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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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6481,2971,9452,593 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Gaussian probability of maximality

LITE efficiently estimates Gaussian PoM with linear time and memory complexity.

problem Estimating the probability of maximality (PoM) of Gaussian vectors efficiently.
method LITE: entropy-regularized UCB approach for almost-linear time and memory complexity.
result Achieves state-of-the-art accuracy with significantly faster performance than existing methods.

The paper integrates behavioral distortions into portfolio optimization using implied probability weighting functions.

problem Behavioral distortions in probability weighting affect portfolio optimization under different return distributions.
method Developed a unified framework to extract probability weighting functions from optimal portfolios modeled under Gaussian and NIG distributions.
result Increasing tail fatness amplifies behavioral distortions, and shifts in risk-free rates alter the curvature of these distortions.

Kernel embeddings separate distinct probability distributions, simplifying testing.

problem Testing equality of non-atomic probability distributions.
method Kernel covariance embeddings and Gaussian measures in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces.
result Testing for singularity between Gaussian measures is equivalent to testing for equality of non-atomic probability distributions.

New findings on maximizing noise stability in partitions of Gaussian space.

problem Maximizing noise stability in partitions of Gaussian space.
method Analyzing the correlation between sets and their noise stability, proving conditional conjectures and hardness results.
result Hyperstable partitions maximize noise stability and have specific properties.

We introduce Network Maximal Correlation (NMC) as a multivariate measure of nonlinear association among random variables. NMC is defined via an optimization that infers transformations of variables by maximizing aggregate inner products between transformed variables. For finite discrete and jointly Gaussian random vari…

2016-06-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The Poisson model is frequently employed to describe count data, but in a Bayesian context it leads to an analytically intractable posterior probability distribution. In this work, we analyze a variational Gaussian approximation to the posterior distribution arising from the Poisson model with a Gaussian prior. This is…

2017-09-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Researchers use Gaussian processes to approximate Lagrange multipliers for Maximum-Entropy distributions.

problem Finding Lagrange multipliers for Maximum-Entropy distributions is computationally challenging.
method Employed Gaussian processes to approximate the Lagrange multipliers as a map of moments. Optimized hyperparameters by maximizing log-likelihood.
result Data-driven Maximum-Entropy closure performs well in approximating non-equilibrium distributions.

We consider a financial market model driven by an R^n-valued Gaussian process with stationary increments which is different from Brownian motion. This driving noise process consists of nn independent components, and each component has memory described by two parameters. For this market model, we explicitly solve optim…

2005-06-30abs ↗pdf ↗

We use matricial free energy to regularize autoencoders, producing Gaussian-like codes.

problem Generating Gaussian-like codes for autoencoders.
method Define a differentiable loss function based on singular values of the code matrix, minimizing matricial free energy.
result Minimizing matricial free energy results in Gaussian-like codes that generalize.

New algorithm for fitting Gaussian mixtures using Wasserstein-Fisher-Rao geometry.

problem Hard problem of fitting Gaussian mixture models to data computationally.
method Gradient descent over Wasserstein-Fisher-Rao geometry for probability measures.
result Established convergence guarantees for the proposed algorithm.

A new 1-iteration GMM learning algorithm improves robustness and accuracy.

problem Improving robustness and accuracy in Gaussian Mixture Model learning.
method GMM expansion idea, 1-iteration learning algorithm, theoretical proof of convergence.
result Guaranteed convergence of the new algorithm regardless initial parameters.

In this paper, the problem of maximizing a black-box function f:XRf:\mathcal{X} \to \mathbb{R} is studied in the Bayesian framework with a Gaussian Process (GP) prior. In particular, a new algorithm for this problem is proposed, and high probability bounds on its simple and cumulative regret are established. The query po…

2017-12-05abs ↗pdf ↗

A robust Gaussian process model using Huber likelihood for outlier resistance.

problem Outliers in observational data sets affect Gaussian process regression's robustness.
method Proposes a Gaussian process model with Huber likelihood and weights based on projection statistics.
result Demonstrates improved statistical efficiency and robustness to outliers.

The paper proposes a new method for dictionary learning using p\ell_p-norm maximization.

problem Complete dictionary learning problem in signal processing and data analytics.
method The paper investigates p\ell_p-norm maximization approaches for complete dictionary learning, proving global maximizers are close to the true dictionary and developing an efficient algorithm based on the generalized power method.
result The p\ell_p-based approaches are more efficient and robust than conventional methods, with p=3p=3 performing best.

This paper focuses on the problem of determining as large a region as possible where a function exceeds a given threshold with high probability. We assume that we only have access to a noise-corrupted version of the function and that function evaluations are costly. To select the next query point, we propose maximizing…

2018-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Study utility maximization with delayed information in continuous time Gaussian markets.

problem Maximizing utility with delayed information in continuous time Gaussian markets.
method Purely probabilistic approach based on Radon-Nikodym derivatives of Gaussian measures.
result Solution for optimal control and value in a specific Gaussian framework.

