Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is widely used in various domains, such as meteorology and traffic. Due to limitations on data collection, transmission, and storage, real-world MTS data usually contains missing values, making it infeasible to apply existing MTS forecasting models such as linear regression an…
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48 results for “Global Exploration”
In this paper, a new sequential surrogate-based optimization (SSBO) algorithm is developed, which aims to improve the global search ability and local search efficiency for the global optimization of expensive black-box models. The proposed method involves three basic sub-criteria to infill new samples asynchronously to…
Hill-ADAM optimizes loss landscapes by exploring state space deterministically.
problem Escaping local minima in loss landscapes.
method Hill-ADAM alternates between minimizing and maximizing error to explore the loss space.
result Hill-ADAM finds the global minimum state in loss landscapes.
Improved exploration in adversarial MDPs via dilated bonuses.
problem Global exploration in adversarial MDPs with local-search policies.
method Dilated bonuses to facilitate global exploration.
result Improved regret bounds in various MDP settings.
We formulate simple assumptions, implying the Robbins-Monro conditions for the -learning algorithm with the local learning rate, depending on the number of visits of a particular state-action pair (local clock) and the number of iteration (global clock). It is assumed that the Markov decision process is communicatin…
This thesis explores GNNs, categorizing them into local and global approaches.
problem Understanding the convergence of global GNNs and connecting local and global approaches.
method Categorization of GNNs into local and global, study of Invariant Graph Networks, connecting local and global approaches, and using local MPNN for graph coarsening.
result Established a connection between local and global GNN approaches.
Combines local and global samplers for efficient sampling.
problem Limited learning accuracy in regions with little data.
method Explore-Exploit Markov chain Monte Carlo strategy ()
result Proves -uniform geometric ergodicity of .
The paper explores global index formulas for one-dimensional holomorphic foliations.
problem Global index formulas for one-dimensional holomorphic foliations.
method Microlocal point of view and short proofs for existing index formulas.
result Generalizations of existing index formulas.
Mixed membership factorization is a popular approach for analyzing data sets that have within-sample heterogeneity. In recent years, several algorithms have been developed for mixed membership matrix factorization, but they only guarantee estimates from a local optimum. Here, we derive a global optimization (GOP) algor…
New method identifies differences between groups in low-dimensional data representations.
problem Identifying meaningful differences between groups in low-dimensional data representations.
method Introduce Global Counterfactual Explanation (GCE) and Transitive Global Translations (TGT) for computing GCEs.
result TGT identifies sparse, accurate explanations that match real data patterns.
Bayesian optimization (BO) and its batch extensions are successful for optimizing expensive black-box functions. However, these traditional BO approaches are not yet ideal for optimizing less expensive functions when the computational cost of BO can dominate the cost of evaluating the blackbox function. Examples of the…
A new active learning method for Gaussian process models.
problem Efficiently exploring unbounded state spaces for accurate models.
method Maximizes mutual information with respect to a bounded region using model predictive control.
result Our method yields a better model within the region of interest than entropy-based methods.
Proposes a method to accelerate safe sequential learning using offline data.
problem Limited exploration due to disconnected safe regions and slow task learning.
method Safe transfer sequential learning using Gaussian processes and offline data.
result Enhances global exploration across multiple disjoint safe regions with lower data consumption.
BOKE optimizes expensive functions with reduced computational costs.
problem High computational cost of Gaussian process-based Bayesian optimization.
method Kernel regression and density-based exploration integrated into confidence bounds.
result BOKE achieves global convergence and superior computational efficiency.
FS&P uses birth-death process to ensure global convergence of stochastic conic particle gradient descent.
problem Global optimization of non-convex objective functions over measure space.
method Introduces Fast Spawn\&Prune (FS\&P) combining CPGD with birth-death process.
result First theoretical guarantee of global convergence for discrete-time stochastic algorithms.
LNUCB-TA improves MAB performance by dynamically adjusting exploration rates and recognizing spatiotemporal patterns.
problem Suboptimal performance in environments with rapidly changing reward structures and static exploration rates.
method Hybrid model combining linear and nonlinear estimation, with adaptive k-NN for temporal attention.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art algorithms in cumulative and mean reward, convergence, and robustness.
