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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,341 papers · 148 categories

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2.5%5.0%7.5%10.0% · Jan 199519922001200920182026
48 results for Expansion-normalised variables

Proves Strong Cosmic Censorship conjecture for specific spacetimes.

problem Proving the Strong Cosmic Censorship conjecture for certain spacetimes.
method Analyzing curvature invariants and expansion-normalised variables.
result Proven for orthogonal Bianchi class B perfect fluids and vacuum spacetimes.

This paper resolves the stiff fluid case for orthogonal Bianchi B fluids near the singularity.

problem The asymptotic behavior of orthogonal Bianchi class B stiff fluids near the initial singularity.
method Expansion-normalised variables and convergence analysis of the Jacobs set.
result All solutions converge to a specific subset of the Jacobs set, differing from non-stiff cases.

Develops geometric framework for analyzing big bang singularities without symmetry assumptions.

problem Analyzing big bang singularities without symmetry constraints.
method Geometric framework combined with Einstein's equations.
result Partial improvements of assumptions on expansion normalised Weingarten map and convergence of K\mathcal{K}.

Proposes a criterion for selecting relevant auxiliary variables in incomplete data analysis.

problem Selecting useful auxiliary variables for incomplete data analysis.
method Formulates model selection problem, proposes an information criterion based on Kullback-Leibler divergence.
result Proposed information criterion is an asymptotically unbiased estimator of Kullback-Leibler divergence.

Proposes a multi-variable LSTM for accurate time series forecasting and variable importance.

problem Current attention mechanisms in recurrent neural networks fail to characterize variable importance in time series with exogenous variables.
method Develops a multi-variable LSTM with tensorized hidden states to learn variable importance and a mixture of temporal and variable attention.
result Demonstrates superior prediction performance and variable importance quantification compared to baselines.

VC-PCR improves prediction by clustering correlated variables.

problem Decreased prediction accuracy due to cluster structure in predictor variables.
method Supervised variable selection and clustering to integrate cluster information into a sparse modeling process.
result VC-PCR achieves better prediction, variable selection, and clustering performance.

This research proposes a variable importance cloud to assess variable importance across multiple good models.

problem Current variable importance measures are tied to a single model, limiting understanding of variable importance across different models.
method Introduces a variable importance cloud that maps every variable to its importance for every good predictive model.
result Shows how variable importance can vary significantly across different good models.

Proposes an interpretable LSTM for time series with exogenous variables.

problem Lack of variable importance characterization in recurrent neural networks.
method Develops a multi-variable LSTM with tensorized hidden states for learning variable-specific representations.
result Variable attention in real datasets is highly aligned with statistical causality.

New methods rank variables for Gaussian processes better than automatic relevance determination.

problem Variable selection for Gaussian process models using inverse length-scale parameters has limitations.
method Two novel methods rank variables based on their predictive relevance using posterior predictive distribution predictions.
result Improved variable selection compared to automatic relevance determination in terms of variability and predictive performance.

A neural network finds causal relationships among latent variables.

problem Learning causal structure among latent variables in high-dimensional data.
method Redundant Input Neural Network (RINN) with modified architecture and regularized objective function.
result The RINN method successfully recovers latent causal structure between input and output variables.

Derives derivatives and geometric framework for functions with non-independent variables.

problem Characterizing functions with non-independent variables in probabilistic models.
method Derives actual and dependent partial derivatives, dependent Jacobian matrix, and tensor metric.
result Derives gradient, Hessian, and Taylor expansion for functions with non-independent variables.

A new distance for mixed-variable, hierarchical datasets with meta variables.

problem Heterogeneous datasets limit generalizability and performance in machine learning and optimization.
method Developed a modeling framework for mixed-variable and hierarchical domains with meta variables, and a novel distance function.
result The novel distance function allows comparison of heterogeneous datasets, improving model performance.

This paper enhances LSTM neural networks for multi-variable time series data, providing interpretable insights.

problem Accurate prediction of multi-variable time series data with interpretable insights.
method Variable-wise hidden states and a mixture attention mechanism to model the generative process of the target variable.
result Enhanced prediction performance by capturing the dynamics of different variables.

Unified Bayesian Optimisation for mixed variables improves performance.

problem Efficient optimisation of problems with both categorical and continuous variables.
method Derive value proposals from the Expected Improvement criterion to optimise both categorical and continuous variables under a single acquisition metric.
result Unified approach significantly outperforms existing methods across mixed-variable tasks.

RNN models perform similarly with or without extraneous variables.

problem Impact of extraneous variables on RNN performance in clinical tasks.
method Investigated the effect of extraneous input variables on RNN predictive performance using EMR and randomly drawn variables.
result Degradations in RNN's predictive performance with extraneous variables were negligible.

A method to assess variable importance in complex predictive models.

problem Assessing the importance of variables in complex predictive models.
method Assigning relevance measures to each variable by comparing predictions with a ghost variable and analyzing joint effects.
result The method provides insights into variable importance and joint effects not available with other methods.

Random Forest variable importance is improved by class balancing techniques.

problem Class imbalance problem in machine learning.
method Proposed a variable selection algorithm using RF variable importance and its confidence interval.
result Our algorithm efficiently selects an optimal feature set, leading to improved prediction performance.

Knoop enhances variable selection with over-parameterization and knockoffs.

problem Challenges of variable selection in high-dimensional datasets.
method Generates knockoff variables, integrates them into an over-parameterized model, and uses anomaly-based significance tests.
result Superior performance in variable selection compared to existing methods.