Optimization of very expensive black-box functions requires utilization of maximum information gathered by the process of optimization. Model Guided Sampling Optimization (MGSO) forms a more robust alternative to Jones' Gaussian-process-based EGO algorithm. Instead of EGO's maximizing expected improvement, the MGSO use…

2015-08-31abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for semi-supervised learning with missing data using GMM and margin confidence.

problem Handling missing data in semi-supervised learning with classification uncertainty.
method Explicitly models missingness mechanism, uses margin confidence and Aranda Ordaz function, develops ECM algorithm.
result Effective reduction of bias and robustness in semi-supervised learning with substantial missing labels.

Bayesian approach approximates probability functions of Gaussian mixtures.

problem Approximating probability functions of non-spherical Gaussian mixtures.
method Bayesian decomposition, spherical radial decomposition, random sampling.
result Established differentiability and integral representation of gradient for probability functions.

Convolutional sparse coding (CSC) can learn representative shift-invariant patterns from multiple kinds of data. However, existing CSC methods can only model noises from Gaussian distribution, which is restrictive and unrealistic. In this paper, we propose a general CSC model capable of dealing with complicated unknown…

2019-03-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Designs efficient algorithms to maximize the expectation of Gaussian random variables.

problem Maximizing the expectation of the supremum of Gaussian random variables.
method Polynomial time approximation scheme and O(logn)O(\log n) approximation algorithm for general m>1m>1.
result Characterizes optimal variance allocation and provides approximation algorithms.

SQFA learns features maximizing Fisher-Rao distance for better classification.

problem Improving classification accuracy through feature learning.
method SQFA learns linear features maximizing Fisher-Rao distance between class-conditional distributions.
result SQFA-H features achieve the best classification accuracy.

NPMLE estimator automatically chooses the right model complexity for Gaussian mixtures.

problem Learning mixture models and empirical Bayes estimation with non-convex likelihoods.
method Nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) using complex-analytic techniques.
result NPMLE solution has O(logn)O(\log n) atoms with high probability, improving model complexity.

The paper uses Gaussian mixture models for Bayesian networks and proposes an optimization algorithm.

problem Modeling nodes in Bayesian networks with complex distributions.
method Gaussian mixture models combined with double iteration algorithm.
result The double iteration algorithm optimizes Gaussian mixture models effectively.

Paper uses GMM and MAF for probabilistic classification, outperforming simpler models.

problem Classifying data with complex distributions.
method Density estimation using Gaussian Mixture Model and Masked Autoregressive Flow.
result Proposed classifiers outperform simpler models like linear discriminant analysis.

Information-Geometric Optimization (IGO) is a unified framework of stochastic algorithms for optimization problems. Given a family of probability distributions, IGO turns the original optimization problem into a new maximization problem on the parameter space of the probability distributions. IGO updates the parameter …

2012-11-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Two insurance companies collaborate to maximize the probability of none going bankrupt.

problem Maximizing the probability of no company bankruptcy in a correlated Brownian motion model.
method Analyzing optimal strategies and deriving explicit formulas for minimal ruin probability.
result Maximizing collaboration benefits when Brownian motions are positively correlated.

We extend Obata's rigidity theorem to free probability.

problem Establishing a free analogue of Obata's rigidity theorem.
method Analyzing self-adjoint nn-tuples with Lipschitz conjugate variables under a non-commutative curvature-dimension condition.
result The von Neumann algebra splits off a freely complemented semicircular component, revealing a rigidity mechanism under non-commutative curvature.

The paper examines utility maximization in markets with hidden Gaussian drift, finding restrictions on model parameters.

problem Utility maximization problems in markets with hidden Gaussian drift mean-reverting processes.
method Derives sufficient conditions for bounded maximum expected utility of terminal wealth for models with full and partial information.
result Restrictions on model parameters for bounded maximum expected utility.

New method estimates Gaussian copulas with missing data using EM algorithm.

problem Estimating Gaussian copulas with missing data and prior assumptions.
method Rigorous application of the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm for marginal distributions and dependence structure.
result Joint distribution learned is closer to the underlying distribution.

In a regression setup with deterministic design, we study the pure aggregation problem and introduce a natural extension from the Gaussian distribution to distributions in the exponential family. While this extension bears strong connections with generalized linear models, it does not require identifiability of the par…

2009-11-16abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a balloon estimator in a generalized expectation-maximization method for estimating all parameters of a Gaussian mixture model given one data sample per mixture component. Instead of limiting explicitly the model size, this regularization strategy yields low-complexity sparse models where the number of eff…

2018-12-11abs ↗pdf ↗

While Gaussian probability densities are omnipresent in applied mathematics, Gaussian cumulative probabilities are hard to calculate in any but the univariate case. We study the utility of Expectation Propagation (EP) as an approximate integration method for this problem. For rectangular integration regions, the approx…

2011-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

PPM improves graph matching for correlated Gaussian Wigner models with high probability.

problem Graph matching in the Correlated Gaussian Wigner model with edge correlations.
method Seeded projected power method (PPM) for iterative improvement of initial partial matches.
result PPM recovers ground-truth matching with high probability in O(log n) iterations if seed is close enough.

Optimizes target value in stochastic black box functions.

problem Finding input to minimize expected squared error to target value.
method Derives acquisition functions for expected improvement, probability of improvement, and lower confidence bound, assuming Gaussian aleatoric effects.
result Acquisition functions can outperform classical Bayesian optimization under certain conditions.