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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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2645287911,055 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for General Covariance

This paper analyzes generalization for linear models with spiked covariance structures.

problem Understanding the generalization performance of linear models with spiked covariance structures.
method Derives the generalization error for two simple models with spiked covariances using random matrix theory.
result The eigenvector and eigenvalue corresponding to the spike significantly influence the generalization error.

This paper explores how effective sample size, dimensionality, and model performance are related in covariate shift adaptation.

problem Understanding the relationship between effective sample size, dimensionality, and generalization in covariate shift adaptation.
method Building a unified theory connecting effective sample size, data dimensionality, and generalization in the context of covariate shift adaptation.
result Dimensionality reduction or feature selection can increase effective sample size, supporting the practice of reducing dimensionality before covariate shift adaptation.

The paper proves a new method to improve generalization in covariate-shift scenarios.

problem Improving performance on test distributions that differ from training distributions.
method Independence-driven importance weighting algorithms for feature selection.
result Theoretical proof that these algorithms can identify optimal variables for covariate-shift generalization.

The paper addresses the selection of synthetic data for improving classifier performance, focusing on the role of covariance shift.

problem The effectiveness of synthetic data in improving classifier performance is questioned, and the specific properties affecting this performance are unclear.
method The paper uses high-dimensional regression to analyze synthetic data selection, focusing on the covariance shift between synthetic and target distributions.
result The covariance shift between synthetic and target distributions affects the generalization error of classifiers, but the mean shift does not.

When a gauge-natural invariant variational principle is assigned, to determine {\em canonical} covariant conservation laws, the vertical part of gauge-natural lifts of infinitesimal principal automorphisms -- defining infinitesimal variations of sections of gauge-natural bundles -- must satisfy generalized Jacobi equat…

2004-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper presents a new framework for covariance matrix estimation with geometric insights.

problem Challenges in covariance matrix estimation, especially in finding suitable models and efficient estimation methods.
method General framework for linear restrictions on different transformations of the covariance matrix, including matrix logarithm and its inverse.
result Yields an MM-estimator with MM-estimation allowing for straightforward asymptotic and finite sample analysis.

This study approximates distances between Gaussian processes and covariance operators using RKHS.

problem Approximating distances between Gaussian processes and covariance operators from finite samples.
method Using reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) covariance and cross-covariance operators, the study shows how to consistently and efficiently estimate Sinkhorn divergence from finite samples.
result Convergence rates are dimension-independent and of the same order as Hilbert-Schmidt distance.

Designing a covariance function that represents the underlying correlation is a crucial step in modeling complex natural systems, such as climate models. Geospatial datasets at a global scale usually suffer from non-stationarity and non-uniformly smooth spatial boundaries. A Gaussian process regression using a non-stat…

2015-07-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on estimating distances between covariance operators and Gaussian processes.

problem Estimating distances between covariance operators and Gaussian processes.
method Riemannian distances, concentration results for Hilbert space-valued random variables, RKHS covariance and cross-covariance operators.
result Both distances converge in the Hilbert-Schmidt norm and can be consistently and efficiently estimated.

Constructs covariant derivatives for Ehresmann connections.

problem Developing a method for covariant derivatives in fibre bundles.
method Introducing a vertical endomorphism to construct covariant derivatives on vertical and horizontal distributions.
result Covariant derivatives can be constructed separately on vertical and horizontal distributions and then glued together.

Study semi-supervised learning with noisy proxy covariates, deriving bounds and showing gains.

problem Learning from noisy proxy covariates with scarce labels.
method Two-stage estimator learning kernel eigenfeatures from all proxy covariates and fitting a ridge predictor on labeled data.
result Finite sample bounds show fast labeled sample rates and consistent gains over supervised and semi-supervised baselines.

Enhanced Transformer models predict ETF portfolio performance by optimizing covariance and semi-covariance matrices.

problem Static covariance estimates fail to capture dynamic market fluctuations and non-linear correlations.
method Transformer-based models for real-time covariance and semi-covariance predictions.
result Portfolios optimized with semi-covariance matrix outperform those with standard covariance matrix, especially in volatile conditions.

New methods estimate survival functions with time-varying covariates.

problem Estimating survival functions with time-varying covariates.
method Generalized conditional inference and relative risk forests, adapted transformation forest.
result Proposed methods outperform traditional models in estimating survival functions.

