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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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116231347462 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Gradient Tree Boosting

Infinitesimal gradient boosting is a new algorithm derived from gradient boosting.

problem Improving the efficiency and smoothness of gradient boosting.
method Introduced a new class of randomized regression trees and used a limit process in vanishing-learning-rate asymptotic.
result Convergence of the stochastic algorithm and characterization of the limiting procedure as a unique solution of a nonlinear ODE.

As an adaptive, interpretable, robust, and accurate meta-algorithm for arbitrary differentiable loss functions, gradient tree boosting is one of the most popular machine learning techniques, though the computational expensiveness severely limits its usage. Stochastic gradient boosting could be adopted to accelerates gr…

2019-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

agtboost speeds up gradient tree boosting with automatic complexity adjustment.

problem Speeding up and simplifying gradient tree boosting computations.
method Adaptive gradient tree boosting with automatic complexity adjustment and feature importance.
result Significant decrease in computation time and simplification of model complexity.

Gradient tree boosting is a prediction algorithm that sequentially produces a model in the form of linear combinations of decision trees, by solving an infinite-dimensional optimization problem. We combine gradient boosting and Nesterov's accelerated descent to design a new algorithm, which we call AGB (for Accelerated…

2018-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm improves convergence of gradient boosting trees.

problem Global convergence of Newton boosting in tabular machine learning.
method Introduces Gradient Regularized Newton Descent for GBDTs, proving linear convergence for smooth, strongly convex losses and O(1k2)\mathcal{O}(\frac{1}{k^2}) rate for general convex losses.
result Achieves globally convergent second-order GBDT algorithm with rate matching first-order boosting.

A new method for automatic gradient tree boosting using information theory.

problem Automatic selection of tree complexity and number in gradient boosting.
method Optimism of greedy leaf splitting procedure modeled as a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process, leading to an information criterion for model selection.
result The method achieves significant speedups (10-1400) compared to xgboost without sacrificing predictive power.

Fair classification has become an important topic in machine learning research. While most bias mitigation strategies focus on neural networks, we noticed a lack of work on fair classifiers based on decision trees even though they have proven very efficient. In an up-to-date comparison of state-of-the-art classificatio…

2019-11-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Gradient boosted decision trees are a popular machine learning technique, in part because of their ability to give good accuracy with small models. We describe two extensions to the standard tree boosting algorithm designed to increase this advantage. The first improvement extends the boosting formalism from scalar-val…

2017-10-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Multivariate boosted trees improve forecasting and control by capturing correlated predictions.

problem Capturing multivariate target cross-correlations and applying structured penalties to predictions.
method A computationally efficient algorithm for fitting multivariate boosted trees.
result Multivariate trees outperform univariate counterparts in correlated prediction scenarios.

Proposes new attribution methods for trees with regularization.

problem Feature attribution for trees trained with regularization.
method Prediction Decomposition Attribution (PreDecomp) and TreeInner.
result TreeInner shows state-of-the-art feature selection performance.

Boosting algorithms are frequently used in applied data science and in research. To date, the distinction between boosting with either gradient descent or second-order Newton updates is often not made in both applied and methodological research, and it is thus implicitly assumed that the difference is irrelevant. The g…

2018-08-09abs ↗pdf ↗

We show that Residual Networks (ResNet) is equivalent to boosting feature representation, without any modification to the underlying ResNet training algorithm. A regret bound based on Online Gradient Boosting theory is proved and suggests that ResNet could achieve Online Gradient Boosting regret bounds through neural n…

2019-09-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Treeffuser predicts tabular data distributions using gradient-boosted trees.

problem Probabilistic prediction with flexible, non-parametric models.
method Gradient-boosted trees for score estimation in conditional diffusion model.
result Treeffuser outperforms existing methods in probabilistic prediction tasks.

A hybrid strategy forecasts short-term loads using Warm-start Gradient Tree Boosting.

problem Lack of effective short-term load forecasting methods.
method Hybrid strategy integrating four different inference models: tree-based ensemble method Warm-start Gradient Tree Boosting (WGTB).
result Demonstrates effectiveness of hybrid strategy on real datasets.

StructureBoost improves gradient boosting for complex categorical variables efficiently.

problem Efficiently handling complex categorical variables with known structure.
method Two methods to overcome computational obstacles in SCDT enumeration for structured categorical variables.
result StructureBoost outperforms existing packages on complex categorical problems.

