A new flow-based Bayesian filter tackles high-dimensional nonlinear stochastic systems.
problem Bayesian filtering for high-dimensional nonlinear systems is challenging due to non-Gaussian distributions and computational limitations.
method Integrates normalizing flows to construct a latent linear state-space model with efficient density estimation and sampling.
result Demonstrates superior accuracy and efficiency in numerical experiments.
E&E uses contrastive learning to speed up SBI for high-dimensional systems.
problem Challenges in training high-dimensional emulators for complex systems.
method Contrastive learning for low-dimensional latent embedding and fast emulator.
result Superior performance in non-identifiable parameter estimation tasks.
Enhances forecasting of complex systems using FKMD.
problem Forecasting high-dimensional dynamical systems with unknown features.
method Featurized Koopman Mode Decomposition (FKMD) using delay embedding and learned Mahalanobis distance.
result Improves prediction accuracy for various complex systems.
EnSF improves accuracy in tracking high-dimensional nonlinear systems.
problem Low accuracy in high-dimensional, nonlinear filtering problems.
method Score-based diffusion model, mini-batch Monte Carlo estimator.
result EnSF outperforms state-of-the-art methods in tracking high-dimensional systems.
Transformer model for probabilistic dynamical systems.
problem Modeling high-dimensional dynamical systems from noisy observations.
method Parallel between dynamical systems and language modeling; transformer-based model with geometrical properties; iterative training algorithm.
result Fine-grid approximation of conditional probabilities for high-dimensional systems.
Modeling dynamical systems is important in many disciplines, e.g., control, robotics, or neurotechnology. Commonly the state of these systems is not directly observed, but only available through noisy and potentially high-dimensional observations. In these cases, system identification, i.e., finding the measurement map…
Proposes a new signal model for high-dimensional, small-sample-size data.
problem Signal detection in high-dimensional, small-sample-size datasets.
method Intrinsic signal model based on dynamical system assumption.
result Taguchi method effectively detects signals in the proposed model.
ETGPSSM efficiently models high-dimensional, non-stationary systems with reduced complexity.
problem Prohibitive computational and parametric complexity in high-dimensional, non-stationary dynamical systems.
method ETGPSSM integrates a single shared GP with input-dependent normalizing flows for scalable and flexible modeling.
result ETGPSSM outperforms existing models in computational efficiency and accuracy.
Develops inequalities for high-dimensional linear processes with dependent innovations.
problem Estimating high-dimensional VAR(p) systems and HAC covariance estimation.
method Concentration inequalities for l∞ norm of vector linear processes with sub-Weibull, mixingale innovations. result Obtained concentration bounds for the maximum entrywise norm of lag-h autocovariance matrices. AD-EnKFs use machine learning to improve data assimilation in high-dimensional systems.
problem Data assimilation in high-dimensional, unknown dynamics systems.
method Auto-differentiable ensemble Kalman filters blending machine learning and ensemble Kalman filters.
result AD-EnKFs outperform existing methods in the Lorenz-96 model.
New method for estimating and testing impulse responses in high-dimensional VAR systems.
problem Statistical inference for impulse responses in sparse, high-dimensional vector autoregressions.
method Local projection equations and de-sparsified estimators combined with a non-regularized contemporaneous impact matrix.
result Valid inference procedures for structural impulse responses in high-dimensional systems.
Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems sometimes make errors and will make errors in the future, from time to time. These errors are usually unexpected, and can lead to dramatic consequences. Intensive development of AI and its practical applications makes the problem of errors more important. Total re-engineering of the…
Unified framework for sampling and approximating high-dimensional energy landscapes.
problem Sampling and approximating complex energy landscapes in physical systems with constraints and energy barriers.
method Formulates a minimax optimization problem that jointly adapts surrogate approximation and adaptive sampling.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in biomolecular systems with up to 30 collective variables.
PCCs combine PCA and copulas for high-dimensional tail dependence modeling.
problem Modeling tail dependence in high-dimensional data.
method Principal Component Copulas (PCCs) integrating PCA and copulas.
result PCCs provide excellent performance on systemic risk measures.
We propose a combination of cluster analysis and stochastic process analysis to characterize high-dimensional complex dynamical systems by few dominating variables. As an example, stock market data are analyzed for which the dynamical stability as well as transitions between different stable states are found. This comb…
ALPODS AI diagnoses high-dimensional biomedical data with human-understandable explanations.
problem AI decisions in high-dimensional biomedical data are not explainable to humans.
method ALPODS method classifies data based on clusters and generates fuzzy reasoning rules.
result ALPODS provides understandable explanations for AI diagnoses.
Review of algorithms for linear system approximations.
problem Linear approximation of high-dimensional dynamical systems.
method State-of-the-art algorithms for low-rank DMD.
result Provides additional details for comprehensive understanding.
