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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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201402603804 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Gradient Boosting Machines

In this survey, we discuss several different types of gradient boosting algorithms and illustrate their mathematical frameworks in detail: 1. introduction of gradient boosting leads to 2. objective function optimization, 3. loss function estimations, and 4. model constructions. 5. application of boosting in ranking.

2019-08-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Excellent ranking power along with well calibrated probability estimates are needed in many classification tasks. In this paper, we introduce a technique, Calibrated Boosting-Forest that captures both. This novel technique is an ensemble of gradient boosting machines that can support both continuous and binary labels. …

2017-10-16abs ↗pdf ↗

A method to improve gradient boosting models using stacking.

problem Improving the performance of gradient boosting models.
method Proposes a stacking algorithm to learn a meta-model for ensembles of gradient boosting models.
result The proposed approach can be extended to differentiable combination models like neural networks.

As an adaptive, interpretable, robust, and accurate meta-algorithm for arbitrary differentiable loss functions, gradient tree boosting is one of the most popular machine learning techniques, though the computational expensiveness severely limits its usage. Stochastic gradient boosting could be adopted to accelerates gr…

2019-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Gradient boosted models are a fundamental machine learning technique. Robustness to small perturbations of the input is an important quality measure for machine learning models, but the literature lacks a method to prove the robustness of gradient boosted models. This work introduces VeriGB, a tool for quantifying the …

2019-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper introduces Stochastic Gradient Langevin Boosting (SGLB) - a powerful and efficient machine learning framework that may deal with a wide range of loss functions and has provable generalization guarantees. The method is based on a special form of the Langevin diffusion equation specifically designed for gradie…

2020-01-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Infinitesimal gradient boosting is a new algorithm derived from gradient boosting.

problem Improving the efficiency and smoothness of gradient boosting.
method Introduced a new class of randomized regression trees and used a limit process in vanishing-learning-rate asymptotic.
result Convergence of the stochastic algorithm and characterization of the limiting procedure as a unique solution of a nonlinear ODE.

New findings show margins are not sufficient for explaining gradient boosting performance.

problem The inadequacy of margin explanations in explaining the performance of gradient boosting.
method Demonstrated and proved a stronger margin-based generalization bound for boosted classifiers.
result Proved a stronger margin-based generalization bound that explains the performance of modern gradient boosters.

A method interprets black-box models using an ensemble of gradient boosting machines.

problem Local and global interpretation of black-box models.
method An ensemble of gradient boosting machines (GBMs) to form a generalized additive model.
result Efficiency and properties demonstrated on synthetic and real datasets.

Hyperboost uses gradient boosting for hyperparameter optimization, outperforming state-of-the-art methods.

problem Hyperparameter tuning for machine learning algorithms
method Gradient boosting surrogate model with quantile regression and distance metric
result Hyperboost outperforms state-of-the-art techniques in empirical tests

Unified probabilistic gradient boosting for entire conditional distribution modeling.

problem Creating accurate probabilistic forecasts from regression tasks.
method Unified probabilistic gradient boosting framework using XGBoost and LightGBM, modeling conditional moments or CDF via Normalizing Flows.
result Achieves state-of-the-art forecast accuracy.

Gradient boosted trees outperform other models in predicting corporate bankruptcy.

problem Predicting financial distress of publicly traded U.S. firms.
method Benchmarked various machine learning models using a comprehensive sample of bankruptcies.
result Gradient boosted trees outperform other models in one-year-ahead forecasts.

Study uses ML to analyze how interest rates affect fund returns, finding gradient boosting is effective.

problem Understanding how interest rate changes impact fund returns.
method Combines Machine Learning and causal inference, using Double Machine Learning framework.
result Gradient boosting is useful for predicting fund returns, showing a significant negative effect of interest rate increases.

New algorithm improves convergence of gradient boosting trees.

problem Global convergence of Newton boosting in tabular machine learning.
method Introduces Gradient Regularized Newton Descent for GBDTs, proving linear convergence for smooth, strongly convex losses and O(1k2)\mathcal{O}(\frac{1}{k^2}) rate for general convex losses.
result Achieves globally convergent second-order GBDT algorithm with rate matching first-order boosting.

Infinitesimal boosting converges to a deterministic process in large sample limit.

problem Characterizing the asymptotic behavior of infinitesimal gradient boosting in large sample sizes.
method Proving convergence to a deterministic process using large sample theory and differential equations.
result The test error decreases over time in the population limit.

Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM) is an extremely powerful supervised learning algorithm that is widely used in practice. GBM routinely features as a leading algorithm in machine learning competitions such as Kaggle and the KDDCup. In this work, we propose Accelerated Gradient Boosting Machine (AGBM) by incorporating Nes…

2019-03-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Spectral deconfounding improves machine learning models by reducing hidden confounding effects.

problem Machine learning models can be misled by hidden confounders, leading to unreliable predictions.
method Develops a nonlinear spectral deconfounding framework for gradient boosting that modifies boosting dynamics to slow down in confounding-aligned directions.
result Spectrally deconfounded boosting improves estimation of the target function under hidden confounding and is more scalable.

Unified comparison of gradient boosting algorithms for insurance claims.

problem Improving predictive accuracy and computational efficiency in insurance claim prediction.
method Unified notation and comprehensive numerical study comparing 12 gradient boosting algorithms on 5 datasets.
result No trade-off between model adequacy and predictive accuracy.

Fair classification has become an important topic in machine learning research. While most bias mitigation strategies focus on neural networks, we noticed a lack of work on fair classifiers based on decision trees even though they have proven very efficient. In an up-to-date comparison of state-of-the-art classificatio…

2019-11-13abs ↗pdf ↗

New statistical methods improve explainability of boosting models.

problem Uncertainty quantification for boosting models is computationally intensive and hard to interpret.
method Derive methods for statistical inference using gradient boosting and Boulevard regularization.
result Achieve asymptotically normal predictions with theoretical guarantees and runtime independent of data size.

PGBM creates probabilistic predictions efficiently.

problem Creating probabilistic predictions for large-scale data.
method Approximates leaf weights as random variables, learns moments via stochastic tree ensemble update equations.
result PGBM offers significant speedup and accuracy improvements over existing methods.

The paper proposes blending gradient boosted trees and neural networks for hierarchical time series forecasting.

problem Point and probabilistic forecasting of hierarchical time series.
method A blending methodology of gradient boosted trees and neural networks, with feature engineering and diverse model selection.
result Ranked within the gold medal range in both Accuracy and Uncertainty tracks of the M5 Competition.

Tuning SVM and boosting models using optimization algorithms.

problem Tuning parameters for SVM and boosting models across various datasets.
method Used grid search to identify parameter ranges and optimization algorithms to select models.
result Optimization algorithms outperformed grid search in selecting well-performing models.

Paper predicts stock market values using machine learning.

problem Predicting stock market values for Tehran stock exchange groups.
method Used machine learning algorithms including Decision Tree, Bagging, Random Forest, Adaptive Boosting, Gradient Boosting, XGBoost, Artificial neural network, Recurrent Neural Network, and Long short-term memory (LSTM).
result LSTM shows highest accuracy among all algorithms tested.

Boosting CNNs with dynamic feature selection and boosting weights improves accuracy and efficiency.

problem Expensive training of deep CNNs and manual architecture design.
method Dynamic feature selection, importance sampling, and boosting weights integrated into network training.
result Boosted CNN variants consistently outperform conventional CNNs in accuracy and training speed.

The study develops a machine learning system for credit scoring and default prediction.

problem Developing a robust credit rating and default prediction system.
method Combines NLP, AE, GBM, DE, and SHAP/LIME for model interpretability.
result Obtained excellent out-of-sample performance in credit rating and default prediction.

Gradient boosted decision trees are a popular machine learning technique, in part because of their ability to give good accuracy with small models. We describe two extensions to the standard tree boosting algorithm designed to increase this advantage. The first improvement extends the boosting formalism from scalar-val…

2017-10-31abs ↗pdf ↗

GBM outperforms DL in credit scoring tasks, but performance depends on dataset.

problem Benchmarking deep learning vs. gradient boosting for credit scoring.
method Used three datasets with different features to compare DL and GBM.
result GBM is more powerful and faster than DL for credit scoring.

This paper evaluates algorithms for classification and outlier detection accuracies in temporal data. We focus on algorithms that train and classify rapidly and can be used for systems that need to incorporate new data regularly. Hence, we compare the accuracy of six fast algorithms using a range of well-known time-ser…

2018-05-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Automatic machine learning performs predictive modeling with high performing machine learning tools without human interference. This is achieved by making machine learning applications parameter-free, i.e. only a dataset is provided while the complete model selection and model building process is handled internally thr…

2018-07-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Federated machine learning systems have been widely used to facilitate the joint data analytics across the distributed datasets owned by the different parties that do not trust each others. In this paper, we proposed a novel Gradient Boosting Machines (GBM) framework SecureGBM built-up with a multi-party computation mo…

2019-11-27abs ↗pdf ↗