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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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4998147196 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Global-Local Priors

Proposes a new method to control FDR using frequentist-assisted horseshoe for high-dimensional testing.

problem Designing tests with frequentist false discovery rate control using horseshoe prior.
method Frequentist-assisted horseshoe procedure for high-dimensional normal means testing.
result Consistently achieves robust finite-sample FDR control in various sparse cases.

Sparse convex clustering is to cluster observations and conduct variable selection simultaneously in the framework of convex clustering. Although a weighted L1L_1 norm is usually employed for the regularization term in sparse convex clustering, its use increases the dependence on the data and reduces the estimation acc…

2019-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper revisits and improves on a Bayesian relevance vector machine method for small sample sizes.

problem Statistical modeling with small sample sizes relative to the number of covariates.
method Introduces a new class of global-local priors and provides theoretical properties.
result Results on posterior consistency and contraction rates are provided.

Horseshoe priors improve small area estimation by borrowing strength globally but locally.

problem Improving precision of small area estimators through global-local borrowing of strength.
method Developed a tail-robust horseshoe model for Fay-Herriot small area estimation, using heteroscedastic Tweedie identity and regular variation theory.
result The horseshoe model outperforms structured Gaussian smoothing on strongly spatial data, identifying exceptional areas that smoothing suppresses.

Bayesian tree ensemble model for estimating treatment effects in high-dimensional survival data.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in censored survival data with many covariates.
method Developed a Bayesian tree ensemble model with a horseshoe prior for adaptive shrinkage.
result Accurately estimates treatment effects in high-dimensional covariate spaces and non-linear functions.

We address the curse of dimensionality in dynamic covariance estimation by modeling the underlying co-volatility dynamics of a time series vector through latent time-varying stochastic factors. The use of a global-local shrinkage prior for the elements of the factor loadings matrix pulls loadings on superfluous factors…

2016-08-30abs ↗pdf ↗

A new TwinGP framework for efficient large-scale GP modeling.

problem Efficiently modeling large-scale Gaussian processes with computational constraints.
method Combines global and local approximations using a subset-of-data approach.
result TwinGP framework performs on par or better than state-of-the-art methods at a fraction of the computational cost.

The paper improves Bayesian precision matrix estimation for high-dimensional sparse data.

problem Estimating sparse precision matrices in high-dimensional settings.
method Tempered posterior with fully specified horseshoe prior.
result Concentration results and theoretical oracle inequality for posterior.

To integrate strategic, tactical and operational decisions, the two-stage optimization has been widely used to guide dynamic decision making. In this paper, we study the two-stage stochastic programming for complex systems with unknown response estimated by simulation. We introduce the global-local metamodel assisted t…

2019-10-13abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose SEARNN, a novel training algorithm for recurrent neural networks (RNNs) inspired by the "learning to search" (L2S) approach to structured prediction. RNNs have been widely successful in structured prediction applications such as machine translation or parsing, and are commonly trained using maximum likelihoo…

2017-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

We prove a global local rigidity result for character varieties of 3-manifolds into SL2\rm{SL}_2. Given a 3-manifold with toric boundary MM satisfying some technical hypotheses, we prove that all but a finite number of its Dehn fillings Mp/qM_{p/q} are globally locally rigid in the following sense: every irreducible repr…

2014-06-11abs ↗pdf ↗

BaGGLS models biological interactions using Bayesian shrinkage for interpretability.

problem Interpreting complex interactions in high-dimensional biological data.
method Bayesian group global-local shrinkage prior with variational approximation.
result BaGGLS outperforms other methods in interaction detection and scalability.

TopoGeoScore selects robust checkpoints using only source-domain representations.

problem Selecting robust checkpoints without target-domain labels or samples.
method Constructs class-conditional mutual k-nearest-neighbour graphs and extracts three interpretable signals.
result Source representations contain measurable global-local-topological evidence of robustness.

This paper proposes a new method to improve VI approximations by capturing dependence between blocks using vector copulas.

problem Improving variational inference accuracy for complex models with challenging posteriors.
method Using vector copulas to model dependence between multivariate blocks, with learnable transport maps for flexible marginals.
result The proposed method produces more accurate posterior approximations than existing methods at limited computational cost.

The traditional sparse modeling approach, when applied to inverse problems with large data such as images, essentially assumes a sparse model for small overlapping data patches. While producing state-of-the-art results, this methodology is suboptimal, as it does not attempt to model the entire global signal in any mean…

2017-02-11abs ↗pdf ↗

New bounds for private learning of high-dimensional Gaussian distributions.

problem Learning high-dimensional Gaussian distributions under differential privacy constraints.
method Analytic tools for constructing global covers from local covers, modified hypothesis selection techniques.
result Near-optimal sample complexity bounds for general Gaussians, conjectured to be near-optimal in the general case.

