Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

3867721,1571,543 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Hindsight Learning

New algorithms learn POMDPs efficiently with hindsight observability.

problem Hardness of learning in POMDPs due to partial observability.
method Hindsight Observable Markov Decision Process (HOMDP) and new algorithms for tabular and function approximation settings.
result Sample-efficient learning in POMDPs with optimal dependence on latent state and observation cardinalities.

Sparse reward problems are one of the biggest challenges in Reinforcement Learning. Goal-directed tasks are one such sparse reward problems where a reward signal is received only when the goal is reached. One promising way to train an agent to perform goal-directed tasks is to use Hindsight Learning approaches. In thes…

2018-09-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Reinforcement Learning(RL) with sparse rewards is a major challenge. We propose \emph{Hindsight Trust Region Policy Optimization}(HTRPO), a new RL algorithm that extends the highly successful TRPO algorithm with \emph{hindsight} to tackle the challenge of sparse rewards. Hindsight refers to the algorithm's ability to l…

2019-07-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Solving goal-oriented tasks is an important but challenging problem in reinforcement learning (RL). For such tasks, the rewards are often sparse, making it difficult to learn a policy effectively. To tackle this difficulty, we propose a new approach called Policy Continuation with Hindsight Inverse Dynamics (PCHID). Th…

2019-10-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficient RL in partially observable risk-sensitive environments with hindsight observations.

problem Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning in partially observable environments.
method Integrates hindsight observations into POMDP framework, develops novel RL algorithm.
result Achieves polynomial regret with provable efficiency, outperforming existing methods.

Interactive learning with hindsight instruction feedback achieves better performance than traditional methods.

problem Learning with expert supervision of optimal responses is often impractical or requires expert knowledge.
method Study of interactive learning with hindsight instruction feedback, introducing LORIL algorithm.
result LORIL algorithm achieves T\sqrt{T} regret, improving over baselines in domains with low-rank instruction-response distribution.

One of the key reasons for the high sample complexity in reinforcement learning (RL) is the inability to transfer knowledge from one task to another. In standard multi-task RL settings, low-reward data collected while trying to solve one task provides little to no signal for solving that particular task and is hence ef…

2020-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

A new EM framework for goal-conditioned RL improves performance on sparse reward tasks.

problem Handling sparse rewards in goal-conditioned reinforcement learning.
method A graphical model framework with an EM algorithm that includes a learning-in-hindsight E-step and a supervised M-step.
result hEM significantly outperforms model-free baselines on goal-conditioned benchmarks with sparse rewards.

HL algorithms improve resource allocation in cloud environments.

problem Sequential decision-making under uncertainty with exogenous variables.
method HL algorithms leverage exogenous variable samples to infer counterfactual consequences.
result HL algorithms outperform classic methods and reinforcement learning in resource allocation.

Dealing with sparse rewards is a longstanding challenge in reinforcement learning. The recent use of hindsight methods have achieved success on a variety of sparse-reward tasks, but they fail on complex tasks such as stacking multiple blocks with a robot arm in simulation. Curiosity-driven exploration using the predict…

2019-06-09abs ↗pdf ↗

In classical Q-learning, the objective is to maximize the sum of discounted rewards through iteratively using the Bellman equation as an update, in an attempt to estimate the action value function of the optimal policy. Conventionally, the loss function is defined as the temporal difference between the action value and…

2019-06-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Goal-oriented reinforcement learning has recently been a practical framework for robotic manipulation tasks, in which an agent is required to reach a certain goal defined by a function on the state space. However, the sparsity of such reward definition makes traditional reinforcement learning algorithms very inefficien…

2019-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Reinforcement Learning (RL) algorithms can suffer from poor sample efficiency when rewards are delayed and sparse. We introduce a solution that enables agents to learn temporally extended actions at multiple levels of abstraction in a sample efficient and automated fashion. Our approach combines universal value functio…

2018-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Compared to reinforcement learning, imitation learning (IL) is a powerful paradigm for training agents to learn control policies efficiently from expert demonstrations. However, in most cases, obtaining demonstration data is costly and laborious, which poses a significant challenge in some scenarios. A promising altern…

2019-03-19abs ↗pdf ↗

In Hindsight Experience Replay (HER), a reinforcement learning agent is trained by treating whatever it has achieved as virtual goals. However, in previous work, the experience was replayed at random, without considering which episode might be the most valuable for learning. In this paper, we develop an energy-based fr…

2018-10-02abs ↗pdf ↗

New method uses hindsight to make exploration robust in stochastic environments.

problem Exploration in sparse-reward or reward-free environments, especially in stochastic settings.
method Learn representations of the future that capture unpredictable aspects, using them to predict and reward only the predictable parts of the world.
result Improves exploration in Atari games and Montezuma's Revenge, robust to stochasticity.

