A new risk measure (FRM) for EM FI returns helps investors protect against volatility and policy instability.
problem Systemic risk in EM FI returns due to external shocks and domestic policy instability.
method Daily FRM-EM measure applied to 25 largest EM FI returns, incorporating Macro factors.
result FRM-EM captures systemic risk behavior in EM FI returns, reaching maximum during crises.
New indicator detects financial strain through smart meter data.
problem Fuel poverty in households, affecting millions.
method Smart meters and machine learning for behavior measurement.
result Early detection of financial strain in households.
AI measures financial risk using linear quantile lasso regression.
problem Measuring systemic financial risk accurately and quantitatively.
method Linear quantile lasso regression with penalization parameter lambda.
result The Financial Risk Meter (FRM) is a valid measure of systemic risk.
Study shows Bitcoin mining with surplus electricity can boost KEPCO's financial stability.
problem Improving energy resource efficiency and reducing KEPCO's debt.
method Utilized surplus electricity for Bitcoin mining using Antminer S21 XP Hyd, analyzed with Random Forest Regressor and Long Short-Term Memory models.
result Bitcoin mining with surplus electricity generates economic revenue, minimizes energy loss, and resolves payment issues for KEPCO.
Study develops a machine learning-based ramp metering model to improve freeway efficiency.
problem Improving ramp metering to maintain freeway efficiency under various traffic conditions.
method Machine learning approach using historical data to predict and manage traffic flow.
result The novel model outperforms a baseline traffic-responsive ramp metering algorithm.
Detecting inaccurate smart meters and targeting them for replacement can save significant resources. For this purpose, a novel deep-learning method was developed based on long short-term memory (LSTM) and a modified convolutional neural network (CNN) to predict electricity usage trajectories based on historical data. F…
Due to limited metering infrastructure, distribution grids are currently challenged by observability issues. On the other hand, smart meter data, including local voltage magnitudes and power injections, are communicated to the utility operator from grid buses with renewable generation and demand-response programs. This…
Paper assesses the market value of sharing privacy-protected smart meter data.
problem Value of sharing privacy-protected smart meter data between consumers and load serving entities.
method Discounted differential privacy model, ANN-based load forecasting, optimal procurement problem.
result Significant value in sharing smart meter data while retaining individual consumer privacy.
Simplifying machine learning (ML) application development, including distributed computation, programming interface, resource management, model selection, etc, has attracted intensive interests recently. These research efforts have significantly improved the efficiency and the degree of automation of developing ML mode…
Recognizing a piece of writing as a poem or prose is usually easy for the majority of people; however, only specialists can determine which meter a poem belongs to. In this paper, we build Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) models that can classify poems according to their meters from plain text. The input text is encoded …
This paper proposes a joint energy and data market to handle uncertainty in energy procurement.
problem Handling uncertainty in energy markets through data markets.
method Modeling a day-ahead retailer energy procurement problem with uncertain demand, integrating forecasting and optimisation, and using differential privacy.
result The value of joint energy and data clearing is highlighted through numerical case studies.
In order to improve the efficiency and sustainability of electricity systems, most countries worldwide are deploying advanced metering infrastructures, and in particular household smart meters, in the residential sector. This technology is able to record electricity load time series at a very high frequency rates, info…
Distribution grids currently lack comprehensive real-time metering. Nevertheless, grid operators require precise knowledge of loads and renewable generation to accomplish any feeder optimization task. At the same time, new grid technologies, such as solar photovoltaics and energy storage units are interfaced via invert…
Supervised learning with a deep convolutional neural network is used to identify the QCD equation of state (EoS) employed in relativistic hydrodynamic simulations of heavy-ion collisions from the simulated final-state particle spectra ρ(pT,Φ). High-level correlations of ρ(pT,Φ) learned by the neural network act a…
New method identifies distribution grid outages using smart meter data.
problem Outages in urban distribution grids due to DERs and smart meters' last gasp signals.
method Data-driven approach based on stochastic time series analysis and maximum likelihood estimation.
result Proves optimal performance in identifying distribution grid outages using smart meter data.
