arXiv research

DefogGAN predicts hidden RTS game information to aid strategic decision-making.

Bayesian method predicts runtime metrics for fog manufacturing.

Smart mobility management would be an important prerequisite for future fog computing systems. In this research, we propose a learning-based handover optimization for the Internet of Vehicles that would assist the smooth transition of device connections and offloaded tasks between fog nodes. To accomplish this, we make…

Fog learning distributes ML model training across heterogeneous devices and networks.

The method constructs arbitrage-free option surfaces from noisy quotes using Chebyshev bases and a fog post-fit layer.

Machine Learning (ML) algorithms, like Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), Support Vector Machines (SVM), etc. have become widespread and can achieve high statistical performance. However their accuracy decreases significantly in energy-constrained mobile and embedded systems space, where all computations need to be c…

In this paper, the distributed edge caching problem in fog radio access networks (F-RANs) is investigated. By considering the unknown spatio-temporal content popularity and user preference, a user request model based on hidden Markov process is proposed to characterize the fluctuant spatio-temporal traffic demands in F…

Freezing of gait (FoG) is a common gait disability in Parkinson's disease, that usually appears in its advanced stage. Freeze episodes are associated with falls, injuries, and psychological consequences, negatively affecting the patients' quality of life. For detecting FoG episodes automatically, a highly accurate dete…

We investigate the role of networks of alliances in preventing (multilateral) interstate wars. We first show that, in the absence of international trade, no network of alliances is peaceful and stable. We then show that international trade induces peaceful and stable networks: trade increases the density of alliances s…

New findings show pure strategy equilibria are more robust in a war of attrition game.

The paper uses machine learning to predict the impact of the Ukraine crisis on financial markets.

Study reveals clusters of resilient and vulnerable Spanish agri-food firms post-Ukraine-Russia war.

Territorial control is a key aspect shaping the dynamics of civil war. Despite its importance, we lack data on territorial control that are fine-grained enough to account for subnational spatio-temporal variation and that cover a large set of conflicts. To resolve this issue, we propose a theoretical model of the relat…

Study analyzes stock order transitions during US-China trade war using Markov chains.

Task offloading is an emerging technology in fog-enabled networks. It allows users to transmit tasks to neighbor fog nodes so as to utilize the computing resources of the networks. In this paper, we investigate a stochastic task offloading model and propose a multi-armed bandit framework to formulate this model. We con…

Task offloading is a promising technology to exploit the benefits of fog computing. An effective task offloading strategy is needed to utilize the computational resources efficiently. In this paper, we endeavor to seek an online task offloading strategy to minimize the long-term latency. In particular, we formulate a s…

We perform detrending moving average analysis (DMA) and detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) of the WTI crude oil futures prices (1983-2012) to investigate its efficiency. We further put forward a strict statistical test in the spirit of bootstrapping to verify the weak-form market efficiency hypothesis by employing th…

Small, carefully crafted perturbations called adversarial perturbations can easily fool neural networks. However, these perturbations are largely additive and not naturally found. We turn our attention to the field of Autonomous navigation wherein adverse weather conditions such as fog have a drastic effect on the pred…

We present a new, efficient method for automatically detecting severe conflicts `edit wars' in Wikipedia and evaluate this method on six different language WPs. We discuss how the number of edits, reverts, the length of discussions, the burstiness of edits and reverts deviate in such pages from those following the gene…

This paper examines how the U.S.--China trade war affects stock markets, finding evidence of financial contagion and changes in risk channels.

Noisy labels often occur in vision datasets, especially when they are obtained from crowdsourcing or Web scraping. We propose a new regularization method, which enables learning robust classifiers in presence of noisy data. To achieve this goal, we propose a new adversarial regularization scheme based on the Wasserstei…

It is demonstrated that the US economy has on the long-term in reality been governed by the Keynesian approach to economics independent of the current official economical policy. This is done by calculating the two-point correlation function between the fluctuations of the DJIA and the US public debt. We find that the …

Just as war is sometimes fallaciously represented as a zero sum game -- when in fact war is a negative sum game - stock market trading, a positive sum game over time, is often erroneously represented as a zero sum game. This is called the "zero sum fallacy" -- the erroneous belief that one trader in a stock market exch…

We develop an option pricing model based on a tug-of-war game. This two-player zero-sum stochastic differential game is formulated in the context of a multi-dimensional financial market. The issuer and the holder try to manipulate asset price processes in order to minimize and maximize the expected discounted reward. W…

Paper proposes a new model to prevent tariff wars by balancing trade balances.

