Bayesian Gaussian Processes improve exoplanet transit and Hubble constant inference.
problem Improving exoplanet transit and Hubble constant inference using Bayesian Gaussian Processes.
method Kernel-, mean- and noise-marginalised Gaussian Processes with evidence-based model comparison and transdimensional sampling.
result Inferred Hubble constant H0 values from cosmic chronometers, baryon acoustic oscillations and combined datasets are 66±6kms−1Mpc−1, 67±10kms−1Mpc−1 and 69±6kms−1Mpc−1, respectively. We explore the efficacy of using a novel activation function in Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) in characterizing exoplanets into different classes. We call this Saha-Bora Activation Function (SBAF) as the motivation is derived from long standing understanding of using advanced calculus in modeling habitability score …
We present analytical exploration of novel activation functions as consequence of integration of several ideas leading to implementation and subsequent use in habitability classification of exoplanets. Neural networks, although a powerful engine in supervised methods, often require expensive tuning efforts for optimize…
Transformer model removes noise from light curves efficiently.
problem Challenges in processing astrophysical light curves due to noise.
method Denoising Time Series Transformer (DTST) model trained with masked objective.
result DTST model excels at removing noise and outliers in time series datasets.
Proposes GPLFR for predicting high-dimensional outputs with few data.
problem Predicting high-dimensional outputs from limited data.
method GPLFR combines Gaussian process and linear-Gaussian decoding for high-dimensional prediction.
result GPLFR outperforms existing methods in predicting high-dimensional outputs.
We describe a method for removing the effect of confounders in order to reconstruct a latent quantity of interest. The method, referred to as half-sibling regression, is inspired by recent work in causal inference using additive noise models. We provide a theoretical justification and illustrate the potential of the me…
In this study we introduce a new technique for symbolic regression that guarantees global optimality. This is achieved by formulating a mixed integer non-linear program (MINLP) whose solution is a symbolic mathematical expression of minimum complexity that explains the observations. We demonstrate our approach by redis…
Despite their successes in the field of self-learning AI, Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) suffer from having too many trainable parameters, impacting computational performance. Several approaches have been proposed to reduce the number of parameters in the visual domain, the Inception architecture [Szegedy et al.,…
GPRNs accurately model stellar activity affecting RV measurements of exoplanets.
problem Stellar activity limits detection and characterisation of exoplanets.
method Gaussian Process Regression Networks (GPRNs) for joint analysis of RV data and stellar activity indicators.
result GPRNs accurately describe solar RV data, correlating with activity at separations of a few days.
The challenge of efficiently identifying anomalies in data sequences is an important statistical problem that now arises in many applications. Whilst there has been substantial work aimed at making statistical analyses robust to outliers, or point anomalies, there has been much less work on detecting anomalous segments…
The paper discusses the impact of prior densities on Bayesian model selection.
problem The sensitivity of marginal likelihood to prior choice in Bayesian model selection.
method Analyzes the role of prior densities in model selection, discusses improper priors, and proposes solutions.
result Marginal likelihood can be sensitive to prior choice, but improper priors can still be used with caution.
Develops methods to simulate rare transitions in molecular systems.
problem Rare transitions between metastable states in molecular systems are difficult to study due to limited data.
method Two novel methods: chain-based and midpoint-based approaches.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of methods in both data-rich and data-scarce scenarios.
The paper models market crashes as phase transitions, finding dynamic transitions offer better predictions.
problem Understanding and predicting extreme financial events like market crashes.
method Employing phase transition theory, focusing on endogenous crashes, and comparing DPT, CPT, and SPT.
result Dynamic phase transitions provide more accurate predictions of market crashes compared to critical and stochastic models.
This paper establishes an equivalence between transitive double Lie algebroids and core diagrams.
problem Understanding and characterizing transitive double Lie algebroids.
method Using core diagrams and equivalence of transitive core diagrams with transitive double Lie groupoids.
result Transitive double Lie algebroids are completely determined by their core diagrams.
This paper shows semi-equivelar toroidal maps are vertex-transitive covers.
problem Understanding the relationship between semi-equivelar and vertex-transitive toroidal maps.
method Proving semi-equivelar toroidal maps are quotients of vertex-transitive toroidal maps.
result Each semi-equivelar toroidal map has a finite vertex-transitive cover.
Two-dimensional transition rates improve life insurance reserve calculations.
problem Calculating life insurance reserves with Markov assumptions.
method Introducing two-dimensional forward and backward transition rates.
result Two-dimensional transition rates enable more accurate reserve calculations.
