Develops a new framework for causal models on cyclic graphs, solving unique solvability issues.
problem Challenges in specifying unique probability distributions for cyclic functional causal models.
method Introduces a new probability rule and graph-separation property (p-separation) for cyclic fCMs.
result Proves p-separation is sound and complete for all consistent cyclic fCMs, recovering d-separation for DAGs.
Fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs) model feedback causal relations in interwoven webs of causality and policy variables. FCMs are fuzzy signed directed graphs that allow degrees of causal influence and event occurrence. Such causal models can simulate a wide range of policy scenarios and decision processes. Their directed loo…
DAG-FM discovers causal relationships from heterogeneous data.
problem Challenges in causal discovery from heterogeneous causal mechanisms.
method DAG-FM uses two specialized Transformer-based sub-modules and a robust tabular interaction block to model complex row-column interactions.
result DAG-FM achieves state-of-the-art performance on synthetic and real-world datasets.
Numerous learning methods for fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs), such as the Hebbian-based and the population-based learning methods, have been developed for modeling and simulating dynamic systems. However, these methods are faced with several obvious limitations. Most of these models are extremely time consuming when learn…
FCM efficiently approximates committor function with interpretable kernel model.
problem Approximating committor function in stochastic systems.
method Kernel-based approach using randomized linear algebra.
result FCM outperforms neural networks in accuracy and training speed.
QPE identifies causal effects without assuming mechanisms or noise.
problem Identifying causal relationships from observational data.
method Quantile Partial Effect (QPE) and Fisher Information.
result Causal directions can be distinguished using QPE and Fisher Information.
While the machine learning literature dedicated to fully automated reasoning algorithms is abundant, the number of methods enabling the inference process on the basis of previously defined knowledge structures is scanter. Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCMs) are neural networks that can be exploited towards this goal because of…
Clustering is one of the major roles in data mining that is widely application in pattern recognition and image segmentation. Fuzzy C-means (FCM) is the most used clustering algorithm that proven efficient, fast and easy to implement, however, FCM uses the Euclidean distance that often leads to clustering errors, espec…
A two-step approach efficiently selects hyperparameters for FCMs.
problem Efficiently selecting hyperparameters for FCMs in a computationally expensive process.
method Two-step sequential approach: first estimate context length k, then estimate α.
result The proposed method achieves comparable compression performance to exhaustive search but with reduced computational cost.
Paper uses optimal transport for low-dimensional representation of leukemia flow cytometry data.
problem Detecting minimal residual disease in leukemia patients using flow cytometry data.
method Optimal transport for dimensionality reduction and visualization of multi-patient flow cytometry datasets.
result OT-based approach provides a more informative two-dimensional representation of leukemia MRD.
FCM clustering adapts to persistence diagrams for topological data analysis.
problem Integrating topological data into machine learning workflows.
method Adapting Fuzzy c-Means to persistence diagrams.
result FCM clustering captures topological structure without additional processing.
In most gene expression data, the number of training samples is very small compared to the large number of genes involved in the experiments. However, among the large amount of genes, only a small fraction is effective for performing a certain task. Furthermore, a small subset of genes is desirable in developing gene e…
CAF-HFCM automatically forms a cluster hierarchy and optimizes the number of clusters without trial-and-validation.
problem Challenges in determining the optimal number of clusters in fuzzy c-means.
method CAF-HFCM, an auto-fused hierarchical fuzzy c-means method.
result Automatic agglomeration and optimal number of clusters without validity indices.
We introduce a model for causal structure learning from multivariate functional data, even when graphs have cycles.
problem Discovering causal relationships from multivariate functional data with cycles.
method Functional linear structural equation model with a low-dimensional causal embedded space.
result The proposed model is causally identifiable under standard assumptions.
Deep Causal Graphs model complex causal relationships using neural networks.
problem Limited applicability of parametric causal models to real-life datasets with non-linear relationships.
method Deep Causal Graphs, an abstract specification for neural networks to model causal distributions.
result Demonstrates expressive power in modelling complex interactions and provides true causal counterfactuals.
New method reveals true causal functions in nonlinear time series, not just scores.
problem Causal discovery in nonlinear time series often uses scalar edge scores, which hide true function-valued causal influence.
method Formalized function-valued causal influence for additive, contribution-decomposable architectures. Introduced a practical framework based on ICE for estimating causal response functions directly from trained models.
result Edges with indistinguishable scalar scores can exhibit qualitatively different functional behaviors.
