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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

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2895798681,157 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Functional Parameter Estimation

Efficient estimators for smooth Hilbert-valued parameters with theoretical guarantees.

problem Estimating smooth Hilbert-valued parameters with theoretical guarantees.
method Pathwise differentiable Hilbert-valued parameters, efficient influence functions, regularized one-step estimators.
result Theoretical guarantees for efficient estimators even when nuisance functions are arbitrary.

Function-space MAP estimation leads to better generalization and robustness.

problem The mismatch between parameter posterior and function posterior in model training.
method Directly estimating the most likely function implied by the model and data.
result Function-space MAP estimation can lead to flatter minima, better generalization, and improved robustness.

New approach uses negative controls to estimate causal parameters without completeness conditions.

problem Estimating causal parameters when not all confounders are observed.
method Identification strategy based on minimax learning formulations for general function classes.
result Avoids completeness conditions and uniqueness assumptions on bridge functions.

MPF method improves parameter estimation in probabilistic models.

problem Difficulty in fitting probabilistic models due to intractable partition function.
method Minimum Probability Flow (MPF) method for parameter estimation.
result MPF outperforms existing techniques in convergence time and accuracy.

Proposes debiasing strategy for ill-posed regression problems.

problem Estimating functions with conditional moment restrictions, especially when estimators are sensitive to misspecification.
method Debiased estimation using influence function of modified mean squared error.
result Demonstrates finite-sample convergence rate and robustness to misspecification.

Solves challenges in estimating parameters of softmax gating Gaussian mixture models.

problem Identifiability issues and complex interactions in Gaussian mixture of experts.
method Proposes novel Voronoi loss functions and establishes convergence rates of MLE.
result Connects convergence rate of MLE to a solvability problem of polynomial equations.

Estimates parameters in a deviated Gaussian mixture model.

problem Testing goodness-of-fit between a known function and a mixture of experts.
method Constructs novel Voronoi-based loss functions to estimate parameters.
result Characterizes local convergence rates of parameter estimation more accurately.

Supervised learning is an active research area, with numerous applications in diverse fields such as data analytics, computer vision, speech and audio processing, and image understanding. In most cases, the loss functions used in machine learning assume symmetric noise models, and seek to estimate the unknown function …

2015-11-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops methods for estimating constrained function-valued parameters in infinite-dimensional models.

problem Estimating function-valued parameters with structural constraints in complex models.
method Characterizes constrained solutions as minimizers of penalized population risk, using a Lagrange-type formulation and path through unconstrained space.
result Proposes estimators that achieve optimal risk and constraint satisfaction, applicable across various statistical learning approaches.

A new method debiases multiple target parameters without IFs.

problem Debiasing multiple target parameters in nonparametric models.
method Kernel Debiased Plug-in Estimation (KDPE) using TMLE and reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces.
result KDPE simultaneously debiases all pathwise differentiable target parameters.

Optimal tuning for estimating ECC in proportional asymptotics.

problem Estimating Expected Conditional Covariance (ECC) under proportional asymptotics.
method Debiased ridge regression estimators for nuisance functions, sample splitting strategies, and asymptotic variance analysis.
result Prediction-optimal tuning parameters may not minimize asymptotic variance of ECC estimator.

Paper extends a method to estimate Hurst parameter for rough stochastic volatility models.

problem Estimating Hurst parameter of rough stochastic volatility models from discrete observations.
method Extends a scale-invariant estimator to a general nonlinear function.
result Consistent estimation of Hurst parameter for a wide class of rough stochastic volatility models.

New insights into the top-K sparse softmax gating function for deep learning.

problem Understanding the theoretical effects of the top-K sparse softmax gating function on density and parameter estimations.
method Using a Gaussian mixture of experts, novel loss functions, and theoretical analysis.
result The convergence rates of density and parameter estimations are parametric under certain conditions, but slow under over-specified models.

