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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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62125187249 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Expectation maximization

In this paper, we firstly give a brief introduction of expectation maximization (EM) algorithm, and then discuss the initial value sensitivity of expectation maximization algorithm. Subsequently, we give a short proof of EM's convergence. Then, we implement experiments with the expectation maximization algorithm (We im…

2013-05-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Designs efficient algorithms to maximize the expectation of Gaussian random variables.

problem Maximizing the expectation of the supremum of Gaussian random variables.
method Polynomial time approximation scheme and O(logn)O(\log n) approximation algorithm for general m>1m>1.
result Characterizes optimal variance allocation and provides approximation algorithms.

We consider an infinite dimensional optimization problem motivated by mathematical economics. Within the celebrated "Arbitrage Pricing Model", we use probabilistic and functional analytic techniques to show the existence of optimal strategies for investors who maximize their expected utility.

2015-08-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Active inference minimizes expected free energy for optimal behavior.

problem Understanding and optimizing behavior in complex systems.
method Combines Bayesian decision theory, optimal Bayesian design, and the free energy principle.
result Active inference emerges as a unified framework for information-seeking, utility maximization, and goal-directed behavior.

Study optimal investment and consumption in incomplete markets with nonlinear expectations.

problem Utility maximization in incomplete markets with general constraints.
method Utilizes gg-martingale method to solve optimization problem for various utility functions.
result Characterizes optimal investment-consumption strategy through quadratic BSDE solutions.

We present a noise-injected version of the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm: the Noisy Expectation Maximization (NEM) algorithm. The NEM algorithm uses noise to speed up the convergence of the EM algorithm. The NEM theorem shows that injected noise speeds up the average convergence of the EM algorithm to a local…

2018-01-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal financial strategies minimize risk under uncertain models.

problem Maximizing utility in financial markets with model uncertainty.
method Optimized strategies converge to those with minimal norm as uncertainty increases.
result Optimal strategies with minimal norm emerge as uncertainty grows.

New algorithm robustly estimates sparse models in high dimensions with corrupted data.

problem Estimating latent variable models with arbitrarily corrupted samples in high dimensional space.
method Trimmed (Gradient) Expectation Maximization with trimming gradients and hard thresholding steps.
result The algorithm converges to near optimal statistical rate geometrically under certain conditions.

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is one of the most important methods in machine learning, and the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm is often used to obtain maximum likelihood estimates. However, EM heavily depends on initial configurations and fails to find the global optimum. On the other hand, in the field …

2017-04-19abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we use replica analysis to determine the investment strategy that can maximize the net present value for portfolios containing multiple development projects. Replica analysis was developed in statistical mechanical informatics and econophysics to evaluate disordered systems, and here we use it to formula…

2018-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

DiEM trains diffusion models from noisy data using EM.

problem Training diffusion models requires clean data, which is often unavailable.
method DiEM uses expectation-maximization algorithm to train diffusion models from incomplete and noisy observations.
result DiEM leads to proper diffusion models suitable for downstream tasks.

New framework improves EM algorithm convergence under log-Sobolev inequality.

problem Improving convergence of the EM algorithm.
method Extending gradient flow techniques to EM algorithm, using free energy representation.
result Exponential convergence of EM algorithm under log-Sobolev inequality.

In this paper we study a robust expected utility maximization problem with random endowment in discrete time. We give conditions under which an optimal strategy exists and derive a dual representation for the optimal utility. Our approach is based on a general representation result for monotone convex functionals, a fu…

2017-12-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Clustering algorithms are a cornerstone of machine learning applications. Recently, a quantum algorithm for clustering based on the k-means algorithm has been proposed by Kerenidis, Landman, Luongo and Prakash. Based on their work, we propose a quantum expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm for Gaussian mixture models…

2019-08-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Establishes geometric convergence of iterative optimization algorithms.

problem Analyzes convergence of iterative optimization algorithms under general assumptions.
method General framework for iterative optimization algorithms, proving asymptotic geometric convergence and providing convergence rates.
result Asymptotic geometric convergence of iterative optimization algorithms with exact rate.

Study optimizes insurance investment to maximize utility across all capital levels.

problem Maximizing expected utility across all capital levels in an insurance company's investment strategy.
method Dynamic Programming Principle and Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation to prove existence of optimal strategy.
result Existence of optimal investment strategy proven under certain conditions.

QEM uses parallel importance weighting for fast approximate Bayesian inference.

problem Bayesian inference challenges in large models with many observations and latent variables.
method Expectation Maximization (EM) with massively parallel importance weighting.
result QEM is faster and more scalable than RWS and VI.

The paper introduces SuccessProbaMax to optimize policy success probability in online advertising.

problem Optimizing policy success probability in online advertising systems.
method SuccessProbaMax algorithm that optimizes for the probability of success rather than expected value.
result SuccessProbaMax outperforms conventional algorithms in terms of success rate.