We consider the problem of learning a forest of nonlinear decision rules with general loss functions. The standard methods employ boosted decision trees such as Adaboost for exponential loss and Friedman's gradient boosting for general loss. In contrast to these traditional boosting algorithms that treat a tree learner…

2011-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

SketchBoost accelerates GBDT for multioutput problems up to 40x.

problem Efficiently training GBDT for multioutput problems with high-dimensional outputs.
method Approximate computation of scoring function for faster decision tree splitting.
result SketchBoost speeds up GBDT training by up to 40 times.

UnmaskingTrees improves tabular data imputation and generation using gradient-boosted decision trees.

problem Traditional methods outperform advanced deep learning techniques on tabular data imputation benchmarks.
method UnmaskingTrees employs gradient-boosted decision trees to incrementally unmask features for imputation and generation.
result UnmaskingTrees outperforms state-of-the-art methods on tabular imputation and generation benchmarks.

In this paper we introduce a significant improvement to the popular tree-based Stochastic Gradient Boosting algorithm using a wavelet decomposition of the trees. This approach is based on harmonic analysis and approximation theoretical elements, and as we show through extensive experimentation, our wavelet based method…

2018-05-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Classifier evasion consists in finding for a given instance xx the nearest instance xx' such that the classifier predictions of xx and xx' are different. We present two novel algorithms for systematically computing evasions for tree ensembles such as boosted trees and random forests. Our first algorithm uses a Mixe…

2015-09-25abs ↗pdf ↗

LoBoost improves local conformal prediction for gradient-boosted trees without extra data splits.

problem Quantifying uncertainty in gradient-boosted tree predictions.
method Model-native local conformal prediction using leaf structure.
result Competitive interval quality and improved test MSE with large calibration speedups.

Develops a new method for decision trees using categorical variable structure.

problem Lack of structure in treating categorical variables as predictors.
method Introduces a mathematical framework to represent categorical structure and generalizes decision trees to utilize this structure.
result Improves prediction accuracy on weather data using the new method.

Gradient boosted trees outperform other models in predicting corporate bankruptcy.

problem Predicting financial distress of publicly traded U.S. firms.
method Benchmarked various machine learning models using a comprehensive sample of bankruptcies.
result Gradient boosted trees outperform other models in one-year-ahead forecasts.

Forest tree species mapped with high accuracy using satellite data.

problem Classifying dominant tree species in Swedish forests.
method Extreme gradient boosting model with Bayesian optimization, combining Sentinel-1/2 satellite data and field observations.
result Overall accuracy of 85%, F1 score of 0.82, Matthews correlation coefficient of 0.81.

In this paper we propose a method to build a neural network that is similar to an ensemble of decision trees. We first illustrate how to convert a learned ensemble of decision trees to a single neural network with one hidden layer and an input transformation. We then relax some properties of this network such as thresh…

2019-10-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Credit scoring plays a vital role in the field of consumer finance. Survival analysis provides an advanced solution to the credit-scoring problem by quantifying the probability of survival time. In order to deal with highly heterogeneous industrial data collected in Chinese market of consumer finance, we propose a nonp…

2019-08-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified comparison of gradient boosting algorithms for insurance claims.

problem Improving predictive accuracy and computational efficiency in insurance claim prediction.
method Unified notation and comprehensive numerical study comparing 12 gradient boosting algorithms on 5 datasets.
result No trade-off between model adequacy and predictive accuracy.

The Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) is a popular machine learning model for various tasks in recent years. In this paper, we study how to improve model accuracy of GBDT while preserving the strong guarantee of differential privacy. Sensitivity and privacy budget are two key design aspects for the effectiveness o…

2019-11-11abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proposes blending gradient boosted trees and neural networks for hierarchical time series forecasting.

problem Point and probabilistic forecasting of hierarchical time series.
method A blending methodology of gradient boosted trees and neural networks, with feature engineering and diverse model selection.
result Ranked within the gold medal range in both Accuracy and Uncertainty tracks of the M5 Competition.

Dynamic CBDT improves treatment effect estimation in clinical data.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in observational data with high accuracy and interpretability.
method Dynamic Regularized Causal Boosted Decision Trees (CBDT) integrating variance regularization and calibration.
result Significantly improved estimation accuracy and reliable coverage of true treatment effects.

Gradient boosting can be seen as Gaussian process inference.

problem Improving uncertainty estimates in out-of-domain detection.
method Gradient boosting reformulated as a kernel method converging to Gaussian process inference.
result Gradient boosting can provide better uncertainty estimates through Monte-Carlo estimation of posterior variance.