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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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48 results for Global Counterfactual

Improves global counterfactual explanations for model recourse.

problem Inability to provide explanations beyond local instances.
method Investigates and improves Actionable Recourse Summaries (AReS) for global counterfactual explanations.
result Develops more efficient and interactive explainability tools.

COMRECGC finds common recourse for global counterfactual explanations in GNNs.

problem Finding common recourse for global counterfactual explanations in GNNs.
method Formalized the common recourse explanation problem and designed COMRECGC algorithm.
result COMRECGC outperforms strong baselines on four real-world graph datasets.

Proposes counterfactual explainability for causal attribution, extending variance analysis methods.

problem Lack of mechanistic understanding in existing tools for explaining complex models.
method Extends global sensitivity analysis methods to causal explanations using directed acyclic graphs.
result Developed methods to estimate counterfactual explainability and applied to income inequality analysis.

The paper detects and identifies bias in data using a counterfactual approach.

problem Detecting and identifying bias in data, especially in medical image classification.
method A global explanation framework using the counterfactual approach to identify bias causing artifacts.
result Black frames significantly influence Convolutional Neural Network's prediction, changing benign to malignant.

This paper introduces DCE for better counterfactual explanations using optimal transport.

problem Lack of nuanced distributional characteristics in existing counterfactual explanations.
method Formulates a chance-constrained optimization problem using optimal transport to derive counterfactual distributions.
result DCE provides deeper insights into decision-making models by aligning counterfactual distributions with factual ones.

New method identifies differences between groups in low-dimensional data representations.

problem Identifying meaningful differences between groups in low-dimensional data representations.
method Introduce Global Counterfactual Explanation (GCE) and Transitive Global Translations (TGT) for computing GCEs.
result TGT identifies sparse, accurate explanations that match real data patterns.

Federated framework learns causal states to predict counterfactuals without centralizing data.

problem Decentralized counterfactual reasoning in coupled industrial systems with private data.
method Federated causal representation learning in state-space systems.
result Proves convergence to centralized oracle and provides privacy guarantees.

New methods improve uncertainty explanations for models.

problem Improving interpretation of uncertainty estimates from probabilistic models.
method Developed new methods to generate diverse and global explanations for uncertain model predictions.
result Generated diverse and global explanations for uncertain model predictions, addressing previous limitations.

DeDUCE efficiently generates realistic counterfactuals for image classifiers.

problem Generating accurate counterfactual explanations for large image classifiers.
method Developed a new algorithm using spectral normalization to efficiently generate counterfactuals.
result Our algorithm consistently produces counterfactuals closer to the original inputs with comparable realism.

We establish a foundation for multivariate counterfactual identification using dynamic optimal transport.

problem Addressing the open question of counterfactual identification for high-dimensional multivariate outcomes from observational data.
method Establish a foundation for multivariate counterfactual identification using continuous-time flows, including non-Markovian settings, with tools from dynamic optimal transport.
result Characterise the conditions under which flow matching yields a unique, monotone, and rank-preserving counterfactual transport map, ensuring consistent inference.

A new framework for robust and coherent counterfactual transports.

problem Estimating joint distributions over counterfactual outcomes in personalized decision-making and treatment risk assessment.
method Counterfactual cocycles that use algebraic structure to provide coherence and identifiability guarantees, bridging the gap between bijective SCMs and OT methods.
result Counterfactual cocycles provide state-of-the-art performance and noise-robustness across synthetic benchmarks and a real-world study.

New approach uses 'forward-looking' counterfactuals for treatment choice.

problem Using traditional 'retrospective' counterfactuals in treatment choice leads to counterintuitive results.
method Introduces 'counterfactual treatment choice' for forward-looking counterfactuals.
result Mismatches between interventional and forward-looking counterfactuals can lead to counterintuitive results.

The paper analyzes counterfactual invariance and its relation to conditional independence.

problem Understanding the relationship between counterfactual invariance and conditional independence.
method Theoretical analysis of existing definitions, graphical implications, and mathematical proofs.
result Counterfactual invariance implies conditional independence, but not the other way around.

New framework improves counterfactual predictions using causal inference.

problem Challenges in predicting counterfactual outcomes with limited covariates and high-dimensional outcomes.
method Variational Bayesian causal inference framework for counterfactual generative modeling.
result Framework encourages disentangled exogenous noise and correct identification of causal effects.

Counterfactual data augmentations may not ensure OOD robustness if performed by a context-guessing machine.

problem Deep learning models lack out-of-distribution robustness due to reliance on spurious features.
method Theoretical analysis and demonstration of counterfactual data augmentations performed by a context-guessing machine.
result Counterfactual data augmentations by a context-guessing machine do not lead to robust OOD classifiers.

New method improves model reconstruction using counterfactuals and polytope theory.

problem Reconstructing models with minimal input changes and avoiding decision boundary shifts.
method Using polytope theory to derive loss functions that treat counterfactuals differently from ordinary instances.
result Improves fidelity between target and surrogate model predictions on multiple datasets.

New method debiases counterfactual distributions using observational data.

problem Estimating counterfactual distributions under interventions without relying on observational data.
method Flow-matching approach to learn counterfactual distributions from observational data.
result Deconfounding flows outperform existing debiased counterfactual distribution estimators.

