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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,738 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Heating degree day

Study local sensitivity of HDD and CDD temperature derivatives prices.

problem Understanding how temperature derivatives prices change with small temperature changes.
method Analyzes sensitivity of HDD and CDD futures and options prices to temperature perturbations using a CAR process.
result Identifies the order of the CAR process and its impact on temperature derivatives prices.

In a 1991 paper by Buttig and Eichhorn, the existence and uniqueness of a differential forms heat kernel on open manifolds of bounded geometry was proven. In that paper, it was shown that the heat kernel obeyed certain properties, one of which was a relationship between the derivative of heat kernel of different degree…

2009-10-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Stochastic model prices weather derivatives for Indian states, highlighting temperature volatility impacts.

problem Quantifying financial risk in Indian markets due to seasonal weather variations.
method Modified Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with jumps for temperature dynamics, calibrated with historical data, Monte Carlo simulations for pricing.
result Volatility significantly impacts weather derivative pricing, with higher prices in colder states and lower in hotter states.

We provide an empirical investigation aimed at uncovering the statistical properties of intricate stock trading networks based on the order flow data of a highly liquid stock (Shenzhen Development Bank) listed on Shenzhen Stock Exchange during the whole year of 2003. By reconstructing the limit order book, we can extra…

2010-03-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Graphs with nonnegative Bakry-Émery curvature have volume doubling and Poincaré inequalities.

problem Proving properties of graphs with specific curvature conditions.
method Graph-theoretic modified nonlinear heat-flow method, including point-mass consequences and diffusive exit-time control.
result Volume doubling and Poincaré inequalities for graphs with nonnegative Bakry-Émery curvature.

Study spectral properties of sub-Riemannian Laplacians, proving quantum ergodicity and heat kernel asymptotics.

problem Spectral properties of sub-Riemannian Laplacians.
method Quantum ergodicity results, small-time asymptotics of sub-Riemannian heat kernels, Weyl law.
result Weyl law and spectral concentration on Lie brackets of length r-1.

Study predicts price predictability in ultra-high frequency financial data using entropy tests.

problem Tackles predictability of ultra-high frequency financial data.
method Develops statistical tests based on Shannon entropy and Kullback-Leibler divergence to analyze predictability.
result Degree of randomness increases with aggregation level in transaction time.

We study ancient solutions of polynomial growth to heat equations on graphs, and extend Colding and Minicozzi's theorem [CM19] on manifolds to graphs: For a graph of polynomial volume growth, the dimension of the space of ancient solutions of polynomial growth is bounded by the product of the growth degree and the dime…

2019-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Study analyzes stock order transitions during US-China trade war using Markov chains.

problem Understanding order dynamics during extreme macroeconomic events.
method First-order time-homogeneous discrete-time Markov chain model.
result Active participation by different traders during high volatility days, influencing market outcomes.

The four-dimensional sphere is uniquely rigid in terms of scalar curvature.

problem Proving the uniqueness of the four-dimensional sphere in terms of scalar curvature.
method Combining harmonic map heat flow and Ricci flow to rule out non-isometric maps.
result A smooth map of non-zero degree from a four-dimensional manifold to the unit four-sphere is an isometry.

Researchers found a new type of singularity in surface evolution equations.

problem Finite-time singularity formation in surface evolution equations.
method Constructed first example of finite time blow-up solutions for the heat flow of the H-system.
result Singularity forms as a scaled least energy H-bubble with decoupled linearized operators.

The problem of portfolio optimization is one of the most important issues in asset management. This paper proposes a new dynamic portfolio strategy based on the time-varying structures of MST networks in Chinese stock markets, where the market condition is further considered when using the optimal portfolios for invest…

2016-08-10abs ↗pdf ↗

A heat kernel approach is proposed for the development of a general, flexible, and mathematically tractable asset pricing framework in finite time. The pricing kernel, giving rise to the price system in an incomplete market, is modelled by weighted heat kernels which are driven by multivariate Markov processes and whic…

2012-11-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates for covariant derivatives and Riesz transforms on differential forms.

problem Bounding covariant derivatives and Riesz transforms on differential forms.
method Use Bismut derivative formula to prove heat kernel bounds and Riesz transform boundedness.
result Formulate and prove conjecture on boundedness of covariant local Riesz-transforms in L^p.

The paper proves spectral convergence rates for graph Laplacian to manifold Laplace-Beltrami operator.

problem Spectral convergence of graph Laplacian to manifold Laplace-Beltrami operator.
method Analysis of Dirichlet form convergence and construction of approximate eigenfunctions via manifold heat kernel.
result Proves spectral convergence rates for Gaussian kernelized graph Laplacian.

High-value transactions between Australian banks are settled in the Reserve Bank Information and Transfer System (RITS) administered by the Reserve Bank of Australia. RITS operates on a real-time gross settlement (RTGS) basis and settles payments sourced from the SWIFT, the Austraclear, and the interbank transactions e…

2012-02-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on uniquely determining thermal properties from boundary temperature and heat flux measurements.

problem Determine thermal conductivity and volumetric heat capacity from boundary measurements.
method Uniqueness proof for isotropic and anisotropic media under thermal diffusivity assumption.
result Uniqueness of thermal properties in all dimensions and up to a gauge in two dimensions.

We consider Laplacians acting on sections of homogeneous vector bundles over symmetric spaces. By using an integral representation of the heat semi-group we find a formal solution for the heat kernel diagonal that gives a generating function for the whole sequence of heat invariants. We show explicitly that the obtaine…

2007-01-17abs ↗pdf ↗

The heat kernel for the Cauchy-Riemann subLaplacian on S(2n+1) is derived in a manner which is completely analogous to the classical derivation of elliptic heat kernels. This suggests that the classical hamiltonian construction of elliptic heat kernels, with appropriate modifications, does yield heat kernels for subell…

2013-03-03abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider Laplacians acting on sections of homogeneous vector bundles over symmetric spaces. By using an integral representation of the heat semi-group we find a formal solution for the heat kernel diagonal that gives a generating function for the whole sequence of heat invariants. We argue that the obtained formal s…

2007-08-01abs ↗pdf ↗

New method predicts heat load in thermal grids using latent variables.

problem Predicting heat load in district energy systems.
method Combines nominal model for outdoor temperature with latent variable model for residual heat load.
result Proposed method achieves better prediction accuracy than artificial neural networks.

In this paper, we first give a direct proof for two recurrence relations of the heat kernels for hyperbolic spaces in \cite{DM}. Then, by similar computation, we give two similar recurrence relations of the heat kernels for spheres. Finally, as an application, we compute the diagonal of heat kernels for odd dimensional…

2018-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