Study volatility of forward-start options using Malliavin Calculus.
problem Implied volatility of Forward-Start options, focusing on ATM behavior.
method Closed-form expressions derived using Malliavin Calculus in Markovian models.
result Derives expressions for at-the-money, skew, and curvature of forward implied volatility.
Asymptotic analysis of forward start Asian options in local volatility models.
problem Analyzing the pricing of forward start Asian options with short maturity under local volatility models.
method Large deviations theory and optimization problems for exponential decay rates; closed-form solutions for specific cases.
result Closed-form solutions and asymptotic behaviors of the rate function for various strike conditions.
Paper explores volatility swaps in rough volatility models.
problem Understanding volatility swaps in rough volatility models.
method Examines the relationship between forward start volatility swaps and implied volatilities in rough volatility models.
result The leading term approximation error in the correlated case does not depend on the time to forward start date.
We introduce a natural generalization of the forward-starting options, first discussed by M. Rubinstein. The main feature of the contract presented here is that the strike-determination time is not fixed ex-ante, but allowed to be random, usually related to the occurrence of some event, either of financial nature or no…
In this paper we consider a jump-diffusion dynamic whose parameters are driven by a continuous time and stationary Markov Chain on a finite state space as a model for the underlying of European contingent claims. For this class of processes we firstly outline the Fourier transform method both in log-price and log-strik…
In the first quarter of 2006 Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) introduced, as one of the listed products, options on its implied volatility index (VIX). This created the challenge of developing a pricing framework that can simultaneously handle European options, forward-starts, options on the realized variance and …
We prove here a general closed-form expansion formula for forward-start options and the forward implied volatility smile in a large class of models, including the Heston stochastic volatility and time-changed exponential Lévy models. This expansion applies to both small and large maturities and is based solely on the p…
The paper models asset prices with random volatility to match option prices.
problem Matching asset price dynamics with observed option prices.
method Uses a mixture of diffusion processes with random volatility.
result Derives explicit pricing formulas for derivatives.
In this article we consider the problem of giving a robust, model-independent, lower bound on the price of a forward starting straddle with payoff ∣FT1−FT0∣ where 0<T0<T1. Rather than assuming a model for the underlying forward price (Ft)t≥0, we assume that call prices for maturities $T_0<T_1…
Introduces a new stochastic volatility model using Jacobi processes.
problem Modeling asset return volatility with improved accuracy and tractability.
method Uses Jacobi processes to model squared volatility, deriving closed-form option pricing formulas.
result Option prices can be accurately approximated using series representations.
We simplify no-arbitrage bounds calculation for financial derivatives.
problem Calculating robust replication of forward-start straddles from market data.
method Proposed a discretisation scheme and a new linear programming approach to the dual problem.
result Reconciled two approaches: semi-infinite linear programming and optimal martingale measures.
In this paper we investigate the asymptotics of forward-start options and the forward implied volatility smile in the Heston model as the maturity approaches zero. We prove that the forward smile for out-of-the-money options explodes and compute a closed-form high-order expansion detailing the rate of the explosion. Fu…
In equity and foreign exchange markets the risk-neutral dynamics of the underlying asset are commonly represented by stochastic volatility models with jumps. In this paper we consider a dense subclass of such models and develop analytically tractable formulae for the prices of a range of first-generation exotic derivat…
The ADO-Heston model approximates market implied skew in vanilla options.
problem Reproduce market implied skew in vanilla options using a Markovian approximation.
method Derived characteristic function under risk-neutral and real measures, chose market price of risk, found closed form for log-price CF and implied skew.
result The ADO-Heston model can approximate the vanilla implied skew at small T but not exactly as rough volatility models. This paper presents a methodology to introduce time-dependent parameters for a wide family of models preserving their analytic tractability. This family includes hybrid models with stochastic volatility, stochastic interest-rates, jumps and their non-hybrid counterparts. The methodology is applied to Heston's model. A …
Paper solves robust optimization with expectation constraints for financial derivatives.
problem Computing robust maximization solutions with expectation constraints.
method Shows a single convex minimization problem for super-replication values.
result No-arbitrage bounds on various financial derivatives.
