Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

5101419 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for Guess & Check

Study robust learning of Lipschitz functions under corrupted binary signals.

problem Learning a Lipschitz function with corrupted binary signals in a context of unknown corruption rounds.
method Introduced agnostic checking and new analysis techniques to design algorithms for symmetric and pricing losses.
result Achieved small cumulative loss for both symmetric and pricing losses.

New study shows neural networks can generalize without gradient descent, especially in deep settings.

problem Whether neural networks need gradient descent for generalization.
method Theoretical study of matrix factorization with linear and non-linear activation, comparing gradient descent to Guess & Check.
result Generalization under Guess & Check deteriorates with increasing width but improves with depth, challenging conventional wisdom.

State-of-the-art password guessing tools, such as HashCat and John the Ripper, enable users to check billions of passwords per second against password hashes. In addition to performing straightforward dictionary attacks, these tools can expand password dictionaries using password generation rules, such as concatenation…

2017-09-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Automated synthesis of inductive invariants is an important problem in software verification. Once all the invariants have been specified, software verification reduces to checking of verification conditions. Although static analyses to infer invariants have been studied for over forty years, recent years have seen a f…

2019-11-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Counterfactual data augmentations may not ensure OOD robustness if performed by a context-guessing machine.

problem Deep learning models lack out-of-distribution robustness due to reliance on spurious features.
method Theoretical analysis and demonstration of counterfactual data augmentations performed by a context-guessing machine.
result Counterfactual data augmentations by a context-guessing machine do not lead to robust OOD classifiers.

The paper analyzes how good initial guesses affect the amount of data needed for low-rank matrix recovery.

problem Theoretical guarantee of local optimization algorithms requires excessive data to prevent spurious local minima.
method Quantifies the relationship between initial guess quality and sample complexity using restricted isometry constant.
result A linear improvement in initial guess quality leads to a constant factor improvement in sample complexity.

Randomly guessing weights helps analyze RL benchmarks objectively.

problem Understanding the complexity of reinforcement learning benchmarks.
method Generate policy networks by randomly guessing their parameters, evaluate on benchmarks, and analyze results.
result Small untrained networks can provide a robust baseline for various RL tasks.

Forward gradients improve neural network training without backpropagation issues.

problem Training neural networks without backpropagation's locking and memorization problems.
method Using directional derivatives in forward differentiation mode, with biased guesses based on feedback from small auxiliary networks.
result Using gradients from a local loss as a candidate direction improves Forward Gradient methods.

The paper introduces negative controls to evaluate causal discovery algorithms, improving their reliability.

problem Lack of a general guideline for evaluating causal discovery algorithms.
method Derive exact distributional results under random guessing for evaluation metrics and propose a pipeline for using negative controls.
result Evaluation metrics can achieve very favorable values under random guessing, highlighting the need for negative control results.

Anderson acceleration (or Anderson mixing) is an efficient acceleration method for fixed point iterations xt+1=G(xt)x_{t+1}=G(x_t), e.g., gradient descent can be viewed as iteratively applying the operation G(x)xαf(x)G(x) \triangleq x-α\nabla f(x). It is known that Anderson acceleration is quite efficient in practice and can be viewed…

2018-09-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Using a bondholder who seeks to determine when to sell his bond as our motivating example, we revisit one of Larry Shepp's classical theorems on optimal stopping. We offer a novel proof of Theorem 1 from from \cite{Shepp}. Our approach is that of guessing the optimal control function and proving its optimality with mar…

2016-05-03abs ↗pdf ↗

A variation of the Minority Game has been applied to study the timing of promotional actions at retailers in the fast moving consumer goods market. The underlying hypotheses for this work are that price promotions are more effective when fewer than average competitors do a promotion, and that a promotion strategy can b…

2004-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

A new algorithm finds minimizers in dueling optimization with a monotone adversary.

problem Finding minimizers in dueling optimization with a monotone adversary.
method Introduces and studies dueling optimization with a monotone adversary, designs an efficient randomized algorithm.
result Efficient algorithm incurs cost O(d)O(d) and iteration complexity O(dlog(1/ε)2)O(d\log(1/\varepsilon)^2), asymptotically optimal.

Unhinged loss minimization fails to improve classifier accuracy for simple data.

problem Accuracy of classifiers minimizing the unhinged loss.
method Minimizing the unhinged loss function.
result Minimizing the unhinged loss yields classifiers with accuracy no better than random guessing for simple data.

Machine-generated interpretations do not improve users' guessing accuracy in image classifiers.

problem Determining the usefulness of machine-generated explanations for deep neural networks.
method Human evaluation of crowd workers guessing incorrectly predicted labels with and without visual interpretations.
result Showing machine-generated visual interpretations decreased average guessing accuracy by about 10%.

We give a definition of an integer-valued function iαixi\sum_i α_i x ^*_i derived from arrow diagrams for the ambient isotopy classes of oriented spherical curves. Then, we introduce certain elements of the free Z\mathbb{Z}-module generated by the arrow diagrams with at most ll arrows, called relators of Type~($\check{…

2019-08-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Study finds users mostly use recent market and decision information to guess market direction.

problem Limited ability to model and predict human decision-making in stock markets.
method Used networks inference with stochastic block models (SBM) to find most predictive model of unobserved decisions.
result Users mostly use recent information to guess market direction, and their decision-making strategies are analogous to behaviors in other contexts.

A method to derive Lagrangians from field equations in metric-affine theories of gravity.

problem Deriving Lagrangians from field equations in metric-affine theories of gravity.
method Variational completion method to transform field equations into Euler-Lagrange equations and find a Lagrangian.
result Starting from metric equations, full metric equations and Lagrangian can be derived up to metric-independent terms.

