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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,786 papers · 148 categories

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91183274365 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for Exact consistency

Let (Xn,Xˇn)(X^n, \check{X}^n) be a mirror pair of an nn-dimensional complex torus XnX^n and its mirror partner Xˇn\check{X}^n. Then, a simple projectively flat bundle E(L,L)XnE(L,\mathcal{L})\rightarrow X^n is constructed from each affine Lagrangian submanifold LL in Xˇn\check{X}^n with a unitary local system $\mathcal{L} \righta…

2017-05-11abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce constructions of exact Lagrangian cobordisms with cylindrical Legendrian ends and study their invariants which arise from Symplectic Field Theory. A pair (X,L)(X,L) consisting of an exact symplectic manifold XX and an exact Lagrangian cobordism LXL\subset X which agrees with cylinders over Legendrian links $…

2012-12-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Spectral clustering achieves strong consistency in the stochastic block model under certain conditions.

problem Achieving strong consistency in spectral clustering for the stochastic block model.
method Entrywise analysis of the Fielder eigenvector of graph Laplacians.
result Spectral clustering achieves exact recovery of hidden communities under matching information-theoretic limits.

In this paper, we extend the ββ-CNMF to two dimensions and derive exact multiplicative updates for its factors. The new updates generalize and correct the nonnegative matrix factor deconvolution previously proposed by Schmidt and Mørup. We show by simulation that the updates lead to a monotonically decreasing ββ-dive…

2018-11-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Framework generates precise synthetic populations for scalable modeling.

problem Generating accurate synthetic populations without personal data.
method Constraint-programming framework encoding aggregated statistics and structural relations.
result Exact control of demographic profiles without requiring microdata.

Proposes exact inference for continuous-time Gaussian process dynamics.

problem Inexact inference methods for continuous-time Gaussian process dynamics are impractical for irregularly-sampled data.
method Uses higher-order numerical integrators to discretize dynamics with arbitrary accuracy and proposes multistep and Taylor integrators for exact inference.
result Demonstrates accurate representation of continuous-time systems through exact GP inference.

New method solves group synchronization with cycle-edge message passing.

problem Solving group synchronization with adversarial or uniform corruption and small noise.
method Cycle-edge message passing procedure using cycle consistency information.
result Exact recovery and linear convergence guarantees under adversarial corruption.

The paper certifies AI reliability via sampling and calibration, providing exact guarantees.

problem Ensuring trust in black-box AI systems' outputs.
method Self-consistency sampling and conformal calibration.
result Reliability levels derived from these methods offer finite-sample guarantees.

In many machine learning applications, crowdsourcing has become the primary means for label collection. In this paper, we study the optimal error rate for aggregating labels provided by a set of non-expert workers. Under the classic Dawid-Skene model, we establish matching upper and lower bounds with an exact exponent …

2016-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

This study approximates distances between Gaussian processes and covariance operators using RKHS.

problem Approximating distances between Gaussian processes and covariance operators from finite samples.
method Using reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) covariance and cross-covariance operators, the study shows how to consistently and efficiently estimate Sinkhorn divergence from finite samples.
result Convergence rates are dimension-independent and of the same order as Hilbert-Schmidt distance.

Surgery exact triangles in various 3-manifold Floer homology theories provide an important tool in studying and computing the relevant Floer homology groups. These exact triangles relate the invariants of 3-manifolds, obtained by three different Dehn surgeries on a fixed knot. In this paper, the behavior of SU(N)SU(N)-ins…

2017-12-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Many generative models can be expressed as a differentiable function of random inputs drawn from some simple probability density. This framework includes both deep generative architectures such as Variational Autoencoders and a large class of procedurally defined simulator models. We present a method for performing eff…

2016-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

New tests for binary classification regression functions without distribution assumptions.

problem Testing regression functions in binary classification without distributional assumptions.
method Conditional kernel mean embeddings and resampling-based framework.
result Distribution-free hypothesis tests with exact type I error control.

This work presents novel algorithms for learning Bayesian network structures with bounded treewidth. Both exact and approximate methods are developed. The exact method combines mixed-integer linear programming formulations for structure learning and treewidth computation. The approximate method consists in uniformly sa…

2014-06-05abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper optimizes LLM accuracy by stopping early based on consistent answers.

problem Improving LLM accuracy in math and reasoning problems.
method Bayesian stopping policy to save on sampling costs, tracking only the L-1 most frequent answer counts.
result The L=3 stopping policy is sufficient for asymptotic optimality and significantly reduces inference costs.

