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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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48 results for Expert Knowledge

High-dimensional prediction is a challenging problem setting for traditional statistical models. Although regularization improves model performance in high dimensions, it does not sufficiently leverage knowledge on feature importances held by domain experts. As an alternative to standard regularization techniques, we p…

2019-12-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a simulation-based method to translate expert knowledge into prior distributions for Bayesian models.

problem Effective incorporation of expert knowledge into prior distributions for diverse model structures.
method Simulation-based stochastic gradient descent to learn hyperparameters of parametric priors from expert knowledge.
result Method is adaptable to various elicitation techniques and independent of model structure.

Optimizes expensive experiments by incorporating expert knowledge.

problem Expensive experiments require minimizing the number of trials.
method Bayesian optimization with posterior sampling of expert knowledge.
result Demonstrates significant efficiency gains in experiments and hyperparameter tuning.

The promise of ANNs to automatically discover and extract useful features/patterns from data without dwelling on domain expertise although seems highly promising but comes at the cost of high reliance on large amount of accurately labeled data, which is often hard to acquire and formulate especially in time-series doma…

2019-02-15abs ↗pdf ↗

New method combines FMEA and Bayesian Network for root cause analysis in lithium-ion battery production.

problem Complex cause-effect relationships in lithium-ion battery production.
method Combining FMEA with Bayesian Network to detect and resolve inconsistencies.
result Holistic method builds large-scale cross-process Bayesian Failure Network for root cause analysis.

Paper proposes a novel RRL framework that learns from images and incorporates expert knowledge.

problem Lack of effective methods to incorporate expert background knowledge and learn from non-relational data in RRL.
method Differentiable Inductive Logic Programming (ILP) for learning relational information from images and incorporating expert knowledge.
result Efficacy demonstrated on various environments and datasets, showing improved learning and generalization.

A new model improves the performance of knowledge distillation in GNNs.

problem Inconsistent performance of existing knowledge distillation techniques in GNNs.
method Proposes a new model, Routing-by-Memory (RbM), a form of Mixture-of-Experts (MoE), to address performance concerns.
result Demonstrates experimentally that RbM achieves considerably more consistent performance across multiple datasets.

AGFN improves causal discovery by integrating expert feedback and handling latent confounding.

problem Inaccurate causal discovery due to unreliable expert knowledge and latent confounding.
method Ancestral GFlowNet (AGFN) is a reinforcement learning algorithm that iteratively refines a policy based on noisy expert feedback to infer ancestral graphs.
result AGFN converges to the true ancestral graph given accurate expert responses and outperforms baselines in structural Hamming distance and Bayesian Information Criterion.

Expert-guided model improves seismic compliance monitoring.

problem Classifying seismic data with missingness and expert knowledge.
method Expert-guided class-conditional model with interpretable goodness-of-fit features.
result Interpretable classifier outperforms standard machine learning, especially with small training data.

In this work we study the problem of inferring a discrete probability distribution using both expert knowledge and empirical data. This is an important issue for many applications where the scarcity of data prevents a purely empirical approach. In this context, it is common to rely first on an initial domain knowledge …

2019-10-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Gryffin optimizes categorical variables in materials design, leveraging expert knowledge.

problem Optimizing categorical variables in complex design choices like molecule selection.
method Bayesian optimization with smooth approximations to categorical distributions, incorporating expert knowledge.
result Gryffin accelerates discovery of promising molecules and materials, highlighting relevant correlations.

Machine Learning is proving invaluable across disciplines. However, its success is often limited by the quality and quantity of available data, while its adoption by the level of trust that models afford users. Human vs. machine performance is commonly compared empirically to decide whether a certain task should be per…

2019-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

End-to-end CAD system for thyroid nodule classification using multimodal data and expert guidance.

problem Improving accuracy in thyroid nodule classification for clinicians.
method Knowledge-driven DenseNet framework using multimodal ultrasound data and expert cues.
result The proposed system achieves relevant performances in thyroid nodule classification.

L2D-CD learns to defer expert recommendations in causal discovery.

problem Combining expert knowledge with data-driven results in causal discovery when expert recommendations may contradict data.
method Adapting learning-to-defer algorithms for pairwise causal discovery, L2D-CD learns a deferral function to select between expert recommendations and data-driven methods.
result L2D-CD outperforms both causal discovery methods and the expert used in isolation, identifying domains where the expert's performance is strong or weak.

