New framework uses dynamics to justify Gaussian process for turbulent flows.
problem Lack of rigorous justification for Gaussian process priors in turbulent flows.
method Introduces a dynamics-informed Gaussian process framework based on quasi-Gaussianity.
result Provides a principled, long-time dynamical justified GP prior for turbulent flows.
Deep learning models converge to Gaussian dynamics with mixed structured inputs.
problem Understanding neural network dynamics with complex input distributions.
method Extended hidden manifold model to Gaussian mixtures, analyzed via SGD.
result Learning dynamics with mixed inputs converge to Gaussian behavior.
dynoGP uses deep Gaussian processes for dynamic system identification.
problem System identification for complex dynamical systems.
method Interconnecting linear dynamic GPs and static GPs to model dynamic and static nonlinearities.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of the approach using both simulated and real-world data.
Gaussian-SVGD dynamics converge to Gaussian distributions under certain conditions.
problem Understanding the theoretical properties of SVGD, especially for Gaussian targets.
method Detailed theoretical study of Gaussian-SVGD dynamics, considering both mean-field PDE and discrete particle systems.
result Gaussian-SVGD dynamics converge linearly to the Gaussian distribution closest to the target in KL divergence.
This research develops an evolutionary approach to discover non-Gaussian stochastic dynamical systems.
problem Discovering explicit governing equations of stochastic dynamical systems with Lévy noise from data.
method ESSR approach using genetic programming, sparse regression, and nonlocal Kramers-Moyal formulas.
result The approach effectively extracts non-Gaussian stochastic dynamical systems from sample path data.
Proposes DLGPD model to learn dynamics from images for planning.
problem Planning in unknown, indirectly observable environments.
method Deep latent Gaussian process dynamics model trained jointly with neural networks.
result Demonstrates improved data efficiency and transfer learning.
Modeling interacting objects with latent Gaussian process ODEs.
problem Time uncertainty-aware modeling of continuous-time dynamics of interacting objects.
method A new model using latent Gaussian process ordinary differential equations to infer independent dynamics and interactions.
result Our model improves long-term predictions and successfully encapsulates independent dynamics and interactions.
Two algorithms learn Gaussian graphical models from Glauber dynamics trajectories.
problem Learning Gaussian graphical models from dependent data.
method Two complementary approaches: local edge-testing and burn-in/thinning reduction.
result Both approaches provide finite-sample recovery guarantees and empirical comparisons.
Study on neuron dynamics for XOR classification with zero-margin.
problem Understanding neural network training dynamics in zero-margin classification problems.
method Analysis of Gaussian XOR problem, focusing on neuron block dynamics and generalization without margin assumptions.
result Neurons cluster into four directions and block-level signals evolve coherently, essential for reliable prediction in the Gaussian setting.
We analyze training dynamics in Gaussian mixture models using a comparison theorem.
problem Analyzing training algorithms with Gaussian mixture data.
method Applying a Gaussian comparison theorem to a specific family of training algorithms.
result Validated dynamic mean-field expressions and provided iterative refinement schemes.
Gaussian processes for dynamical systems with Koopman equivariance.
problem Forecasting and learning representations of nonlinear dynamical systems.
method Koopman-equivariant Gaussian processes with linear time-invariant responses and trajectory-based equivariance.
result Enhanced forecasting performance compared to kernel-based methods.
Proposes a Gaussian process model for constrained dynamics learning.
problem Challenges in identifying constrained dynamics of mechanical systems.
method Combines analytical mechanics with Gaussian process regression.
result Improves data efficiency and constraint integrity in predictions.
Analysis of SGD for Gaussian mixture classification using dynamical mean-field theory.
problem Learning dynamics of SGD for a neural network classifying Gaussian mixture.
method Applying dynamical mean-field theory to track SGD dynamics in high dimensions.
result Reveals how SGD navigates the non-convex loss landscape.
Ensembles dynamic models using random feature approximations.
problem Online scalable Bayesian learning with dynamic models and ensembling.
method Random feature approximations and dynamic models using random walks.
result Better performance with alternative basis expansions like Hilbert space Gaussian processes.
An incremental/online state dynamic learning method is proposed for identification of the nonlinear Gaussian state space models. The method embeds the stochastic variational sparse Gaussian process as the probabilistic state dynamic model inside a particle filter framework. Model updating is done at measurement sample …
Develops a new method to discover stochastic systems with non-Gaussian noise.
problem Discovering governing laws from complex systems with non-Gaussian noise.
method Theoretical framework and numerical algorithm to extract stochastic differential equations with Gaussian and non-Gaussian noise.
result Demonstrated the efficacy and accuracy of the approach on various systems.
