Improved estimation of VAR-Moving Average models using GLS.
arXiv research
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Study on consistency of ML methods for moving objects in non-stationary environments.
Optimal weight windows are found by projecting the origin onto a convex polytope.
Five simple soft sensor methodologies with two update conditions were compared on two experimentally-obtained datasets and one simulated dataset. The soft sensors investigated were moving window partial least squares regression (and a recursive variant), moving window random forest regression, the mean moving window of…
Optimizes prediction error method for time-varying models.
We propose a method for pricing American options whose pay-off depends on the moving average of the underlying asset price. The method uses a finite dimensional approximation of the infinite-dimensional dynamics of the moving average process based on a truncated Laguerre series expansion. The resulting problem is a fin…
GMLS-Nets extend CNNs to unstructured data points.
Dynamic trading strategies, in the spirit of trend-following or mean-reversion, represent an only partly understood but lucrative and pervasive area of modern finance. Assuming Gaussian returns and Gaussian dynamic weights or signals, (e.g., linear filters of past returns, such as simple moving averages, exponential we…
Gradient descent fails to train two-layer ReLU networks, leading to poor performance.
We study randomized sketching methods for approximately solving least-squares problem with a general convex constraint. The quality of a least-squares approximation can be assessed in different ways: either in terms of the value of the quadratic objective function (cost approximation), or in terms of some distance meas…
This paper presents an automatic approach for selecting optimal meta-models for sensitivity analysis in complex systems.
The study addresses fitting manifolds in high-dimensional ambient space.
The paper proposes a least squares method for binary compressive sampling with low intrinsic dimension signals.
CD converges linearly for MCP/SCAD penalized least squares.
Shear moves connect square-tiled surfaces in quadratic differentials.
Sparse linear regression, which entails finding a sparse solution to an underdetermined system of linear equations, can formally be expressed as an -constrained least-squares problem. The Orthogonal Least-Squares (OLS) algorithm sequentially selects the features (i.e., columns of the coefficient matrix) to greedil…
Reduced-rank method improves least-squares regression under output regularity.
Yoshikawa moves were introduced at least quarter-century ago and are still actively used by researchers. For any marked graph diagram we will define its twisted diagram and its mirror cut surface. By using a surface-link group of a mirror cut surface of a twisted diagram we will prove the independence of Yoshikawa eigh…
We present an algorithm for approximating a function defined over a -dimensional manifold utilizing only noisy function values at locations sampled from the manifold with noise. To produce the approximation we do not require any knowledge regarding the manifold other than its dimension . We use the Manifold Movin…
In order to avoid the curse of dimensionality, frequently encountered in Big Data analysis, there was a vast development in the field of linear and nonlinear dimension reduction techniques in recent years. These techniques (sometimes referred to as manifold learning) assume that the scattered input data is lying on a l…
ESNs trained with Tikhonov least squares approximate ergodic dynamical systems in L2(μ) norm.
New method corrects least-squares temporal difference for better lambda-return estimation.
Illustrates interleaved learning with Kalman Filter for linear least squares.
We propose a new forward-backward stochastic differential equation solver for high-dimensional derivatives pricing problems by combining deep learning solver with least square regression technique widely used in the least square Monte Carlo method for the valuation of American options. Our numerical experiments demonst…
Cross validation residuals are well known for the ordinary least squares model. Here leave-M-out cross validation is extended to generalised least squares. The relationship between cross validation residuals and Cook's distance is demonstrated, in terms of an approximation to the difference in the generalised residual …
This paper optimizes sampling for least-squares approximation.
We introduce the implicitly constrained least squares (ICLS) classifier, a novel semi-supervised version of the least squares classifier. This classifier minimizes the squared loss on the labeled data among the set of parameters implied by all possible labelings of the unlabeled data. Unlike other discriminative semi-s…
We compare the risk of ridge regression to a simple variant of ordinary least squares, in which one simply projects the data onto a finite dimensional subspace (as specified by a Principal Component Analysis) and then performs an ordinary (un-regularized) least squares regression in this subspace. This note shows that …
Study improves least squares estimation for heavy-tailed errors.
Least squares estimator fails to achieve optimal risk in bounded distributions, but non-linear predictors can.
Speeds up complex portfolio exposure calculations.
The paper examines prediction and estimation risks of ridgeless least squares under general error assumptions.
Improved Least-Squares Monte Carlo with finite-difference ansatz.
Polyak proved that the set is a minimal generating set of oriented Reidemeister moves. One may distinguish between forward and backward moves, obtaining different types of moves, which we call directed oriented Reidemeister moves. In this article we prove that the set of $…
New method for option pricing using Monte Carlo and least squares.
Roseman moves are seven types of local modification for surface-link diagrams in -space which generate ambient isotopies of surface-links in -space. In this paper, we focus on Roseman moves involving triple points, one of which is the famous tetrahedral move, and discuss their independence. For each diagram of an…
The paper improves Kaczmarz algorithm with momentum for linear least squares.
New algorithm improves online binary classification with constant time complexity.
New moves prove crossing number sum for knots.
A fast sketching algorithm solves regularized least squares problems efficiently.
Paper uses deep learning to solve PDEs without supervision.
We study distributed learning with the least squares regularization scheme in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). By a divide-and-conquer approach, the algorithm partitions a data set into disjoint data subsets, applies the least squares regularization scheme to each data subset to produce an output function, an…
Least squares kernel based methods have been widely used in regression problems due to the simple implementation and good generalization performance. Among them, least squares support vector regression (LS-SVR) and extreme learning machine (ELM) are popular techniques. However, the noise sensitivity is a major bottlene…
Ordinary least squares (OLS) is the default method for fitting linear models, but is not applicable for problems with dimensionality larger than the sample size. For these problems, we advocate the use of a generalized version of OLS motivated by ridge regression, and propose two novel three-step algorithms involving l…
Proposes a partitioned least squares model for feature grouping.
Study identifies and validates a method for system identification of Markov jump linear systems.
The telegraph process models a random motion with finite velocity and it is usually proposed as an alternative to diffusion models. The process describes the position of a particle moving on the real line, alternatively with constant velocity or . The changes of direction are governed by an homogeneous Poisso…
Synthesizes robust estimators for domain adaptation.