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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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185370555740 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Equivalent sample size

Study ridge ensembles in proportional feature-to-sample size regime, proving risk equivalence and GCV consistency.

problem Characterizing and optimizing ridge ensembles in proportional feature-to-sample size regimes.
method Proportional asymptotics analysis, GCV for tuning, proving risk equivalence.
result Risk of optimal full ridgeless ensemble matches optimal ridge predictor's risk.

A new algorithm for robust causal discovery in small sample sizes.

problem Limited data leads to weak conditional independence tests in causal discovery.
method Proposes a kk-PC algorithm that bounds conditioning set size for robust causal discovery.
result The kk-PC algorithm enables more robust causal discovery in small sample sizes.

Two statistical tasks are shown to have equivalent sample complexity.

problem Determining if a function depends on only a few variables and identifying those variables.
method Proved statistical equivalence of feature selection and junta testing through sample complexity analysis.
result Brute-force algorithm is sample-optimal for both tasks with optimal sample size.

Differentiable learning via SGD and GD can simulate various learning problems, depending on precision and minibatch size.

problem Understanding the power of differentiable learning via SGD and GD compared to statistical query (SQ) learning.
method Comparing the learning power of SGD and GD on population and empirical losses with statistical query learning.
result The learning power of SGD and GD depends on the precision of gradient calculations relative to the minibatch size or sample size.

We study the sample complexity of private synthetic data generation over an unbounded sized class of statistical queries, and show that any class that is privately proper PAC learnable admits a private synthetic data generator (perhaps non-efficient). Previous work on synthetic data generators focused on the case that …

2019-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Seesaw optimizes training by balancing learning rate and batch size, accelerating model pretraining.

problem Optimizing training efficiency for large language models with adaptive optimizers.
method Develops a principled framework for batch-size scheduling, introducing Seesaw which multiplies learning rate by 1/√2 and doubles batch size.
result Empirically, Seesaw reduces wall-clock time by approximately 36% compared to cosine decay, matching theoretical limits.

SLdisco uses supervised learning to discover causal models from observational data.

problem Estimating causal effects from observational data with limited samples and sparse models.
method Supervised machine learning to map observational data to causal equivalence classes.
result SLdisco is more conservative, less sensitive to sample size, and provides better model inference.

Privacy affects how much data is needed for CVaR optimization.

problem Privacy constraints impact the effective sample size for CVaR optimization.
method Analyzes the privacy-relevant sample size and decomposes CVaR excess risk.
result The effective private tail sample size is εnτ, affecting CVaR learning rates.

Recent reports have described that the equivalent sample size (ESS) in a Dirichlet prior plays an important role in learning Bayesian networks. This paper provides an asymptotic analysis of the marginal likelihood score for a Bayesian network. Results show that the ratio of the ESS and sample size determine the penalty…

2012-03-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Directed acyclic graph (DAG) models are popular for capturing causal relationships. From observational and interventional data, a DAG model can only be determined up to its \emph{interventional Markov equivalence class} (I-MEC). We investigate the size of MECs for random DAG models generated by uniformly sampling and o…

2019-03-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Recent reports have described that learning Bayesian networks are highly sensitive to the chosen equivalent sample size (ESS) in the Bayesian Dirichlet equivalence uniform (BDeu). This sensitivity often engenders some unstable or undesirable results. This paper describes some asymptotic analyses of BDeu to explain the …

2012-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Study evaluates how much knowledge LLMs have by comparing their prediction accuracy to flexible models.

problem Evaluating the predictive power of LLMs without access to their training data.
method Equivalent sample size measure, comparing LLM's prediction error to flexible models trained on varying amounts of domain-specific data.
result LLMs encode varying amounts of predictive information across different economic variables.

Optimal portfolios are formed by combining momentum, size, and volatility characteristics, enhancing utility for all investors.

problem Estimation error in forming optimal portfolios from characteristics.
method Maximizing an in-sample loss function that is more concave than the utility function, linking weights to characteristics.
result Optimal portfolios with significantly higher certainty equivalents than benchmarks for all investors.

RBMs learn archetypes when trained on blurred copies of them, revealing a critical sample size.

problem Determining the critical sample size for RBMs to learn archetypes.
method Formal equivalence between RBMs and Hopfield networks, statistical-mechanics of disordered systems, Monte Carlo simulations.
result A phase diagram highlights regions where learning can be accomplished.

We consider the problem of approximating the set of eigenvalues of the covariance matrix of a multivariate distribution (equivalently, the problem of approximating the "population spectrum"), given access to samples drawn from the distribution. The eigenvalues of the covariance of a distribution contain basic informati…

2016-01-30abs ↗pdf ↗

We shrink confidence sets for equivalent discrete distributions using permutation equivalence.

problem Building high-probability confidence sets for equivalent discrete distributions.
method Exploiting permutation-equivalence to refine confidence sets.
result Confidence sets shrink at asymptotic rates of O(1/kKnk)O(1/\sqrt{\sum_{k\in \mathcal K} n_k}) and O(1/maxkKnk)O(1/\max_{k\in K} n_{k}).

The paper shows that relaxing assumptions about causal graphs can lead to exponentially large equivalence classes.

problem The size of Markov equivalence classes under relaxed assumptions.
method Analytical proofs for three settings: sparse random directed acyclic graphs, uniformly random acyclic directed mixed graphs, and uniformly random directed cyclic graphs.
result Exponentially large lower bounds for the expected size of Markov equivalence classes.