The paper shows how expert knowledge can improve treatment effect estimation.

problem Lack of leveraging expert knowledge in treatment effect estimation.
method Formally defining two types of expertise (predictive and prognostic) and demonstrating their influence on treatment effect estimation methods.
result Expertise type significantly influences treatment effect estimation methods, and can be predicted from a dataset.

Proposes a new bankruptcy prediction model using Bayesian framework with expert knowledge.

problem Bankruptcy prediction using accounting ratios and statistical models.
method Generative modeling with Expert Bayesian framework.
result Model is either comparable or superior to existing methods with lower False Positive Rate.

In order to improve forecasts, a decisionmaker often combines probabilities given by various sources, such as human experts and machine learning classifiers. When few training data are available, aggregation can be improved by incorporating prior knowledge about the event being forecasted and about salient properties o…

2012-07-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Active learning (AL) is a learning paradigm where an active learner has to train a model (e.g., a classifier) which is in principal trained in a supervised way, but in AL it has to be done by means of a data set with initially unlabeled samples. To get labels for these samples, the active learner has to ask an oracle (…

2015-04-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Competency questions help experts select best clustering for energy data.

problem Ad hoc and subjective selection of clustering structures by domain experts.
method Formalize expert knowledge and requirements with competency questions.
result Competency questions improve reproducibility and evaluation of clustering applications.

ExpCLR uses expert features to improve time-series representation learning.

problem Current representation learning approaches fail to ensure useful properties for time-series data.
method ExpCLR employs expert features to replace data transformations in contrastive learning, ensuring two useful properties for time-series representations.
result ExpCLR outperforms state-of-the-art methods on three real-world time-series datasets.

Paper explores limits of imitation learning in MDPs, setting new suboptimality bounds.

problem Understanding the statistical limits of imitation learning in MDPs.
method Analyzes minimax statistical limits in two settings: pre-interaction and interaction.
result Establishes suboptimality bounds for imitation learning in MDPs, showing improvements with knowledge of transition.

The paper integrates AI and expert knowledge to optimize radiotherapy decisions.

problem Optimizing radiation dose planning considering patient-specific information.
method Integrating Gaussian process models with deep neural networks to quantify uncertainty.
result Improves AI model performance and guides clinical decision making.

Unified scoring model improves efficiency and performance across multiple tasks.

problem Efficient and resource-efficient automated scoring for diverse tasks.
method Knowledge-distilled multi-task Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) approach.
result Comparable performance to task-specific models with significantly less storage and training resources.

This paper integrates LLMs into SCD to improve causal inference accuracy.

problem Challenges in acquiring domain expert knowledge for causal models.
method Statistical causal prompting (SCP) for LLMs and prior knowledge augmentation for SCD.
result LLM-KBCI and SCD augmented with LLM-KBCI approach ground truths more closely.

Introduces a rule-based Bayesian regression for better uncertainty quantification and expert knowledge integration.

problem Handling regression problems with uncertainty quantification and expert intuition.
method Combines Bayesian inference and rule-based systems for better model performance.
result Improves model performance with better uncertainty quantification and point predictions.

This paper proposes a systematic framework to design a classification model that yields a classifier which optimizes a utility function based on prior knowledge. Specifically, as the data size grows, we prove that the produced classifier asymptotically converges to the optimal classifier, an extended version of the Bay…

2018-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for multi-expert learning-to-defer avoids optimization issues.

problem Optimization issues in multi-expert learning-to-defer systems.
method A decoupled surrogate with a softmax classifier head and independent sigmoid heads per expert.
result First multi-expert L2D guarantee with a constant not growing with the expert pool.

Active learning method for ABC statistics selection reduces expert work and improves posterior estimates.

problem Handling intractable likelihood functions in models with domain knowledge.
method Active learning method for selecting summary statistics in ABC.
result Better posterior estimates than existing methods, especially with limited simulation budget.

Generalized algorithm for translation and scale-invariant prediction.

problem Sequential prediction with expert advice, focusing on translation and scale invariance.
method Designing a generalized online algorithm using the universal prediction perspective to compete against a generic class of expert selection strategies.
result No preliminary knowledge of loss sequences is required; performance bounds are stable under arbitrary scalings and translations.

AutoElicit uses LLMs to quickly create expert priors for predictive models.

problem Creating accurate priors for predictive models is time-consuming and costly.
method AutoElicit extracts knowledge from LLMs to construct priors for predictive models.
result AutoElicit yields priors that reduce error and save labelling effort.

In life sciences, the experts generally use empirical knowledge to recode variables, choose interactions and perform selection by classical approach. The aim of this work is to perform automatic learning algorithm for variables selection which can lead to know if experts can be help in they decision or simply replaced …

2015-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