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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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100201301401 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Gradient boosting

As an adaptive, interpretable, robust, and accurate meta-algorithm for arbitrary differentiable loss functions, gradient tree boosting is one of the most popular machine learning techniques, though the computational expensiveness severely limits its usage. Stochastic gradient boosting could be adopted to accelerates gr…

2019-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

This research tackles uncertainty in gradient boosting models using ensemble methods.

problem Quantifying uncertainty in gradient boosting models for high-risk applications.
method Probabilistic ensemble-based framework for gradient boosting classification and regression models.
result Ensembles of gradient boosting models detect anomalous inputs but have limited ability to improve total uncertainty.

A method to improve gradient boosting models using stacking.

problem Improving the performance of gradient boosting models.
method Proposes a stacking algorithm to learn a meta-model for ensembles of gradient boosting models.
result The proposed approach can be extended to differentiable combination models like neural networks.

Wasserstein gradient boosting predicts probability distributions for supervised learning.

problem Distribution-valued supervised learning where outputs are probability distributions.
method Fits a new weak learner to Wasserstein gradients of loss functionals of probability distributions.
result Superior performance in probabilistic prediction compared to existing methods.

In this survey, we discuss several different types of gradient boosting algorithms and illustrate their mathematical frameworks in detail: 1. introduction of gradient boosting leads to 2. objective function optimization, 3. loss function estimations, and 4. model constructions. 5. application of boosting in ranking.

2019-08-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Infinitesimal gradient boosting is a new algorithm derived from gradient boosting.

problem Improving the efficiency and smoothness of gradient boosting.
method Introduced a new class of randomized regression trees and used a limit process in vanishing-learning-rate asymptotic.
result Convergence of the stochastic algorithm and characterization of the limiting procedure as a unique solution of a nonlinear ODE.

Boosting algorithms are frequently used in applied data science and in research. To date, the distinction between boosting with either gradient descent or second-order Newton updates is often not made in both applied and methodological research, and it is thus implicitly assumed that the difference is irrelevant. The g…

2018-08-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified framework for statistical inference in gradient boosting regression.

problem Challenges in statistical inference and uncertainty quantification for gradient boosting.
method Integrates dropout or parallel training with regularization for CLT in boosting.
result Increasing dropout rate and parallel trees enhances signal recovery and performance.

This paper introduces Stochastic Gradient Langevin Boosting (SGLB) - a powerful and efficient machine learning framework that may deal with a wide range of loss functions and has provable generalization guarantees. The method is based on a special form of the Langevin diffusion equation specifically designed for gradie…

2020-01-20abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm improves convergence of gradient boosting trees.

problem Global convergence of Newton boosting in tabular machine learning.
method Introduces Gradient Regularized Newton Descent for GBDTs, proving linear convergence for smooth, strongly convex losses and O(1k2)\mathcal{O}(\frac{1}{k^2}) rate for general convex losses.
result Achieves globally convergent second-order GBDT algorithm with rate matching first-order boosting.

In this paper we present CatBoost, a new open-sourced gradient boosting library that successfully handles categorical features and outperforms existing publicly available implementations of gradient boosting in terms of quality on a set of popular publicly available datasets. The library has a GPU implementation of lea…

2018-10-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Gradient tree boosting is a prediction algorithm that sequentially produces a model in the form of linear combinations of decision trees, by solving an infinite-dimensional optimization problem. We combine gradient boosting and Nesterov's accelerated descent to design a new algorithm, which we call AGB (for Accelerated…

2018-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Gradient boosting can be seen as Gaussian process inference.

problem Improving uncertainty estimates in out-of-domain detection.
method Gradient boosting reformulated as a kernel method converging to Gaussian process inference.
result Gradient boosting can provide better uncertainty estimates through Monte-Carlo estimation of posterior variance.

Stagewise boosting improves gradient boosting for distributional regression.

problem Vanishing gradient in gradient boosting for distributional regression leads to suboptimal models.
method Proposes a stagewise boosting-type algorithm for distributional regression, combining stagewise regression ideas with gradient boosting and incorporating a novel regularization method, correlation filtering.
result The proposed algorithm provides better results, especially for complex distributions, by reducing the risk of being trapped in a local optimum.

Boosted Frank-Wolfe accelerates optimization for nonconvex problems.

problem Optimizing nonconvex and quasar-convex objectives efficiently.
method Developed a novel step size strategy for stochastic Frank-Wolfe, extending it to various gradient estimators.
result Boosted Frank-Wolfe achieves faster convergence rates than non-boosted Frank-Wolfe.