BSLP is a two-dimensional dynamic model of interacting portfolio-level loss and spread (more exactly, loss intensity) processes. The model is similar to the top-down HJM-like frameworks developed by Schonbucher (2005) and Sidenius-Peterbarg-Andersen (SPA) (2005), however is constructed as a Markovian, short-rate intens…
In this paper we apply change of numeraire techniques to the optimal transport approach for computing model-free prices of derivatives in a two periods model. In particular, we consider the optimal transport plan constructed in \cite{HobsonKlimmek2013} as well as the one introduced in \cite{BeiglJuil} and further studi…
The crisis that affected financial markets in the last years leaded market practitioners to revise well known basic concepts like the ones of discount factors and forward rates. A single yield curve is not sufficient any longer to describe the market of interest rate products. On the other hand, using different yield c…
This paper introduces a new semi-parametric approach to the pricing and risk management of bespoke CDO tranches, with a particular attention to bespokes that need to be mapped onto more than one reference portfolio. The only user input in our framework is a multi-factor model (a "prior" model hereafter) for index portf…
Sharp bounds for VIX futures derived from S&P 500 smiles.
problem Deriving precise bounds for VIX futures prices.
method Model-free sub/superreplication of VIX using S&P 500 and its options.
result Improved bounds for VIX futures prices using functionally generated portfolios.
Pricing Bermudan swaptions with few exercise dates using analytic methods.
problem Pricing Bermudan swaptions with few exercise dates
method Analytic decomposition and backward induction under rolling forward measures
result Pricing formulas with decomposition and boundary linearity
New neural operator calibrates LSV models faster and more accurately.
problem Calibrating LSV models is slow, noisy, and sequential.
method Developed a projection-consistent neural operator.
result Calibration latency reduced from 98.5 to 0.6 ms.
We consider a structural credit model for a large portfolio of credit risky assets where the correlation is due to a market factor. By considering the large portfolio limit of this system we show the existence of a density process for the asset values. This density evolves according to a stochastic partial differential…
This paper provides fast estimates for complex option types.
problem Estimating prices for constrained multiple exercise American options.
method Lookahead search for lower estimates and nearest-neighbor martingale for upper estimates.
result Probabilistic convergence guarantees for the algorithms.
Study bounds for prices of European and American options with optional termination.
problem Bounding prices of options with potential termination.
method Duality results linking upper prices of vulnerable options to American options with constrained exercise times.
result Linking upper prices of vulnerable options to American options and game options.
New option pricing formulas for American and Bermudan options.
problem Traditional option pricing models assume constant volatility and interest rate.
method Relaxing assumptions, using square root of Brownian motion, providing closed-form formulas.
result Simple, closed-form pricing formulas for American and Bermudan options.
Path integral method calculates barrier option prices.
problem Barrier option pricing in finance.
method Path integral method applied to trapezoid and square potential barriers.
result Analytical expressions for option pricing derived.
New framework identifies hidden risks and optionality in American options.
problem Underestimation of flexibility and convexity in early-exercise features.
method Introducing stochasticity into underlying determinants to quantify hidden risks and optionality.
result Remedies conventional pricing systems that underestimate optionality.
American options can be equivalent to European options under certain conditions.
problem Determining when American options can be simplified to European options.
method Using methods from Jourdain and Martini, Chrsitensen, and convex duality.
result A first step towards verifying representability of American options.
There exist several methods how more general options can be priced with call prices. In this article, we extend these results to cover a wider class of options and market models. In particular, we introduce a new pricing formula which can be used to price more general options if prices for call options and digital opti…
Path integral method calculates PDBS option prices with time-dependent parameters.
problem Pricing proportional double-barrier step options with time-dependent interest rates and volatilities.
method Path integral method applied to a quantum mechanical analogy of barrier options.
result Derivation of pricing kernel for PDBS options with time-dependent parameters.