This paper improves system identification by reducing sample complexity for high-dimensional linear dynamical systems.
problem High sample complexity for learning partially observed linear dynamical systems in high dimensions.
method Introduces an ℓ1-regularized estimation method that reduces sample complexity from linear to logarithmic with system dimension. result Markov parameters can be learned with logarithmic number of samples relative to system dimension, improving sample complexity.
We present a probabilistic deep learning methodology that enables the construction of predictive data-driven surrogates for stochastic systems. Leveraging recent advances in variational inference with implicit distributions, we put forth a statistical inference framework that enables the end-to-end training of surrogat…
ACI uses Bayesian data assimilation to trace causes from effects in complex systems.
problem Capturing instantaneous, time-evolving causal relationships in complex, high-dimensional systems.
method Assimilative causal inference (ACI) leverages Bayesian data assimilation to trace causes backward from observed effects.
result ACI provides online tracking of causal roles that may reverse intermittently and reveals how far effects propagate.
The success of modern Artificial Intelligence (AI) technologies depends critically on the ability to learn non-linear functional dependencies from large, high dimensional data sets. Despite recent high-profile successes, empirical evidence indicates that the high predictive performance is often paired with low robustne…
GEnBP combines EnKF and GaBP for efficient high-dimensional inference.
problem Efficient inference in high-dimensional models.
method Gaussian Ensemble Belief Propagation algorithm combining EnKF and GaBP.
result GEnBP outperforms existing methods in accuracy and efficiency.
Study proposes a new early-warning framework for high-dimensional complex systems.
problem Predicting critical transitions in complex systems like epileptic seizures.
method Integrates manifold learning with stochastic dynamical system modeling, using Schrödinger bridge theory.
result Demonstrates higher sensitivity and robustness in epilepsy prediction.
IBPF algorithm tackles high-dimensional parameter learning for complex systems.
problem Learning high-dimensional parameters in complex, partially observed, and nonlinear systems.
method Iterated Block Particle Filter (IBPF) for graphical state space models.
result IBPF algorithm consistently beats the curse of dimensionality across various experiments.
Estimation is the computational task of recovering a hidden parameter x associated with a distribution Dx, given a measurement y sampled from the distribution. High dimensional estimation problems arise naturally in statistics, machine learning, and complexity theory. Many high dimensional estimation problems ca…
High-dimensional random geometry shows phase transitions in various problems.
problem Phase transitions in high-dimensional random geometry.
method Analysis of various financial, optimization, and ecological problems.
result Links between seemingly distant fields and further ramifications.
A new method speeds up sampling of Boltzmann distribution in high-dimensional systems.
problem High computational cost of obtaining Jacobian of flow-based models in high dimensions.
method Flow perturbation method that incorporates stochastic perturbations and reweighting.
result Achieves unbiased sampling of Boltzmann distribution with orders of magnitude speedup.
Develops TOFU for tensor bandits with low-rank structure.
problem Linear bandit models fail to capture high-dimensional, low-rank tensor structures.
method Develops TOFU, a tensor bandit algorithm that estimates low-dimensional subspaces and uses norm constraints.
result Improves regret bound by a multiplicative factor that grows exponentially in system order.
New method detects drift in high-dimensional data.
problem Understanding and localizing concept drift in learning systems.
method Conformal predictions for drift localization.
result Our approach outperforms existing methods on image datasets.
Scalable approach for high-dimensional dynamical systems with noise filtering and parameter estimation.
problem Noise filtering and parameter estimation for high-dimensional dynamical systems.
method Flexible latent factor model with orthogonal factor loading matrix and closed-form parameter estimation.
result Substantial acceleration and higher accuracy compared to alternatives.
A new algorithm solves high-dimensional nonlinear BSDEs efficiently.
problem Solving high-dimensional nonlinear backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs).
method Transformed BSDE into a differential deep learning problem using Malliavin calculus. Discretized integrals using Euler-Maruyama method. Approximated solution with three deep neural networks. Optimized parameters using a differential learning loss function.
result Our algorithm is more accurate and faster than other methods.
Paper proposes a method for weather-informed probabilistic forecasting and scenario generation in power systems.
problem Challenges of integrating renewable energy sources into power grids due to their stochasticity and uncertainty.
method Combines probabilistic forecasting and Gaussian copula for day-ahead prediction and scenario generation of load, wind, and solar power.
result Demonstrates superior performance of the proposed weather-informed Temporal Fusion Transformer (WI-TFT) model.