Better signal detection in undersampled data using joint and cross covariances.

problem Detecting shared signals in high-dimensional data with limited samples.
method Analysis of three covariance matrices: individual, cross, and joint.
result Joint and cross covariance matrices detect signals earlier than individual covariances.

The paper argues for using Neyman orthogonal score for balancing in debiased machine learning.

problem Debiased machine learning requires a proper approach to balance covariates.
method The paper advocates for using Riesz regression with basis functions of X for balancing.
result Covariate balancing is only valid when the score-relevant regression error is a function of covariates alone.

Estimates covariance matrices with correlations between samples.

problem Estimating large-dimensional covariance matrices with correlated samples.
method Generalized Marcenko-Pastur equation and Ledoit-Peche shrinkage estimator using random matrix theory and free probability. Developed an efficient algorithm based on Ledoit-Wolf kernel estimation.
result Efficient algorithm for estimating large covariance matrices with correlations.

Proposes SVI for covariate-shift generalization with sparse variable independence.

problem Covariate-shift generalization with limited data and unstable variables.
method Introduces sparsity constraint and combines reweighting and selection in an iterative way.
result Improves covariate-shift generalization performance on synthetic and real-world datasets.

Diagonal transformations preserve independence structures in non-Gaussian distributions.

problem Preserving independence structures in non-Gaussian distributions.
method Diagonal nonlinear transformations of multivariate normal variables.
result Independence structures are preserved in non-Gaussian distributions under diagonal transformations.

Homotopy equivalence between formalities with different covariant derivatives.

problem Formality of Dolgushev depends on covariant derivative choice.
method Proved homotopy equivalence of LL_\infty-morphisms twisted by gauge equivalent elements.
result Globalized formalities with different covariant derivatives are homotopic.

Study forecasts volatility and risk in electricity markets using matrix-HAR models.

problem Forecasting volatility and risk in electricity markets.
method Constructed a parsimonious matrix-HAR type model to estimate realized covariation and risk premia in electricity markets.
result Inclusion of longer time horizons and renewable generation information improves forecasts.

The paper defines MTCov for skewed elliptical distributions.

problem No specific problem stated, but dealing with skewed elliptical distributions.
method Defined MTCov for generalized skew-elliptical distributions and compared with skewed and non-skewed normal distributions.
result Special formula for MTCov of generalized skew-elliptical distributions.

Researchers create a family of conformally covariant operators.

problem Developing a comprehensive set of conformally covariant operators.
method Constructing a family of conformally covariant tridifferential operators as tangential operators in the Fefferman--Graham ambient space.
result Symmetrization of ambient operators is formally self-adjoint.

A new mathematical approach to general covariance using stacks and Lie algebras.

problem Understanding general covariance in curved spacetime field theories.
method Using stacks and groupoids to study the quotient of metrics modulo diffeomorphism, and analyzing the tangent complex and Lie algebra actions.
result Recovering a novel expression for the stress-energy tensor in scalar field theories.

Paper tackles backwards-compatible data adaptation for confounded covariate and label shifts.

problem Adapt covariates to predict labels confounded with covariate shifts.
method Proposes confounded shift framework based on minimizing divergence between source and target conditional distributions, conditioning on confounders.
result Demonstrates approach on synthetic and real datasets, achieving backwards-compatible data adaptation.

A new ranking model with dynamic covariates improves statistical analysis.

problem Statistical ranking with varying covariates across comparisons.
method Introduced a Plackett--Luce framework for covariate-assisted ranking, providing conditions for model identifiability and MLE existence, and developing an alternating maximization algorithm.
result Uniform consistency of the Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) under suitable assumptions on graph design and covariates.

A new method identifies class-specific covariates in multi-class prediction tasks.

problem Identifying covariates specifically associated with one or more outcome classes in multi-class prediction tasks.
method Introducing multi forests (MuFs) with multi-way and binary splits to measure class-associated discriminatory ability.
result The multi-class VIM specifically ranks class-associated covariates highly, unlike conventional VIMs.

This paper rethinks confidence calibration under covariate shifts.

problem Calibration methods struggle with covariate shifts and unstable importance weighting.
method Derives Expectation consistency condition and proposes Expectation consistency loss (ECL).
result ECL loss is compatible with various types of calibration and has the same sample complexity as ECE.