The paper offers methods to price complex options using upper and lower bounds.
problem Pricing complex options like Asian and basket options.
method Develops a general framework using lower and upper bounds.
result Lower bounds simplify the problem and provide reasonable approximations.
Financial option insurance protects investors from option premiums losses.
problem Risk associated with financial option investments.
method Integrating insurance concepts with financial options, creating a three-entity framework and a mathematical model.
result Protection of option investors and minimization of insurer's risk.
Polynomial expansions improve option pricing accuracy.
problem Efficiently pricing and Greeks in stochastic volatility models.
method Analytic series representations for European and exotic options.
result Polynomial expansions match Fourier transform accuracy.
New method for pricing SOFR futures options, solving both American and Asian exercise styles.
problem Lack of pricing models for SOFR futures options post-LIBOR transition.
method Developed a new version of the GIT method to solve semi-analytically.
result Obtained option prices, exercise boundaries, and Greeks for American and Asian options.
Hamiltonian method applied to floating barrier options pricing.
problem Pricing of floating barrier options.
method Hamiltonian approach in quantum mechanics applied to barrier options.
result Analytical expressions for pricing kernel and option price derived.
Neural network learns to solve Black-Scholes for stock options.
problem Stock option pricing using the Black-Scholes Equation.
method Neural Networks applied to solve the Black-Scholes Equation.
result Neural network can accurately forecast stock option prices.
ANNs solve financial option valuation problems without numerical methods.
problem Valuation of European and American financial options.
method Unsupervised learning with artificial neural networks (ANNs) for solving PDEs.
result ANNs accurately compute option values for various stock scenarios.
Optimal hedging strategies for exotic options using vanilla options.
problem Hedging exotic options with illiquid vanilla options.
method Simple approximations and variational techniques in a market model and stochastic volatility model framework.
result Optimal Delta and Vega hedging strategies can be computed easily.
Paper proposes a Hellinger distance regularizer to disentangle options in reinforcement learning.
problem Temporal abstraction in reinforcement learning, specifically the mutual exclusivity of learned options.
method Introduces a Hellinger distance regularizer to disentangle options.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the Hellinger distance regularizer in disentangling options.
Fast probabilistic option price predictions using modular Bayesian inference.
problem Accurate probabilistic predictions of future option prices.
method Modular approximate Bayesian inference framework that combines multiple data sources.
result Accurate probabilistic option-price predictions in realistic scenarios.
New formulas for pricing Asian and basket options using stochastic expansion.
problem Pricing Asian and basket options under time-dependent parameters.
method Stochastic Taylor expansion around a log-normal proxy model.
result Highly accurate approximations for Asian options and vanilla options with discrete dividends.
Study optimizes reinforcement learning options under time constraints.
problem Learning useful options for diverse tasks with limited time.
method Directly searched for optimal option sets considering time budget.
result Discovered options outperform existing heuristics.
PODNet discovers plannable options from unstructured demonstrations.
problem Learning from unstructured, multi-objective demonstrations.
method Custom categorical variational autoencoder, recurrent option inference network, option-conditioned policy network, and option dynamics model.
result PODNet enables learning from demonstration for multiple tasks and planning.
Efficient method for pricing European and American options using Markov switching stochastic volatility model.
problem Modeling and pricing options under varying volatility and mean-reversion speeds.
method Discrete-time Markov switching stochastic volatility with co-jump model, computationally efficient approach for European options, and conversion to European option pricing for American options.
result Efficient and accurate methods for pricing options, including variance swap analysis.
New FX option interpolations impact implied volatilities.
problem Different interpolations of FX option quotes lead to varying implied volatilities.
method Analysis of various exact interpolations of broker quotes.
result Different interpolations result in different implied volatilities.
Derives pricing formulae for power binary and normal distribution standard options.
problem Developing pricing models for binary and standard options.
method Incorporates Buchen's formulae into power binary options and derives a formula for normal distribution standard options.
result Derives pricing formulae for power binary and normal distribution standard options.