HSBC grew from colonial China through wars, surviving unethical practices.

We consider a stochastic game of contribution to the common good in which the players have continuous control over the degree of contribution, and we examine the gradualism arising from the free rider effect. This game belongs to the class of variable concession games which generalize wars of attrition. Previously know…

Footfall based biometric system is perhaps the only person identification technique which does not hinder the natural movement of an individual. This is a clear edge over all other biometric systems which require a formidable amount of human intervention and encroach upon an individual's privacy to some extent or the o…

A hybrid neural network optimizes AI deployment on edge and cloud for energy efficiency.

Study shows negative war news correlates with increased stock market volatility.

Are expansions and recessions more likely to end as their magnitude increases? In this paper we apply parametric hazard models to investigate this issue in a sample of 16 countries from 1881 to 2000. For the total sample we find evidence of positive magnitude dependence for recessions, while for expansions we are not a…

We consider the problem of high-level strategy selection in the adversarial setting of real-time strategy games from a reinforcement learning perspective, where taking an action corresponds to switching to the respective strategy. Here, a good strategy successfully counters the opponent's current and possible future st…

Study examines how war impacts financial entropy.

This study explores the time-varying structure of market efficiency in the prewar and wartime Japanese stock market using a new market capitalization-weighted stock price index, the equity performance index. We examine whether the adaptive market hypothesis (AMH) is supported in that era. First, we find that the degree…

In many developing countries intellectual property infringement and the commerce of pirate goods is an entrepreneurial activity. Digital piracy is very often the only media for having access to music, cinema, books and software. At the same time, bio-prospecting and infringement of indigenous knowledge rights by intern…

The paper uses conformal prediction for forecasting conflict sequences in Markov processes.

Buried landmines and unexploded remnants of war are a constant threat for the population of many countries that have been hit by wars in the past years. The huge amount of human lives lost due to this phenomenon has been a strong motivation for the research community toward the development of safe and robust techniques…

In this paper, we prove an extended version of the Minkowski Inequality, holding for any smooth bounded set $Ω\subset \mathbb R^n$, $n\geq 3$. Our proof relies on the discovery of effective monotonicity formulas holding along the level set flow of the $p$-capacitary potentials associated with $Ω$, for every $p$ suffici…

Geodesic flows on certain surfaces are shown to be semi-conjugate to expansive flows.

Study geodesic flows on hyperbolic manifolds without conjugate points, proving unique measure of maximal entropy.

In this paper we study the financial repercussions of the destruction of two fully armed and operational moon-sized battle stations ("Death Stars") in a 4-year period and the dissolution of the galactic government in Star Wars. The emphasis of this work is to calibrate and simulate a model of the banking and financial …

This paper introduces early exits in neural networks for faster inference.

With the advent of huges volumes of data produced in the form of fast streams, real-time machine learning has become a challenge of relevance emerging in a plethora of real-world applications. Processing such fast streams often demands high memory and processing resources. In addition, they can be affected by non-stati…

This study proposes an equal-weight portfolio strategy to reduce risk compared to traditional ETFs.

A method to prevent image representation collapse through data-dependent augmentation.

Socio-economic inequality is measured using various indices. The Gini ($g$) index, giving the overall inequality is the most commonly used, while the recently introduced Kolkata ($k$) index gives a measure of $1-k$ fraction of population who possess top $k$ fraction of wealth in the society. This article reviews the ch…

Bayesian inference has great promise for the privacy-preserving analysis of sensitive data, as posterior sampling automatically preserves differential privacy, an algorithmic notion of data privacy, under certain conditions (Dimitrakakis et al., 2014; Wang et al., 2015). While this one posterior sample (OPS) approach e…

HSBC grew from Hong Kong to global dominance despite political upheavals.