Training deep generative models with maximum likelihood remains a challenge. The typical workaround is to use variational inference (VI) and maximize a lower bound to the log marginal likelihood of the data. Variational auto-encoders (VAEs) adopt this approach. They further amortize the cost of inference by using a rec…

2019-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

New RL formulation for maximizing maximum reward in molecule generation.

problem Traditional RL frameworks do not fit real-world applications like drug discovery.
method Formulated a new objective function to maximize maximum reward, derived Bellman equation, introduced operators, and proved convergence.
result Achieved state-of-the-art results in molecule generation.

Optimal insurance strategy for maximizing RDEU under various premium principles.

problem Maximizing a risk-averse individual's RDEU with insurance priced by a distortion-deviation principle.
method Proved necessary and sufficient conditions for the optimal solution, considered ambiguity orders, and analyzed specific examples.
result Conditions for no insurance or deductible insurance to be optimal.

New approach to multi-armed bandit problem aims to maximize highest total reward.

problem Traditional multi-armed bandit problem objective of maximizing total reward is not suitable in certain applications.
method Adaptive explore-then-commit policy with confidence bounds and adaptive stopping criterion.
result Achieves asymptotic and worst-case regret bounds for the new objective.

Bayesian quadrature optimization (BQO) maximizes the expectation of an expensive black-box integrand taken over a known probability distribution. In this work, we study BQO under distributional uncertainty in which the underlying probability distribution is unknown except for a limited set of its i.i.d. samples. A stan…

2020-01-19abs ↗pdf ↗

New method estimates Gaussian copulas with missing data using EM algorithm.

problem Estimating Gaussian copulas with missing data and prior assumptions.
method Rigorous application of the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm for marginal distributions and dependence structure.
result Joint distribution learned is closer to the underlying distribution.

SEMF predicts prediction intervals for ML models using latent variables.

problem Uncertainty quantification in ML models, especially for diverse data distributions.
method Supervised Expectation-Maximization Framework (SEMF) extending EM algorithm for latent variable modeling.
result SEMF produces narrower prediction intervals with desired coverage probability.

FIEM accelerates EM for large datasets with nonasymptotic convergence bounds.

problem Efficiently optimizing large datasets using EM framework.
method FIEM recasts EM in Stochastic Approximation framework and provides nonasymptotic convergence bounds.
result Nonasymptotic bounds for convergence in expectation as a function of nn and $\kmax$.

This dissertation shows that careful injection of noise into sample data can substantially speed up Expectation-Maximization algorithms. Expectation-Maximization algorithms are a class of iterative algorithms for extracting maximum likelihood estimates from corrupted or incomplete data. The convergence speed-up is an e…

2014-11-24abs ↗pdf ↗

A new Bayesian method optimizes time-dependent expensive functions with lookahead.

problem Maximizing a time-dependent, expensive oracle with limited evaluations.
method Recursive, two-step lookahead expected payoff (r2LEY) acquisition function.
result r2LEY outperforms myopic methods in synthetic and real-world datasets.

We present a novel active learning algorithm for community detection on networks. Our proposed algorithm uses a Maximal Expected Model Change (MEMC) criterion for querying network nodes label assignments. MEMC detects nodes that maximally change the community assignment likelihood model following a query. Our method is…

2018-01-11abs ↗pdf ↗

New method corrects active learning for distribution shifts and outliers.

problem Conventional active learning methods fail to account for test-time distribution.
method JEPIG, a hybrid of BALD and EPIG, maximizes expected predictive information gain.
result JEPIG outperforms conventional methods in active learning with distribution shifts.

Proposes a novel graph self-training method with EM regularization for semi-supervised node classification.

problem Handles noisy graph structures and feature spaces in semi-supervised node classification.
method Introduces an Expectation-Maximization (EM) regularization scheme for uncertainty-aware pseudo-label generation and model retraining.
result Significantly outperforms strong baselines by up to 2.5% in accuracy.

EM algorithm speeds up convergence in federated learning with heterogenous data.

problem Understanding convergence rates of federated learning algorithms under data heterogeneity.
method Characterized convergence rate of EM algorithm for FMLR model under various regimes.
result EM algorithm converges to ground truth with SNR ≥ √K in all regimes.

This paper improves SNN training by using multiple sample compartments.

problem Training SNNs with single-sample estimators leads to inaccurate log-likelihood estimates.
method Proposes a GEM-based online learning algorithm that uses multiple independent spiking signals.
result Significant improvements in log-likelihood, accuracy, and calibration with multiple compartments.

DCEM algorithm reduces bias in machine learning models trained on selective labels.

problem Bias in machine learning models trained on selective labels.
method Disparate Censorship Expectation-Maximization (DCEM) algorithm.
result DCEM improves bias mitigation without sacrificing discriminative performance.