This work studies the problem of stochastic dynamic filtering and state propagation with complex beliefs. The main contribution is GP-SUM, a filtering algorithm tailored to dynamic systems and observation models expressed as Gaussian Processes (GP), and to states represented as a weighted sum of Gaussians. The key attr…
Method extracts governing laws from non-Gaussian stochastic systems data.
problem Modeling complex dynamics with non-Gaussian Lévy noise.
method Data-driven method to extract stochastic dynamical systems from noisy data.
result Established a theoretical framework and numerical algorithm to compute Lévy jump measure, drift, and diffusion.
A Gaussian Process Ordinary Differential Equation framework for large continuous dynamical systems
problem Forecasting complex dynamical systems
method Kernel autonomous ODE approach based on Gaussian Processes and Quadratic Order Model Reduction
result Full model outperforms ROM methods in terms of accuracy or computational costs
Improved sample efficiency in reinforcement learning with deep Gaussian processes.
problem Efficiently learn to control actions with limited interaction data.
method Deep Gaussian processes that simulate dynamics with depth and prior knowledge.
result Significantly improved early sample efficiency across various tasks, including half-cheetah control.
New method learns dynamic brain communication patterns across regions.
problem Current methods struggle with time-varying brain communications and scalability.
method Adaptive Delay Model (ADM) using Markovian Gaussian Processes.
result Captures dynamic neural communication patterns over time.
Develops a method to model neural dynamics with flexible yet interpretable latent states.
problem Capturing complex nonlinear dynamics in neural time series while maintaining interpretability.
method Gaussian Process Switching Linear Dynamical System (gpSLDS) that balances expressiveness and interpretability.
result Favorable performance in comparison to rSLDS on synthetic and real neuroscience data.
Dynamic Boltzmann Machine (DyBM) has been shown highly efficient to predict time-series data. Gaussian DyBM is a DyBM that assumes the predicted data is generated by a Gaussian distribution whose first-order moment (mean) dynamically changes over time but its second-order moment (variance) is fixed. However, in many fi…
Proposes a deep generative model for robust forecasting on sparse multivariate time series.
problem Forecasting on sparse multivariate time series with suboptimal results when sparsity is high.
method Dynamic Gaussian Mixture distribution for modeling latent clusters, using neural networks and gating mechanism.
result Demonstrates robust modeling of sparse multivariate time series with improved accuracy.
This paper presents a method for efficient density estimation in nonlinear systems.
problem Accurate representation of non-Gaussian distributions in nonlinear dynamical systems is challenging.
method Uses Seminonparametric (SNP) densities with probabilists' Hermite polynomial basis and Monte Carlo approximation for maximum likelihood estimation.
result Demonstrates that the method can accurately capture non-Gaussian density structure and compute quantiles using fewer samples than raw Monte Carlo.
ETGPSSM efficiently models high-dimensional, non-stationary systems with reduced complexity.
problem Prohibitive computational and parametric complexity in high-dimensional, non-stationary dynamical systems.
method ETGPSSM integrates a single shared GP with input-dependent normalizing flows for scalable and flexible modeling.
result ETGPSSM outperforms existing models in computational efficiency and accuracy.
EFiGP uses Fourier and eigen-decomposition for efficient ODE parameter estimation.
problem Parameter estimation and trajectory reconstruction for noisy, sparse, nonlinear ODE systems.
method EFiGP integrates Fourier transformation and eigen-decomposition into a physics-informed Gaussian Process framework.
result EFiGP efficiently estimates ODE parameters and recovers trajectories from noisy data.
Filtering is a general name for inferring the states of a dynamical system given observations. The most common filtering approach is Gaussian Filtering (GF) where the distribution of the inferred states is a Gaussian whose mean is an affine function of the observations. There are two restrictions in this model: Gaussia…
Textual network embedding aims to learn low-dimensional representations of text-annotated nodes in a graph. Prior work in this area has typically focused on fixed graph structures; however, real-world networks are often dynamic. We address this challenge with a novel end-to-end node-embedding model, called Dynamic Embe…
We develop a new DTSM with nonlinearities using Gaussian Processes for better interest rate forecasting.
problem Linear DTSMs fail to capture nonlinear relationships between macroeconomic variables and interest rates.
method We propose a Gaussian Process-based sequential Monte Carlo estimation and forecasting scheme.
result Nonlinear models outperform linear ones in forecasting core inflation, leading to significant economic value gains.
Proposes exact inference for continuous-time Gaussian process dynamics.
problem Inexact inference methods for continuous-time Gaussian process dynamics are impractical for irregularly-sampled data.
method Uses higher-order numerical integrators to discretize dynamics with arbitrary accuracy and proposes multistep and Taylor integrators for exact inference.
result Demonstrates accurate representation of continuous-time systems through exact GP inference.
