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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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316293124 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for False zeros

Proposes a method to handle sparse multiway count data with false zeros using zero-truncated Poisson regression.

problem Handling sparse multiway count data corrupted by false zeros.
method Zero-truncated Poisson regression with tensor completion.
result Accurate estimation of multiway count data from approximately IR2log22(I)IR^2\log_2^2(I) non-zero counts.

We study the Thompson sampling algorithm in an adversarial setting, specifically, for adversarial bit prediction. We characterize the bit sequences with the smallest and largest expected regret. Among sequences of length TT with k<T2k < \frac{T}{2} zeros, the sequences of largest regret consist of alternating zeros and …

2019-06-21abs ↗pdf ↗

A new metric, Weighted Regret, unifies FDR and power evaluation in online multiple testing.

problem The asymmetric costs of false positives and false negatives in automated pipelines.
method Introducing Weighted Regret and Decoupled-OMT (DOMT) to unify FDR and power evaluation.
result DOMT achieves an order-optimal sublinear mitigation of threshold depletion in bursty environments.

Information systems have widely been the target of malware attacks. Traditional signature-based malicious program detection algorithms can only detect known malware and are prone to evasion techniques such as binary obfuscation, while behavior-based approaches highly rely on the malware training samples and incur prohi…

2019-10-17abs ↗pdf ↗

In high dimensional settings where a small number of regressors are expected to be important, the Lasso estimator can be used to obtain a sparse solution vector with the expectation that most of the non-zero coefficients are associated with true signals. While several approaches have been developed to control the inclu…

2019-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Semi-supervised wrapper methods are concerned with building effective supervised classifiers from partially labeled data. Though previous works have succeeded in some fields, it is still difficult to apply semi-supervised wrapper methods to practice because the assumptions those methods rely on tend to be unrealistic i…

2016-11-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Study examines flaws in probing LLMs' knowledge and introduces a new method.

problem Flaws in existing methods for probing the veracity of LLMs' internal knowledge.
method sAwMIL (Sparse-Aware Multiple-Instance Learning) combining multiple-instance learning with conformal prediction.
result LLMs encode a third type of signal distinct from true and false.

New methods control false discoveries near the boundary in conformal novelty detection.

problem Over-optimistic assessments near the rejection threshold in conformal novelty detection.
method Support line (SL) correction and alternative procedures to control boundary false discovery rate (bFDR).
result New procedures control the boundary false discovery rate (bFDR) in the conformal setting.

New algorithm optimizes AUC in binary classification and changepoint detection.

problem Difficult to optimize AUC in binary classification and changepoint detection.
method Proposes efficient path-following algorithms for choosing optimal learning rate.
result Proposed line search algorithm computes complete AUM/AUC representation.

New indefinite false theta functions match homological blocks for a specific 3-manifold.

problem Constructing homological blocks for certain 3-manifolds.
method Developing indefinite false theta functions and proving their equivalence to homological blocks.
result Indefinite false theta functions match homological blocks for the Poincaré homology sphere.

Learning a classifier with control on the false-positive rate plays a critical role in many machine learning applications. Existing approaches either introduce prior knowledge dependent label cost or tune parameters based on traditional classifiers, which lack consistency in methodology because they do not strictly adh…

2018-01-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes latency and false alarm probability in change detection problems.

problem Balancing latency and false alarms in non-stationary environments.
method Develops order-optimal change detectors under specified latency and false alarm levels.
result Derives a universal lower bound on latency and develops order-optimal detectors.

New method calibrates false detection rates in sequential change detection.

problem Challenges in setting time-invariant thresholds for false positives.
method Simulation-based approach to time-varying thresholds.
result Accurately targets desired expected runtime while keeping false positive rate constant.

Nonparametric IPSS selects features with false discovery control.

problem Feature selection in high-dimensional data with theoretical false discovery control.
method Integrated Path Stability Selection (IPSS) applied to nonparametric feature importance scores.
result IPSS accurately controls false discovery rate and detects more true positives than existing methods.