We propose a possible solution to a public challenge posed by the Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO), which is to provide an explainable model for credit risk assessment. Rather than present a black box model and explain it afterwards, we provide a globally interpretable model that is as accurate as other neural networks. O…
Softmax policy gradient achieves global optimality in wide neural networks with entropy regularization.
problem Optimizing softmax policies with neural networks in the mean-field regime.
method Modeling neural networks as Wasserstein gradient flows and proving global optimality of fixed points.
result Global optimality of softmax policy gradient in wide single hidden layer neural networks with entropy regularization.
The paper analyzes the intrinsic exploration terms in policy-gradient algorithms.
problem Exploration in policy-gradient algorithms and its impact on policy optimization.
method Numerical optimization criteria and stochastic gradient analysis.
result Exploration techniques improve policy optimization by smoothing the learning objective and modifying gradient estimates.
The chapter explores globally hyperbolic spacetimes using topology and functional analysis.
problem Understanding global hyperbolicity in spacetimes.
method Foundational tools from order theory and topology, geometric analysis, and connections to physics.
result A connection between global hyperbolicity and geodesic completeness of space-like surfaces.
Adapts Bayesian optimization for mixed constraints in aircraft design.
problem Optimizing expensive black box functions with mixed constraints.
method Super efficient global optimization with upper trust bound for constraints, Gaussian process uncertainty, refinement procedure.
result Superior performance on aircraft design problem compared to state-of-the-art solvers.
Paper uses deep learning to improve thermal-hydraulic simulations.
problem Limited credibility of thermal-hydraulic codes in real plant conditions.
method Feature Similarity Measurement (FSM) and deep learning.
result Deep learning constructs relationships between local physical features and simulation errors.
Bayesian optimization has recently emerged as a popular method for the sample-efficient optimization of expensive black-box functions. However, the application to high-dimensional problems with several thousand observations remains challenging, and on difficult problems Bayesian optimization is often not competitive wi…
We study the implicit bias of generic optimization methods, such as mirror descent, natural gradient descent, and steepest descent with respect to different potentials and norms, when optimizing underdetermined linear regression or separable linear classification problems. We explore the question of whether the specifi…
New technique improves imitation learning by preventing local minima and exploring states.
problem Behavioral cloning gets stuck in local minima and lacks effective exploration.
method Two-phase model with sampling mechanisms and self-attention modules.
result Significantly outperforms previous state-of-the-art in various environments.
This paper illustrates the themes of the title in terms of: van Kampen type theorems for the fundamental groupoid; holonomy and monodromy groupoids; and higher homotopy groupoids. Interaction with work of the writer is explored.
A novel supervised visualization technique for data exploration.
problem Lack of supervised dimensionality reduction methods considering class labels.
method Random forest proximities and diffusion-based dimensionality reduction.
result Retains local and global structures in data, emphasizing important variables.
We present an algorithm, HOMER, for exploration and reinforcement learning in rich observation environments that are summarizable by an unknown latent state space. The algorithm interleaves representation learning to identify a new notion of kinematic state abstraction with strategic exploration to reach new states usi…
New methods improve global optimisation for expensive functions using lookahead strategies.
problem Optimising expensive functions without gradient info in high dimensions.
method Nonmyopic acquisition strategies based on approximate dynamic programming.
result Nonmyopic methods outperform myopic approaches in various applications.
Throughout economic history, the global economy has experienced recurring crises. The persistent recurrence of such economic crises calls for an understanding of their generic features rather than treating them as singular events. The global economic system is a highly complex system and can best be viewed in terms of …
The paper analyzes global inflation's systemic nature and its impact on equity markets.
problem Understanding the systemic nature of global inflation and its financial market implications.
method Data-driven study using eigenvalue analysis, inner-product optimization, and time-varying portfolio optimization.
result Countries with high centrality in global inflation are identified, and the robustness of equity indices and sectors during inflationary periods are explored.
Sample-efficient exploration is crucial not only for discovering rewarding experiences but also for adapting to environment changes in a task-agnostic fashion. A principled treatment of the problem of optimal input synthesis for system identification is provided within the framework of sequential Bayesian experimental …
Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) is a booming area of artificial intelligence. Many practical applications of DRL naturally involve more than one collaborative learners, making it important to study DRL in a multi-agent context. Previous research showed that effective learning in complex multi-agent systems demands fo…
New method for mixed-variable GSA improves material design efficiency.
problem Designing materials with both quantitative and qualitative variables.
method Integrates LVGP with Sobol' analysis for mixed-variable GSA.
result Accelerates exploration of novel MOF candidates in combinatorial design spaces.
