The discrete sum of geometric Brownian motions plays an important role in modeling stochastic annuities in insurance. It also plays a pivotal role in the pricing of Asian options in mathematical finance. In this paper, we study the probability distributions of the infinite sum of geometric Brownian motions, the sum of …
Solves optimal liquidation problem for stock price following geometric Brownian motion.
problem Optimal liquidation problem for stock price process following geometric Brownian motion.
method Functional analysis tools; working in terms of cash.
result Explicit solution to the problem, extending to stochastic drift.
The paper studies the question of whether the classical mirror and synchronous couplings of two Brownian motions minimise and maximise, respectively, the coupling time of the corresponding geometric Brownian motions. We establish a characterisation of the optimality of the two couplings over any finite time horizon and…
Reflected geometric Brownian motion models are not arbitrage-free.
problem No-arbitrage condition violation in financial markets.
method Analysis of reflected geometric Brownian motion models.
result Models violate even the weakest no-arbitrage condition.
Paper compares stock price prediction models using Heston and Geometric Brownian Motion.
problem Predicting stock prices accurately.
method Developed Heston and Geometric Brownian Motion models using Ito's lemma and Euler-Maruyama methods.
result Models outperform statistical indicators in predicting stock prices.
In this paper we revisit the integral functional of geometric Brownian motion It=∫0te−(μs+σWs)ds, where μ∈R, σ>0, and (Ws)s>0 is a standard Brownian motion. Specifically, we calculate the Laplace transform in t of the cumulative distribution function and of the probability density …
The evolution of prices on ideal market is given by geometrical Brownian motion, where Gaussian white noise describes fluctuations. We study the effect of correlations introduced by a color noise.
New method calculates geometric Brownian motion with affine drift and its integral.
problem Calculating the distribution of geometric Brownian motion with affine drift and its integral.
method Laplace transform approach and Heun differential equation.
result Joint distribution of geometric Brownian motion with affine drift and its integral can be determined.
An innovative extension of Geometric Brownian Motion model is developed by incorporating a weighting factor and a stochastic function modelled as a mixture of power and trigonometric functions. Simulations based on this Modified Brownian Motion Model with optimal weighting factors selected by goodness of fit tests, sub…
Unified geometric framework for Brownian motion on various manifolds.
problem Modeling Brownian motion on complex Riemannian manifolds.
method Constructing stochastic differential equations with noise and drift terms aligned with Laplace-Beltrami operators.
result Geometrically transparent and mathematically consistent foundation for diffusion processes.
Study bounds for Brownian motion on manifolds with sticky boundary conditions.
problem Proving geometric bounds for Brownian motion on manifolds with sticky boundary conditions.
method Interpolation involving energy interactions between boundary and interior of the manifold.
result Explicit geometric bounds on Steklov eigenvalues, boundary trace operators, and boundary trace logarithmic Sobolev constants.
The paper proposes estimators for bid-ask spreads with and without serial dependence.
problem Estimating bid-ask spreads in financial markets with and without serial dependence.
method The authors propose moment-based estimators for bid-ask spreads, considering both geometric Brownian motion and geometric fractional Brownian motion for price dynamics, and Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process for microstructure noise.
result The estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal, and perform well compared to existing approaches on simulated data.
Geometric Bass martingales linked to Brownian motion and geometric Brownian motion.
problem Modeling continuous martingales with prescribed initial and terminal distributions.
method Developed geometric Bass martingales and established their properties.
result Explicit bijection and representation of geometric Bass martingales.
Paper offers a fast method to assess DeFi liquidation risk.
problem Assessing liquidation risk in DeFi stablecoin lending.
method Modeling collateral exchange rate as zero-drift geometric Brownian motion.
result Derives an exact formula for liquidation probability.
Modeling price dynamics in AMMs with fees using geometric Brownian motion.
problem Understanding price dynamics in AMMs with transaction fees.
method Geometric Brownian motion, local times, excursion theory.
result Derivation of time-changed representation and limiting behavior of AMM prices.
We construct a binomial tree model fitting all moments to the approximated geometric Brownian motion. Our construction generalizes the classical Cox-Ross-Rubinstein, the Jarrow-Rudd, and the Tian binomial tree models. The new binomial model is used to resolve a discontinuity problem in option pricing.