New method for learning causal relationships in PNL models.
problem Learning causal relationships from empirical observations in PNL models.
method Rank-based methods to estimate non-linear functions, disentangling from independence tests.
result Consistent method for PNL causal discovery, validated in experiments.
New model tackles complex spatio-temporal causal inference with dynamic confounders and functional data.
problem Complex spatio-temporal dynamics and unmeasured confounders hinder causal inference.
method PFD-BDCM, a unified generative framework for spatio-temporal dependencies, functional data, and dynamic confounding.
result PFD-BDCM outperforms existing methods across observational, interventional, and counterfactual queries.
Bayesian method tests Granger causality in functional time series.
problem Testing Granger causality between functional time series.
method Bayesian dynamic linear models (DLM) and Bayes Factor.
result Captures Granger causality between yield curves and weather conditions.
Paper develops a method to learn causal networks with non-invertible functions.
problem Identifying causal relationships from observational data with non-invertible functional relationships.
method Proposes a test for non-invertible bivariate causal models and develops a method to incorporate this test in structure learning of DAGs.
result Our algorithms outperform existing DAG learning methods in identifying causal graphical structures.
We use the score function for causal discovery, tackling challenges with hidden variables.
problem Causal discovery from observational data with hidden variables.
method Fine-tuning identifiability results, establishing conditions for inferring causal relations from the score, proposing a flexible algorithm.
result Empirical validation of the proposed algorithm for causal discovery on linear, nonlinear, and latent variable models.
Identification of causal direction between a causal-effect pair from observed data has recently attracted much attention. Various methods based on functional causal models have been proposed to solve this problem, by assuming the causal process satisfies some (structural) constraints and showing that the reverse direct…
TSLiNGAM improves causal discovery in heavy-tailed data.
problem Identifying causal relationships in data with heavy tails.
method Combines DAGs with structural causal models, leveraging non-Gaussian noise.
result Significantly better performance on heavy-tailed and skewed data.
New method distinguishes cause from effect using causal velocity.
problem Inferring causal direction from bivariate data.
method Parametrization of bivariate SCMs in terms of causal velocity, using tools from measure transport.
result Method extends beyond known model classes and requires no assumptions on noise distributions.
Learning Granger causality for general point processes is a very challenging task. In this paper, we propose an effective method, learning Granger causality, for a special but significant type of point processes --- Hawkes process. We reveal the relationship between Hawkes process's impact function and its Granger caus…
We consider the problem of learning the functions computing children from parents in a Structural Causal Model once the underlying causal graph has been identified. This is in some sense the second step after causal discovery. Taking a probabilistic approach to estimating these functions, we derive a natural myopic act…
The paper establishes bounds for score-matching in causal discovery and generative modeling.
problem Estimating causal relationships from data.
method Training a deep neural network to estimate the score function and applying it to causal discovery.
result Bounds on the error rate of causal discovery methods using score-matching.
Proposes Causal Loss to improve machine learning models' causal inference.
problem Machine learning algorithms often fail to capture causal relationships when data is inconsistent.
method Introduces Causal Loss, a model-agnostic loss function that enhances interventional capabilities.
result Causal Loss improves non-causal associative models to have interventional capabilities.
Causal discovery from data affected by latent confounders is an important and difficult challenge. Causal functional model-based approaches have not been used to present variables whose relationships are affected by latent confounders, while some constraint-based methods can present them. This paper proposes a causal f…
TRAM-DAG models bridge interpretability and flexibility in causal modeling.
problem Modeling causal relationships in diverse data types while maintaining interpretability.
method Using transformation models (TRAMs) within structural causal models (SCMs) to handle various data types and maintain interpretability.
result TRAM-DAG models achieve equal or superior performance in causal queries across different levels of the causal hierarchy.
fCBO optimizes interventions in causal graphs using Gaussian processes.
problem Optimizing interventions in known causal graphs.
method Functional causal Bayesian optimization (fCBO) using Gaussian processes and expected improvement acquisition.
result Functional interventions can lead to better target effects and optimal conditional effects.