High-dimensional data and high-dimensional representations of reality are inherent features of modern Artificial Intelligence systems and applications of machine learning. The well-known phenomenon of the "curse of dimensionality" states: many problems become exponentially difficult in high dimensions. Recently, the ot…
A new method identifies critical transitions in high-dimensional data.
problem Challenges in identifying critical transitions in high-dimensional time-series data.
method Spatial-temporal Principal Component Analysis (stPCA)
result Identifies tipping points before critical transitions reliably.
Generative models speed up complex system simulations.
problem Accurately forecasting the dynamics of complex systems at reduced cost.
method Generative Learning of Effective Dynamics (G-LED) using auto-regressive attention and Bayesian diffusion models.
result Generative models can accurately forecast complex system dynamics at lower computational cost.
This work uses a scalable approach to identify partially observed nonlinear systems.
problem Offline identification of partially observed nonlinear systems.
method Certainty-equivalent expectation-maximization (CEEM) as block coordinate-ascent.
result The CEEM approach can identify high-dimensional systems reliably and efficiently.
MASF improves score-based filters for high-dimensional nonlinear systems with spatially sparse measurements.
problem Challenges in data assimilation for nonlinear, high-dimensional systems with spatially sparse measurements.
method Developed a forward process tailored for filtering that transforms the system state toward the measurement space, enabling a theoretically sound formulation of the likelihood score.
result MASF shows improved performance over existing score-based filters and ensemble-type Kalman filters, achieving up to a 28.2× wall-clock speedup.
New framework tackles high-dimensional reliability analysis using surrogate models and active subspaces.
problem High computational cost and curse of dimensionality in reliability analysis of high-dimensional systems.
method Sparse Active Subspace (SAS) algorithm for identifying low-dimensional manifolds and constructing efficient surrogate models.
result Proposed framework significantly improves accuracy and efficiency of reliability analysis compared to existing methods.
Cluster GARCH model improves multivariate GARCH for high-dimensional asset returns.
problem Modeling high-dimensional asset returns with flexible tail dependencies and cluster structures.
method Introduced a novel multivariate GARCH model with flexible convolution-t distributions, tractable likelihood and derivatives for dynamic correlation structure.
result Cluster GARCH model outperforms existing models in daily returns of 100 assets, both in-sample and out-of-sample.
We consider the problem of efficient "on the fly" tuning of existing, or {\it legacy}, Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems. The legacy AI systems are allowed to be of arbitrary class, albeit the data they are using for computing interim or final decision responses should posses an underlying structure of a high-dimens…
A problem of considerable importance within the field of uncertainty quantification (UQ) is the development of efficient methods for the construction of accurate surrogate models. Such efforts are particularly important to applications constrained by high-dimensional uncertain parameter spaces. The difficulty of accura…
We simplify Bayesian filtering by framing it as optimization, making it practical for high-dimensional systems.
problem Bayesian filtering struggles in high-dimensional state spaces like neural networks.
method We frame Bayesian filtering as optimization, using gradient descent for nonlinear cases.
result Our method results in effective, robust, and scalable filters for high-dimensional systems.
Polynomial chaos expansions on Grassmannian submanifolds for high-dimensional stochastic systems.
problem Uncertainty quantification in high-dimensional stochastic systems.
method Principal Geodesic Analysis on the Grassmann manifold, adaptive algorithm for local submanifolds, polynomial chaos expansion.
result Efficient surrogate modeling of system behavior across different parameter spaces.
Method learns low-dim. state vars from noisy high-dim. data.
problem Discovering dynamical models from noisy high-dimensional data.
method Stochastic Variational Deep Kernel Learning with encoder and latent model.
result Effective denoising, compact state representation, and uncertainty quantification.
Novel approach detects early warning indicators in complex systems.
problem Detecting abrupt transitions in complex systems.
method Directed anisotropic diffusion map and latent stochastic dynamical systems.
result Early warning indicators can detect tipping points in state transitions.
The paper solves optimal bounds for separating data points in high dimensions.
problem Correcting AI errors and analyzing vulnerabilities in high-dimensional data.
method General stochastic separation theorems with optimal probability estimates.
result Explicit and optimal estimates of separation probabilities for important classes of distributions.
Study non-asymptotic bounds on correlation in high-dimensional linear systems, revealing invariant subspaces and bottlenecks.
problem Understanding correlation and mixing in high-dimensional linear systems with Gaussian noise.
method Sampling from sub-trajectories, using Talagrand's inequality, and analyzing invariant subspaces.
result Large discrepancy between algebraic and geometric multiplicity leads to bottlenecks between invariant subspaces.
New method detects metastable basins in high dimensions using trajectory sampling.
problem Identifying distinct basins in high-dimensional Markov processes.
method Discriminative approach based on marginal trajectory distribution comparison.
result Bayes-optimal classifier achieves high accuracy distinguishing between basins.