The time average of geometric Brownian motion plays a crucial role in the pricing of Asian options in mathematical finance. In this paper we consider the asymptotics of the discrete-time average of a geometric Brownian motion sampled on uniformly spaced times in the limit of a very large number of averaging time steps.…
Asymptotic Laplace transform for geometric Brownian motion applied to bond pricing.
problem Laplace transform of geometric Brownian motion time integral.
method Asymptotic analysis for σ2To0 limit. result Approximation for zero coupon bond prices in Dothan model.
To convert standard Brownian motion Z into a positive process, Geometric Brownian motion (GBM) eβZt,β>0 is widely used. We generalize this positive process by introducing an asymmetry parameter α≥0 which describes the instantaneous volatility whenever the process reaches a new low. For our new process, …
Exponential functionals of Brownian motion have been extensively studied in financial and insurance mathematics due to their broad applications, for example, in the pricing of Asian options. The Black-Scholes model is appealing because of mathematical tractability, yet empirical evidence shows that geometric Brownian m…
GMMNs model cross-sectional dependence for better option pricing and simulation.
problem Modeling cross-sectional dependence between stochastic processes.
method Generative moment matching networks (GMMNs) for geometric Brownian motions and ARMA-GARCH models.
result GMMNs produce dependent quasi-random samples with variance reduction.
Entropy corrections improve GBM's predictive accuracy for non-log-normal distributions.
problem Log-normal distribution limitations in GBM predictions.
method Entropy corrections to geometric Brownian motion (GBM).
result Improved predictive accuracy for non-log-normal distributions.
We study how resetting affects geometric Brownian motion, showing it becomes stationary but remains non-ergodic.
problem Effects of stochastic resetting on geometric Brownian motion.
method Analysis of geometric Brownian motion under stochastic resetting.
result Resetting makes geometric Brownian motion stationary but non-ergodic.
Researchers develop a generalised geometric Brownian motion for better asset pricing.
problem Irregularities in simple geometric Brownian motion for asset dynamics.
method Introduce a memory kernel to generalise GBM, derive moments and probability density functions.
result The performance of kernels in pricing options depends on option maturity and moneyness.
The aim of this paper is to evaluate geometric Asian option by a mixed fractional subdiffusive Black-Scholes model. We derive a pricing formula for geometric Asian option when the underlying stock follows a time changed mixed fractional Brownian motion. We then apply the results to price Asian power options on the stoc…
The long-term dependence of Bitcoin (BTC), manifesting itself through a Hurst exponent H>0.5, is exploited in order to predict future BTC/USD price. A Monte Carlo simulation with 104 geometric fractional Brownian motion realisations is performed as extensions of historical data. The accuracy of statistical inferen…
Geometric Brownian motion (GBM) is a model for systems as varied as financial instruments and populations. The statistical properties of GBM are complicated by non-ergodicity, which can lead to ensemble averages exhibiting exponential growth while any individual trajectory collapses according to its time-average. A com…
Estimates returns for dollar cost averaging using geometric Brownian motion.
problem Estimating returns for dollar cost averaging investing strategy.
method Uses geometric Brownian motion and log-Normal distribution to construct a lower bound for returns. Computes parameters recursively and in closed form for dollar cost averaging. Compares to lump sum investing for matching wealth distributions.
result Probability of negative returns is less than 2.5% for 40 years of annual dollar cost averaging.
Geometric Brownian motion simulates stock prices for Brazilian small caps index.
problem Simulating stock prices for the Brazilian small caps index.
method Used geometric Brownian motion to simulate stock prices of Brazilian small caps index using historical data.
result Simulated prices better for portfolios with higher returns, lower risks, and higher Sharpe Indexes.
Study investigates ruin probability with random premiums and risky investments.
problem Ruin probability with random premiums and risky investments.
method Laplace transform applied to a model with geometric Brownian motion.
result Asymptotic behavior of ruin probability for large initial capital values.
We extend martingale transport results to weak martingale transport.
problem Applying martingale transport results to weak martingale transport.
method Change of numeraire for weak martingale transport.
result Established the correspondence between stretched Brownian motion and its geometric counterpart.
Study finds GBM model accurately predicts stock prices on Ghana Stock Exchange.
problem Investigating the suitability of GBM for modeling stock price dynamics.
method Geometric Brownian Motion model applied to weekly and monthly returns of equities listed on the Ghana Stock Exchange.
result GBM model accurately forecasts stock prices with minimal deviations, as evidenced by MSE evaluations.
Study of a generalized geometric Brownian motion with varying entry and exit rates.
problem Understanding the long-run behavior of economic systems with growth, volatility, entry, and exit.
method Generalized geometric Brownian motion framework with varying entry and exit rates, analyzing moments and survival probability.
result Optimal exit rate minimizes mean first-passage time, influencing system outcome.
