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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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124247371494 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Human Behavior Dynamics

TRIBE model uses LLMs to simulate human trading behavior in bond markets.

problem Complexities in decentralized bond market transactions.
method Agent-based model augmented with LLMs to simulate human-like decision-making.
result Slight trade aversion in LLMs can lead to complete market collapse.

RFC enhances humanoid control to imitate complex human motions.

problem Dynamics mismatch between humanoid models and real humans.
method Residual Force Control (RFC) augments control policies with external forces.
result RFC outperforms state-of-the-art methods in convergence speed and motion quality.

Study reveals LLM personality patterns but lacks behavioral consistency.

problem Understanding and validating personality traits in LLMs.
method Characterized LLM personality across three dimensions: training dynamics, self-report validity, and intervention effects.
result Self-reported traits do not reliably predict behavior, and instructional alignment affects trait expression but not behavior.

Unified model of urban consumer behavior and mobility patterns.

problem Understanding the lifestyles and infrastructure of urban regions.
method Collective matrix factorization for dual view modeling of consumer behavior and mobility.
result Unified model reveals deeper insights into consumer behavior and mobility patterns.

FinHEAR combines LLMs with human expertise for better financial decision-making.

problem Challenges in financial decision-making for language models.
method Multi-agent framework with specialized LLMs for historical analysis, event interpretation, and expert retrieval.
result FinHEAR outperforms baselines in financial tasks with higher accuracy and risk-adjusted returns.

Study on self-consuming generative models with diverse human curation, focusing on convergence and stability.

problem Analyzing self-consuming generative models with heterogeneous human curation.
method Investigates the asymptotic behavior of retraining dynamics using nonlinear Perron--Frobenius theory and Banach contraction mapping.
result Improves convergence results and provides stability and non-stability analyses for the model.

Paper tackles RLHF with DCPPO method, proving near-optimal suboptimality.

problem Challenges in offline RLHF with limited human feedback and bounded rationality.
method DCPPO method involving three stages: MLE, reward function recovery, and pessimistic value iteration.
result DCPPO's suboptimality almost matches classical pessimistic offline RL in terms of distribution shift and dimension.

Human stablecoin transactions predict political risk in cryptocurrency markets.

problem Predicting political risk in cryptocurrency markets.
method Structural break analysis and surrogate-based robustness tests.
result Human-driven stablecoin transactions shift significantly before major political events.

Paper tackles dynamic behavior of variable topology mechanisms, presenting new transition conditions.

problem Dynamic behavior of mechanisms with changing kinematic topology.
method Presented new transition conditions for variable topology mechanisms using projected motion equations and Voronets equations.
result Results show the dynamic behavior of joint locking in 3R and 6DOF mechanisms.

Study of urban lifestyles from mobility data of 1.2M people in 11 U.S. cities.

problem Lack of interpretability in digital mobility data for understanding urban lifestyles.
method Privacy-enhanced dataset of mobility visitation patterns, latent activity behavior decomposition.
result Detected 12 latent activity behaviors that describe urban lifestyles, not single lifestyles.

LLMs mimic human traders in finance, but not as much as expected.

problem Evaluating how LLMs behave in financial markets.
method Adapted experimental design with LLMs and human traders, analyzed in single and mixed model settings.
result LLMs tend to price assets near their fundamental value, but not as much as humans, and show less trading strategy variance.

Study models human investors' sub-rational behavior in financial markets.

problem Lack of a comprehensive model for human sub-rationality in financial markets.
method Flexible reinforcement learning model incorporating five human sub-rational aspects.
result Model accurately reproduces human behavior and reveals insights into market dynamics.

Study causal effects on humans in mixed human-AI systems with unobserved unit types.

problem Estimating causal effects on humans in systems with unobserved unit types and interaction networks.
method Assumed human-AI prior, causal message passing (CMP) framework, subpopulation analysis.
result Consistently recover human-specific causal effects using subpopulations with varying expected human composition and treatment exposure.

We consider the problem of learning multi-stage vision-based tasks on a real robot from a single video of a human performing the task, while leveraging demonstration data of subtasks with other objects. This problem presents a number of major challenges. Video demonstrations without teleoperation are easy for humans to…

2018-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗

We use insight from a model of earth tectonic plate movement to obtain a new understanding of the build up and release of stress in the price dynamics of the worlds stock exchanges. Nonlinearity enters the model due to a behavioral attribute of humans reacting disproportionately to big changes. This nonlinear response …

2009-12-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Study evaluates how much knowledge LLMs have by comparing their prediction accuracy to flexible models.

problem Evaluating the predictive power of LLMs without access to their training data.
method Equivalent sample size measure, comparing LLM's prediction error to flexible models trained on varying amounts of domain-specific data.
result LLMs encode varying amounts of predictive information across different economic variables.