Proposes a method to generate counterfactuals for ensemble models using entropic risk measures.

problem Finding a single counterfactual explanation for an ensemble of models.
method Incorporates entropic risk measure into a constrained optimization to generate counterfactuals valid for an adjustable fraction of models.
result Entropic risk measure allows generation of counterfactuals valid for all models in the ensemble under a limiting case.

Counterfactual explanations can be obtained by identifying the smallest change made to a feature vector to qualitatively influence a prediction; for example, from 'loan rejected' to 'awarded' or from 'high risk of cardiovascular disease' to 'low risk'. Previous approaches often emphasized that counterfactuals should be…

2019-10-21abs ↗pdf ↗

New method warns of counterfactual non-identifiability in DSCMs.

problem Counterfactual inference from observational data is non-identifiable even without unobserved confounding.
method Prove counterfactual identifiability for monotonic generation mechanisms, provide impossibility result for general mechanisms, propose method for estimating worst-case errors.
result Non-identifiability of counterfactual inference from observational data, even in absence of unobserved confounding.

Develops methods for finding counterfactual explanations in sequential decision making.

problem Finding counterfactual explanations for sequential decision making processes.
method Formal characterization of sequential actions and states using Markov decision processes and Gumbel-Max structural causal model. Introduces a polynomial time algorithm based on dynamic programming.
result Algorithm finds optimal counterfactual explanations for sequential decision making.

In this paper, we study counterfactual fairness in text classification, which asks the question: How would the prediction change if the sensitive attribute referenced in the example were different? Toxicity classifiers demonstrate a counterfactual fairness issue by predicting that "Some people are gay" is toxic while "…

2018-09-27abs ↗pdf ↗

This study analyzes counterfactual explanations for student success models.

problem Improving trust in machine learning models for student success prediction.
method Comparison of counterfactual generation methods (WhatIf, Multi-Objective, Nearest Instance) for student success prediction models.
result WhatIf Counterfactual Explanations are more effective for student success prediction models.

CVIB uses information theory to learn counterfactuals from MNAR data without RCTs.

problem Debiasing learning from missing-not-at-random (MNAR) data in recommendation systems.
method CVIB, a variational information bottleneck, separates task-aware mutual information into factual and counterfactual parts.
result CVIB significantly enhances both shallow and deep models in recommendation systems.

The paper connects counterfactual fairness to robust prediction and group fairness using causal context.

problem The challenge of ensuring fairness in AI systems when counterfactuals cannot be directly observed.
method Using causal context to bridge counterfactual fairness, robust prediction, and group fairness.
result Counterfactual fairness is equivalent to group fairness metrics in specific contexts.

ARFs generate plausible counterfactuals for models, improving model understanding.

problem Creating realistic counterfactuals for model analysis.
method Adversarial Random Forests (ARFs) for generating plausible counterfactuals.
result ARFs efficiently generate plausible counterfactuals in a model-agnostic way.

EXOC framework uses auxiliary variables for counterfactual fairness in machine learning.

problem Balancing fairness and predictive accuracy in models with sensitive attributes.
method EXOC framework uses auxiliary variables to define an auxiliary node and a control node for counterfactual fairness.
result EXOC framework outperforms state-of-the-art approaches in achieving counterfactual fairness.

This paper introduces collective counterfactual explanations for groups of instances in classification models.

problem Understanding how classification models make decisions for groups of instances.
method Novel Mathematical Optimization models to find collective counterfactual explanations that minimize total perturbation cost.
result Detects critical features for entire dataset classification and handles outliers.

Paper proposes a modified fairness constraint to address shortcomings of counterfactual fairness.

problem Counterfactual fairness is not a necessary condition for algorithmic fairness.
method Analyzed hypothetical scenario and explicated discrimination to develop causal relevance fairness.
result Causal relevance fairness is a modified constraint that circumvents shortcomings of counterfactual fairness.

New diffusion models improve counterfactual image generation with semantic control.

problem Challenges in preserving identity, maintaining quality, and ensuring causal model faithfulness in counterfactual image generation.
method Integrates semantic representations into diffusion models through Pearlian causality, introducing spatial, semantic, and dynamic abduction.
result Demonstrates high-level semantic identity preservation and principled trade-offs between faithful causal control and identity preservation.

Proposes MOC method for better counterfactual explanations in ML models.

problem Difficulties in balancing multiple objectives for counterfactual explanations.
method Translates counterfactual search into a multi-objective optimization problem.
result Returns diverse counterfactuals with different trade-offs and maintains feature diversity.

Proposes Exogenous Matching for efficient counterfactual estimation.

problem Efficient estimation of counterfactual expressions in general settings.
method Transforms variance minimization into conditional distribution learning.
result Outperforms other importance sampling methods in counterfactual estimation.

The paper tackles spurious correlations in machine learning models and introduces counterfactual invariance.

problem Spurious correlations in machine learning models that depend on irrelevant parts of input data.
method The paper uses causal inference to stress test models and introduces counterfactual invariance as a formal requirement.
result Counterfactual invariance is a requirement for models to be robust to irrelevant perturbations in input data.