Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

129257386514 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Entropy Estimation

REMEDI improves neural entropy estimation across various tasks.

problem Challenges in estimating information theoretic quantities in high-dimensional data.
method Combines minimization of cross-entropy with estimation of deviation from data density.
result Improves accuracy in entropy estimation on synthetic and natural data.

The intrinsic entropy model accurately estimates stock market volatility.

problem Accurately estimating historical volatility of stock market indices.
method Incorporates traded volumes alongside OHLC prices in daily data.
result Intrinsic entropy model delivers reliable estimates with lower coefficient of variation.

The paper corrects biases in estimating intrinsic dimension and differential entropy.

problem Systematic bias in estimating intrinsic dimension and differential entropy.
method A bias-corrected estimator for both measures is proposed, highlighting shared steps and useful consequences.
result Simultaneous estimation of differential entropy and intrinsic dimension provides complementary perspectives on underlying manifolds.

A neural network method estimates entropy production from system trajectories.

problem Estimating entropy production from system trajectories without detailed dynamics.
method Developed a neural estimator (NEEP) for entropy production (EP).
result NEEP rigorously proves to provide stochastic EP by optimizing an objective function.

Paper proposes a policy-search algorithm to learn entropy-maximizing exploration policies in reward-free environments.

problem Reward-free learning in high-dimensional, continuous-control domains.
method Maximum Entropy POLicy optimization (MEPOL) algorithm that maximizes a non-parametric state entropy estimate.
result MEPOL learns a maximum-entropy exploration policy that facilitates learning various reward-based tasks.

Information theory provides principled ways to analyze different inference and learning problems such as hypothesis testing, clustering, dimensionality reduction, classification, among others. However, the use of information theoretic quantities as test statistics, that is, as quantities obtained from empirical data, p…

2012-11-11abs ↗pdf ↗

New methods for inferring, predicting, and estimating continuous-time, discrete-event processes.

problem Inferring, predicting, and estimating entropy rate of continuous-time, discrete-event processes.
method Bayesian structural inference extended with neural networks.
result Methods are competitive for prediction and entropy-rate estimation with state-of-the-art.

ALIEN improves uncertainty estimation of language models by refining entropy-based methods.

problem Overconfidence in uncertainty estimation for language models, especially for difficult inputs.
method ALIEN refines entropy-based uncertainty by aligning it with prediction reliability, using a lightweight uncertainty head.
result ALIEN consistently outperforms strong baselines in detecting incorrect predictions and achieving the lowest calibration error.

Estimating the entropy based on data is one of the prototypical problems in distribution property testing and estimation. For estimating the Shannon entropy of a distribution on SS elements with independent samples, [Paninski2004] showed that the sample complexity is sublinear in SS, and [Valiant--Valiant2011] showed…

2018-02-22abs ↗pdf ↗

This note relaxes conditions for Kähler metrics with bounded entropy and scalar curvature.

problem Boundedness conditions for Kähler metrics with bounded entropy and scalar curvature.
method Slightly relaxes the boundedness condition on the scalar curvature.
result Apriori estimates and C3,αC^{3,α} estimate for the potential of the Kähler metrics under relaxed conditions.

The paper establishes sub-gradient estimates and entropy formulas for quaternionic contact geometry heat equations.

problem Developing sub-gradient estimates and entropy formulas for quaternionic contact geometry.
method Establishing sub-gradient estimates and entropy formulas for the quaternionic contact heat equation.
result Two Perelman-type entropy formulas and sub-gradient estimates for the quaternionic contact heat equation.

The paper studies practical estimation and interpretation of Rényi transfer entropy.

problem Challenges in accurately estimating and interpreting Rényi transfer entropy.
method Systematic study of k-nearest neighbor estimator for Rényi entropy and transfer entropy.
result Effective estimates of effective Rényi transfer entropy can accurately capture directional information flow.

We study volume growth, entropy and stability for translating solitons of mean curvature flow. First, we prove that every complete properly immersed translator has at least linear volume growth. Then, by using Huisken's monotonicity formula, we compute the entropy of the grim reaper and the bowl solitons. We also give …

2016-12-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper tests for time-varying entropy in stock prices, finding periods of inefficiency.

problem Testing for time-varying entropy in stock price dynamics.
method Unbiased approximation of Shannon entropy variance, optimal rolling window selection, hypothesis testing.
result Existence of periods of market inefficiency for meme stocks.