The study explores globally defined eigenfamilies on closed manifolds, providing existence and orthogonality results.
problem Existence and properties of globally defined eigenfamilies on closed Riemannian manifolds.
method Analyzes topological properties, provides non-/existence results, and uses combinatorial identities.
result Highly rigid orthogonality relations for eigenfunction powers in .
Study explores embedding signature-changing manifolds into higher-dimensional spaces.
problem Smooth metric signature changes in spacetimes.
method Global isometric embeddings into higher-dimensional pseudo-Euclidean spaces.
result Explicit constructions of global embeddings into Minkowski and Misner spaces.
Policy Gradient Converges to the Globally Optimal Policy for Nearly Linear-Quadratic Regulatorscs.LG
Policy gradient converges to globally optimal policy in nearly linear-quadratic systems.
problem Finding optimal policies in nonlinear control systems with partial information.
method Policy gradient algorithm designed for nearly linear-quadratic regulators with small Lipschitz nonlinear components.
result Policy gradient algorithm converges to globally optimal policy with linear rate.
This paper uses NARX neural networks for macroeconomic forecasting and goal setting.
problem Improving accuracy in macroeconomic forecasting and goal setting.
method Literature review and construction of specific NARX neural networks for macroeconomic indicators.
result NARX neural networks can be trained to make accurate predictions for macroeconomic indicators and national goals.
Reinforcement learning agents need exploratory behaviors to escape from local optima. These behaviors may include both immediate dithering perturbation and temporally consistent exploration. To achieve these, a stochastic policy model that is inherently consistent through a period of time is in desire, especially for t…
The abstract introduces golden Finsler structures and explores their local and global properties.
problem Investigating geometric properties of golden Finsler structures.
method Local and global analysis of golden Finsler structures, including explicit computations and transformations.
result Proved that golden Finsler structures cannot be projectively related.
Global catastrophe risk pools increase financial resilience by diversifying risk and including more countries.
problem Low- to middle-income countries rely heavily on foreign aid for recovery from extreme weather events, which is slow and uncertain.
method Developed a method to form global catastrophe risk pools that maximize risk diversification and select countries with low bilateral correlations or low shares in the pool risk.
result Global pooling increases risk diversification, lowers countries' shares in the pool risk, and increases the number of countries benefiting from risk pooling.
Global optimization problems whose objective function is expensive to evaluate can be solved effectively by recursively fitting a surrogate function to function samples and minimizing an acquisition function to generate new samples. The acquisition step trades off between seeking for a new optimization vector where the…
New algorithm for nonstationary multi-armed bandits with optimal performance.
problem Nonstationary multi-armed bandits with changing model parameters over time.
method Adaptive Resetting Bandit (ADR-bandit) algorithm using adaptive windowing techniques.
result ADR-bandit achieves nearly optimal performance in both abrupt and gradual changes.
This paper explores the limits of Transformers in learning new patterns from scratch.
problem Understanding when Transformers can learn new patterns from scratch.
method Introducing the 'globality degree' to measure learnability and developing scratchpad techniques.
result Distributions with high globality cannot be learned efficiently by Transformers.
Enhancing Variable Importance in Random Forests: A Novel Application of Global Sensitivity Analysisstat.ML
Global Sensitivity Analysis improves feature importance ranking in Random Forests.
problem Improving feature importance ranking in Random Forests.
method Applying Global Sensitivity Analysis to Random Forests for feature ranking.
result Our method provides a novel way to rank features based on their importance.
AER dynamically adjusts entropy regularization for better LLM reinforcement learning.
problem Policy entropy collapse in RLVR training limits exploration and reasoning performance.
method Adaptive Entropy Regularization (AER) with difficulty-aware coefficient allocation, initial-anchored target entropy, and dynamic global coefficient adjustment.
result AER consistently outperforms baselines on mathematical reasoning benchmarks, improving both accuracy and exploration.
Despite recent innovations in network architectures and loss functions, training RNNs to learn long-term dependencies remains difficult due to challenges with gradient-based optimisation methods. Inspired by the success of Deep Neuroevolution in reinforcement learning (Such et al. 2017), we explore the use of gradient-…
We consider an agent who is involved in a Markov decision process and receives a vector of outcomes every round. Her objective is to maximize a global concave reward function on the average vectorial outcome. The problem models applications such as multi-objective optimization, maximum entropy exploration, and constrai…