Peer-induced fairness framework audits algorithmic fairness in AI applications.
problem Current auditing methods lack robustness and fail to distinguish between algorithmic discrimination and subject limitations.
method Combines counterfactual fairness and peer comparison strategy for a reliable auditing tool.
result Demonstrates significant unfairness in micro-firms compared to non-micro firms, highlighting the framework's potential.
AI systems need reliable testing to ensure safety and trustworthiness.
problem Current AI Act lacks functional trustworthiness for AI systems.
method Define technical application distribution, set risk-based performance, and conduct statistically valid testing.
result Reliable functional trustworthiness is essential for AI systems.
Optimal transport strategy reduces gender bias in job recommendation systems.
problem Mitigating gender biases in AI-driven job recommendation systems.
method Model agnostic optimal transport strategy applied to multi-class neural networks.
result Reduced undesirable algorithmic biases in job recommendation tasks.
This research develops a new framework to measure AI investment returns considering both gains and risks.
problem Traditional ROI calculations fail to account for AI's dual impact on risk reduction and new exposures.
method Integrates ISO 42001 and regulatory exposure into a comprehensive financial framework using risk quantification methods.
result Accurate AI investment evaluation requires modeling both productivity gains and risk exposures.
This thesis tackles bias in AI decision-making in banking.
problem Bias in AI-driven banking decisions.
method Understanding, mitigating, and accounting for bias in AI systems.
result Establishment of Responsible AI practices for fair decision-making.
This work redefines data-centric AI by unifying categorical and cochain notions.
problem The need to rethink data notions for data-centric AI.
method Proposes unifying principles from categorical and cochain notions of data.
result Unified definition of data impacts machine learning development, implementation, and utilization.
The paper analyzes risk spillovers between AI ETFs, AI tokens, and green markets.
problem Risk spillovers among AI ETFs, AI tokens, and green markets.
method R2 decomposition method
result AI ETFs and clean energy act as risk transmitters, while AI tokens and green assets act as receivers.
Examines AI regulation in finance, highlighting risks and gaps in current laws.
problem Rapid AI adoption in finance introduces risks and compliance challenges.
method Reviews current legislation, industry guidelines, and real-world use cases.
result Need for adaptive, technology-neutral policies to balance innovation and consumer protection.
We consider stochastic volatility models under parameter uncertainty and investigate how model derived prices of European options are affected. We let the pricing parameters evolve dynamically in time within a specified region, and formalise the problem as a control problem where the control acts on the parameters to m…
Study finds optimal board gender diversity for emissions performance.
problem Association between board gender diversity and emissions performance.
method Panel regressions, machine learning, explainable AI.
result Optimal board gender diversity for emissions performance is approximately 35%.
Improves AI-prior reliability for Bayesian inference.
problem Error propagation from predictive models into posterior inference.
method Rectified AI-informed prior elicitation framework.
result Significant reduction in bias and improvement in predictive performance.
PBC improves AI and dynamical subseasonal forecasts by reducing biases.
problem Subseasonal forecast accuracy drops due to model biases and compounding errors.
method Probabilistic bias correction (PBC) using machine learning to correct historical forecasts.
result PBC doubles AI Forecasting System's subseasonal skill and improves dynamical model skill.
Paper defines AI-specific loss reconstruction problem and introduces CER framework.
problem Reconstructing AI-generated losses, especially in agentic systems.
method CER framework: C (control boundary), E (evidence reconstruction), R (insurance response).
result Defines AI-specific reconstruction problem and operationalizes it.
Research creates a taxonomy to bridge AI security and regulatory gaps.
problem Disciplinary disconnect between technical and legal teams in AI risk assessment.
method Developed an AI System Threat Vector Taxonomy with 9 domains and 53 sub-threats.
result Empirically validated and aligned with ISO/IEC 42001 controls and NIST AI RMF functions.
Human-AI teaming suffers from calibration issues.
problem Human-AI teaming
method Assume calibrated models and humans
result Existing methods for combination do not preserve human's calibration.