Variational inference (VI) provides fast approximations of a Bayesian posterior in part because it formulates posterior approximation as an optimization problem: to find the closest distribution to the exact posterior over some family of distributions. For practical reasons, the family of distributions in VI is usually…

2016-11-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep latent variable models (DLVMs) combine the approximation abilities of deep neural networks and the statistical foundations of generative models. Variational methods are commonly used for inference; however, the exact likelihood of these models has been largely overlooked. The purpose of this work is to study the g…

2018-02-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Noise titration benchmarks time series forecasting models rigorously.

problem Evaluation of time series forecasting models is often flawed due to lack of interventionist methods.
method Interventionist benchmarking using Gaussian noise titration of dynamical systems.
result Fern model outperforms state-of-the-art models in non-stationary conditions.

LLMs can memorize economic data and recall exact values before their training cutoff.

problem Evaluating the trustworthiness of LLMs' economic forecasts during their training period.
method Demonstrated through counterfactual forecasting and analysis of LLMs' recall ability.
result LLMs have memorized economic and financial data, leading to recall-level accuracy before their knowledge cutoff.

The paper explores conditions for predicting optimization performance.

problem Lack of formal theoretical guarantees linking prediction and optimization performance.
method Exploring conditions for asymptotic convergence and exact quantification of optimization performance.
result Explicit theoretical relationship between prediction and optimization performance.

We derive a convex optimization problem for the task of segmenting sequential data, which explicitly treats presence of outliers. We describe two algorithms for solving this problem, one exact and one a top-down novel approach, and we derive a consistency results for the case of two segments and no outliers. Robustness…

2014-11-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Clustering is one of the most important unsupervised problems in machine learning and statistics. Among many existing algorithms, kernel k-means has drawn much research attention due to its ability to find non-linear cluster boundaries and its inherent simplicity. There are two main approaches for kernel k-means: SVD o…

2016-06-06abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper presents a framework for exact discovery of the top-k sequential patterns under Leverage. It combines (1) a novel definition of the expected support for a sequential pattern - a concept on which most interestingness measures directly rely - with (2) SkOPUS: a new branch-and-bound algorithm for the exact disc…

2015-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Open problem: Establishing bounds for Cayley-table completion to discover discrete algorithmic axioms.

problem Discovering discrete algorithmic axioms missing in deep learning.
method Cayley-table completion as a testbed for algorithmic complexity minimization.
result Formal exact recovery bounds for Cayley-table completion.

Develops exact and invariant study-based decompositions for network meta-analysis.

problem Lack of exact contribution decompositions in network meta-analysis.
method Contrast-space projection formulation of NMA, study-based definition of direct and indirect evidence.
result Exact covariance-aware decompositions of NMA estimator into direct and indirect contributions.

Flexible model captures varying scales in data clusters.

problem Real-world data often exhibits varying scales or intensities, violating the homogeneity assumption of classical Gaussian mixture models.
method Individual-heterogeneous sub-Gaussian mixture model with an efficient spectral method for exact recovery.
result The method provably achieves exact recovery of true cluster labels under mild separation conditions.

Complex systems can be modelled at various levels of detail. Ideally, causal models of the same system should be consistent with one another in the sense that they agree in their predictions of the effects of interventions. We formalise this notion of consistency in the case of Structural Equation Models (SEMs) by intr…

2017-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

This study assesses risk concentration in MDB portfolios using Monte Carlo simulations.

problem Risk concentration in MDB portfolios of a few borrowers.
method Realistic MDB portfolio simulations and Monte Carlo analysis.
result Current risk adjustments may be overly conservative.

We address the problem of estimating the parameters of a time-homogeneous Markov chain given only noisy, aggregate data. This arises when a population of individuals behave independently according to a Markov chain, but individual sample paths cannot be observed due to limitations of the observation process or the need…

2016-04-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Study how noisy labels affect semi-supervised learning.

problem Effect of noisy labels on semi-supervised learning performance.
method Proposed an algorithm derived from a continuous relaxation of the Maximum A Posteriori (MAP) estimator for a Degree Corrected Stochastic Block Model (DC-SBM).
result Our approach achieves promising performance even with very noisy labeled data.

In many structured prediction problems, complex relationships between variables are compactly defined using graphical structures. The most prevalent graphical prediction methods---probabilistic graphical models and large margin methods---have their own distinct strengths but also possess significant drawbacks. Conditio…

2018-11-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes efficient algorithm for recovering sparsity pattern from deterministic missing data.

problem Recovering sparsity pattern from datasets with deterministic missing structure.
method Proposes an efficient algorithm for missing value imputation using topological property of censorship filter.
result Consistently recovers the sparsity pattern with high probability in polynomial time and logarithmic sample complexity.

New continuous-time optimization algorithms converge in finite time to local minima.

problem Finding local minima in optimization problems.
method Discontinuous dynamical systems with finite-time convergence via Lyapunov-based differential inequality.
result Finite-time convergence to strict local minima with provable settling time.