New method tightens sub-Gaussian concentration inequalities.
problem Estimating variance-type parameters of sub-Gaussian distributions.
method Using sub-Gaussian intrinsic moment norm to maximize normalized moments.
result Provides tighter sub-Gaussian concentration inequalities.
Study on Gaussian ensemble of matrix products with mixed moments computed.
problem Understanding the statistical properties of matrix products of Gaussian matrices.
method Analysis of a multi-Wishart ensemble and enumeration of non-crossing pairings.
result Mixed moments of the product matrix are computed and found to be weighted by Fuss-Catalan numbers at large N. Tensor decomposition recovers Gaussian mixtures from moments.
problem Recovering Gaussian mixture models from datasets.
method Symmetric tensor decomposition of moment tensors built from empirical moments.
result Identifiable tensors with interpolation degree less than half their order.
The paper proves that Gaussian field critical points have finite moments.
problem Proving the finiteness of moments for Gaussian field critical points.
method General approach not specific to critical points, using Taylor polynomial non-degeneracy.
result The finiteness of moments of the number of critical points of Gaussian fields.
Paper proposes a new Taylor moment expansion for non-linear Gaussian filtering and smoothing.
problem Non-linear Gaussian filtering and smoothing in continuous-discrete state-space models.
method Taylor moment expansion (TME) for moment functions directly and in time variable.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in terms of estimation accuracy and numerical stability.
This work develops efficient methods for computing moments of Gaussian mixtures.
problem Efficient computation of moments for Gaussian mixtures with large dimensions.
method Theory and numerical methods for implicit computations with moment tensors of Gaussian mixtures.
result Reduced computational and storage costs for moment tensors of Gaussian mixtures.
Machine learning models accurately predict molecular magnetic anisotropy tensors.
problem Accurately modeling molecular magnetic anisotropy tensors.
method Gaussian-moment neural-network approach for machine learning.
result Achieved accuracy of 0.3--0.4 cm−1 for magnetic anisotropy tensor predictions. Computation of moments of transformed random variables is a problem appearing in many engineering applications. The current methods for moment transformation are mostly based on the classical quadrature rules which cannot account for the approximation errors. Our aim is to design a method for moment transformation for …
DGMM improves Gaussian mixture modeling efficiency and stability.
problem Efficiently estimating Gaussian mixtures in high dimensions.
method Diagonally-weighted generalized method of moments (DGMM).
result DGMM achieves smaller estimation errors with shorter runtime.
In this paper, we establish sample path large and moderate deviation principles for log-price processes in Gaussian stochastic volatility models, and study the asymptotic behavior of exit probabilities, call pricing functions, and the implied volatility. In addition, we prove that if the volatility function in an uncor…
Learning rate needs to decrease with higher data moments for effective ICA in high dimensions.
problem Slower convergence of ICA in high-dimensional data with high-order moments.
method High-dimensional ODE analysis of ICA algorithm under controlled moment structure.
result Critical learning rate threshold for effective ICA when moments are high.
Researchers use Gaussian processes to approximate Lagrange multipliers for Maximum-Entropy distributions.
problem Finding Lagrange multipliers for Maximum-Entropy distributions is computationally challenging.
method Employed Gaussian processes to approximate the Lagrange multipliers as a map of moments. Optimized hyperparameters by maximizing log-likelihood.
result Data-driven Maximum-Entropy closure performs well in approximating non-equilibrium distributions.
Empower efficient representation of distributions through moment-preserving methods.
problem Representing high-dimensional probability measures efficiently and accurately.
method Empower efficient representation of distributions through moment-preserving methods.
result Empowers efficient and accurate representation of high-dimensional probability measures.
Derives moments of PL networks for robust DNNs.
problem Analyzing robustness of DNNs to adversarial attacks.
method Derives exact analytic expressions for moments of PL networks, generalizes variance expression, and constructs sparse and smooth adversarial attacks.
result New variance expressions are tighter and can be efficiently approximated.
Dynamic Boltzmann Machine (DyBM) has been shown highly efficient to predict time-series data. Gaussian DyBM is a DyBM that assumes the predicted data is generated by a Gaussian distribution whose first-order moment (mean) dynamically changes over time but its second-order moment (variance) is fixed. However, in many fi…
Study finds the minimum number of finite Gaussian mixtures for best approximation.
problem Finding the minimum number of finite Gaussian mixtures for best approximation.
method Local moment matching for upper bound and spectral analysis for lower bound.
result Corrects a previous lower bound in the case of Gaussian mixing distributions.
