arXiv research

Study reveals different drivers of electricity price volatility across Europe.

We consider the effects of the 2008 global financial crisis on the global stock market before, during, and after the crisis. We generate complex networks from a cross-correlation matrix such as the threshold network (TN) and the minimal spanning tree (MST). In the threshold network, we assign a threshold value by using…

Machine learning predicts CO2 emissions in power grids, reducing uncertainty.

In this note we discuss - in what is intended to be a pedagogical fashion - FX option pricing in target zones with attainable boundaries. The boundaries must be reflecting. The no-arbitrage requirement implies that the differential (foreign minus domestic) short-rate is not deterministic. When the band is narrow, we ca…

Develops a new model for day-ahead electricity prices using ambit fields.

Proposes a multilingual email segmentation benchmark and model.

Brillouin zones were introduced by Brillouin in the thirties to describe quantum mechanical properties of crystals, that is, in a lattice in $\R^n$. They play an important role in solid-state physics. It was shown by Bieberbach that Brillouin zones tile the underlying space and that each zone has the same area. We gene…

The European market clearing problem is characterized by a set of heterogeneous orders and rules that force the implementation of heuristic and iterative solving methods. In particular, curtailable block orders and the uniform purchase price (UPP) pose serious difficulties. A block is an order that spans over multiple …

Study option pricing in sideways markets and target zones.

Paper presents a WiFi-based indoor sensor localization technique.

We study optimal trading in an Almgren-Chriss model with running and terminal inventory costs and general predictive signals about price changes. As a special case, this allows to treat optimal liquidation in "target zone models": asset prices with a reflecting boundary enforced by regulatory interventions. In this cas…

Study shows critical width for rigidity of equatorial zones on spheres.

Overprocuring reserves can improve network efficiency by using excess reserves for congestion management.

Unified principle LZN unifies generative modeling, representation learning, and classification.

Paper introduces a new power-dominance axis in estimator design.

We study the problem of optimal trading using general alpha predictors with linear costs and temporary impact. We do this within the framework of stochastic optimization with finite horizon using both limit and market orders. Consistently with other studies, we find that the presence of linear costs induces a no-tradin…

For a given lattice, we establish an equivalence involving a closed zone of the corresponding Voronoi polytope, a lamina hyperplane of the corresponding Delaunay partition and a quadratic form of rank 1 being an extreme ray of the corresponding L-type domain.

The Zeeman-Hamilton operators of free charged particles are identified with the Laplacians of certain Riemannian manifolds, called Zeeman manifolds. The quantum Hilbert space decomposes into subspaces (Zeeman zones) which are invariant under the actions both of the Zeeman operator and the natural Heisenberg group repre…

The Zone of Avoidance makes it difficult for astronomers to catalogue galaxies at low latitudes to our galactic plane due to high star densities and extinction. However, having a complete sky map of galaxies is important in a number of fields of research in astronomy. There are many unclassified sources of light in the…

Model predicts and optimizes trading of electricity price spreads across multiple zones.

Algorithm finds safe zones in policy Markov Decision Processes to limit trajectory escape.

Optimizes portfolio with two controls to minimize trades and maintain signal integrity.

CoDeQ simplifies joint model compression by integrating pruning and quantization.

Hierarchical GANs reduce anomaly detection costs.

In the present paper which a sequel to dg-ga/9511005 and dg-ga//9610013 a global Weierstrass representation of an arbitrary closed oriented surface of genus $\geq 1$ in the the three-space is constructed. The Weierstrass spectrum of a torus immersed into $R^3$ is introduced and finite-zone planes as well as finite-zone…

We explore the loss landscape of fully-connected and convolutional neural networks using random, low-dimensional hyperplanes and hyperspheres. Evaluating the Hessian, $H$, of the loss function on these hypersurfaces, we observe 1) an unusual excess of the number of positive eigenvalues of $H$, and 2) a large value of $…

We propose a novel defense against all existing gradient based adversarial attacks on deep neural networks for image classification problems. Our defense is based on a combination of deep neural networks and simple image transformations. While straightforward in implementation, this defense yields a unique security pro…

A new data set helps estimate continental-scale population distributions.

