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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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62125187249 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for GoF testing

Unified score and distance-based GoF tests for model adequacy.

problem Difficulty in extending score-based GoF tests to nonparametric alternatives.
method Introducing semiparametric kernelized Stein discrepancy (SKSD) test.
result SKSD test is computationally efficient and universally consistent.

New GoF test improves change point detection in multivariate time series.

problem Detecting changes in multivariate time series data efficiently and robustly.
method Developed a novel multivariate rank-energy GoF test (sRE) for change point detection.
result sRE-based CPD outperforms existing methods in AUC and F1-score.

We revisit the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Cramér-von Mises goodness-of-fit (GoF) tests and propose a generalisation to identically distributed, but dependent univariate random variables. We show that the dependence leads to a reduction of the "effective" number of independent observations. The generalised GoF tests are not…

2011-06-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a semi-Bayesian nonparametric estimator for MMD in GOF tests and GANs.

problem Challenges in goodness-of-fit testing for intractable models.
method Semi-Bayesian nonparametric estimator of MMD.
result Outperforms frequentist MMD-based methods in false rejection and acceptance rates.

New deep learning methods improve estimation and GOF assessment for large-scale IFA.

problem Estimating and assessing goodness-of-fit for large-scale confirmatory IFA models.
method Extended deep learning algorithm for parameter estimation and simulation-based tests for GOF assessment.
result Proposed methods provide comparable estimates and detect latent dimensionality misspecification.

Develops a goodness-of-fit test for self-exciting processes.

problem Quantifying how well generative models capture self-exciting point processes.
method Connects to Quasi-maximum-likelihood estimator (QMLE) theory and develops a non-parametric self-normalizing statistic, the Generalized Score (GS) statistics.
result Validates the proposed GS test's good performance through numerical simulation and real-data experiments.

Improved GoF statistics using entropy-regularized optimal transport for multivariate rank.

problem Developing efficient multivariate rank statistics for statistical testing and generative modeling.
method Entropy-regularized optimal transport maps to address computational and sample complexity issues.
result Proposed soft rank energy and maximum mean discrepancy achieve fast convergence rates and are differentiable.

A method for efficient approximate inference on discrete distributions.

problem Applying SVGD to discrete distributions.
method Transforming discrete distributions to piecewise continuous distributions for SVGD application.
result Outperforms traditional algorithms and ensemble methods on discrete graphical models.

A family of maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) kernel two-sample tests is introduced. Members of the test family are called Block-tests or B-tests, since the test statistic is an average over MMDs computed on subsets of the samples. The choice of block size allows control over the tradeoff between test power and computatio…

2013-07-08abs ↗pdf ↗

USP test improves on Pearson's chi-squared and GG-test for independence.

problem Deficiencies in Pearson's chi-squared and GG-test for independence.
method USP test based on UU-statistic estimator of population dependence measure.
result USP test controls size, handles small cell counts, and detects minimal violations of independence.

This paper provides a comprehensive survey of Machine Learning Testing (ML testing) research. It covers 144 papers on testing properties (e.g., correctness, robustness, and fairness), testing components (e.g., the data, learning program, and framework), testing workflow (e.g., test generation and test evaluation), and …

2019-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Robust test for distributions under Hellinger distance, simpler than optimal tests.

problem Testing and estimating distributions robustly under Hellinger distance.
method Simple robust hypothesis test with optimal sample complexity, robust to Hellinger distance perturbations.
result Empirically demonstrated robustness and power of the test on canonical distributions.

Simple methods combine statistical tests for out-of-distribution detection.

problem Detecting data points not following the training distribution.
method Combining classical parametric tests (Rao's score test) and a typicality test.
result Combining Fisher's method of test statistics improves out-of-distribution detection accuracy.

New methods for CI testing under model misspecification.

problem Challenges in CI testing with misspecified models.
method Proposes new approximations and upper bounds for testing errors of regression-based CI tests.
result Introduces the Rao-Blackwellized Predictor Test (RBPT) robust against misspecified inductive biases.