The paper develops a multi-unit soft sensing model for virtual flow meters that improves few-shot learning.
problem Improving soft sensor performance for new wells with limited data.
method Formulates a probabilistic, hierarchical model using a deep neural network for multi-unit soft sensing.
result Multi-unit models trained on many wells can perform well on new wells with just a few data points.
Active learning reduces smart meter data needs for better electric load predictions.
problem Inaccurate and costly electric load predictions due to insufficient data.
method Active learning to collect more informative data subsets.
result Electric load predictions can be made with about half the data using active learning.
Deep learning detects cyber-attacks in smart grid systems.
problem Cyber-attacks on smart grid systems.
method Deep learning-based intrusion detection system trained on industrial dataset.
result Proposed system outperforms Naive Bayes, SVM, and Random Forest.
Hybrid approach protects privacy while analyzing smart meter data.
problem Privacy concerns in AMI data analysis under CPUC regulations.
method Anonymization, differential privacy, federated learning, synthetic data, cryptography.
result Comprehensive privacy-preserving analytics framework for AMI data.
CROCS clusters consumer behaviour from smart meters, capturing variability and robustness.
problem Insufficient consumer segmentation in existing clustering methods.
method Two-stage clustering framework: first stage clusters daily load profiles, second stage uses WSMD for set-to-set comparison.
result CROCS captures intra-consumer variability and robustness to anomalies and missing data.
This study uses NLP to detect financial risks from documents.
problem Detecting and predicting financial risks in documents.
method NLP model design, text preprocessing, feature extraction, machine learning.
result NLP model effectively identifies and predicts financial risks.
Investigations have been performed into using clustering methods in data mining time-series data from smart meters. The problem is to identify patterns and trends in energy usage profiles of commercial and industrial customers over 24-hour periods, and group similar profiles. We tested our method on energy usage data p…
K-means algorithm improves financial market risk prediction accuracy.
problem High error rate and low precision in financial market risk prediction.
method Applied K-means algorithm in machine learning to financial market risk forecasting.
result Achieved a 94.61% accuracy rate in financial market risk prediction.
Survey examines types of systemic risk in financial networks.
problem Understanding systemic risk in financial networks.
method Taxonomy of systemic risk types and regulatory measures.
result Different types of systemic risk identified.
GNN improves financial risk detection in dynamic networks.
problem Complex, changing financial networks make traditional risk identification methods ineffective.
method Graph Neural Networks (GNN) for embedded representation learning of financial data.
result GNN enhances the detection of hidden risks and abnormal behaviors in financial networks.
This paper surveys enterprise financial risk analysis from Big Data and LLMs perspectives.
problem Predicting future financial risk of enterprises.
method Systematic literature review of enterprise financial risk analysis approaches from Big Data and LLMs perspectives.
result Offers a holistic synthesis of research methods and key insights.
Regshock visualizes financial risks to help regulators manage systemic shocks.
problem Managing systemic risks in financial networks.
method Risk-island visualization algorithm and regshock visual exploration approach.
result Demonstrated improved risk management and control capabilities.
Study systemic risk measures adjusted to financial markets.
problem Systemic risk in financial systems with market adjustments.
method Dual representation for convex robust systemic risk measures adjusted to the financial market.
result Relation to no-arbitrage conditions.
Unique solution found for financial system risk.
problem Systemic risk in financial networks.
method Analyzed Eisenberg and Noe's model and showed a unique solution exists without the need for a regularity condition.
result A unique solution always exists for financial system risk.
Empirical evidence supports new financial market definitions.
problem Investor risk attitudes in financial markets.
method Developed a new method to analyze risk attitudes.
result Risk-averse behavior in equity investors, risk-loving behavior in risk-free asset investors.
Paper proposes model to assess financial risk of grid-ignited wildfires.
problem Financial risk and solvency threats from grid-ignited wildfires.
method Integrated model to evaluate damage costs and risk levels.
result Identifies high-risk areas for preemptive actions.
GraphShield uses dynamic graph learning to detect and visualize financial risks.
problem Detecting and mitigating risks in financial networks.
method Enhanced Cross-Domain Information Learning, Advanced Risk Recognition, Risk Propagation Visualization.
result GraphShield effectively identifies and visualizes hidden financial risks.
