We introduce a novel incremental decision tree learning algorithm, Hoeffding Anytime Tree, that is statistically more efficient than the current state-of-the-art, Hoeffding Tree. We demonstrate that an implementation of Hoeffding Anytime Tree---"Extremely Fast Decision Tree", a minor modification to the MOA implementat…
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,695 papers · 148 categories
Trend · papers per month
48 results for “Hoeffding AnyTime Tree”
HATT improves online decision tree ensembles by using a more eager splitting strategy.
problem Improving the efficiency of online decision tree ensembles.
method Replacing Hoeffding Tree's split strategy with HATT, which uses the Hoeffding Test for candidate splits.
result HATT outperforms Hoeffding Tree in online bagging and boosting ensembles, as shown by significant performance improvements in various testbenches.
Improves decision tree performance by correcting split selection errors.
problem Invalid statistical guarantees in split selection for decision trees.
method Introduces anytime-valid inference to provide valid statistical guarantees.
result Provides anytime-valid control of false splits under arbitrary data streams.
Tree Ensemble Explainability through the Hoeffding Functional Decomposition and TreeHFD Algorithmstat.ML
TreeHFD algorithm explains tree ensemble models through hierarchical orthogonality.
problem Difficulty in explaining black-box tree ensemble models.
method TreeHFD algorithm using hierarchical orthogonality constraints.
result TreeHFD estimates Hoeffding decomposition from data samples.
Optimizes random forest inference by defining step order to maximize accuracy.
problem Limited inference time in resource-constrained systems.
method Designs anytime random forest algorithm on step granularity, proposing optimal step order.
result Backward Squirrel Order performs nearly as well as the optimal step order.
Dynamic Model Tree improves online learning for evolving data streams.
problem Effective and transparent machine learning on data streams is challenging.
method Revisit Model Trees for data stream applications, introducing Dynamic Model Tree.
result Dynamic Model Tree reduces the number of splits and outperforms state-of-the-art models.
Machine learning software accounts for a significant amount of energy consumed in data centers. These algorithms are usually optimized towards predictive performance, i.e. accuracy, and scalability. This is the case of data stream mining algorithms. Although these algorithms are adaptive to the incoming data, they have…
We propose a new anytime hierarchical clustering method that iteratively transforms an arbitrary initial hierarchy on the configuration of measurements along a sequence of trees we prove for a fixed data set must terminate in a chain of nested partitions that satisfies a natural homogeneity requirement. Each recursive …
Decision tree classifiers are a widely used tool in data stream mining. The use of confidence intervals to estimate the gain associated with each split leads to very effective methods, like the popular Hoeffding tree algorithm. From a statistical viewpoint, the analysis of decision tree classifiers in a streaming setti…
This paper presents a new anytime algorithm for the marginal MAP problem in graphical models. The algorithm is described in detail, its complexity and convergence rate are studied, and relations to previous theoretical results for the problem are discussed. It is shown that the algorithm runs in polynomial-time if the …
Extends FC-RAG to anytime-valid sequential coverage for language model swarms.
problem Maintain distribution-free coverage for a swarm of weak language models over time.
method Introduces Anytime-FC-RAG, a sequential extension with a summable calibration-deviation budget.
result Achieves time-uniform alarm validity and safety under predictable adaptive control.
Automated data-driven decision-making systems are ubiquitous across a wide spread of online as well as offline services. These systems, depend on sophisticated learning algorithms and available data, to optimize the service function for decision support assistance. However, there is a growing concern about the accounta…
HCBM improves deep learning explainability by non-linear concept aggregation.
problem Lack of explainable and accurate predictions in deep learning for high-stake decisions.
method Introduce Hoeffding Concept Bottleneck Models (HCBM) using Hoeffding functional decomposition of gradient-boosted trees for non-linear and sparse concept aggregation.
result HCBM outperforms standard linear CBM and is robust to interconcept leakage.
The paper extends Hoeffding's inequality for Markov chains using a generalized concentrability condition.
problem Applying Hoeffding's inequality to non-ergodic Markov chains.
method Integrates generalized concentrability condition via IPM to extend traditional hypotheses.
result Demonstrates utility in machine learning applications such as empirical risk minimization and bandits.
We consider the Lipschitz bandit optimization problem with an emphasis on practical efficiency. Although there is rich literature on regret analysis of this type of problem, e.g., [Kleinberg et al. 2008, Bubeck et al. 2011, Slivkins 2014], their proposed algorithms suffer from serious practical problems including extre…
Trading strategy uses Hoeffding's Inequality to predict financial regime change.
problem Predicting financial regime change for trading strategies.
method Applies Hoeffding's Inequality to trading performance data.
result Early warning of financial regime change can be detected.