TWIST algorithm detects communities in multi-layer networks with tensor decomposition.

problem Community detection in multi-layer networks with multiple node-modality relationships.
method Tensor-based TWIST algorithm for global/local node and layer memberships.
result Accurate community detection with small misclassification error as network size increases.

Proposes integrating global and local entropy for more reliable LLMs.

problem Uncertainty in large language models (LLMs) leads to unreliable predictions.
method Measures global uncertainty from hidden-state matrices and local uncertainty from tokens, combining them via a multiplicative gate.
result Global-Local Uncertainty (GLU) outperforms unsupervised baselines across multiple models and benchmarks.

Meta-GLAR combines global deep representations with local adaptation for improved forecasting accuracy.

problem Joint learning from related time series boosts accuracy but fails for out-of-sample forecasting.
method Meta-GLAR uses a meta-learning approach to adapt RNN representations for each time series.
result Meta-GLAR outperforms state-of-the-art methods in out-of-sample forecasting accuracy.

Dual explanation method using convex hulls and example-based vectors.

problem Local and global explanation of complex models.
method Dual representation of instances as convex combinations, generating new dual dataset, training linear surrogate model, computing feature importance.
result Effective example-based and local/global explanation of complex models.

Paper addresses offline policy evaluation in RL, achieving near-optimal bounds for various policy classes.

problem Evaluate all policies in a class simultaneously for offline RL.
method Uniform convergence in OPE for various policy classes, achieving optimal episode complexity.
result Achieves optimal episode complexity of O(H^3/d_mε^2) for identifying ε-optimal policies.

Model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) has been proposed as a promising alternative solution to tackle the high sampling cost challenge in the canonical reinforcement learning (RL), by leveraging a learned model to generate synthesized data for policy training purpose. The MBRL framework, nevertheless, is inherently…

2018-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

A new Weyl prior is proposed for Bayesian statistics, offering a more canonical choice for parameter α.

problem Choosing a prior distribution for Bayesian inference.
method Proposed a new Weyl prior based on the Weyl structure on a statistical manifold.
result The Weyl prior is a special case of the α-parallel prior with α = -n, where n is the dimension of the statistical manifold.

Informative Bayesian priors are often difficult to elicit, and when this is the case, modelers usually turn to noninformative or objective priors. However, objective priors such as the Jeffreys and reference priors are not tractable to derive for many models of interest. We address this issue by proposing techniques fo…

2017-04-04abs ↗pdf ↗

While Bayesian methods are praised for their ability to incorporate useful prior knowledge, in practice, convenient priors that allow for computationally cheap or tractable inference are commonly used. In this paper, we investigate the following question: for a given model, is it possible to compute an inference result…

2016-06-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Researchers derive exact priors for finite Bayesian neural networks.

problem Understanding non-Gaussian priors in finite Bayesian neural networks.
method Analytical derivation of function space priors for finite fully-connected feedforward networks.
result Exact solutions for priors of finite networks, including Meijer G-function for linear networks and mixtures for ReLU networks.

PRCD-MAP learns to trust imperfect priors in causal discovery, improving accuracy and robustness.

problem Tackles the brittle trade-off between blind trust and rejection of external priors in causal discovery.
method Proposes PRCD-MAP, a soft prior-consumption layer that assigns per-edge trust to imperfect priors and modulates regularization in a MAP objective.
result Enjoys a population-level safety guarantee and outperforms existing methods on real-world causal discovery tasks.

Bayesian metalearning improves performance in linear bandits with misspecified priors.

problem Improper priors lead to suboptimal performance in sequential decision-making.
method Proves performance bounds for metalearning priors in stochastic linear bandits and develops a metalearning algorithm.
result Metalearning can improve performance by learning the prior from multiple tasks.

The paper extends and applies a new shrinkage prior in Bayesian factor analysis.

problem Estimating the number of factors in sparse Bayesian factor analysis.
method Introduces and extends a generalized cumulative shrinkage process (CUSP) prior.
result Exchangeable spike-and-slab shrinkage priors imply increasing shrinkage as the column index increases.

Bayesian method corrects for model selection multiplicity in regression.

problem Model selection multiplicity in regression analysis.
method Developed a Bayesian prior distribution based on Holm procedure analogy.
result Adequate multiplicity correction requires sparsity not provided by recommended priors.