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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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115230344459 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Factor Augmented Regression

Paper develops a new estimator for high-dimensional panel data with common shocks.

problem Cross-sectionally dependent errors driven by common shocks in high-dimensional panel data.
method Factor-augmented sparse-group LASSO estimator combining MIDAS aggregation with latent factors.
result The estimator outperforms standard LASSO for prediction and estimation in settings with cross-sectional dependence.

Enhances time-series regression trees with latent factors for robust financial analysis.

problem Handling predictors with measurement error, trends, seasonality, and missing data.
method Integrates latent stationary factors extracted via state-space methods into time-series regression trees.
result Factor-augmented trees provide a reliable approach for macro-finance problems, exemplified by the lead-lag effect between equity volatility and the business cycle.

Proposes FarmHazard model for hazard regression with correlated covariates.

problem Model selection challenges in high-dimensional data with correlated covariates.
method Factor-Augmented Regularized Model for Hazard Regression (FarmHazard) that learns latent factors and idiosyncratic components.
result Proves model selection and estimation consistency under mild conditions.

Proposes FATTNN for tensor-on-tensor regression with improved prediction and reduced computation.

problem Tensor-on-tensor regression with complex tensor structures and nonlinear relationships.
method Integrates tensor factor models into deep neural networks to handle nonlinearity and reduce data dimensionality.
result Significant improvements in prediction accuracy and computational efficiency over traditional methods.

Paper tackles scalable VFL with data augmentation and amortized inference.

problem Collaborative model estimation across multiple clients with distinct covariates.
method Data augmentation, amortized variational approximation, factorized likelihoods.
result Scalable Bayesian VFL framework for various models.

SMART-FAN-Lasso fine-tunes neural networks for high-dimensional nonparametric regression.

problem Fine-tuning neural networks for high-dimensional nonparametric regression with variable selection.
method Source-model-augmented residual tuning (SMART) framework for neural Lasso.
result SMART-FAN-Lasso achieves statistical acceleration over single-task learning under precise conditions.

Study examines how data augmentation impacts optimization in linear regression.

problem Understanding how data augmentation schedules affect optimization in linear regression.
method Analyzed the effect of augmentation on optimization in linear regression with MSE loss, using classical convex optimization and recent work on implicit bias.
result Proved that under certain joint schedules for learning rate and augmentation scheme, augmented gradient descent converges and characterized the resulting minimum.

This work analyzes the role of data augmentation in self-supervised learning using RKHS approximation and regression.

problem Limited theoretical understanding of the role of data augmentation in self-supervised learning.
method Geometric characterization of the target function given by augmentation, proving generalization bounds.
result Two generalization bounds are derived, one free of model complexity, the other specific to near-optimal encoders.

The study finds that supply chain information from LLM embeddings improves stock returns predictions.

problem Predicting stock returns using textual information from annual reports.
method Combining LLM embeddings of annual reports with supply chain knowledge graph propagation.
result Network-augmented embeddings significantly predict stock returns with a Sharpe ratio of 0.86 and alpha of 7.27%.

Data representations that contain all the information about target variables but are invariant to nuisance factors benefit supervised learning algorithms by preventing them from learning associations between these factors and the targets, thus reducing overfitting. We present a novel unsupervised invariance induction f…

2018-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes how data augmentation affects the test error in regression models.

problem Understanding the impact of data augmentation on the test error in regression models.
method Characterizes the test error in terms of population quantities and augmentation statistics.
result Provides a tight characterization of the test error in mean squared error.

Novel characterization of augmented balancing weights combining outcome and weighting models.

problem Improving estimation accuracy in machine learning models with balancing weights.
method Characterization of augmented balancing weights as linear models, extending to ridge and lasso regression.
result Equivalence and closed-form expressions for specific model choices, providing insights into performance.

Learn invariances in neural networks by optimizing over augmentation parameters.

problem Lack of knowledge about present invariances and their extent in data.
method Parameterize a distribution over augmentations and optimize network parameters and augmentation parameters simultaneously.
result Recover correct set and extent of invariances on various tasks from training data alone.

New measure quantifies contrastive self-supervised learning's generalization ability.

problem Limited theoretical understanding of contrastive self-supervised learning's generalization.
method Defined (σ,δ)(σ,δ)-measure to mathematically quantify data augmentation and provide an upper bound for downstream classification error.
result Generalization ability is related to alignment of positive samples, divergence of class centers, and concentration of augmented data.

DAERNN models censored data using neural networks with data augmentation.

problem Handling censored data in expectile regression.
method Data augmentation based Expectile Regression Neural Networks (ERNNs).
result DAERNN outperforms existing censored ERNNs methods and achieves comparable predictive performance to fully observed data.

Enhances feature augmentation for high-dimensional learning.

problem Correlated high-dimensional measurements require dimensionality reduction.
method Augment features with factors extracted from design matrices and their transformations.
result Significantly weakens correlations between input variables, improving interpretability and numerical stability.

