The study analyzes the differences between physical and risk-neutral correlation estimates for equity baskets.
arXiv research
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New model values equity-linked securities with guaranteed return.
The paper solves the skewness problem in high-dimensional basket options.
This paper examines pricing and hedging strategies for cross-currency equity protection swaps.
The article models financial asset returns using Gaussian mixtures and EVT-based copulas to price equity options.
The downside risk of a portfolio of (equity)assets is generally substantially higher than the downside risk of its components. In particular in times of crises when assets tend to have high correlation, the understanding of this difference can be crucial in managing systemic risk of a portfolio. In this paper we genera…
Paper forecasts stock correlations using a hybrid model combining graph neural networks and transformers.
Flat plumbing basket surfaces of links were introduced to study the geometry of the complement of the links. These flat plumbing basket surface can be presented by a sequential presentation known as flat plumbing basket code first found by Furihata, Hirasawa and Kobayashi. The minimum number of flat plumbings to obtain…
Quantum state preparation framework speeds up basket option pricing.
Flat plumbing basket surfaces of links were introduced to study the geometry of the complement of the links. In present article, we study links of the flat plumbing basket numbers or less using a special presentation of the flat plumbing basket surfaces. We find a complete classification theorem of links of the fla…
We define the basket number, the flat plumbing number and the flat plumbing basket number of a link. Then we provide some upperbounds for these plumbing numbers by using Seifert's algorithm. We study the relation between these plumbing numbers and the genera of links.
A flat plumbing basket is a Seifert surface consisting of a disk and bands contained in distinct pages of the disk open book decomposition of the 3-sphere. In this paper, we examine close connections between flat plumbing baskets and the contact structure supported by the open book. As an application we give lower boun…
Method calibrates basket options using rearranged samples from constituent processes.
A flat plumbing basket is a surface consisting a disk and finitely many bands which are contained in distinct pages of the trivial open book decomposition of . In this paper, we construct a Legendrian link from a flat plumbing basket, and we describe a relation among the self-linking number, the Thursto…
Paper improves basket option pricing for log-normal models.
Continuous Hidden Markov Models for Equity Returns
Develops M2 model for next-basket recommendation considering user preferences, item popularity, and transition patterns.
Pricing of European basket call option with n-assets and a bond is discussed in this paper, where all prices of n-assets and the bond are driven by Exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes. The close-form of European basket option pricing formula is derived. Utilizing with 1-order differential approximate numerical sol…
Complementary products recommendation is an important problem in e-commerce. Such recommendations increase the average order price and the number of products in baskets. Complementary products are typically inferred from basket data. In this study, we propose the BB2vec model. The BB2vec model learns vector representat…
Generative model prices basket options efficiently.
With growing consumer adoption of online grocery shopping through platforms such as Amazon Fresh, Instacart, and Walmart Grocery, there is a pressing business need to provide relevant recommendations throughout the customer journey. In this paper, we introduce a production within-basket grocery recommendation system, R…
The existence of basket, flat plumbing and flat plumbing basket surfaces of a link was first proven from a braid representative of the link. In the present article, we show the existence of such surfaces from an induced graph of the link. Consequently, we define the basket number, flat plumbing number and flat plumbing…
New formulas for pricing Asian and basket options using stochastic expansion.
New approximations for Asian basket spread options using stochastic Taylor expansions.
Paper improves CDO calibration using Magnus Expansion and Deep Learning.
Basket links are shown to be isotopic to .
In this paper we give definitions of matrix rates of return which do not depend on the choice of basis describing baskets. We give their economic interpretation. The matrix rate of return describes baskets of arbitrary type and extends portfolio analysis to the complex variable domain. This allows us for simultaneous a…
Study efficient numerical methods for American basket options.