Study on the geometric Dyson Brownian motion of non-square matrix products.
problem Understanding the spectrum of a product of non-square random matrices.
method Proportional depth-width limit followed by mean-field limit, solving Burgers equation.
result Free log-normal law is obtained in the identity-start case.
Innovative extensions to option pricing models using asymmetric Brownian motion and random walk approaches.
problem Capturing empirical phenomena like return skewness, heavy tails, and volatility asymmetry in option pricing models.
method Developing the Geometric Asymmetric Brownian Motion (GABM) within the Bachelier--Black--Scholes--Merton framework.
result Deriving closed-form option pricing formulas and a discrete-time binomial tree algorithm that converges to the GABM limit.
Study Brownian loops on hyperbolic surfaces, linking to Selberg zeta function.
problem Understanding Brownian loops on hyperbolic surfaces and their relation to Selberg zeta function.
method Computed mass of loops and related to Selberg zeta function for geometrically finite surfaces.
result Relate total loop mass to Selberg zeta function, providing probabilistic interpretations of determinants.
Study on determinants of unitary Brownian motion and their asymptotic laws.
problem Understanding determinants of unitary Brownian motion and their behavior over time.
method Using Stiefel fibration and skew-product decomposition of the Stiefel Brownian motion.
result Prove asymptotic laws for determinants of block entries of unitary Brownian motion.
Researchers created a continuous Markov martingale that mimics Brownian motion but lacks the strong Markov property.
problem Constructing a continuous Markov martingale with Brownian marginals that misses the strong Markov property.
method Developed a new approach to create a continuous Markov martingale that differs from Brownian motion in terms of the strong Markov property.
result A continuous Markov martingale with Brownian marginals that lacks the strong Markov property was successfully constructed.
We study the radial part of sub-Riemannian Brownian motion in the context of totally geodesic foliations. Itô's formula is proved for the radial processes associated to Riemannian distances approximating the Riemannian one. We deduce very general stochastic completeness criteria for the sub-Riemannian Brownian motion. …
Study refracted skew Brownian motion, find densities and asymptotics.
problem Modeling and analyzing refracted skew Brownian motion.
method Perturbation approach to find potential densities, transition density, and asymptotic behaviors.
result Expressions and asymptotic behaviors of refracted skew Brownian motion.
In the paper "On Truncated Variation of Brownian Motion with Drift" (Bull. Pol. Acad. Sci. Math. 56 (2008), no.4, 267 - 281) we defined truncated variation of Brownian motion with drift, Wt=Bt+μt,t≥0, where (Bt) is a standard Brownian motion. Truncated variation differs from regular variation by neglect…
Paper defines multi-dimensional fractional Brownian motion under volatility uncertainty.
problem Volatility uncertainty in fractional Brownian motion.
method Definition and study of multi-dimensional fractional Brownian motion (G-fBm) with Hurst index.
result First results on stochastic calculus for G-fBm with Hurst index > 0.5.
New model uses generalized fractional Brownian motion for stock price prediction.
problem Traditional models fail to accurately predict stock price fluctuations.
method Introduces generalized fractional Brownian motion as a new stochastic process for price modeling.
result Validates the new model for option pricing and risk assessment.
Invariance principle proved for lifted geodesic walks on Riemannian submersions.
problem Proving convergence to horizontal Brownian motion for lifted geodesic walks.
method Appropriate conditions on geodesic random walks' speed; proving invariance principle.
result Convergence to horizontal Brownian motion for lifted geodesic walks.
In this paper, we consider the asset-liability management under the mean-variance criterion. The financial market consists of a risk-free bond and a stock whose price process is modeled by a geometric Brownian motion. The liability of the investor is uncontrollable and is modeled by another geometric Brownian motion. W…
Geodesic walks converge to Brownian motion on Finsler manifolds.
problem Understanding random walks on Finsler manifolds.
method Analyzing convergence of geodesic random walks to diffusion processes.
result The Brownian motion on a Riemannian metric is a key result.
New SDEs use G-Brownian motion, extending mean-field models.
problem Extending mean-field models to new types of stochastic processes.
method Introduced G-SDEs with coefficients dependent on current state and solution as random variable. result Validated new SDE framework for complex stochastic systems.
We consider a limit order book, where buyers and sellers register to trade a security at specific prices. The largest price buyers on the book are willing to offer is called the market bid price, and the smallest price sellers on the book are willing to accept is called the market ask price. Market ask price is always …