Machine learning approximates phase transitions using Fisher information.
problem Understanding phase transitions from data using machine learning.
method Information geometry and Fisher information.
result Machine learning indicators approximate the square root of Fisher information.
Double-well transitions are stiffer than minimal surfaces.
problem Rigidity of double-well phase transitions compared to minimal hypersurfaces.
method Comparison of rigidity properties between double-well phase transitions and minimal hypersurfaces.
result Double-well phase transitions exhibit more rigidity than minimal hypersurfaces.
Dual-T method improves transition matrix estimation in noisy label learning.
problem Large estimation error in noisy class posterior leads to poor transition matrix estimation.
method Introducing an intermediate class to avoid direct estimation of noisy class posterior, factorizing the transition matrix into two easier-to-estimate matrices.
result The dual-T estimator leads to better classification performances.
Defines SETR to measure carbon transition risk for investors.
problem Difficulty in measuring the magnitude of carbon transition risk for investors.
method Defines Single Event Transition Risk (SETR) and illustrates its use.
result SETR can approximate the magnitude of low-carbon transition risk.
New algorithm achieves data-dependent regret bounds in MDPs with unknown transitions.
problem Achieving best-of-both-worlds guarantees with data-dependent regret bounds in MDPs with unknown transitions.
method Optimistic follow-the-regularized-leader algorithm with new optimistic Q-function estimators and transition bonus.
result First-order, second-order, and path-length bounds with polylog(T) regret in the stochastic regime.
Develops a flexible model for regime transitions in time series data.
problem Nonlinear and context-dependent regime transitions in time series data.
method Semi-parametric state-space model with learned transition functions.
result Improved recovery of nonlinear transition dynamics and earlier detection of regime changes.
Study measures investment funds' climate transition risk, finds moderate losses.
problem Measuring the impact of climate transition on investment portfolios.
method Comprehensive framework using geographical, sectoral, company and ISIN-level data.
result Investment funds suffer a moderate 5.7% loss in high transition risk scenario.
Study shows continuity of non-Kähler Calabi-Yau conifold transitions.
problem Understanding the geometry of Calabi-Yau conifold transitions.
method Use of balanced and Hermitian-Yang-Mills metrics to analyze conifold transitions.
result The conifold transition is continuous in the Gromov-Hausdorff topology.
If a given behavior of a multi-agent system restricts the phase variable to a invariant manifold, then we define a phase transition as change of physical characteristics such as speed, coordination, and structure. We define such a phase transition as splitting an underlying manifold into two sub-manifolds with distinct…
Study shows Elo models fail to accurately measure transitive strength in competitive games.
problem Elo models fail to correctly identify the transitive component in real-world competitive games.
method Investigated the challenge of identifying the transitive component in games, proposed an extension of the Elo score.
result Disc ranking system assigns two scores: skill and consistency.
Proves robust transitivity for geodesic flows from metrics with conjugate points.
problem Transitivity of geodesic flows from metrics with conjugate points.
method General criterion for robust transitivity of partially hyperbolic geodesic flows.
result First example of a C2 open set of Riemannian metrics with conjugate points and transitive geodesic flow. New method improves robustness of deep learning with noisy labels.
problem Robust deep learning on corrupted labels with noisy samples.
method Meta-transition adaptation through clean meta data guidance.
result More accurate estimation of noise transition matrix and classifier parameters.
We present a continuous-time maximum likelihood estimation methodology for credit rating transition probabilities, taking into account the presence of censored data. We perform rolling estimates of the transition matrices with exponential time weighting with varying horizons and discuss the underlying dynamics of trans…
We address the problem of necessary conditions and topological obstructions for the existence of robustly transitive maps on surfaces. Concretely, we show that partial hyperbolicity is a necessary condition in order to have C1 robustly transitive endomorphisms with critical points on surfaces, and the only surfaces …
We generalized the periodic links to \emph{transitive} links in a 3-manifold M. We find a complete classification theorem of transitive links in a 3-dimensional sphere R3. We study these links from several different aspects including polynomial invariants using the relation between link polynomials of…
Develops a new framework for conditional independence.
problem Generalizing previous notions of conditional independence.
method Introduces transition probability spaces and transitional random variables.
result Satisfies all desired relevance relations except symmetry.
