This study investigates self-organizing dynamics in a stochastic exponential DAM model using Temporal Complexity.
problem Understanding self-organizing behavior in artificial neural systems.
method Investigation of a stochastic exponential DAM model through Temporal Complexity analysis.
result The model exhibits regimes of complex intermittency with nontrivial temporal correlations and scale-free behavior.
Memory capacity of DAM scales exponentially with feature separation, unaffected by correlations.
problem Understanding how feature correlations impact DAM's capacity.
method Developed an empirical framework to analyze DAM's capacity under varying feature correlations and pattern separations.
result Memory capacity scales exponentially with feature separation, unaffected by correlations.
DAM improves cryptocurrency trend forecasting using multimodal data.
problem Simplistic merging of sentiment data in cryptocurrency trend forecasting.
method Dual Attention Mechanism (DAM) integrating financial metrics and sentiment analysis.
result DAM outperforms conventional models by up to 20% in prediction accuracy.
Hydropower reduces system electricity price and volatility, especially at extreme levels.
problem Impact of hydropower on system electricity price and volatility.
method Robust statistical analysis using multiple linear regression and quantile regression.
result Hydropower reduces system electricity price and volatility, especially at extreme levels.
Paper tackles missing data shifts in domains, showing how to adapt models.
problem Missing data mechanisms differ between source and target domains.
method Introduced DAMS, showing covariate shift under certain conditions, and providing adjustments for missingness.
result Simple adjustments can improve target model performance even when missingness rates vary.
Minimal DAMs can recognize patterns in high noise, even with minimal data.
problem Pattern recognition in high noise conditions with limited data.
method Interpolating between DAMs and spin glasses, using minimal dense associative networks and extremizing quenched free-energy.
result Minimal DAMs can correctly recognize patterns even when the signal is very weak and noise is high.
A new algorithm uses bandits to diversify database activity monitoring.
problem Limitation of current DAM systems in collecting diverse data.
method Redefined DAM sampling as a bandit problem and developed a novel algorithm combining expert knowledge and random exploration.
result Adding diversity to sampling using the bandit-based approach improves coverage without decreasing alert quality.
Paper proposes a novel approach to improve spatiotemporal precipitation forecasts.
problem Improving accuracy of spatiotemporal precipitation forecasts for flood damage mitigation.
method Introduces a rain-code fusion approach using ConvLSTM and multi-frame fusion for spatiotemporal precipitation code-to-code forecasting.
result Demonstrates enhanced accuracy in precipitation forecasts beyond 3 timesteps using the rain-code fusion.
The paper introduces deep learning for ALM, enhancing asset and liability management.
problem Optimizing asset and liability management for treasurers and other applications.
method Deep learning applied to ALM for optimal decision making.
result Enhanced ALM approach for better asset and liability management.
Improved FDAM algorithms for heterogeneous data with constant communication complexity.
problem Maximizing AUC for imbalanced data classification in federated learning.
method Solving non-convex strongly-concave min-max formulation in a distributed fashion.
result Communication complexity is a constant, independent of number of machines and accuracy level.
DAM with MRL improves relational reasoning in MANNs.
problem Limited performance of associative memory networks on complex relational reasoning tasks.
method Distributed Associative Memory architecture with Memory Refreshing Loss.
result Enhanced relation reasoning performance of MANNs on long temporal sequence data.
Deep neural networks (DNN) trained in a supervised way suffer from two known problems. First, the minima of the objective function used in learning correspond to data points (also known as rubbish examples or fooling images) that lack semantic similarity with the training data. Second, a clean input can be changed by a…
APMSqueeze improves Adam for faster training with less communication.
problem Adam's inefficiency in parallel training due to gradient compression limitations.
method Error-compensated gradient compression for Adam-preconditioned Momentum SGD.
result Significantly reduces communication time per epoch without sacrificing accuracy.
We study the problem of designing models for machine learning tasks defined on \emph{sets}. In contrast to traditional approach of operating on fixed dimensional vectors, we consider objective functions defined on sets that are invariant to permutations. Such problems are widespread, ranging from estimation of populati…
Deep RL model optimizes dynamic portfolio allocation.
problem Automating dynamic portfolio optimization with machine learning.
method Model-based deep reinforcement learning with prediction, data augmentation, and behavior cloning modules.
result Robust, profitable, and risk-sensitive trading strategy compared to baselines.
We consider a financial contract that delivers a single cash flow given by the terminal value of a cumulative gains process. The problem of modelling and pricing such an asset and associated derivatives is important, for example, in the determination of optimal insurance claims reserve policies, and in the pricing of r…
A new method solves complex hydroelectricity planning problems.
problem Solving multistage stochastic linear programming for hydrothermal dispatch planning.
method Regularized Linear Decision Rules (AdaLASSO) to reduce overfitting and improve out-of-sample performance.
result Significant reductions in non-zero coefficients and improved spot-price profiles.
Paper proposes a holistic optimization for civil structures considering uncertainties.
problem Designing civil structures requires integration of material and structural design.
method Holistic optimization combining concrete mixture design and structural simulations.
result Inverted workflow allows consideration of new mixtures and uncertainties.