We present Natural Gradient Boosting (NGBoost), an algorithm for generic probabilistic prediction via gradient boosting. Typical regression models return a point estimate, conditional on covariates, but probabilistic regression models output a full probability distribution over the outcome space, conditional on the cov…

2019-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified probabilistic gradient boosting for entire conditional distribution modeling.

problem Creating accurate probabilistic forecasts from regression tasks.
method Unified probabilistic gradient boosting framework using XGBoost and LightGBM, modeling conditional moments or CDF via Normalizing Flows.
result Achieves state-of-the-art forecast accuracy.

Excellent ranking power along with well calibrated probability estimates are needed in many classification tasks. In this paper, we introduce a technique, Calibrated Boosting-Forest that captures both. This novel technique is an ensemble of gradient boosting machines that can support both continuous and binary labels. …

2017-10-16abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper provides convergence guarantees for multicalibration gradient boosting.

problem Understanding the convergence properties of multicalibration gradient boosting.
method Computational guarantees for multicalibration gradient boosting algorithms, including adaptive variants.
result The magnitude of successive prediction updates decays at O(1/T)O(1/\sqrt{T}), leading to convergence in empirical multicalibration error.

GBMixed boosts mixed models for clustered data, estimating mean and variance flexibly.

problem Flexible estimation of mean and variance components in clustered data.
method Gradient Boosting framework for linear mixed models with likelihood-based gradients.
result GBMixed accurately recovers complex nonlinear fixed effects and covariances.

StructureBoost improves gradient boosting for complex categorical variables efficiently.

problem Efficiently handling complex categorical variables with known structure.
method Two methods to overcome computational obstacles in SCDT enumeration for structured categorical variables.
result StructureBoost outperforms existing packages on complex categorical problems.

Infinitesimal boosting converges to a deterministic process in large sample limit.

problem Characterizing the asymptotic behavior of infinitesimal gradient boosting in large sample sizes.
method Proving convergence to a deterministic process using large sample theory and differential equations.
result The test error decreases over time in the population limit.

Gradient Boosted Mixed Models estimate mean and variance components for clustered data.

problem Limited flexibility in linear mixed models for complex settings.
method Gradient Boosting extended to mixed models with likelihood-based gradients and flexible base learners.
result Accurate recovery of variance components and improved predictive accuracy.

Unified comparison of gradient boosting algorithms for insurance claims.

problem Improving predictive accuracy and computational efficiency in insurance claim prediction.
method Unified notation and comprehensive numerical study comparing 12 gradient boosting algorithms on 5 datasets.
result No trade-off between model adequacy and predictive accuracy.

Gradient boosting enhances existing Mendelian models for genetic disease risk prediction.

problem Improving existing Mendelian models for genetic disease risk prediction.
method Combining gradient boosting with existing Mendelian models.
result Improved model outperforms both original and gradient boosting-only models.

New findings show margins are not sufficient for explaining gradient boosting performance.

problem The inadequacy of margin explanations in explaining the performance of gradient boosting.
method Demonstrated and proved a stronger margin-based generalization bound for boosted classifiers.
result Proved a stronger margin-based generalization bound that explains the performance of modern gradient boosters.

Develops gradient boosting for multi-label classification.

problem Lack of customizable learning algorithms for multi-label classification.
method Generalizes gradient boosting to multi-output problems and proposes an algorithm for learning multi-label classification rules.
result Ability to minimize both decomposable and non-decomposable loss functions.

Gradient boosted models are a fundamental machine learning technique. Robustness to small perturbations of the input is an important quality measure for machine learning models, but the literature lacks a method to prove the robustness of gradient boosted models. This work introduces VeriGB, a tool for quantifying the …

2019-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

A novel gradient boosting framework is proposed where shallow neural networks are employed as ``weak learners''. General loss functions are considered under this unified framework with specific examples presented for classification, regression, and learning to rank. A fully corrective step is incorporated to remedy the…

2020-02-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Develop gradient boosting for estimating covariate-dependent GP distributions in insurance.

problem Estimating covariate-dependent Generalized Pareto distributions in insurance.
method Developing a statistical learning theory for gradient boosting.
result Deriving non-asymptotic error bounds for the boosting estimator.

A new method for automatic gradient tree boosting using information theory.

problem Automatic selection of tree complexity and number in gradient boosting.
method Optimism of greedy leaf splitting procedure modeled as a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process, leading to an information criterion for model selection.
result The method achieves significant speedups (10-1400) compared to xgboost without sacrificing predictive power.

agtboost speeds up gradient tree boosting with automatic complexity adjustment.

problem Speeding up and simplifying gradient tree boosting computations.
method Adaptive gradient tree boosting with automatic complexity adjustment and feature importance.
result Significant decrease in computation time and simplification of model complexity.