DeepScalper uses RL to capture intraday trading opportunities, balancing risk and profit.
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
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New tool detects 'fleeting modes' causing excess risk in financial markets.
Bayesian model transfers knowledge across different engineering fleets.
Fleet control method improves sample efficiency in IoT environments.
Framework detects anomalies in fleet-based machine monitoring.
Deep RL tackles fleet management and dispatching for ride-sharing platforms.
SUPAID automates vehicle rollout decisions for fleet managers.
Optimizes electric aircraft deployment for Canadian aviation to reduce emissions.
FLeet improves online FL for mobile apps with better performance and privacy.
The paper tackles ride-hailing fleet repositioning with a calibrated demand approach.
Truckload brokerages, a $100 billion/year industry in the U.S., plays the critical role of matching shippers with carriers, often to move loads several days into the future. Brokerages not only have to find companies that will agree to move a load, the brokerage often has to find a price that both the shipper and carri…
Deep learning solves EV routing with time windows for EV fleets.
Training data-driven approaches for complex industrial system health monitoring is challenging. When data on faulty conditions are rare or not available, the training has to be performed in a unsupervised manner. In addition, when the observation period, used for training, is kept short, to be able to monitor the syste…
Thanks to digitization of industrial assets in fleets, the ambitious goal of transferring fault diagnosis models fromone machine to the other has raised great interest. Solving these domain adaptive transfer learning tasks has the potential to save large efforts on manually labeling data and modifying models for new ma…
Study improves dynamic PT fleet optimization under noisy demand predictions.
Deep Q-learning optimizes same-day delivery with vehicles and drones.
Proposes a graph neural network for efficient multi-agent routing.
Novel framework improves wind power forecasts by bundling assets and using machine learning.
We analyse all Mini Flash Crashes (or Flash Equity Failures) in the US equity markets in the four most volatile months during 2006-2011. In contrast to previous studies, we find that Mini Flash Crashes are the result of regulation framework and market fragmentation, in particular due to the aggressive use of Intermarke…
We propose a new structural model that can compute the electricity spot and forward prices in two coupled markets with limited interconnection and multiple fuels. We choose a structural approach in order to represent some key characteristics of electricity spot prices such as their link to fuel prices, consumption leve…
Autonomous robots often encounter challenging situations where their control policies fail and an expert human operator must briefly intervene, e.g., through teleoperation. In settings where multiple robots act in separate environments, a single human operator can manage a fleet of robots by identifying and teleoperati…
Modern vehicle fleets, e.g., for ridesharing platforms and taxi companies, can reduce passengers' waiting times by proactively dispatching vehicles to locations where pickup requests are anticipated in the future. Yet it is unclear how to best do this: optimal dispatching requires optimizing over several sources of unc…
Predicting ambulance demand accurately at a fine resolution in time and space (e.g., every hour and 1 km) is critical for staff / fleet management and dynamic deployment. There are several challenges: though the dataset is typically large-scale, demand per time period and locality is almost always zero. The demand …
Expands robust profit opportunities to include distributional uncertainty.
The failure of a complex and safety critical industrial asset can have extremely high consequences. Close monitoring for early detection of abnormal system conditions is therefore required. Data-driven solutions to this problem have been limited for two reasons: First, safety critical assets are designed and maintained…
This paper proposes a novel model of financial prices where: (i) prices are discrete; (ii) prices change in continuous time; (iii) a high proportion of price changes are reversed in a fraction of a second. Our model is analytically tractable and directly formulated in terms of the calendar time and price impact curve. …
We explore the role that random arbitrage opportunities play in hedging financial derivatives. We extend the asymptotic pricing theory presented by Fedotov and Panayides [Stochastic arbitrage return and its implication for option pricing, Physica A 345 (2005), 207-217] for the case of hedging a derivative when arbitrag…
It is shown that absence of arbitrage opportunity in financial markets is a particular case of existence of uncertainty in decision system. Absence of arbitrage opportunity is considered in the sense of the Arrow-Debreu model of financial market with a riskless asset, while uncertainty (or ambiguity) is defined on the …
This review covers AI in finance, challenges, techniques, and opportunities.
We study the utility maximization problem for power utility random fields in a semimartingale financial market, with and without intermediate consumption. The notion of an opportunity process is introduced as a reduced form of the value process of the resulting stochastic control problem. We show how the opportunity pr…
System detects financial opportunities in tweets with high precision.
Tuna-AI uses ML to predict tuna biomass from oceanography and echo-sounder data.
Short selling is key to exploiting arbitrage opportunities in financial markets.
Method learns drug-disease representations for repositioning opportunities.
We investigate triangular arbitrage within the spot foreign exchange market using high-frequency executable prices. We show that triangular arbitrage opportunities do exist, but that most have short durations and small magnitudes. We find intra-day variations in the number and length of arbitrage opportunities, with la…
Modeling business expansion as a stochastic control problem, the study finds that firms are incentivized to expand but may wait.
This paper analyzes how multiple investors can exploit relative arbitrage opportunities.
There is vast empirical evidence that given a set of assumptions on the real-world dynamics of an asset, the European options on this asset are not efficiently priced in options markets, giving rise to arbitrage opportunities. We study these opportunities in a generic stochastic volatility model and exhibit the strateg…
Detects arbitrage in multi-asset derivatives markets.
A fund manager invests both the fund's assets and own private wealth in separate but potentially correlated risky assets, aiming to maximize expected utility from private wealth in the long run. If relative risk aversion and investment opportunities are constant, we find that the fund's portfolio depends only on the fu…
The study finds no evidence of stochastic arbitrage opportunities in S&P 500 index options.
AI systems that explain their decisions can be monitored for harmful intentions.
Labor market institutions are central for modern economies, and their polices can directly affect unemployment rates and economic growth. At the individual level, unemployment often has a detrimental impact on people's well-being and health. At the national level, high employment is one of the central goals of any econ…
The professional services sector is at a turning point, with some industries showing growth opportunities.
This survey reviews portfolio choice in settings where investment opportunities are stochastic due to, e.g., stochastic volatility or return predictability. It is explained how to heuristically compute candidate optimal portfolios using tools from stochastic control, and how to rigorously verify their optimality by mea…
New methods evaluate stock market anomalies for prospect investors.
We study the origins of the effect in finance and SDE. In particular, we show, in the game-theoretic framework, that market volatility is a consequence of the absence of riskless opportunities for making money and that too high volatility is also incompatible with such opportunities. More precisely, riskles…
In this paper, the problem of road friction prediction from a fleet of connected vehicles is investigated. A framework is proposed to predict the road friction level using both historical friction data from the connected cars and data from weather stations, and comparative results from different methods are presented. …