Proposes a new method for estimating non-pathwise differentiable functional parameters.

problem Estimating dose-response curves for continuous exposure.
method Targeted Highly Adaptive Lasso (HAL) for non-pathwise differentiable functional parameters.
result The Targeted HAL-MLE achieves dimension-free rates up to log(n) factors and outperforms other methods in simulations.

We study the parameter estimation problem for a varying index coefficient model in high dimensions. Unlike the most existing works that iteratively estimate the parameters and link functions, based on the generalized Stein's identity, we propose computationally efficient estimators for the high-dimensional parameters w…

2018-10-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates system parameters from a single observation using kernel-based score.

problem Estimating parameters of a dynamical system from a high-dimensional signal.
method Kernel-based score to compare temporal dependencies between signal and model.
result Accuracy and efficiency demonstrated on chaotic systems.

This paper studies a class of exponential family models whose canonical parameters are specified as linear functionals of an unknown infinite-dimensional slope function. The optimal minimax rates of convergence for slope function estimation are established. The estimators that achieve the optimal rates are constructed …

2011-08-17abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper establishes bounds on the smoothness parameter in Gaussian process interpolation.

problem Estimating the smoothness parameter in Gaussian process models.
method Approximation theory in Sobolev spaces and general theorems on parameter estimation.
result Maximum likelihood estimation recovers the true smoothness for certain classes of functions.

Simplifies efficient estimation via automatic differentiation and probabilistic programming.

problem Constructing efficient estimators for complex statistical models.
method Automatic differentiation applied to statistical functionals, avoiding the need to derive efficient influence functions.
result Users can generate efficient estimators with minimal code, simplifying the process for non-experts.

New method improves parameter estimation in complex stochastic models.

problem Parameter calibration in stochastic models with unavailable analytical likelihood.
method Gradient-based simulated parameter estimation with multi-time scale stochastic approximation.
result Enhanced estimation accuracy and reduced computational costs.

Unified framework for automatic debiased machine learning for various statistical parameters.

problem Inference on smooth functionals of nonparametric M-estimands.
method Unified framework using gradient, Hessian, and linear approximation; solves two risk minimization problems.
result Efficient autoDML estimators with double robustness and robustness to misspecification.

A grand challenge of the 21st century cosmology is to accurately estimate the cosmological parameters of our Universe. A major approach to estimating the cosmological parameters is to use the large-scale matter distribution of the Universe. Galaxy surveys provide the means to map out cosmic large-scale structure in thr…

2017-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

A fast method for estimating radar amplitude density parameters.

problem Accurate estimation of amplitude density function parameters in radar applications.
method Projecting amplitude data onto horizontal and vertical axes, then using MLE for α\alpha-stale distribution parameters.
result The average of computed MLEs based on two projections is a fast and accurate estimator for amplitude distribution parameters.

LSBI approximates likelihood with linear functions for cosmological parameter estimation.

problem Estimating cosmological parameters from complex data.
method Sequential Linear Simulation-based Inference (LSBI) using Gaussian approximations.
result LSBI achieves convergence after 4-5 rounds of simulations, comparable to neural methods.

Extends robust methods for causal inference, improving estimator performance.

problem Estimating causal effects in the presence of latent confounders.
method Minimax kernel machine learning for doubly robust functionals.
result Proposed method leads to robust and high-performance estimators.

New method for estimating parameters in inverse problems using double robustness.

problem Estimating parameters defined as linear functionals of solutions to linear inverse problems.
method Source condition double robust inference method that uses iterated Tikhonov regularized adversarial estimators.
result Asymptotic normality of the parameter of interest as long as either the primal or dual inverse problem is sufficiently well-posed.

We develop a new approach to learn the parameters of regression models with hidden variables. In a nutshell, we estimate the gradient of the regression function at a set of random points, and cluster the estimated gradients. The centers of the clusters are used as estimates for the parameters of hidden units. We justif…

2017-08-22abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper fits a seven-parameter GTS distribution to financial data.

problem Nonexistence of GTS probability density function makes MLE inadequate.
method Used fractional Fourier transform to circumvent MLE and provide good parameter estimation.
result The GTS distribution fits financial data significantly better than other models.