Counterexample disproves Borde-Sorkin conjecture on causal continuity of Morse spacetimes.
problem Disproving the Borde-Sorkin conjecture on causal continuity of Morse spacetimes.
method Provided a counterexample with low regularity causal structure and causal bubbling.
result Borde-Sorkin conjecture does not hold for Morse spacetimes with large anisotropy.
Extends robust methods for causal inference, improving estimator performance.
problem Estimating causal effects in the presence of latent confounders.
method Minimax kernel machine learning for doubly robust functionals.
result Proposed method leads to robust and high-performance estimators.
LLM4Causal democratizes causal reasoning via fine-tuned LLMs.
problem Limited capability of LLMs in causal inference and interpretation.
method Fine-tuning an open-source LLM for causal tasks, proposing datasets for instruction tuning.
result LLM4Causal delivers end-to-end solutions for causal problems and interprets results easily.
Paper proposes methods to discover causal models with unobserved variables.
problem Discovering causal relationships in data with unobserved variables.
method Two methods leveraging prior knowledge for causal discovery in CAM-UV models.
result Accuracy of causal discovery improves with more prior knowledge.
Structural Causal Models (SCMs) provide a popular causal modeling framework. In this work, we show that SCMs are not flexible enough to give a complete causal representation of dynamical systems at equilibrium. Instead, we propose a generalization of the notion of an SCM, that we call Causal Constraints Model (CCM), an…
Extracts causal brain dynamics across multiple scales.
problem Statistical associations do not reflect causal mechanisms in brain dynamics.
method Multiscale causal backbone (MCB) extraction using advanced causal structure learning.
result Sparse MCBs reveal distinct causal roles at different brain frequency bands.
We introduce a new approach to functional causal modeling from observational data, called Causal Generative Neural Networks (CGNN). CGNN leverages the power of neural networks to learn a generative model of the joint distribution of the observed variables, by minimizing the Maximum Mean Discrepancy between generated an…
Proposes a new classifier for causal discovery in categorical data.
problem Causal discovery for categorical data.
method Classification with optimal label permutation (COLP) and simple learning algorithm.
result Favorable performance compared to state-of-the-art methods.
We present Causal Generative Neural Networks (CGNNs) to learn functional causal models from observational data. CGNNs leverage conditional independencies and distributional asymmetries to discover bivariate and multivariate causal structures. CGNNs make no assumption regarding the lack of confounders, and learn a diffe…
POSCMs extend SCMs for causal modeling with latent contexts.
problem Causal modeling with latent contexts and endogenous mechanisms.
method Kolmogorov-Arnold-Sprecher edge-functional decomposition for explicit parametrization.
result Identifiability of structure and mechanisms under latent context.
New method identifies causal variables from partially observed data.
problem Learning from unpaired observations with instance-dependent partial observability.
method Proposes two methods enforcing sparsity in the inferred representation.
result Establishes two identifiability results for linear and piecewise linear mixing functions.
New method estimates causal effects in complex spaces using topological structures.
problem Challenges in estimating causal effects in non-Euclidean spaces.
method Developed a topological causal inference framework using power-weighted silhouette functions of persistence diagrams.
result Successfully quantifies topological treatment effects across various complex outcomes.
A new method identifies causal direction using dense functional classes.
problem Determining causal direction between two univariate, continuous-valued variables.
method Minimum Description Length (MDL) principle applied to cubic regression splines.
result LCUBE method achieves superior precision in identifying causal direction.
Develops causal explanations for black-box classifiers.
problem Creating understandable explanations for complex models.
method Generative model with information-theoretic measures of causal influence.
result Learned latent factors influence classifier outputs.
GACBO optimizes unknown causal graphs with interventions.
problem Optimizing a target variable on an unknown causal graph with interventions.
method Graph Agnostic Causal Bayesian Optimisation (GACBO) seeks to balance exploitation and exploration of causal structures and functions.
result GACBO outperforms baselines in simulated and real-world applications.
Paper uses ANFIS to predict cryptocurrency prices.
problem Predicting cryptocurrency prices for seven days.
method Adaptive Network Based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) with hybrid and backpropagation algorithms.
result The method can predict cryptocurrency prices in a short time.
Pixel intensity is a widely used feature for clustering and segmentation algorithms, the resulting segmentation using only intensity values might suffer from noises and lack of spatial context information. Wavelet transform is often used for image denoising and classification. We proposed a novel method to incorporate …