A serious problem in learning probabilistic models is the presence of hidden variables. These variables are not observed, yet interact with several of the observed variables. Detecting hidden variables poses two problems: determining the relations to other variables in the model and determining the number of states of …

2013-01-10abs ↗pdf ↗

New method for fitting graphical models with latent variables using regularized conditional likelihood.

problem Graphical modeling with latent variables and confounding dependencies.
method Regularized conditional likelihood for exponential family graphical models.
result Framework applicable to broader settings without knowing latent variables' distribution.

CIB compresses variables causally, preserving key causal interactions.

problem Constructing causal variable abstractions in complex systems.
method Causal Information Bottleneck (CIB) method, extending IB to include causal structures.
result CIB produces causally interpretable abstractions that accurately capture causal relations.

Discond-VAE separates continuous and discrete factors in data.

problem Separating shared and class-specific variations in real-world data.
method Introduces private and public latent variables to represent continuous and discrete factors, respectively.
result Discond-VAE successfully disentangles class-dependent continuous factors from discrete factors.

A new method selects important variables for clustering from dependency networks.

problem Variable selection for clustering in high-cost data scenarios.
method Create dependency networks, rank variables by centrality, select top-n variables.
result Top-n variables improve clustering performance compared to existing methods.

The paper introduces methods to identify key variables discriminating between two datasets.

problem Identifying variables that distinguish between two datasets.
method Introduces a mathematical notion of discriminating variables and proposes two methods for their selection.
result Proposed methods improve upon existing techniques in two-sample variable selection.

This work presents entropic constraints from DAGs with hidden variables.

problem Characterizing causal relations in systems with hidden variables.
method Entropic inequality constraints derived from ee-separation relations.
result These constraints can learn about true causal models from observed data.

Proposes a two-stage method for selecting correlated predictors in high-dimensional data.

problem Selecting correlated predictors in high-dimensional data with unknown group structures.
method Two-stage approach: variable clustering followed by group selection.
result The two-stage method improves prediction accuracy and active predictor selection.

New method better identifies irrelevant variables for more accurate treatment effect estimation.

problem Handling irrelevant variables in treatment effect estimation with deep disentanglement.
method Deep embedding method to disentangle pre-treatment variables, explicitly identify and represent irrelevant variables, and orthogonalize them.
result Better identification and representation of irrelevant variables lead to more precise treatment effect prediction.

The paper proposes a method to stabilize predictions by identifying causal variables using a seed variable.

problem Stable prediction across unknown test data with potential spurious correlations.
method Conditional independence test based algorithm using a seed variable to separate causal from non-causal variables.
result The algorithm precisely separates causal and non-causal variables for stable prediction across test data.

Variable selection for optimal treatment regime in a clinical trial or an observational study is getting more attention. Most existing variable selection techniques focused on selecting variables that are important for prediction, therefore some variables that are poor in prediction but are critical for decision-making…

2014-05-20abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper investigates causal relationships in heart failure prediction using machine learning.

problem Understanding the causal relationships between clinical variables and heart failure.
method Proposes a new computational framework for causal structure discovery (CSD) of mixed-type clinical variables for binary disease outcomes.
result Feature importance from nonlinear classifiers strongly correlates with causal strength of variables, but not differentiating cause and effect.

A new variable importance measure for DRFs detects broader impacts on output distributions.

problem Estimating full conditional distributions of multivariate outputs given inputs.
method Based on the drop and relearn principle and MMD distance.
result Consistent and high-performing variable importance measure for DRFs.

This review explores the use of machine learning in discovering collective variables for biomolecular dynamics.

problem Understanding the conformational dynamics and molecular recognition in biomolecules.
method Statistical analysis of high-dimensional spatiotemporal data generated from molecular dynamics simulations.
result Machine learning algorithms can be used to discover abstract collective variables that describe biomolecular dynamics.

Researchers identify latent variables and causal structures from nonlinear hierarchical models.

problem Challenging task of identifying latent variables and causal structures from observational data, especially when relationships are nonlinear.
method Investigated nonlinear latent hierarchical causal models, developed identification criterion, and constructed an estimation procedure.
result Identifiability of causal structures and latent variables achieved under mild assumptions.

Proposes LOD to measure latent vs observed variables dissimilarity.

problem Quantitatively assessing relationships between latent and observed variables.
method Proposes latent-observed dissimilarity (LOD) and defines four generative model types.
result LOD effectively captures differences between models and reflects higher layer learning capability.

The paper shows how neural networks with less decision boundary variability generalize better.

problem Improving neural network generalizability by reducing decision boundary variability.
method Introduces new measures (algorithm DB variability and (ε,η)(ε, η)-data DB variability) to quantify decision boundary variability and proves theoretical bounds on generalizability.
result Neural networks with lower decision boundary variability have better generalizability, as shown by extensive experiments and theoretical bounds.

ACL method selects variables and clusters correlated ones in high-dimensional models.

problem Variable selection and clustering in high-dimensional, correlated data.
method Three-stage procedure: Lasso initial selection, variable clustering, and sparse estimation.
result ACL is consistent and efficient in finding true group structure.

Second-order economic theory considers new variables to improve price volatility predictions.

problem Current economic models focus on first-order variables, missing second-order variables that affect price volatility.
method Introduces second-order economic theory with new variables composed of sums of squares of agents' transactions.
result Second-order economic theory complements first-order variables and introduces new macroeconomic variables.