GaussDetect-LiNGAM eliminates Gaussianity tests for causal discovery.

problem Causal direction identification without Gaussianity assumptions.
method Leverages the equivalence between noise Gaussianity and residual independence in reverse regression.
result Gaussianity tests replaced with robust kernel-based independence tests.

New discriminant analysis using GDS projection improves face recognition.

problem Improving face recognition accuracy with limited data.
method GDS projection onto generalized difference subspace, simplified Fisher criterion, normalization.
result GDS projection and gFDA are equivalent, inheriting FDA's discriminant ability.

Probabilistic clustering models (or equivalently, mixture models) are basic building blocks in countless statistical models and involve latent random variables over discrete spaces. For these models, posterior inference methods can be inaccurate and/or very slow. In this work we introduce deep network architectures tra…

2018-12-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Study risk-sensitive reinforcement learning with optimized certainty equivalents.

problem Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning in finite discounted MDPs.
method Analyzed a simple model-based approach and derived PAC sample complexity bounds.
result Established tight sample complexity bounds for value and policy learning.

Paper proposes a method to use in silico experiments with foundation models to reduce sample size.

problem Costly and uncertain randomized experiments.
method Integrates predictions from multiple foundation models with experimental data.
result Estimator offers substantial precision gains, equivalent to a 20% reduction in sample size.

This article establishes the performance of stochastic blockmodels in addressing the co-clustering problem of partitioning a binary array into subsets, assuming only that the data are generated by a nonparametric process satisfying the condition of separate exchangeability. We provide oracle inequalities with rate of c…

2012-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified scaling laws reveal how model size and training time impact neural network performance.

problem Understanding how much performance improvement can be expected from scaling model size or data volume.
method Established scale-time equivalence and combined it with a linear model analysis of double descent.
result Unified theoretical scaling laws explain previously unexplained phenomena and offer a more accessible path to training large models.

We call an Ising model tractable when it is possible to compute its partition function value (statistical inference) in polynomial time. The tractability also implies an ability to sample configurations of this model in polynomial time. The notion of tractability extends the basic case of planar zero-field Ising models…

2018-12-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops exact convex optimization formulations for neural networks.

problem Training two-layer neural networks with rectified linear units.
method Uses semi-infinite duality and minimum norm regularization to develop exact convex optimization formulations.
result Shows equivalence of ReLU networks trained with weight decay to block 1\ell_1 penalized convex models.

In this paper we study a family of variance reduction methods with randomized batch size---at each step, the algorithm first randomly chooses the batch size and then selects a batch of samples to conduct a variance-reduced stochastic update. We give the linear convergence rate for this framework for composite functions…

2018-08-07abs ↗pdf ↗

The article examines in some detail the convergence rate and mean-square-error performance of momentum stochastic gradient methods in the constant step-size and slow adaptation regime. The results establish that momentum methods are equivalent to the standard stochastic gradient method with a re-scaled (larger) step-si…

2016-03-14abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper studies a class of exponential family models whose canonical parameters are specified as linear functionals of an unknown infinite-dimensional slope function. The optimal minimax rates of convergence for slope function estimation are established. The estimators that achieve the optimal rates are constructed …

2011-08-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates network structure from Gaussian Graphical Models and Gaussian Free Fields.

problem Estimating the structure of a weighted network from repeated measurements of a Gaussian Graphical Model.
method Proposes a novel estimator based on Fourier analytic properties of the Gaussian distribution.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the estimator with recovery guarantees and bounds on sample complexity.

We study Exo-MDPs to reduce sample complexity in reinforcement learning.

problem Reducing sample complexity in reinforcement learning for structured MDPs.
method Introducing Exo-MDPs and proving structural equivalence to linear mixture MDPs, establishing regret bounds.
result Proved O(H3/2dK)O(H^{3/2}d\sqrt{K}) regret bound for Exo-MDPs, matching lower bounds.

A fast algorithm for counting Markov equivalent DAGs and designing experiments.

problem Counting Markov equivalent DAGs and designing experiments efficiently.
method LazyIter algorithm for efficient iteration over MECs, utilizing intervention results.
result Significant reduction in time complexity for sparse graphs (O(n)).

This paper addresses the complexity of labeled datasets using topological methods.

problem Estimating the necessary training sample size for supervised learning.
method Employing equivalence relations from Topology, data separability results, and combinatorics to compute the Shattering coefficient.
result Estimation of required number of hyperplanes and training sample sizes for binary and multi-class datasets.

The paper improves theoretical bounds on deep neural networks' convergence.

problem Understanding convergence of over-parameterized deep neural networks.
method Surrogate network construction with fixed activation patterns.
result Convergence to a global minimum guaranteed for networks with quadratic width and linear depth.

Improved convergence for actor-critic algorithms in MDPs.

problem Global convergence analysis for actor-critic algorithms in MDPs.
method Introduced an analytical framework to handle complex recursions, established convergence to ε-close globally optimal policy with improved sample complexity.
result Converges to ε-close globally optimal policy with sample complexity of O(ε^(-3)) compared to O(ε^(-2)) for ε-close stationary policy.

Study shows how feature weighting affects neural network regularization.

problem Understanding how feature weighting influences neural network regularization.
method Derived equivalence paths connecting different weighting matrices and ridge regularization levels.
result Ridge estimators trained on weighted features are asymptotically equivalent when evaluated against test vectors.