Extends DRFGP to make GPs more robust and adaptive for dynamic, noisy data.
problem Limited scalability, static targets, and brittleness to outliers in GPs.
method Introduces robust-filtering update and dynamic adaptation mechanism.
result Enhanced stability and accuracy in modeling dynamic, noisy data.
This work extracts stochastic dynamical systems with α-stable Lévy noise.
problem Extracting data-driven governing laws of dynamical systems with non-Gaussian noise.
method End-to-end deep learning approach for learning drift and diffusion coefficients for α-stable Lévy noise. result Effectiveness of the method confirmed by numerical experiments.
Bayesian framework identifies dynamical systems from noisy data.
problem Identifying dynamical systems from time-series data with uncertainty quantification.
method Bayesian maximum a posteriori (MAP) framework, including JMAP and VBA algorithms.
result Robust model selection metric based on Gaussian posterior norm.
The Dynamical Gaussian Process Latent Variable Models provide an elegant non-parametric framework for learning the low dimensional representations of the high-dimensional time-series. Real world observational studies, however, are often ill-conditioned: the observations can be noisy, not assuming the luxury of relative…
The paper addresses GP dynamics by improving simulation and prediction accuracy.
problem GP dynamics often underestimate prediction uncertainty, leading to safety issues.
method The paper introduces sampling-based and linearization-based techniques to account for the correlation between successive function evaluations.
result The proposed methods provide more accurate trajectory distributions and prediction uncertainties.
High dimensional time series are endemic in applications of machine learning such as robotics (sensor data), computational biology (gene expression data), vision (video sequences) and graphics (motion capture data). Practical nonlinear probabilistic approaches to this data are required. In this paper we introduce the v…
New metrics using Laplace approximation improve Gaussian process model selection.
problem Finding a balance between model accuracy, interpretability, and simplicity.
method Introducing multiple metrics based on the Laplace approximation to evaluate Gaussian process models.
result Our metrics provide comparable performance to dynamic nested sampling but are significantly faster.
Latent dynamics discovery is challenging in extracting complex dynamics from high-dimensional noisy neural data. Many dimensionality reduction methods have been widely adopted to extract low-dimensional, smooth and time-evolving latent trajectories. However, simple state transition structures, linear embedding assumpti…
e-GGPs learn graph vertex transitions over time.
problem Static graph Gaussian Processes cannot handle dynamic graph structures.
method Proposes e-GGPs with a transition function and neighbourhood kernel.
result e-GGPs outperform static GGPs on time-series regression.
This paper improves parameter estimation for autonomous systems with unmodeled dynamics.
problem Accurate parameter estimation for risk-aware autonomous systems with unmodeled dynamics.
method Spectral lines-based approach for estimating parameters of dynamic models, allowing deterministic unmodeled dynamics.
result The proposed method leads to non-asymptotic bounds on parameter estimation error, robust to unmodeled dynamics, and matches existing literature in ideal conditions.
State-space models are successfully used in many areas of science, engineering and economics to model time series and dynamical systems. We present a fully Bayesian approach to inference \emph{and learning} (i.e. state estimation and system identification) in nonlinear nonparametric state-space models. We place a Gauss…
New analysis explains pathology of deep Gaussian processes.
problem Pathology of deep Gaussian processes reduces learning capacities with increased layers.
method Study nonlinear dynamic systems corresponding to DGPs, derive recurrence relations.
result Provide tighter bounds and rate of convergence for dynamic systems.
Method extracts stochastic systems with Lévy noise from data.
problem Identifying stochastic dynamical systems with Lévy noise from short data.
method Estimate Lévy jump measure and noise intensity, approximate drift coefficient.
result Accurate and effective method for discovering stochastic laws.
MAGI-X learns unknown dynamics from data without numerical integration.
problem Difficult to propose ODEs in closed-form for complex systems.
method MAGI-X uses neural networks within a manifold-constrained Gaussian process framework.
result MAGI-X achieves competitive accuracy in fitting and forecasting with reduced computational time.
Active learning selects inputs for GPSSM to learn latent states.
problem Optimally learn latent states of a GPSSM through active selection of inputs.
method Use mutual information to select informative inputs; approximate mutual information for GPSSM.
result Effective active learning of GPSSM dynamics in physical systems.
A new flow-based Bayesian filter tackles high-dimensional nonlinear stochastic systems.
problem Bayesian filtering for high-dimensional nonlinear systems is challenging due to non-Gaussian distributions and computational limitations.
method Integrates normalizing flows to construct a latent linear state-space model with efficient density estimation and sampling.
result Demonstrates superior accuracy and efficiency in numerical experiments.
Study shows neural networks trained with GD converge to Gaussian processes with polynomial decay.
problem Understanding convergence of neural networks to Gaussian processes during training.
method Explicit upper bounds on quadratic Wasserstein distance between trained networks and Gaussian approximations.
result Polynomial decay of approximation error with network width and training time.