New SQ lower bounds for NGCA without requiring chi-squared condition.
problem Proving SQ hardness for NGCA under moment-matching conditions.
method General SQ lower bound methodology applied to NGCA under moment-matching conditions.
result Proved near-optimal SQ lower bounds for NGCA without chi-squared condition.
This work provides a computationally efficient and statistically consistent moment-based estimator for mixtures of spherical Gaussians. Under the condition that component means are in general position, a simple spectral decomposition technique yields consistent parameter estimates from low-order observable moments, wit…
The study proves the finiteness of moments for Gaussian field zeros and critical points.
problem Finiteness of moments for Gaussian field zeros and critical points.
method Definition and study of multijets, construction of p-multijet bundles.
result Linear statistics of Gaussian field zeros have finite p-th moments for p ≥ 1.
Factorial moments are convenient tools in nuclear physics to characterize the multiplicity distributions when phase-space resolution (Δ) becomes small. For uncorrelated particle production within Δ, Gaussian statistics holds and factorial moments Fq are equal to unity for all orders q. Correlations between par…
The non-gaussianity of processes observed in financial markets and relatively good performance of gaussian models can be reconciled by replacing the Brownian motion with Levy processes whose Levy densities decay as exp(-lambda|x|) or faster, where lambda>0 is large. This leads to asymptotic pricing models. The leading …
Sharp comparison for sub-Gaussian random variables in convex order.
problem Comparing sub-Gaussian random variables in convex order.
method Proving dominance using moment generating functions and convex functions.
result Sharp comparison established between specific sub-Gaussian random variables.
JME continually estimates data moments privately and accurately.
problem Private and accurate continual estimation of data moments.
method Uses matrix mechanism and joint sensitivity analysis.
result Improves accuracy in estimating mean and covariance with reduced noise.
Polynomial-time algorithm learns high-dimensional halfspaces without labels.
problem Learning high-dimensional halfspaces with margins in polynomial time.
method Contrastive moments and polynomial-time algorithm.
result Establishes the unique and efficient identifiability of the hidden halfspace.
Many inference problems involving questions of optimality ask for the maximum or the minimum of a finite set of unknown quantities. This technical report derives the first two posterior moments of the maximum of two correlated Gaussian variables and the first two posterior moments of the two generating variables (corre…
The paper optimizes estimating high-dimensional Gaussian mixtures without separation conditions.
problem Estimating the mixing distribution in high-dimensional Gaussian mixtures without separation conditions.
method The method of moments and careful application of moment tensors.
result The minimax rate of estimating the mixing distribution in Wasserstein distance is Θ((d/n)1/4+n−1/(4k−2)). In a recent paper [\textit{M. Cristelli, A. Zaccaria and L. Pietronero, Phys. Rev. E 85, 066108 (2012)}], Cristelli \textit{et al.} analysed relation between skewness and kurtosis for complex dynamical systems and identified two power-law regimes of non-Gaussianity, one of which scales with an exponent of 2 and the oth…
New algorithm learns HMM parameters on Riemannian manifolds.
problem Learning hidden Markov models on non-Euclidean spaces.
method Geometric method of moments algorithm for Riemannian manifolds.
result Significantly improved speed and accuracy compared to existing methods.
A new method calculates fractional moments using the moment-generating function.
problem Computing fractional moments from probability densities.
method Integral framework based on moment-generating function.
result Exact integral expressions for various types of moments.
Develops efficient algorithms for learning latent-variable models using implicit moment tensor computation.
problem Learning latent-variable models with moment tensors of super-constant degree.
method Implicit moment tensor computation for general models, extending previous work on clustering mixtures of spherical Gaussians.
result First poly(d, k) time learning algorithms for various models including mixtures of linear regressions, spherical Gaussians, and positive linear combinations of non-linear activations.
The paper examines Nash equilibrium in GANs for stationary Gaussian processes.
problem Existence and uniqueness of Nash equilibrium in GANs for stationary Gaussian processes.
method Analyzes the existence of Nash equilibrium in GANs for stationary Gaussian processes, considering different discriminator families.
result The existence of Nash equilibrium depends on the discriminator family and symmetry properties of the generator family.
Paper proposes an efficient algorithm to handle high-order portfolio moments.
problem Designing portfolios with high-order moments (skewness and kurtosis) is computationally challenging.
method Proposes a SCA algorithm framework for solving high-order portfolios efficiently.
result Demonstrates the efficiency of the proposed algorithm through numerical experiments.