Central bank strategy to maintain currency exchange rate within limits.

Adopting a zonal structure of electricity market requires specification of zones' borders. In this paper we use social welfare as the measure to assess quality of various zonal divisions. The social welfare is calculated by Market Coupling algorithm. The analyzed divisions are found by the usage of extended Locational …

This paper examines the value of a cancellable European option in a finite time horizon setting. The specifications of this generalized European option allow the seller to cancel the option at any point in time for a fixed penalty paid directly to the holder. Here, we provide an explicit valuation formula for the Europ…

Understanding the spatiotemporal distribution of people within a city is crucial to many planning applications. Obtaining data to create required knowledge, currently involves costly survey methods. At the same time ubiquitous mobile sensors from personal GPS devices to mobile phones are collecting massive amounts of d…

This study analyzes public debts and deficits between European countries. The statistical evidence here seems in general to reveal that sovereign debts and government deficits of countries within European Monetary Unification-in average- are getting worse than countries outside European Monetary Unification, in particu…

The study examines European option pricing using a generalized tempered stable distribution.

Study improves motor insurance claim prediction using geographic data.

Our analysis of financial data, in terms of super-exponential growth, suggests that the seed of the 2002/03 crisis of the Dutch supermarket giant AHOLD was planted in 1996. It became quite visible in 1999 when the post-bubble destabilization regime was well-developed and acted as the precursor of an inevitable collapse…

Optimal trading strategy with predictor and costs, derived equations and shape.

With developing of computation tools in the last years, data analysis methods to find insightful information are becoming more common among industries and researchers. This paper is the first part of the times series analysis of New England electricity price and demand to find anomaly in the data. In this paper time-se…

This paper presents a recognition system for handwritten Pashto letters. However, handwritten character recognition is a challenging task. These letters not only differ in shape and style but also vary among individuals. The recognition becomes further daunting due to the lack of standard datasets for inscribed Pashto …

Develops European power option pricing under correlated interest rate and asset processes.

Gaussian beams describe the amplitude and phase of rays and are widely used to model acoustic propagation. This paper describes four new results in the theory of Gaussian beams. (1) A new version of the Červený equations for the amplitude and phase of Gaussian beams is developed by applying the equivalence of Hamilton-…

We derive asymptotic expansions for the prices of a variety of European and barrier-style claims in a general local-stochastic volatility setting. Our method combines Taylor series expansions of the diffusion coefficients with an expansion in the correlation parameter between the underlying asset and volatility process…

We introduce a mathematical model on the dynamics of demand and supply incorporating collectability and saturation factors. Our analysis shows that when the fluctuation of the determinants of demand and supply is strong enough, there is chaos in the demand-supply dynamics. Our numerical simulation shows that such a cha…

Bayesian method improves deep learning for noisy EEG seizure detection.

We derive the implied volatility estimation formula in European power call options pricing, where the payoff functions are in the form of $V=(S^α_T-K)^{+}$ and $V=(S^α_T-K^α)^{+}$ ($α>0$)respectively. Using quadratic Taylor approximations, We develop the computing formula of implied volatility in European power call op…

Study predicts lens performance using neural networks.

Under a generalized skew normal distribution we consider the problem of European option pricing. Existence of the martingale measure is proved. An explicit expression for a given European option price is presented in terms of the cumulative distribution function of the univariate skew normal and the bivariate standard …

In this paper, we introduce an insurance ruin model with adaptive premium rate, thereafter refered to as restructuring/refraction, in which classical ruin and bankruptcy are distinguished. In this model, the premium rate is increased as soon as the wealth process falls into the red zone and is brought back to its regul…