This paper deforms complex tori and their mirrors using gerbes.

problem Deforming complex tori and their mirror partners.
method Using flat gerbes to deform complex tori and their mirrors, constructing holomorphic line bundles over deformed objects.
result Deformed complex tori and their mirrors can be studied using flat gerbes.

Statistical model checking for PCTL on MDPs using reinforcement learning.

problem Model checking PCTL specifications on MDPs with statistical methods.
method Reinforcement learning for policy search, statistical model checking with UCB-based Q-learning.
result Provably guaranteed statistical model checking method for PCTL specifications on MDPs.

Gradient descent benefits from tangent kernel advantages under specific conditions.

problem Comparing gradient descent with tangent kernel methods in learning.
method Analysis of gradient descent and tangent kernel methods under different conditions.
result Gradient descent can achieve small error only if tangent kernel methods have a non-trivial advantage, but this advantage can be very small.

Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) constitutes a bridge between the linear algebra concepts and multi-layer neural networks---it is their linear analogy. Besides of this insight, it can be used as a good initial guess for the network parameters, leading to substantially better optimization results.

2019-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Time-aware fact-checking improves veracity predictions for time-sensitive claims.

problem Fact-checking decisions should consider temporal information of claims and evidence.
method Investigated four temporal ranking methods to optimize evidence ranking for fact-checking models.
result Time-aware evidence ranking surpasses relevance assumptions and improves veracity predictions for time-sensitive claims.

We study the fundamental problem of high-dimensional mean estimation in a robust model where a constant fraction of the samples are adversarially corrupted. Recent work gave the first polynomial time algorithms for this problem with dimension-independent error guarantees for several families of structured distributions…

2018-11-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Proves SYZ mirror symmetry for del Pezzo and rational elliptic surfaces.

problem Proving mirror symmetry for specific Calabi-Yau surfaces.
method Adapting Hein's work, constructing asymptotically semi-flat Calabi-Yau metrics, and defining a mirror map.
result Existence and uniqueness of Calabi-Yau metrics on YDY\setminus D.

We describe the infinitesimal moduli space of pairs (Y,V)(Y, V) where YY is a manifold with G2G_2 holonomy, and VV is a vector bundle on YY with an instanton connection. These structures arise in connection to the moduli space of heterotic string compactifications on compact and non-compact seven dimensional spaces, e.…

2016-07-12abs ↗pdf ↗

By the SYZ construction, a mirror pair (X,Xˇ)(X,\check{X}) of a complex torus XX and a mirror partner Xˇ\check{X} of the complex torus XX is described as the special Lagrangian torus fibrations XBX \rightarrow B and XˇB\check{X} \rightarrow B on the same base space BB. Then, by the SYZ transform, we can construct a simpl…

2019-05-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces methods for more reliable probabilistic predictions with confidence intervals.

problem Inaccurate labeling of datasets due to unreliable probabilistic predictions from weak labeling functions.
method Proposes a methodology to provide confidence intervals for label probabilities using uncertainty sets of distributions.
result Improves reliability of probabilistic predictions and provides confidence intervals for label probabilities.

We prove the following result announced in Todorov and Valov: Any homogeneous, metric ANRANR-continuum is a VGnV^n_G-continuum provided dimGX=n1\dim_GX=n\geq 1 and Hˇn(X;G)0\check{H}^n(X;G)\neq 0, where GG is a principal ideal domain. This implies that any homogeneous nn-dimensional metric ANRANR-continuum with $\check{H}^n(X;G)\neq…

2012-08-31abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper analyzes data-driven Newsvendor problems and finds a wide range of possible regrets.

problem Guessing the number drawn from an unknown distribution with asymmetric costs.
method Unified analysis using the notion of clustered distributions and new lower bounds.
result The entire spectrum of achievable regrets from 1/n1/\sqrt{n} to 1/n1/n is possible.

We specify a result of Yokoi \cite{yo} by proving that if GG is an abelian group and XX is a homogeneous metric ANRANR compactum with dimGX=n\dim_GX=n and Hˇn(X;G)0\check{H}^n(X;G)\neq 0, then XX is an (n,G)(n,G)-bubble. This implies that any such space XX has the following properties: Hˇn1(A;G)0\check{H}^{n-1}(A;G)\neq 0 for every closed…

2014-03-18abs ↗pdf ↗

New method evaluates language model forecasters by checking consistency of predictions.

problem Evaluating the performance of language model forecasters is difficult due to lack of ground truth.
method Developed a consistency check framework based on arbitrage to evaluate forecasters.
result Consistency metrics correlate with ground truth performance of LLM forecasters.

Study how past radiation determines present matter in Penrose's cyclic cosmology.

problem Determining matter content in the present eon from past radiation in Penrose's cyclic cosmology.
method Solve Einstein's equations for a spherical wave in the past eon, then apply reciprocity to find the present eon's matter content.
result The present eon is filled with three types of radiation: a damped wave, an in-going wave, and randomly scattered waves.

New model shows weak teachers can help strong students learn even with imperfect labels.

problem Improving strong student's performance with weak teacher's imperfect pseudolabels.
method Stylized overparameterized spiked covariance model with Gaussian covariates, proving two phases of generalization.
result Provable successful and random guessing phases of strong student's generalization.

Prior work on training generative Visual Dialog models with reinforcement learning(Das et al.) has explored a Qbot-Abot image-guessing game and shown that this 'self-talk' approach can lead to improved performance at the downstream dialog-conditioned image-guessing task. However, this improvement saturates and starts d…

2019-09-23abs ↗pdf ↗