A new method for ILO with transition model disparity using an intermediary policy.
problem Learning tasks from expert observations with different transition dynamics.
method Training an intermediary policy to match the state transitions of the expert dataset.
result Our method outperforms existing ILO approaches with transition model mismatch.
This paper identifies and estimates the label noise transition matrix without ground truth labels.
problem Learning with noisy labels and identifying the noise transition matrix.
method Building on Kruskal's identifiability results, the paper characterizes the identifiability of the label noise transition matrix for the generic case at the instance level.
result The necessity of multiple noisy labels in identifying the noise transition matrix for the generic case at the instance level.
ISOKANN learns collective variables and effective dynamics for metastable transitions.
problem Understanding metastable transitions in complex molecular systems.
method Integrates Koopman operators with neural networks to extract CVs and effective dynamics.
result Reconstructs coarse-grained kinetics and reproduces transition times across barriers.
Paper models transition risk using jump-diffusion model to price credit swaps.
problem Capturing transition risk in financial markets.
method Calibrated jump-diffusion model to CDS term structure, using quantile regression.
result Jump-diffusion model captures transition risk, jumps represent green policies.
In this paper, we prove the existence of certain symplectic conifold transitions on all CP1-bundles over symplectic 4--manifolds, which generalizes Smith, Thomas and Yau's examples of symplectic conifold transitions on trivial CP1-bundles over Kähler surfaces. Our main result is to determine the diffeomorphis…
In the following paper we investigate the question: when is a transitive topological groupoid continuously isomorphic to a Lie groupoid? We present many results on the matter which may be considered generalizations of the Hilbert's fifth problem to this context. Most notably we present a "solution" to the problem for p…
Characterizing the phase transitions of convex optimizations in recovering structured signals or data is of central importance in compressed sensing, machine learning and statistics. The phase transitions of many convex optimization signal recovery methods such as ℓ1 minimization and nuclear norm minimization are…
In the following paper we investigate the question: when is a transitive topological groupoid continuously isomorphic to a Lie groupoid? We present many results on the matter which may be considered generalizations of the Hilbert's fifth problem to this context. Most notably we present a "solution" to the problem for p…
Diffusion maps help learn complex quantum phase transitions from data.
problem Learning quantum phase transitions from experimental data is challenging.
method Diffusion maps for nonlinear dimensionality reduction and spectral clustering.
result Diffusion maps can learn complex phase transitions unsupervised.
We develop a transitional geometry, that is, a family of geometries of constant curvatures which makes a continuous connec-tion between the hyperbolic, Euclidean and spherical geometries. In this transitional setting, several geometric entities like points, lines, dis-tances, triangles, angles, area, curvature, etc. as…
Study phase transitions with prescribed mean curvature in Riemannian manifolds.
problem Understanding phase transitions with prescribed mean curvature in geometric settings.
method Analyzing solutions to inhomogeneous semilinear elliptic PDEs, establishing bounds and asymptotics.
result Established upper and lower bounds for eigenvalues of phase transition problems.
We consider 3-dimensional pseudo-manifolds M with a given set of marked point V such that M-V is the interior of a compact 3-manifold with boundary. An ideal triangulation T of (M, V ) has V as its set of vertices. A branching (T, b) enhances T to a Delta-complex. Branched triangulations of (M, V ) are considered up to…
Constructs special Lagrangian 3-spheres in non-Kähler compact threefolds.
problem Understanding transitions between Kähler and non-Kähler geometries.
method Analyzes topological transitions of Calabi-Yau threefolds to construct special Lagrangian cycles.
result Special Lagrangian 3-spheres emerge from non-Kähler geometries, exchanging holomorphic 2-cycles for 3-cycles.
Quasi-transitive graphs quasi-isometric to planar graphs can be upgraded to Cayley graphs.
problem Quasi-transitive graphs quasi-isometric to planar graphs need to be upgraded to Cayley graphs.
method Upgrading a planar graph to a Cayley graph.
result Quasi-transitive graphs quasi-isometric to planar graphs can be upgraded to Cayley graphs.
New model of vague knowledge without strict partitions or transitivity.
problem Standard economic models of information fail to capture real-world vague knowledge.
method Relaxing assumptions of transitivity and partition structure to formalize vague knowledge.
result Vague knowledge can distinguish some states but not partition the state space.
Study models forest transitions with deep learning for parameter estimation.
problem Complex dynamics of forest, agricultural, and abandoned lands.
method Developed a stochastic differential equation model and used deep learning for parameter estimation.
result Deep learning approach estimates model parameters from time-series data.