The paper proposes incentivizing human annotators with 'golden questions' to improve data quality.

problem Ensuring high-quality human annotations for training large language models.
method A principal-agent model is used to incentivize annotators with bonuses based on the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) of their annotations. Hypothesis testing is applied to monitor the annotators' performance.
result The hypothesis testing rate for the principal-agent model is of Θ(1/nlogn)Θ(1/\sqrt{n \log n}), highlighting the importance of 'golden questions' for monitoring annotators.

Paper introduces new tasks and a model class that can solve them, using mixtures of stochastic vector fields.

problem Neural ODEs cannot solve fundamental tasks even with high-capacity vector fields.
method Proposes mixtures of stochastic vector fields and dynamic vector field selection.
result Demonstrates that the proposed model class can capture natural dynamics of human behavior.

HCLM framework uses entropy regularization for open learning systems.

problem Real-world AI challenges and limitations of deep learning.
method Dynamical and information-theoretic framework with entropy regularization.
result Geometric entropy surrogates, especially log-determinant covariance entropy, induce stronger and more stable information forces.

Surprise describes a range of phenomena from unexpected events to behavioral responses. We propose a measure of surprise and use it for surprise-driven learning. Our surprise measure takes into account data likelihood as well as the degree of commitment to a belief via the entropy of the belief distribution. We find th…

2016-06-17abs ↗pdf ↗

AI assistants often give convincing but incorrect responses to match user beliefs.

problem Sycophancy in AI assistants that use human feedback.
method Examined five AI assistants across four tasks, analyzed human preference data, and compared model outputs against preference models.
result Sycophancy is a general behavior of AI assistants, driven in part by human preference judgments.

Teaching is critical to human society: it is with teaching that prospective students are educated and human civilization can be inherited and advanced. A good teacher not only provides his/her students with qualified teaching materials (e.g., textbooks), but also sets up appropriate learning objectives (e.g., course pr…

2018-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper addresses human-like decision-making in multi-agent systems using bounded risk-sensitive Markov Games.

problem Modeling human-like decision-making in multi-agent systems with risk-seeking and loss-aversion behaviors.
method Forward policy design and inverse reward learning with iterative reasoning and cumulative prospect theory.
result The proposed algorithms demonstrate both risk-averse and risk-seeking behaviors in multi-agent systems.

We propose a neural superstatistics method to estimate dynamic cognitive models from time series data.

problem Memoryless cognitive models ignore parameter fluctuations, leading to inaccurate predictions.
method Developed a simulation-based deep learning method for Bayesian inference of superstatistical models.
result Deep learning method efficiently recovers time-varying and time-invariant parameters.

New model accounts for continuous human trajectories in robotics.

problem Inaccurate probabilistic models of human behavior in robotics.
method Developed a new probabilistic model that considers distances between continuous trajectories.
result The new model outperforms existing models in explaining human behavior and improving robot inference.

Bayesian framework infers personalized embeddings for diverse human demonstrations.

problem Lack of personalized models for diverse human behaviors.
method Bayesian LfD framework inferring human-specific embeddings.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art techniques on synthetic and real-world data.

The human brain is able to learn, generalize, and predict crossmodal stimuli. Learning by expectation fine-tunes crossmodal processing at different levels, thus enhancing our power of generalization and adaptation in highly dynamic environments. In this paper, we propose a deep neural architecture trained by using expe…

2018-01-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Extracts behavioral features from smartphone and wearable data.

problem Processing raw data streams from smartphones and wearables for human behavior analysis.
method Generic framework for processing raw data streams and extracting behavioral features.
result Extracts useful features related to non-verbal human behavior from raw data streams.

New cognitive model priors improve human decision prediction.

problem Predicting human decisions with high precision remains challenging.
method Pretrained neural networks on synthetic data generated by cognitive models, fine-tuning on real human data.
result Fine-tuned neural networks achieve unprecedented state-of-the-art improvements on benchmark datasets.

ProMoD models human race drivers with probabilistic movement primitives and neural networks.

problem Challenging task of modeling human driver behavior due to variability and complexity.
method Modular framework with Probabilistic Movement Primitives, clothoids, and neural networks.
result Significant advantages in imitation accuracy and robustness compared to other algorithms.