We empirically test predictability on asset price by using stock selection rules based on maximum drawdown and its consecutive recovery. In various equity markets, monthly momentum- and weekly contrarian-style portfolios constructed from these alternative selection criteria are superior not only in forecasting directio…
The possibility that the collective dynamics of a set of stocks could lead to a specific basket violating the efficient market hypothesis is investigated. Precisely, we show that it is systematically possible to form a basket with a non-trivial autocorrelation structure when the examined time scales are at the order of…
This work addresses the problem of pricing American basket options in a multivariate setting, which includes among others, the Bachelier and the Black-Scholes models. In high dimensions, nonlinear partial differential equation methods for solving the problem become prohibitively costly due to the curse of dimensionalit…
The flat plumbing basket presentation of a link is introduced by Furihata, Hirasawa and Kobayashi. In this paper, we show that the pass-equivalence and an equivalence introduced by using the flat plumbing basket presentation are the same relation. Furthermore, we obtain an evaluation of the minimal number of bands used…
Recommender systems (RS) help users navigate large sets of items in the search for "interesting" ones. One approach to RS is Collaborative Filtering (CF), which is based on the idea that similar users are interested in similar items. Most model-based approaches to CF seek to train a machine-learning/data-mining model b…
OMBA learns product and user representations for better online market basket analysis.
In order to better engage with customers, retailers rely on extensive customer and product databases which allows them to better understand customer behaviour and purchasing patterns. This has long been a challenging task as customer modelling is a multi-faceted, noisy and time-dependent problem. The most common way to…
Four constructions of Seifert surfaces - Hopf plumbing, arborescent plumbing, basketry, and T-bandword handle decomposition - are described, and some interrelationships found, e.g.: arborescent Seifert surfaces are baskets; Hopf-plumbed baskets are precisely homogeneous T-bandword surfaces. A Seifert surface is Hopf-pl…
This paper sets out to provide a general framework for the pricing of average-type options via lower and upper bounds. This class of options includes Asian, basket and options on the volume-weighted average price. We demonstrate that in cases under discussion lower bounds allow for the dimensionality of the problem to …
In this paper we derive an easily computed approximation to European basket call prices for a local volatility jump-diffusion model. We apply the asymptotic expansion method to find the approximate value of the lower bound of European basket call prices. If the local volatility function is time independent then there i…
Theoretical models applied to option pricing should take into account the empirical characteristics of the underlying financial time series. In this paper, we show how to price basket options when assets follow a shifted log-normal process with jumps capable of accommodating negative skewness. Our technique is based on…
In this paper we discuss the basket options valuation for a jump-diffusion model. The underlying asset prices follow some correlated local volatility diffusion processes with systematic jumps. We derive a forward partial integral differential equation (PIDE) for general stochastic processes and use the asymptotic expan…
In this paper we propose an efficient method to compute the price of multi-asset American options, based on Machine Learning, Monte Carlo simulations and variance reduction technique. Specifically, the options we consider are written on a basket of assets, each of them following a Black-Scholes dynamics. In the wake of…
We consider the problem of computing upper and lower bounds on the price of a European basket call option, given prices on other similar baskets. Although this problem is very hard to solve exactly in the general case, we show that in some instances the upper and lower bounds can be computed via simple closed-form expr…
Platform uses queries to elicit investor preferences for portfolio trades, improving allocation efficiency.
The problem of quantile hedging for basket derivatives in the Black-Scholes model with correlation is considered. Explicit formulas for the probability maximizing function and the cost reduction function are derived. Applicability of the results for the widely traded derivatives as digital, quantos, outperformance and …
Next basket recommendation, which aims to predict the next a few items that a user most probably purchases given his historical transactions, plays a vital role in market basket analysis. From the viewpoint of item, an item could be purchased by different users together with different items, for different reasons. Ther…
The paper calculates XVA for complex basket derivatives using machine learning.
Emerging market hard-currency bonds are an asset class of growing importance, and contain exposure to an EM sovereign and the underlying industry. The authors investigate how to model this as a modification of the well-known first-to-default (FtD) basket, using the structural model, and find the approach feasible.
This paper uses basket option formulas to price vanilla options with discrete dividends.