A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Paper improves PAC-Bayesian bounds for linear regression.
problem Improving PAC-Bayesian error bounds for linear regression.
method Proposes a tighter error bound for linear regression that converges to the generalization loss with a well-chosen temperature parameter. Also applies to non-i.i.d. training data.
result Error bound applies to certain time series generated by dynamical models.
New bounds on generalization error using information density moments.
problem Bounding the generalization error of randomized learning algorithms.
method Derives bounds on average and tail probabilities of generalization error using mth central moments of the information density.
result Explicit bounds on generalization error are derived, showing better dependence on confidence level with higher-order information density moments.
This article studies the achievable guarantees on the error rates of certain learning algorithms, with particular focus on refining logarithmic factors. Many of the results are based on a general technique for obtaining bounds on the error rates of sample-consistent classifiers with monotonic error regions, in the real…
The success of deep learning has led to a rising interest in the generalization property of the stochastic gradient descent (SGD) method, and stability is one popular approach to study it. Existing works based on stability have studied nonconvex loss functions, but only considered the generalization error of the SGD in…
An information-theoretic upper bound on the generalization error of supervised learning algorithms is derived. The bound is constructed in terms of the mutual information between each individual training sample and the output of the learning algorithm. The bound is derived under more general conditions on the loss func…
This paper examines error bounds for deep learning classifiers with noisy labels.
problem Understanding the performance of classifiers trained on noisy data.
method Derives error bounds for excess risk, decomposing it into statistical and approximation errors. Uses independent block construction for statistical dependencies and vector-valued setting for approximation error.
result Established theoretical results for error bounds in deep learning with noisy labels, mitigating the impact of high-dimensional input spaces.
In statistical learning theory, generalization error is used to quantify the degree to which a supervised machine learning algorithm may overfit to training data. Recent work [Xu and Raginsky (2017)] has established a bound on the generalization error of empirical risk minimization based on the mutual information $I(S;…
In this work, we present a novel upper bound of target error to address the problem for unsupervised domain adaptation. Recent studies reveal that a deep neural network can learn transferable features which generalize well to novel tasks. Furthermore, a theory proposed by Ben-David et al. (2010) provides a upper bound …
In this paper, we obtain generic bounds on the variances of estimation and prediction errors in time series analysis via an information-theoretic approach. It is seen in general that the error bounds are determined by the conditional entropy of the data point to be estimated or predicted given the side information or p…
The paper bounds the mean absolute error in DNN vector-to-vector regression.
problem Bounding the mean absolute error in deep neural network based vector-to-vector regression.
method Error decomposition techniques in statistical learning theory and non-convex optimization theory were used to derive upper bounds for approximation, estimation, and optimization errors.
result Theoretical upper bounds for mean absolute error in DNN vector-to-vector regression were derived and validated experimentally.
Generalization error (also known as the out-of-sample error) measures how well the hypothesis learned from training data generalizes to previously unseen data. Proving tight generalization error bounds is a central question in statistical learning theory. In this paper, we obtain generalization error bounds for learnin…