This work accelerates gradient descent with anytime convergence guarantees.
problem Improving the convergence rate of gradient descent methods.
method Proposes a stepsize schedule for gradient descent that achieves anytime convergence rates.
result Gradient descent can achieve convergence rates of for any stopping time .
Optimizes SGD for anytime neural networks, improving accuracy.
problem Training networks that produce increasingly accurate outputs over time.
method Orthogonalized SGD optimizer for nested architectures.
result Significantly improves generalization accuracy of anytime networks.
Generalizes Hoeffding's decomposition for dependent inputs under mild conditions.
problem Performing global sensitivity analysis on black-box models with dependent inputs.
method Proposes a novel framework based on probability theory, functional analysis, and combinatorics to handle dependencies.
result Any square-integrable, real-valued function of random elements with mild dependence assumptions can be uniquely additively decomposed.
Towards Anytime Classification in Early-Exit Architectures by Enforcing Conditional Monotonicitycs.LG
Enhances early-exit neural networks for anytime classification.
problem Lack of guaranteed prediction quality improvement with longer computation time.
method Post-hoc modification based on Product-of-Experts to enforce conditional monotonicity.
result Achieves conditional monotonicity in prediction quality, enabling anytime classification.
One of the current challenges in machine learning is how to deal with data coming at increasing rates in data streams. New predictive learning strategies are needed to cope with the high throughput data and concept drift. One of the data stream mining tasks where new learning strategies are needed is multi-target regre…
The study introduces anytime learning schedules for large language models without fixed horizons.
problem Training large language models without knowing the total training horizon.
method Theoretical analysis and weight averaging to create anytime learning schedules.
result Theoretical and empirical evidence shows that weight averaging with simple step sizes can achieve comparable final loss to well-tuned cosine schedules.
Optimal algorithm found for anytime regret with two experts.
problem Minimizing regret in prediction with two experts when time horizon is unknown.
method Designing a minimax optimal algorithm using ideas from stochastic calculus.
result Proved the optimal regret is γ√t / 2 for all time steps t.
Transforms any test into anytime-valid with sample savings.
problem Sequential data invalidates classical test guarantees.
method Predicts test outcomes to create anytime-valid stopping rules.
result Ensures Type-I error control and near-optimal power.
The pioneer deep neural networks (DNNs) have emerged to be deeper or wider for improving their accuracy in various applications of artificial intelligence. However, DNNs are often too heavy to deploy in practice, and it is often required to control their architectures dynamically given computing resource budget, i.e., …
Nowadays with a growing number of online controlling systems in the organization and also a high demand of monitoring and stats facilities that uses data streams to log and control their subsystems, data stream mining becomes more and more vital. Hoeffding Trees (also called Very Fast Decision Trees a.k.a. VFDT) as a B…
We introduce a new sequential Monte Carlo algorithm we call the particle cascade. The particle cascade is an asynchronous, anytime alternative to traditional particle filtering algorithms. It uses no barrier synchronizations which leads to improved particle throughput and memory efficiency. It is an anytime algorithm i…
DTS improves inference-time alignment of diffusion models with less compute.
problem Inference-time alignment of diffusion models suffers from inaccurate value estimation and inefficient reuse of past computations.
method Diffusion Tree Sampling (DTS) uses a tree-based approach to propagate terminal rewards and iteratively refine value estimates.
result DTS produces asymptotically exact samples and matches the FID of best-performing baselines with up to 10x less compute.
APGAI identifies good arms anytime with fixed budget.
problem Identifying a good arm with a fixed sampling budget.
method An anytime algorithm for good arm identification in stochastic bandits.
result APGAI achieves efficient detection of good arms with upper bounds on probability of error and sampling complexity.
New unbiased variance estimator for random forests using Hoeffding decomposition.
problem Uncertainty quantification in random forests with large kernel sizes and small sample sizes.
method Proposes a new Hoeffding decomposition view for variance estimation, establishing unbiased estimators and ratio consistency.
result Establishes the ratio consistency of the proposed variance estimator, justifying confidence interval coverage rates.
New algorithm guarantees performance on noisy data.
problem Learning with noisy data and heavy-tailed distributions.
method Anytime online-to-batch conversion for smooth objectives.
result Stochastic gradient-based algorithm with sub-Gaussian error bounds.
GAAVI offers anytime-valid tests for CMF global null and contrasts.
problem Inference on the conditional mean function for high confidence decisions.
method Asymptotic anytime-valid tests for CMF global null and contrasts.
result Achieves asymptotic type-I error guarantees, power one, and optimal sample complexity.