5D AI model detects bad loans without biased features, improving consumer protection.
problem Detecting bad loans without biased features and improving consumer protection.
method Machine learning, BiMOPT features, European Banking Authority principles, AI principles, historical and validation datasets.
result 5D correctly detected 1,461 bad loans out of 1,613 (Sensitivity = 0.91, Prevalence = 0.0253, Positive Predictive Value = 0.19).
We develop a theory of higher-order feature attribution for complex models.
problem Interpreting feature contributions in models with interactions is challenging.
method We extend Integrated Gradients (IG) to higher-order feature attributions.
result We establish natural connections to statistics and topological signal processing.
Optimal bailout policies identified for financial institutions using AI.
problem Managing systemic financial risk during crises.
method Modelled bailout decisions as a Markov Decision Process (MDP) with network dynamics.
result Identified optimal investment policies to limit financial crises effects.
AGENTICAITA uses AI agents to autonomously trade markets without human intervention.
problem Inability of traditional trading systems to adapt to market complexity.
method Introduces an agentic AI framework with specialized LLM agents reasoning, negotiating, and acting.
result Demonstrated operational correctness and non-trivial inter-agent negotiation in live market conditions.
Unified framework for intersectionally fair AI models using MIO.
problem Bias in AI models for high-risk domains.
method Mixed-Integer Optimization (MIO) for fairness and interpretability.
result Improved performance in detecting and mitigating bias at intersections.
FCNv2 robustness tested under noise and random initial conditions.
problem Assessing AI weather forecasting model robustness to input noise.
method Two experiments with varying noise levels and random initial conditions.
result FCNv2 preserves hurricane features under low to moderate noise, but underestimates intensity and persistence.
AIS corrects rollout-training mismatch in quantized RL, improving speed and stability.
problem Rollout-training mismatch in quantized RL causes bias and training collapse.
method Adaptive Importance Sampling (AIS) adjusts gradient correction per batch.
result AIS matches BF16 baseline on most tasks while improving speed.
Energy policy in Europe has been driven by the three goals of security of supply, economic competitiveness and environmental sustainability, referred to as the energy trilemma. Although there are clear conflicts within the trilemma, member countries have acted to facilitate a fully integrated European electricity marke…
Improved Least-Squares Monte Carlo with finite-difference ansatz.
problem Improving accuracy and stability in option pricing.
method Constructing an ansatz using finite-difference solution for conditional expected continuation payoffs.
result Reduces mean squared error and final pricing error.
Artificial intelligence (AI) generally and machine learning (ML) specifically demonstrate impressive practical success in many different application domains, e.g. in autonomous driving, speech recognition, or recommender systems. Deep learning approaches, trained on extremely large data sets or using reinforcement lear…
Paper uses AI for more efficient hedging of financial options.
problem Inefficient hedging in financial models.
method RL agents and GANs for delta hedging.
result RL-based hedging outperforms classic models in Q-world.
AI model predicts stock prices using social media data and hybrid neural networks.
problem Predicting stock price movements during the COVID-19 pandemic.
method Integrates social media trends and historical stock data using a hybrid CNN-BLSTM framework.
result The proposed framework outperforms traditional models in predicting stock price movements.
The paper optimizes exceptions in a statistical production system using machine learning.
problem Lack of curated and labeled training data for machine learning in data quality assurance.
method Explainable supervised machine learning to identify and prioritize exceptions.
result Improvement in the quality and efficiency of exceptions generated and authenticated by users.
Agent-to-agent finance aims to manage payments and trust for AI agents.
problem Managing financial interactions between autonomous AI agents.
method Develops agent-to-agent finance concept and explores blockchain solutions.
result Agent-to-agent finance can address coordination frictions in financial markets.
Framework for AI customer support that protects privacy and reduces costs.
problem Privacy risks and compliance challenges in AI customer support.
method Zero-shot learning with large language models, real-time data anonymization, retrieval-augmented generation, robust post-processing.
result Reduces privacy risks and compliance costs while maintaining accuracy.
New methods quantify uncertainties in AI weather forecasts.
problem Uncertainty in AI weather predictions.
method Comparing ensemble and post-hoc uncertainty quantification methods.
result Probabilistic forecasts improve over ensemble physics-based models.