Discusses MultiFIT for multivariate dependence, comparing it to HSIC tests.

problem Comparing Multiscale Fisher's Independence Test (MultiFIT) to HSIC tests for multivariate dependence.
method Compares MultiFIT to HSIC tests, highlighting exact level control and performance limitations.
result Observes performance limitations of MultiFIT in terms of test power.

The repeated community-wide reuse of test sets in popular benchmark problems raises doubts about the credibility of reported test-error rates. Verifying whether a learned model is overfitted to a test set is challenging as independent test sets drawn from the same data distribution are usually unavailable, while other …

2019-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops hypothesis tests for conditional distributions using learning-theoretic bounds.

problem Testing differences in conditional distributions and functionals.
method Transforming learning-theoretic bounds into hypothesis tests for conditional expectations.
result Establishes comprehensive foundation for conditional testing, including theoretical guarantees and practical implementations.

Paper proposes a new method for more accurate group testing of infected patients.

problem Identifying infected patients efficiently with reduced tests and corrected errors.
method Adaptive design of pools based on Bayesian posterior prediction using belief propagation algorithm.
result The proposed method results in more accurate identification of infected patients.

Improved MMD test for two-sample testing with random Fourier features.

problem Quadratic-time complexity of MMD test for large-scale analysis.
method Approximated MMD test using random Fourier features, investigating time-power trade-off.
result Sub-quadratic time complexity with same minimax separation rates as MMD test.

Distance correlation has gained much recent attention in the data science community: the sample statistic is straightforward to compute and asymptotically equals zero if and only if independence, making it an ideal choice to discover any type of dependency structure given sufficient sample size. One major bottleneck is…

2019-12-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a robust test for high-dimensional models with large covariates and instruments.

problem Testing high-dimensional linear instrumental variable models with large covariates and instruments.
method Introduces a test based on the maximum norm of multiple parameters and a power-enhanced test.
result The proposed test is robust to heteroskedastic errors and has higher power than existing tests.

The study analyzes group testing algorithms for identifying defective items with high confidence.

problem Identifying defective items from a population using group testing with high confidence.
method Formulated as a function learning problem using the PAC framework, analyzed three algorithms: column matching, combinatorial basis pursuit, and definite defectives.
result Derived bounds on the number of tests needed for approximate set identification, comparing with existing bounds and simulating performance.

We propose a novel adaptive test of goodness-of-fit, with computational cost linear in the number of samples. We learn the test features that best indicate the differences between observed samples and a reference model, by minimizing the false negative rate. These features are constructed via Stein's method, meaning th…

2017-05-22abs ↗pdf ↗

A permutation-based SW test achieves minimax-optimal power for two-sample testing.

problem Nonparametric two-sample testing using the sliced Wasserstein distance.
method Proposes a permutation-based SW test and analyzes its performance.
result Achieves minimax separation rate n1/2n^{-1/2} over multinomial and bounded-support alternatives.

We conduct an extensive evaluation of price jump tests based on high-frequency financial data. After providing a concise review of multiple alternative tests, we document the size and power of all tests in a range of empirically relevant scenarios. Particular focus is given to the robustness of test performance to the …

2017-08-31abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper explores the information-theoretic limitations of graph property testing in zero-field Ising models. Instead of learning the entire graph structure, sometimes testing a basic graph property such as connectivity, cycle presence or maximum clique size is a more relevant and attainable objective. Since property…

2017-09-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Meta two-sample testing uses auxiliary data to quickly find powerful tests from limited samples.

problem Challenges in identifying powerful kernels for distinguishing complex distributions with limited data.
method Introduces meta two-sample testing (M2ST) to leverage abundant auxiliary data on related tasks.
result Proposed algorithms improve over baselines and identify powerful tests from scarce observations.

We consider the problem of comparing probability densities between two groups. A new probabilistic tensor product smoothing spline framework is developed to model the joint density of two variables. Under such a framework, the probability density comparison is equivalent to testing the presence/absence of interactions.…

2019-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning improves diagnostic test accuracy for bovine tuberculosis.

problem Improving diagnostic test sensitivity for bovine tuberculosis.
method Machine learning to assess risk landscapes and predict infection.
result Test sensitivity improved, detecting 240 more infected herds per year.