Financial markets are exposed to systemic risk, the risk that a substantial fraction of the system ceases to function and collapses. Systemic risk can propagate through different mechanisms and channels of contagion. One important form of financial contagion arises from indirect interconnections between financial insti…
The paper proposes a new model using financial big data to improve portfolio risk analysis.
problem Addressing potential information loss in portfolio risk measurement.
method Uses financial big data to incorporate out-of-target-portfolio information and overcomes the curse of dimensionality.
result The use of financial big data improves small portfolio risk analysis.
RiskLabs uses LLMs to predict financial risks from multimodal data.
problem Financial risk prediction using AI techniques.
method Integrates multimodal financial data (textual, vocal, time series, news) into LLMs for prediction.
result Empirical results show effectiveness in forecasting market volatility and variance.
Financial institutions face new model risks with AI, requiring enhanced model risk management.
problem New model risks from Generative AI applications in financial institutions.
method Enhanced model risk framework with additional testing and controls.
result Financial institutions need to enhance their model risk management for Generative AI applications.
Paper introduces RiskEmbed, a finetuned model for financial risk management.
problem Improving retrieval accuracy in financial question-answering systems.
method Curated dataset and finetuned BERT model for financial domain.
result RiskEmbed significantly outperforms general-purpose and financial embedding models.
Causal-NECO VaR improves financial risk assessment under market turbulence.
problem Inaccurate risk assessment in volatile markets.
method Causal Network Contagion Value at Risk (Causal-NECO VaR) using causal network framework.
result Robust and invariant predictive power in unstable financial environments.
Global catastrophe risk pools increase financial resilience by diversifying risk and including more countries.
problem Low- to middle-income countries rely heavily on foreign aid for recovery from extreme weather events, which is slow and uncertain.
method Developed a method to form global catastrophe risk pools that maximize risk diversification and select countries with low bilateral correlations or low shares in the pool risk.
result Global pooling increases risk diversification, lowers countries' shares in the pool risk, and increases the number of countries benefiting from risk pooling.
We show that any objective risk measurement algorithm mandated by central banks for regulated financial entities will result in more risk being taken on by those financial entities than would otherwise be the case. Furthermore, the risks taken on by the regulated financial entities are far more systemically concentrate…
FinPT uses large pretrained models to predict financial risks.
problem Outdated algorithms and lack of open financial benchmarks.
method Profile Tuning on large pretrained foundation models.
result Demonstrated effectiveness on FinBench datasets.
Study quantifies financial contagion risks in supply chains.
problem Supply chain shocks contribute to financial losses.
method Multi-layer network framework, micro-dataset of Hungarian firms.
result Supply chain shocks amplify financial losses by 4-3x.
Paper optimizes a big data and ML risk monitoring system for financial markets.
problem Traditional risk monitoring methods are inadequate for modern financial markets due to data complexity and volume.
method Four-layer architecture integrating big data and advanced ML algorithms (LSTM, RF, GB).
result Significantly enhances efficiency and accuracy in risk management, especially in market crash risk detection.
Paper introduces TVaRD, a new topological risk measure for financial portfolios.
problem Traditional risk measures like VaR and CVaR are insufficient for complex market conditions.
method Topological data analysis (TDA) using cohomology groups on financial time series data.
result TVaRD reveals significant changes in financial time series during stress conditions.
This study identifies financial risk paths in digital-transformed enterprises.
problem Identifying financial risks in digital-transformed enterprises.
method DEMATEL-ISM-MICMAC method.
result Political and economic environment affects enterprise's financial structure.
Financial volatility risk and its relation to a business cycle-related intrinsic time is addressed through a multiple round evolutionary quantum game equilibrium leading to turbulence and multifractal signatures in the financial returns and in the risk dynamics. The model is simulated and the results are compared with …
Enhances Transformers for better risk assessment in finance.
problem Transformer models lack sensitivity to extreme financial losses.
method Integrates Loss-at-Risk function with Value at Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR).
result Improves risk prediction and management in financial datasets.
Paper discusses how financial institutions' model risk management can benefit academic research.
problem Improving academic research process and mitigating limitations.
method Adopting financial institutions' model risk management practices.
result Lessons from financial institutions can enhance academic research reliability.