Proposes efficient Gaussian approximations for non-Gaussian likelihoods.
problem Computational challenges in learning and inference with non-Gaussian likelihoods.
method Variational inference and moment matching in transformed bases.
result Good approximation quality for binary and multiclass classification.
Unified framework for FDR control in knockoffs, validating Gaussian knockoffs.
problem Asymptotic FDR control in knockoffs with user-specified distributions.
method Unified theoretical framework, three conditions on approximate knockoff statistics, Gaussian knockoffs generator based on moments matching.
result Gaussian knockoffs generator achieves asymptotic FDR control.
We propose a new method of measuring the third and fourth moments of return distribution based on quadratic variation method when the return process is assumed to have zero drift. The realized third and fourth moments variations computed from high frequency return series are good approximations to corresponding actual …
The paper sets limits on the accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts based on statistical moments and trade volumes.
problem Uncertainty in predicting macroeconomic variables like prices and returns.
method Defines theoretical lower bounds of uncertainty and upper limits on forecast accuracy based on statistical moments and trade volumes.
result Accuracy of forecasts of probabilities of macroeconomic variables doesn't exceed Gaussian approximations.
Ens-CGP synthesizes ensemble-based inference with Gaussian processes.
problem Ensemble-based inference and Gaussian process modeling.
method Formulates Ens-CGP as a conditional Gaussian process for ensemble moments.
result Ens-CGP provides a unified probabilistic foundation for Kalman-type methods.
Improved neural network models predict molecular and material properties efficiently.
problem Training neural networks for accurate interatomic potentials is computationally expensive.
method Gaussian moment-based neural networks with improved architecture and active learning.
result The new models achieve high accuracy and reduced training times.
We show how to compute lower bounds for the supremum Bayes error if the class-conditional distributions must satisfy moment constraints, where the supremum is with respect to the unknown class-conditional distributions. Our approach makes use of Curto and Fialkow's solutions for the truncated moment problem. The lower …
The third moment variation of a financial asset return process is defined by the quadratic covariation between the return and square return processes. The skew and fat tail risk of an underlying asset can be hedged using a third moment variation swap under which a predetermined fixed leg and the floating leg of the rea…
We improve bounds for stochastic processes, especially those with heavy tails.
problem Bounding the concentration of sub-ψ processes with heavy tails. method Variational approach to concentration, focusing on sub-Gaussian and other tail conditions.
result First dimension-free self-normalized empirical Bernstein inequality.
New method approximates diffusion process posteriors using moment functions.
problem Approximating posteriors of stochastic differential equations.
method Constructs variational process as controlled prior, approximates posterior with moment functions, uses natural gradient descent.
result Richer variational approximations for state-dependent diffusion terms.
Unified framework for mean testing under truncation bias.
problem High-dimensional mean testing under arbitrary truncation.
method Characterizes fundamental limits and develops a simple second-order test.
result Unified framework connects finite-moment, sub-Gaussian, and median-regular structural regimes.
A2-SBNN models spatial data with copulas for non-Gaussian dependencies.
problem Capturing complex spatial relationships and extreme dependencies in non-Gaussian data.
method Embedding A2 copula into a Bayesian neural network, trained with Wasserstein loss and moment matching.
result A2-SBNN consistently delivers high accuracy across various dependency strengths.
Derives a series expansion for Asian option pricing with polynomial jump-diffusion moments.
problem Pricing Asian options with polynomial jump-diffusion processes.
method Uses Hermite polynomials and moments of the underlying process for closed-form computation.
result Explicit computation of Greeks and accurate series expansion for Asian options.
Exact simulation of correlated binary outcomes using PMF constraints and linear programming.
problem Simulating dependent Bernoulli outcomes with specific means and correlations.
method Formulate the problem over the joint Bernoulli PMF, impose constraints, and solve as a linear program. Use convex-hull characterization and truncated-moment completion scheme for feasibility and simulation.
result Exact simulation framework for correlated binary outcomes, providing a convex-hull characterization and truncated-moment completion scheme.
The Gaussian mixture model is a classic technique for clustering and data modeling that is used in numerous applications. With the rise of big data, there is a need for parameter estimation techniques that can handle streaming data and distribute the computation over several processors. While online variants of the Exp…
Model predicts epileptic seizures with high accuracy using EEG signals.
problem Predicting epileptic seizures with high accuracy for diagnosis and treatment.
method Pearson's product-moment correlation coefficient with a linear classifier on generalized Gaussian modeling.
result 100% effectiveness for sensitivity and specificity greater than 83%.