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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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213426638851 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Gray-Box Approach

Data-driven approach learns effective equations for phase field interfaces.

problem Learning accurate equations for phase field interface dynamics.
method Data-driven identification of partial differential equations from phase field data.
result Data-driven equations outperform analytical approximations in certain regimes.

Adversarial attack methods have demonstrated the fragility of deep neural networks. Their imperceptible perturbations are frequently able fool classifiers into potentially dangerous misclassifications. We propose a novel way to interpret adversarial perturbations in terms of the effective input signal that classifiers …

2018-03-21abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a novel algorithm that predicts the probability that the time derivative of the horizontal component of the ground magnetic field dB/dtdB/dt exceeds a specified threshold at a given location. This quantity provides important information that is physically relevant to Geomagnetically Induced Currents (GIC), whic…

2019-12-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Adversarial samples are perturbed inputs crafted to mislead the machine learning systems. A training mechanism, called adversarial training, which presents adversarial samples along with clean samples has been introduced to learn robust models. In order to scale adversarial training for large datasets, these perturbati…

2018-08-06abs ↗pdf ↗

In this appraisal paper, we evaluate the efficacy of SHIELD, a compression-based defense framework for countering adversarial attacks on image classification models, which was published at KDD 2018. Here, we consider alternative threat models not studied in the original work, where we assume that an adaptive adversary …

2019-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

We develop an automated variational inference method for Bayesian structured prediction problems with Gaussian process (GP) priors and linear-chain likelihoods. Our approach does not need to know the details of the structured likelihood model and can scale up to a large number of observations. Furthermore, we show that…

2016-09-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Modeling buildings' heat dynamics is a complex process which depends on various factors including weather, building thermal capacity, insulation preservation, and residents' behavior. Gray-box models offer a causal inference of those dynamics expressed in few parameters specific to built environments. These parameters …

2019-01-09abs ↗pdf ↗

DPC uses physics and neural nets to solve SDEs.

problem Solving stochastic differential equations with missing physics.
method Physics-data fusion with conditional maximum mean discrepancy (CMMD) loss.
result DPC achieves highly accurate solutions on benchmark examples.

New method learns from non-uniform data and partial physical knowledge.

problem Identifying dynamical systems from non-uniformly sampled data.
method Physics-informed neural networks integrating numerical integration methods.
result Learning unknown kinetic rates and estimating parameters from non-uniform data.

Equation discovery methods enable modelers to combine domain-specific knowledge and system identification to construct models most suitable for a selected modeling task. The method described and evaluated in this paper can be used as a nonlinear system identification method for gray-box modeling. It consists of two int…

2019-07-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper builds ML classifier to detect crypto-ransomware.

problem Detecting crypto-ransomware with high accuracy and low false positives.
method Behavior-based detection using input/output activities and file-content entropy. Deep-learning classifier with adversarial research and Integrated Gradient method for explanation.
result Deep-learning classifier achieves high accuracy and low false positive rate in detecting crypto-ransomware.

Unlike traditional programs (such as operating systems or word processors) which have large amounts of code, machine learning tasks use programs with relatively small amounts of code (written in machine learning libraries), but voluminous amounts of data. Just like developers of traditional programs debug errors in the…

2016-03-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a framework to identify and correct model-form errors in nonlinear systems.

problem Model-form errors in nonlinear dynamical systems due to unknown or approximated governing equations.
method Uses a hybrid approach combining machine learning and Bayesian filtering to estimate and correct model-form errors.
result Improves the predictive capability of known but approximate governing equations for nonlinear dynamical systems.

NDS learns dynamical models with prior knowledge, improving accuracy and efficiency.

problem Learning accurate dynamical models with limited data and varying dynamics.
method Neural Dynamical Systems (NDS) integrates prior knowledge in ODEs with neural networks to estimate parameters and predict states.
result NDS achieves higher accuracy and uses fewer samples compared to other methods.

The vulnerability of machine learning systems to adversarial attacks questions their usage in many applications. In this paper, we propose a randomized diversification as a defense strategy. We introduce a multi-channel architecture in a gray-box scenario, which assumes that the architecture of the classifier and the t…

2019-04-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Though deep neural networks have achieved state-of-the-art performance in visual classification, recent studies have shown that they are all vulnerable to the attack of adversarial examples. Small and often imperceptible perturbations to the input images are sufficient to fool the most powerful deep neural networks. Va…

2018-06-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Recommender system is an important component of many web services to help users locate items that match their interests. Several studies showed that recommender systems are vulnerable to poisoning attacks, in which an attacker injects fake data to a given system such that the system makes recommendations as the attacke…

2018-09-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Geometric approach combines asset returns and investor views for better portfolio optimization.

problem Optimizing portfolios with investor-specific views.
method Generalized Wasserstein barycenter (GWB) to integrate statistical asset returns and investor views.
result The geometric approach offers more flexibility and rewards for correct investor views.

Paper proposes an alternative method to price American options using HJM approach.

problem Price American options efficiently and accurately.
method Utilizes HJM technique to model term structure of volatility for equity markets.
result Proposes a new value function, stopping criteria, and stopping time for American options.

We study inference and learning based on a sparse coding model with `spike-and-slab' prior. As in standard sparse coding, the model used assumes independent latent sources that linearly combine to generate data points. However, instead of using a standard sparse prior such as a Laplace distribution, we study the applic…

2012-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

We develop a semi-analytic approach to the valuation of auto-callable structures with accrual features subject to barrier conditions. Our approach is based on recent studies of multi-assed binaries, present in the literature. We extend these studies to the case of time-dependent parameters. We compare numerically the s…

2016-08-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Two ML approaches learn local volatility surfaces from option prices, with GP being arbitrage-free.

problem Interpolating European vanilla option prices to create a local volatility surface.
method Gaussian process regression and neural net with arbitrage penalties.
result GP approach is arbitrage-free and yields best out-of-sample calibration error.

This paper critiques the Standardized Measurement Approach (SMA) for operational risk and recommends maintaining Advanced Measurement Approach (AMA).

problem Weaknesses and failures of the Standardized Measurement Approach (SMA) in operational risk.
method Critical review and analysis of SMA and AMA approaches.
result SMA is unstable, insensitive to risk, and implicitly related to systemic risk in the banking sector.

Two approaches extend knowledge distillation to Gaussian Processes, showing relationships to existing methods.

problem Applying knowledge distillation to Gaussian Processes for regression and classification.
method Data-centric and distribution-centric approaches to extend distillation to GPR and GPC.
result Distribution-centric approach for GPC approximately corresponds to data duplication and scaling.

We discuss the relative merits of optimistic and randomized approaches to exploration in reinforcement learning. Optimistic approaches presented in the literature apply an optimistic boost to the value estimate at each state-action pair and select actions that are greedy with respect to the resulting optimistic value f…

2017-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Classical approaches for approximate inference depend on cleverly designed variational distributions and bounds. Modern approaches employ amortized variational inference, which uses a neural network to approximate any posterior without leveraging the structures of the generative models. In this paper, we propose Amorti…

2019-06-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian symbolic regression automates model discovery from data.

problem Learning closed-form mathematical models from data using heuristic methods.
method Probabilistic approach to symbolic regression, connecting to information theory and statistical physics.
result Probabilistic approach provides model plausibility and performance guarantees.

Common Representation Learning (CRL), wherein different descriptions (or views) of the data are embedded in a common subspace, is receiving a lot of attention recently. Two popular paradigms here are Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA) based approaches and Autoencoder (AE) based approaches. CCA based approaches learn …

2015-04-27abs ↗pdf ↗