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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,878 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Hit song science

Predicts which songs will be Billboard hits using Spotify data.

problem Predicting which songs will become chart-topping hits.
method Used a dataset of 1.8 million hit and non-hit songs, extracted audio features, and tested four models (random forest achieved 88% accuracy).
result Random forest model achieved 88% accuracy in predicting Billboard song success.

Record companies invest billions of dollars in new talent around the globe each year. Gaining insight into what actually makes a hit song would provide tremendous benefits for the music industry. In this research we tackle this question by focussing on the dance hit song classification problem. A database of dance hit …

2019-05-17abs ↗pdf ↗

A model for hit song prediction can be used in the pop music industry to identify emerging trends and potential artists or songs before they are marketed to the public. While most previous work formulates hit song prediction as a regression or classification problem, we present in this paper a convolutional neural netw…

2017-10-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Playlist recommendation involves producing a set of songs that a user might enjoy. We investigate this problem in three cold-start scenarios: (i) cold playlists, where we recommend songs to form new personalised playlists for an existing user; (ii) cold users, where we recommend songs to form new playlists for a new us…

2019-01-18abs ↗pdf ↗

We conjecture that the Joyce-Song wall-crossing formula for Donaldson-Thomas invariants arises naturally from an asymptotic expansion in the field theoretic work of Gaiotto, Moore and Neitzke. This would also give a new perspective on how the formulae of Joyce-Song and Kontsevich-Soibelman are related. We check the con…

2011-12-09abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a generic model for multiple choice situations in the presence of herding and compare it with recent empirical results from a Web-based music market experiment. The model predicts a phase transition between a weak imitation phase and a strong imitation, `fashion' phase, where choices are driven by peer press…

2006-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper improves bond market making by adjusting hit-ratios for client flow quality.

problem Economic misleading of raw hit-ratios in corporate bond market making.
method Stochastic-control framework with residual-quality-adjusted hit-ratio.
result Optimal quotes decompose into various components, improving service/economics frontier.

Study bond market making with hit-ratio target using optimal control and HJB equations.

problem Optimizing bond market making with hit-ratio target in OTC markets.
method Stochastic optimal control approach, dualizing hit-ratio target, HJB equation, Riccati equation, linearization.
result Explicit quote decompositions into riskless spread, inventory-risk correction, and hit-ratio correction.

Paper analyzes Hit-and-Run's convergence rates and applies similar methods to randomized Kaczmarz.

problem Quantifying advantages of Hit-and-Run's coordinate-free property.
method Sharp estimates via coupling methods and mixing time bounds.
result Ballistic and superdiffusive convergence rates in certain settings.

In this paper, we investigate the cooling-off effect (opposite to the magnet effect) from two aspects. Firstly, from the viewpoint of dynamics, we study the existence of the cooling-off effect by following the dynamical evolution of some financial variables over a period of time before the stock price hits its limit. S…

2018-03-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The study uses historical revenue data to forecast music catalog cashflows and multipliers.

problem Valuation of music catalogs based on historical revenue data.
method Risk-neutral approach using discounted cashflows formula.
result Ask prices are close to multipliers justified by median song cashflows, while best bids are near multipliers justified by bottom decile cashflows.

The hitting measure is singular and has dimension less than 1 for cocompact Fuchsian groups.

problem Analyzing the hitting measure and Hausdorff dimension for cocompact Fuchsian groups.
method Geometric and probabilistic analysis of random walks on cocompact Fuchsian groups.
result The hitting measure is singular with respect to Lebesgue measure and has a Hausdorff dimension strictly less than 1.

KANEL combines models for early hit enrichment in virtual screening.

problem Assessing model accuracy in chemical bioactivity predictions.
method Ensemble workflow using Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) and other models.
result Improves early hit enrichment metrics like PPV@N.

Large unweighted directed graphs are commonly used to capture relations between entities. A fundamental problem in the analysis of such networks is to properly define the similarity or dissimilarity between any two vertices. Despite the significance of this problem, statistical characterization of the proposed metrics …

2015-11-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Minimal surfaces with negative curvature found in large spheres.

problem Existence of minimal surfaces with negative curvature in large dimensional spheres.
method Applied Song's strategy to closed Riemann surfaces with large automorphism groups, resulting in almost hyperbolic minimal surfaces.
result Existence of closed minimal surfaces with negative induced curvature in any sphere of large dimension.

Rating prediction is an important application, and a popular research topic in collaborative filtering. However, both the validity of learning algorithms, and the validity of standard testing procedures rest on the assumption that missing ratings are missing at random (MAR). In this paper we present the results of a us…

2012-06-20abs ↗pdf ↗

This study compares two neural models for financial forecasting, showing their superiority.

problem Improving financial market trend predictions using neural networks.
method Systematic comparison of N-HiTS and N-BEATS with conventional models.
result N-HiTS and N-BEATS enhance forecast accuracy and robustness in financial time series data.

High throughput screening of compounds (chemicals) is an essential part of drug discovery [7], involving thousands to millions of compounds, with the purpose of identifying candidate hits. Most statistical tools, including the industry standard B-score method, work on individual compound plates and do not exploit cross…

2017-09-28abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we give a criterion for the properness of the K-energy in a general Kahler class of a compact Kahler manifold by using Song-Weinkove's result. As applications, we give some Kahler classes on CP2#3CP2\mathbb{C}\mathbb{P}^2\#3\overline {\mathbb{C}\mathbb{P}^2} and $\mathbb{C}\mathbb{P}^2\#8\overline {\mathbb{C}\…

2013-11-05abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes McKean-Vlasov equations with hitting times, proving global solvability.

problem Analyzing blow-ups in McKean-Vlasov equations involving hitting times.
method Connection to the supercooled Stefan problem, comparison principles, and new transform.
result Proves global solvability for McKean-Vlasov dynamics under certain conditions.

The paper simulates Lévy processes and their extremum and hitting time.

problem Simulating Lévy processes and their extremum and hitting time accurately and efficiently.
method Using characteristic functions and conditional characteristic functions, with conformal deformations and precalculated values on multi-grids.
result Accurate and fast simulation of Lévy processes and their extremum and hitting time.