The study examines mixing times of data-augmentation Gibbs samplers for high-dimensional probit regression.

problem Investigating convergence properties of data-augmentation samplers for Bayesian probit regression.
method Using recent results on Gibbs samplers for log-concave targets, the study provides non-asymptotic bounds on mixing times.
result Explicit non-asymptotic bounds on mixing times depend on design matrix and prior precision, holding uniformly over responses.

Study ablated data augmentation techniques and their mathematical equivalence to penalties.

problem Lack of mathematical understanding of differences between ablated data augmentation techniques.
method Formal model of mean ablated data augmentation and inverted dropout for linear regression; empirical validation for deep networks.
result Ablated data augmentation and inverted dropout are mathematically equivalent to penalties in optimization.

A beta-negative binomial (BNB) process is proposed, leading to a beta-gamma-Poisson process, which may be viewed as a "multi-scoop" generalization of the beta-Bernoulli process. The BNB process is augmented into a beta-gamma-gamma-Poisson hierarchical structure, and applied as a nonparametric Bayesian prior for an infi…

2011-12-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper generalizes Gaussian universality and CGMT to dependent data, impacting data augmentation in high-dimensional logistic regression.

problem Limitation of Gaussian universality and CGMT in handling dependent data.
method Generalizes Gaussian universality and CGMT to dependent data (block dependence, m-dependence, mixing). Establishes a novel CGMT framework.
result Gaussian universality holds for high-dimensional logistic regression under various types of dependence.

NA0_0CT2^2 improves tensor regression predictions with 0\ell_0 regularization.

problem Improving tensor regression predictions with structural information.
method Noise-Augmented 0\ell_0 regularization on Tucker decomposition.
result Achieves exact 0\ell_0 regularization on core tensor in linear and generalized linear tensor regression.

New methods combine low and high-fidelity data for accurate surrogate modeling.

problem Challenges in surrogate modeling for high-dimensional outputs with limited training data.
method Projection-based multifidelity linear regression methods integrating low-fidelity and high-fidelity data.
result Multifidelity methods achieve up to 12% improvement in median accuracy compared to single-fidelity methods.

The paper examines how adversarial training and noise affect neural network performance.

problem Overfitting in adversarial training and data augmentation.
method Adversarial training and data augmentation with noise in the context of regularized regression in RKHS.
result Appropriate regularization can prevent overfitting and improve performance.

New framework explains diverse impacts of data augmentation.

problem Understanding the varied effects of data augmentation on model performance.
method Developed a theoretical framework to characterize DA's impact on linear models.
result Data augmentation induces implicit spectral regularization through two effects.

This work precisely characterizes and improves the tradeoff between robustness and accuracy in linear regression.

problem Tradeoff between robustness and accuracy in adversarial training.
method Characterizes the effect of augmentation on standard error in linear regression; proves RST improves robust error without sacrificing standard error.
result RST improves both standard and robust error for neural networks under various perturbations.

We propose a nonparametric Bayesian factor regression model that accounts for uncertainty in the number of factors, and the relationship between factors. To accomplish this, we propose a sparse variant of the Indian Buffet Process and couple this with a hierarchical model over factors, based on Kingman's coalescent. We…

2009-08-05abs ↗pdf ↗

To model categorical response variables given their covariates, we propose a permuted and augmented stick-breaking (paSB) construction that one-to-one maps the observed categories to randomly permuted latent sticks. This new construction transforms multinomial regression into regression analysis of stick-specific binar…

2016-12-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper uses non-linear dimension reduction for better economic forecasting.

problem Analyzing economic effects of shocks in large datasets.
method Non-linear dimension reduction in factor-augmented vector autoregressions.
result Non-linear dimension reduction techniques improve forecasting, especially in volatile data.

Relational learning can be used to augment one data source with other correlated sources of information, to improve predictive accuracy. We frame a large class of relational learning problems as matrix factorization problems, and propose a hierarchical Bayesian model. Training our Bayesian model using random-walk Metro…

2012-03-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Associated to Legendrian links in the standard contact three-space, Ruling polynomials are Legendrian isotopy invariants, which also compute augmentation numbers, that is, the points-counting of augmentation varieties for Legendrian links (up to a normalized factor) \cite{HR15}. In this article, we generalize this pict…

2017-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Heavy Lasso improves robustness in high-dimensional linear regression with heavy-tailed errors.

problem Challenges of classical Lasso in handling heavy-tailed noise and outliers.
method Data-augmented soft-thresholding with Student's t-distribution loss.
result Heavy Lasso achieves comparable rates to Huber loss under theoretical bounds.

EVARS-GPR refines Gaussian Process Regression for seasonal data with sudden scale changes.

problem Challenges in forecasting with changing system behavior over time.
method Combines online change point detection with data augmentation for refitting.
result 20.8% lower RMSE on real-world datasets compared to similar methods.

Study improves sugarcane plot prediction using data interpolation.

problem Predicting adventive plants in sugarcane plots with limited data.
method Interpolation techniques (Gaussian processes, kriging) for geo-referenced data augmentation.
result GP-COMB outperforms other methods with less additional data.