Proposes a new estimator for causal mediation with continuous treatments.

problem Estimation of direct and indirect effects with continuous treatments.
method Kernel smoothing approach with cross-fitting for non-parametric estimation.
result Multiply robust and asymptotically normal estimator for continuous treatments.

A hybrid neural network improves robustness in estimating vehicle parameters from noisy data.

problem Estimating parameters of a mechanical vehicle model from noisy acceleration data.
method Introduced a convolutional neural network with two objective functions: naive and hybrid.
result The hybrid objective function outperforms the naive one in robustness on noisy input data.

Proposes an exponentially increasing step-size for faster parameter estimation in statistical models.

problem Slow convergence of gradient descent in locally convex loss functions.
method Exponentially increasing step-size in gradient descent algorithm.
result Converges linearly to optimal solution under homogeneous assumptions.

This paper presents the asymptotic behavior of a linear instrumental variables (IV) estimator that uses a ridge regression penalty. The regularization tuning parameter is selected empirically by splitting the observed data into training and test samples. Conditional on the tuning parameter, the training sample creates …

2019-08-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Analyzes convergence rates for Gaussian-gated MoE model.

problem Theoretical understanding of Gaussian-gated MoE model is incomplete.
method Maximum likelihood estimation with novel Voronoi loss functions.
result MLE has distinct behaviors under different settings of Gaussian gating function parameters.

We prove an estimate for spherical functions φλ(a)\varphi_λ(a) on SL(3,R)\mathrm{SL}(3,\mathbb{R}), establishing uniform decay in the spectral parameter λλ when the group parameter aa is restricted to a compact subset of the abelian subgroup A\mathrm{A}. In the case of SL(3,R)\mathrm{SL}(3,\mathbb{R}), it improves a result by J.…

2019-10-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a direct debiased machine learning framework using Bregman divergence.

problem Reduces bias in machine learning estimates of causal effects or structural models.
method Neyman targeted estimation and generalized Riesz regression using Bregman divergence.
result Improves estimation of parameters of interest in causal models.

The Schwartz-Smith model parameters are estimated using Kalman Filter with additional constraints.

problem Estimating parameters of the Schwartz-Smith model for risk-neutral pricing of futures contracts.
method Kalman Filter method with additional constraints to address parameter identification problem.
result The obtained parameter estimates are the conditional Maximum Likelihood Estimators (MLEs) evaluated within the Kalman Filter.

Policy evaluation is a key process in reinforcement learning. It assesses a given policy using estimation of the corresponding value function. When using a parameterized function to approximate the value, it is common to optimize the set of parameters by minimizing the sum of squared Bellman Temporal Differences errors…

2019-01-23abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper improves parameter estimation for interest rate models using the CIR and CKLS frameworks.

problem Improving parameter estimation for interest rate models.
method Employing Euler-Maruyama discretization to transform SDEs into linear regression problems.
result Established strong consistency and asymptotic normality of estimators for drift and volatility parameters.

Proposes a new estimator for weak instrumental variables in panel data models.

problem Weak instrumental variables due to ignored nonlinearities in panel data.
method Triangular simultaneous equation model with a nonlinear reduced form equation and a control function approach using Super Learner.
result The proposed SLCF estimator is consistent and asymptotically normal, achieving a parametric rate of convergence.

In this paper we study the problem of recovering a structured but unknown parameter θ{\bfθ}^* from nn nonlinear observations of the form yi=f(xi,θ)y_i=f(\langle {\bf{x}}_i,{\bfθ}^*\rangle) for i=1,2,,ni=1,2,\ldots,n. We develop a framework for characterizing time-data tradeoffs for a variety of parameter estimation algorithms when…

2016-10-23abs ↗pdf ↗

New matching estimators correct bias in multivariate settings without smoothing parameters.

problem Bias in nearest-neighbor and matching estimators in multiple dimensions.
method Polynomial least squares fits on Voronoi tessellations.
result Novel estimators converge at n\sqrt{n} rate under mild smoothness assumptions.