While neural networks have acted as a strong unifying force in the design of modern AI systems, the neural network architectures themselves remain highly heterogeneous due to the variety of tasks to be solved. In this chapter, we explore how to adapt the Layer-wise Relevance Propagation (LRP) technique used for explain…
Paper simplifies complex AI exploration by predicting future rewards.
problem Training machines to optimally gather complex information.
method Developed a denser reward structure using cross-value to decouple exploration and exploitation.
result Demonstrated successful learning of challenging tasks without shaping or bonuses.
Improved credit scoring model with explainability.
problem Making financial decisions based on loan applications.
method Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model with 360-degree explanation framework.
result Model achieves state-of-the-art performance and provides understandable explanations.
New model uses generalized fractional Brownian motion for stock price prediction.
problem Traditional models fail to accurately predict stock price fluctuations.
method Introduces generalized fractional Brownian motion as a new stochastic process for price modeling.
result Validates the new model for option pricing and risk assessment.
New framework uses OR to ensure AI systems make safe decisions.
problem Ensuring generative AI systems make safe decisions as they gain autonomy.
method Developed a conceptual framework combining flow-based models and adversarial robustness.
result Increased autonomy requires new OR approaches for feasibility, robustness, and stress testing.
This paper examines the value of a cancellable European option in a finite time horizon setting. The specifications of this generalized European option allow the seller to cancel the option at any point in time for a fixed penalty paid directly to the holder. Here, we provide an explicit valuation formula for the Europ…
New method for European option pricing faster and more robust.
problem Pricing European options efficiently and accurately.
method Fourier cosine series expansions for models with known characteristic functions.
result More robust and faster than the original COS method.
Proposes a framework for generating explainable AI exemplars.
problem Need to explain decisions of complex deep learning models.
method Generative model with evolutionary strategy to synthesize exemplars.
result Framework is generic and model-agnostic for various data types.
Pricing of European basket call option with n-assets and a bond is discussed in this paper, where all prices of n-assets and the bond are driven by Exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes. The close-form of European basket option pricing formula is derived. Utilizing with 1-order differential approximate numerical sol…
Study on Leverage Ratio in European banks during financial crises.
problem Impact of financial crises on European banks' Leverage Ratio.
method Empirical analysis using regression techniques.
result Leverage Ratio is significantly influenced by financial scenarios.
We use principle component analysis (PCA) of cross correlations in European government bonds and European stocks to investigate the systemic risk contained in the European economy. We tackle the task to visualize the evolution of risk, introducing the conditional average rolling sum (CARS). Using this tool we see that …
We demonstrate how easy it is for modern machine-learned systems to violate common deontological ethical principles and social norms such as "favor the less fortunate," and "do not penalize good attributes." We propose that in some cases such ethical principles can be incorporated into a machine-learned model by adding…
This study analyzes public debts and deficits between European countries. The statistical evidence here seems in general to reveal that sovereign debts and government deficits of countries within European Monetary Unification-in average- are getting worse than countries outside European Monetary Unification, in particu…
Develops European power option pricing under correlated interest rate and asset processes.
problem Pricing European power options under correlated interest rate and asset processes.
method Martingale method and Girsannov transform.
result Derives European power option pricing formulae under two market assumptions.
Examines insurance market development and similarity post-2004 EU enlargement.
problem Comparing insurance markets of EU old and new members post-enlargement.
method Analyzes data from 2004 to present to compare insurance markets.
result Identifies similarities and differences in insurance markets post-2004 enlargement.
AI stocks hedge against AI singularity's economic impact.
problem AI singularity's displacement of consumption.
method Developed an asset pricing model with incomplete markets.
result AI stocks command a premium due to market incompleteness.
This paper compares machine learning models for pricing European options.
problem Pricing European options using traditional methods like Black Scholes Model.
method Google AutoML Regressor, TensorFlow Neural Networks, and XGBoost Gradient Boosting Decision Trees.
result All models outperformed the Black Scholes Model in terms of mean absolute error.