New method estimates robust multi-period portfolios using entropy.

problem Lack of general agreement on building robust multi-period portfolios.
method Detrended cluster entropy approach to estimate portfolio weights.
result Portfolio weights are estimated reliably from real-world data at varying time horizons.

We extend the notion of the geometric entropy of foliation to foliated manifolds equipped with leafwise Finsler structure. We study the relation between the geometric entropy and the topological entropy of the holonomy pseudogroup. The case of foliated manifold with leafwise Randers structure. In this case the estimate…

2014-10-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Study Transformer layers under cross-entropy training using mean field control.

problem Understanding the behavior of Transformer layers in cross-entropy training.
method Continuous-depth mean field control analysis, treating depth as time and layer parameters as controls.
result Derivation of a Pontryagin condition for the limiting population problem, involving the softmax residual.

We present a new statistical learning paradigm for Boltzmann machines based on a new inference principle we have proposed: the latent maximum entropy principle (LME). LME is different both from Jaynes maximum entropy principle and from standard maximum likelihood estimation.We demonstrate the LME principle BY deriving …

2012-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proves lower bounds for Gaussian-weighted curvature integrals of self-shrinkers.

problem Proving lower bounds for Gaussian-weighted \(L^2\)-curvature integrals of self-shrinkers.
method Combining normal coordinate functions with weighted Poincaré inequalities and first-eigenvalue estimates.
result Explicit lower bounds in terms of entropy for closed self-shrinkers, leading to curvature gaps.

The maximum entropy principle can be used to assign utility values when only partial information is available about the decision maker's preferences. In order to obtain such utility values it is necessary to establish an analogy between probability and utility through the notion of a utility density function. According…

2007-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Entrocraft addresses RL performance saturation in LLMs by customizing entropy curves.

problem Performance saturation in RL algorithms for LLMs.
method Entrocraft uses rejection sampling to bias advantage distributions for customized entropy schedules.
result Entrocraft significantly improves generalization, output diversity, and long-term training in 4B models.

Paper presents estimators for entropy and information in probabilistic models.

problem Estimating entropy and mutual information in high dimensions is challenging.
method EEVI uses importance sampling with proposal distributions like amortized variational inference and sequential Monte Carlo.
result EEVI delivers accurate upper and lower bounds on information quantities.

Accounting for the non-normality of asset returns remains challenging in robust portfolio optimization. In this article, we tackle this problem by assessing the risk of the portfolio through the "amount of randomness" conveyed by its returns. We achieve this by using an objective function that relies on the exponential…

2017-05-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimate relaxation times in nonextensive systems using gradient flow for Tsallis entropy maximization.

problem Estimating relaxation times in financial market dynamics.
method Developing a method using EGF for maximizing Tsallis entropy.
result Longer relaxation times for nonextensive systems compared to Shannon entropy.

If pricing kernels are assumed non-negative then the inverse problem of finding the pricing kernel is well-posed. The constrained least squares method provides a consistent estimate of the pricing kernel. When the data are limited, a new method is suggested: relaxed maximization of the relative entropy. This estimator …

2003-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

We approximate differential entropy for efficient Bayesian experimental design.

problem Efficiently estimating expected information gain in large-scale inference problems.
method Approximate differential entropy using Monte Carlo or quasi-Monte Carlo surrogates.
result Our approach achieves comparable or better convergence rates than state-of-the-art methods.

Compressed Counting (CC) [22] was recently proposed for estimating the ath frequency moments of data streams, where 0 < a <= 2. CC can be used for estimating Shannon entropy, which can be approximated by certain functions of the ath frequency moments as a -> 1. Monitoring Shannon entropy for anomaly detection (e.g., DD…

2012-05-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Causal discovery is a fundamental problem in statistics and has wide applications in different fields. Transfer Entropy (TE) is a important notion defined for measuring causality, which is essentially conditional Mutual Information (MI). Copula Entropy (CE) is a theory on measurement of statistical independence and is …

2019-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a new method to measure epistemic uncertainty in Bayesian neural networks.

problem Measuring epistemic uncertainty in Bayesian neural networks for out-of-distribution detection.
method Proposes measuring disagreement between logits and their pre-softmax counterparts as an epistemic uncertainty measure.
result Proposed epistemic uncertainty scores outperform mutual information and equal predictive entropy performance.