Paper proposes a new confidence dimension to measure DNN generalization.
problem Measuring the generalization ability of deep neural networks is challenging.
method Introduces confidence dimension (CD) based on Hoeffding's inequality and VC-dimension.
result CD provides a feasible framework to calculate the upper bound of generalization.
This paper studies the deviations of the regret in a stochastic multi-armed bandit problem. When the total number of plays n is known beforehand by the agent, Audibert et al. (2009) exhibit a policy such that with probability at least 1-1/n, the regret of the policy is of order log(n). They have also shown that such a …
Motivated by applications in model-free finance and quantitative risk management, we consider Fréchet classes of multivariate distribution functions where additional information on the joint distribution is assumed, while uncertainty in the marginals is also possible. We derive optimal transport duality results for the…
A Hoeffding Inequality for Finite State Markov Chains and its Applications to Markovian Banditsmath.ST
This paper develops a Hoeffding inequality for the partial sums , where is an irreducible Markov chain on a finite state space , and is a real-valued function. Our bound is simple, general, since it only assumes irreducibility and finiteness…
CSA fills a gap in RLVR-trained LLM deployment by providing anytime-valid selective risk control.
problem Deployment of RLVR-trained LLMs in regulated organizations requires a safety certificate for every round without waiting for long-run averages.
method CSA uses a (test statistic, validity guarantee, deployment rule) framework to fill the gap, maintaining a Ville-type e-process per threshold on a Bonferroni grid.
result CSA provides the first anytime-valid selective risk control for RLVR-trained LLMs, matching the long-run average certification rate and satisfying pathwise validity and non-refusing deployment on every cell.
Continual learning based on data stream mining deals with ubiquitous sources of Big Data arriving at high-velocity and in real-time. Adaptive Random Forest ({\em ARF}) is a popular ensemble method used for continual learning due to its simplicity in combining adaptive leveraging bagging with fast random Hoeffding trees…
I introduce and analyse an anytime version of the Optimally Confident UCB (OCUCB) algorithm designed for minimising the cumulative regret in finite-armed stochastic bandits with subgaussian noise. The new algorithm is simple, intuitive (in hindsight) and comes with the strongest finite-time regret guarantees for a hori…
Paper develops a new watermarking framework for LLMs.
problem Efficiently distinguishing machine-generated from human text.
method Develops Anchored E-Watermarking framework for anytime-valid inference.
result Framework enables valid, anytime-inference with reduced sample efficiency.
In this paper, we propose an R package, called RKHSMetaMod, that implements a procedure for estimating a meta-model of a complex model. The meta-model approximates the Hoeffding decomposition of the complex model and allows us to perform sensitivity analysis on it. It belongs to a reproducing kernel Hilbert space that …
Paper offers anytime-valid inference for causal parameters using DML.
problem Classic DML is only valid asymptotically for a fixed sample size.
method Time-uniform DML results for anytime-valid inference.
result Valid inference at any arbitrary stopping time.
Anytime MiniBatch speeds up online distributed optimization by handling slow nodes.
problem Mitigating the impact of slow nodes (stragglers) in distributed optimization.
method Proposes an online distributed optimization method that averages minibatch gradients via consensus rounds.
result Prevents stragglers from slowing progress without wasting work.
Adaptive auditing improves AI robustness testing with anytime-valid guarantees.
problem Cost and time of annotation limit rigorous AI failure mode characterization.
method Introduces hypothesis testing framework for adaptive audits using SAVI.
result Proves anytime-valid type-I error control and robustness certification.
Under Markovian assumptions, we leverage a Central Limit Theorem (CLT) for the empirical measure in the test statistic of the composite hypothesis Hoeffding test so as to establish weak convergence results for the test statistic, and, thereby, derive a new estimator for the threshold needed by the test. We first show t…
Belief Propagation has been widely used for marginal inference, however it is slow on problems with large-domain variables and high-order factors. Previous work provides useful approximations to facilitate inference on such models, but lacks important anytime properties such as: 1) providing accurate and consistent mar…
A new method combines multiple bounds and betting strategies for selective prediction, improving risk coverage in data-scarce settings.
problem Selective prediction with risk control in data-scarce domains.
method Combines concentration inequalities, multiple-testing corrections, and betting-based confidence sequences.
result Transfer-Informed Betting achieves tighter bounds and better coverage in data-scarce settings.
Paper develops a new inequality for non-causal machine learning.
problem Current concentration inequalities cannot be applied to non-causal machine learning.
method Develops a framework for non-causal random fields and proves a Hoeffding-type inequality.
result Obtains a Hoeffding-type concentration inequality for non-causal random fields.