This paper derives a robust on-line equity trading algorithm that achieves the greatest possible percentage of the final wealth of the best pairs rebalancing rule in hindsight. A pairs rebalancing rule chooses some pair of stocks in the market and then perpetually executes rebalancing trades so as to maintain a target …

2018-10-04abs ↗pdf ↗

We study T. Cover's rebalancing option (Ordentlich and Cover 1998) under discrete hindsight optimization in continuous time. The payoff in question is equal to the final wealth that would have accrued to a $\$1$ deposit into the best of some finite set of (perhaps levered) rebalancing rules determined in hindsight. A r…

2019-03-03abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm combines curriculum learning with HER for complex object manipulation tasks.

problem Learning complex sequential object manipulation tasks from scratch is challenging.
method Curriculum learning with Hindsight Experience Replay (HER) for recurrent object manipulation tasks.
result Significant improvement in learning sequential object manipulation tasks compared to vanilla-HER.

This work improves RL for complex robotic tasks by guiding exploration with task-specific goal distributions.

problem Solving long-horizon, complex sequential tasks in robotics with sparse rewards.
method Extends hindsight relabelling to task-specific goal distributions using a small set of demonstrations.
result Significantly higher overall performance on complex robotic manipulation tasks.

We consider the problem of efficient credit assignment in reinforcement learning. In order to efficiently and meaningfully utilize new data, we propose to explicitly assign credit to past decisions based on the likelihood of them having led to the observed outcome. This approach uses new information in hindsight, rathe…

2019-12-05abs ↗pdf ↗

GDT improves reinforcement learning by matching future state information efficiently.

problem Efficient learning of multi-task policies from trajectory data.
method Generalized Decision Transformer (GDT) for offline hindsight information matching.
result GDT enables effective offline multi-task state-marginal matching and imitation learning.

This paper prices and replicates the financial derivative whose payoff at TT is the wealth that would have accrued to a $\$1$ deposit into the best continuously-rebalanced portfolio (or fixed-fraction betting scheme) determined in hindsight. For the single-stock Black-Scholes market, Ordentlich and Cover (1998) only p…

2018-10-05abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper explores how planning with models improves credit assignment in reinforcement learning.

problem Improving credit assignment in reinforcement learning.
method Investigates the use of forward and backward models for planning in reinforcement learning.
result Establishes the relative merits and limitations of forward and backward planning mechanisms.

This note provides a neat and enjoyable expansion and application of the magnificent Ordentlich-Cover theory of "universal portfolios." I generalize Cover's benchmark of the best constant-rebalanced portfolio (or 1-linear trading strategy) in hindsight by considering the best bilinear trading strategy determined in hin…

2019-07-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Value estimation is a critical component of the reinforcement learning (RL) paradigm. The question of how to effectively learn value predictors from data is one of the major problems studied by the RL community, and different approaches exploit structure in the problem domain in different ways. Model learning can make …

2020-02-19abs ↗pdf ↗

In E-commerce advertising, where product recommendations and product ads are presented to users simultaneously, the traditional setting is to display ads at fixed positions. However, under such a setting, the advertising system loses the flexibility to control the number and positions of ads, resulting in sub-optimal p…

2018-09-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper explains DRL strategies for portfolio management using linear models.

problem Difficulty in understanding DRL-based trading strategies.
method Empirical approach using linear models and integrated gradients.
result DRL agents show stronger multi-step prediction power than machine learning methods.

New approach generates optimal disturbances for controller verification.

problem Optimizing disturbances for controller verification with blackbox access.
method Online learning approach that adaptively generates disturbances based on controller inputs.
result New algorithm (MOTR) outperforms existing methods in simulated examples.

In this paper, we address the problem of adaptive learning for autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model in the quaternion domain. By transforming the original learning problem into a full information optimization task without explicit noise terms, and then solving the optimization problem using the gradient descent a…

2019-04-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces a new GG^\star regret measure for online convex optimization with smooth losses.

problem Online convex optimization with smooth losses.
method Introduces a new GG^\star regret measure that depends on the cumulative squared gradient norm.
result The GG^\star regret can be arbitrarily sharper than existing measures when losses have vanishing curvature.

This project combines recent advances in experience replay techniques, namely, Combined Experience Replay (CER), Prioritized Experience Replay (PER), and Hindsight Experience Replay (HER). We show the results of combinations of these techniques with DDPG and DQN methods. CER always adds the most recent experience to th…

2018-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we consider an online optimization process, where the objective functions are not convex (nor concave) but instead belong to a broad class of continuous submodular functions. We first propose a variant of the Frank-Wolfe algorithm that has access to the full gradient of the objective functions. We show t…

2018-02-16abs ↗pdf ↗

We review the concept of a graded bundle as a natural generalisation of a vector bundle. Such geometries are particularly nice examples of more general graded manifolds. With hindsight there are many examples of graded bundles that appear in the existing literature. We start with a discussion of graded spaces, passing …

2016-05-11abs ↗pdf ↗