Paper tackles MIAs vulnerability by controlling FDR, providing guarantees on false discoveries.

problem Vulnerability of deep learning models to membership inference attacks (MIAs).
method Designs a novel membership inference attack method that provides FDR guarantees.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the method in various settings.

In hypothesis testing, a false discovery occurs when a hypothesis is incorrectly rejected due to noise in the sample. When adaptively testing multiple hypotheses, the probability of a false discovery increases as more tests are performed. Thus the problem of False Discovery Rate (FDR) control is to find a procedure for…

2020-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes knockoff-based methods to simplify deep neural networks by controlling false discovery rates.

problem High-dimensional deep neural networks with many irrelevant parameters and inputs.
method Knockoff methods combined with regularized neural networks for variable screening.
result Proposed algorithms show satisfactory performance in controlling false discovery rates.

New method controls false discoveries in online testing with deadlines.

problem Controlling false discoveries in online hypothesis testing with decision deadlines.
method Benjamini-Hochberg-type procedure over a moving window of hypotheses with adaptive threshold parameters.
result Controls false discovery rate at every stage and adaptively chosen stopping times.

In this paper Hamiltonian system of time dependent periodic Newton equations is studied. It is shown that for dimensions 33 and higher the following rigidity results holds true: If all the orbits in a neighborhood of infinity are action minimizing then the potential must be constant. This gives a generalization of the…

2015-05-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops robust knockoffs for controlling false discoveries in financial data.

problem Challenges in variable selection with highly correlated data in finance and economics.
method Robustified knockoff framework addressing high dependence and time correlation.
result Identifies new important groups of factors on top of known drivers.

New algorithm for adaptive experimental design in scientific settings.

problem Identifying true positives while controlling false discoveries in adaptive experimental design.
method Provably sample efficient adaptive algorithm for FDR control.
result First provably sample efficient adaptive algorithm for adaptive experimental design.

This paper addresses the problem of inferring sparse causal networks modeled by multivariate auto-regressive (MAR) processes. Conditions are derived under which the Group Lasso (gLasso) procedure consistently estimates sparse network structure. The key condition involves a "false connection score." In particular, we sh…

2011-06-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Study optimizes sampling to avoid extreme tail risks in unknown heavy-tailed distributions.

problem Identify optimal alternative with minimal extreme tail risk from unknown heavy-tailed distributions.
method Data-driven sequential sampling policies to maximize likelihood of selecting the optimal alternative.
result Proposed methods outperform existing approaches in identifying the optimal alternative.

Online anomaly detection in surveillance videos with false alarm rate bounds.

problem Lack of theoretical performance analysis and online decision making in anomaly detection.
method Proposes an online anomaly detection method with asymptotic bounds on false alarm rate.
result Demonstrates effectiveness on publicly available data sets, outperforming state-of-the-art algorithms.

Study compares statistical properties and power of divergence measures for credit risk monitoring.

problem Detecting distributional shifts in credit risk models.
method Derives statistical properties and chi-square benchmark values for Jensen-Shannon Divergence and Kullback-Leibler Divergence, demonstrating their applicability in credit risk monitoring.
result Jensen-Shannon Divergence and Kullback-Leibler Divergence follow chi-square distributions and reveal practical trade-offs in minimizing false positives vs. detecting changes.

SDAMI enhances interpretable high-dimensional regression with sparse deep learning and footprint principle.

problem Personalized models for small samples and high-dimensional features with interpretability.
method Sparse Deep Additive Model with Interactions (SDAMI) combining sparsity-driven feature selection and deep subnetworks.
result SDAMI successfully identifies pure interactions with near-zero false positive rates.

The paper develops a method to identify LLM-generated text without training.

problem Identifying LLM-generated text among human-generated content.
method Modeling LLM text as a sequential process and designing zero-shot statistical tests.
result The method can distinguish between text from known LLMs and non-sanctioned models with low false positive rates.

Detects data drift in deep learning models using neural embeddings.

problem Detecting changes in data distribution in deep learning models.
method Formulates drift detection in a sequential decision framework and introduces a loss function to balance false alarms and quick detection.
result Demonstrates improved ability to balance false alarms and quick detection in change detection.