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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

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248496744992 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Ensemble Performance

High-capacity neural network ensembles often benefit more from high-capacity models than from increased diversity.

problem The performance of high-capacity neural network ensembles is often harmed by interventions that promote predictive diversity.
method A large-scale study of nearly 600 neural network classification ensembles, examining various interventions and architectures.
result Discouraging predictive diversity can be benign in large-network ensembles, and higher-capacity models often yield better performance than diverse architectures.

Jointly tuning ensemble models improves performance and uncertainty calibration.

problem Improving both predictive performance and uncertainty calibration in deep ensembles.
method Investigated the impact of jointly tuning weight decay, temperature scaling, and early stopping.
result Jointly tuning ensemble models generally matches or improves performance, with significant variation across tasks.

Embedded ensembles improve neural network performance efficiently.

problem Improving neural network performance with fewer resources.
method Analyzing the wide network limit of gradient descent dynamics using Neural-Tangent-Kernel.
result Embedded ensembles exhibit two regimes: independent and collective, affecting performance.

Paper proposes ECOC for deep neural network ensembles to improve performance.

problem Designing an ensemble of deep networks is time-consuming and often not beneficial.
method ECOC framework applied to deep networks, with design strategies to balance accuracy and complexity.
result Proposed combinatory technique achieves highest classification performance.

New hyperparameter ensembles boost neural network performance and uncertainty.

problem Improving neural network robustness and uncertainty quantification.
method Designing ensembles over both weights and hyperparameters, stratified across random initializations.
result Hyper-deep and hyper-batch ensembles outperform deep and batch ensembles on various architectures.

Repulsive deep ensembles improve diversity and Bayesian inference.

problem Challenges in maintaining diversity among ensemble members trained independently.
method Introducing a repulsive term in the update rule of deep ensembles.
result Training dynamics of repulsive ensembles follow a Wasserstein gradient flow of KL divergence with the true posterior.

Optimal survival trees ensemble reduces tree count and improves predictive performance.

problem Improving predictive performance in survival analysis.
method Grows a forest of optimal survival trees by ranking and selecting the best trees based on out-of-bag error.
result Reduces the number of trees in the ensemble while improving predictive performance.

Ensembling improves performance when classifiers disagree more than average.

problem When do ensembles provide significant performance improvements in classification tasks?
method Theoretical and empirical analysis of ensemble improvement rate and disagreement-error ratio.
result Ensembling improves performance significantly when the disagreement rate is large relative to the average error rate.

This work investigates power laws in deep neural network ensembles and predicts their performance.

problem Understanding the performance of deep neural network ensembles and their optimal structure.
method Investigated the behavior of negative log-likelihood (CNLL) of a deep ensemble as a function of ensemble size and member network size, identifying power law dependencies.
result One large network may perform worse than an ensemble of several medium-size networks, known as a memory split.

Ensembles of random-feature models can't outperform a single large model.

problem Finding the optimal balance between model size and ensemble size.
method Deterministic equivalent risk estimates and scaling laws analysis.
result Ensembles of random-feature models achieve near-optimal performance only under specific conditions.

Regression Prior Networks improve ensemble performance on regression tasks.

problem Improving ensemble performance on regression tasks.
method Extending Prior Networks and Ensemble Distribution Distillation (EnD2^2) to regression tasks using the Normal-Wishart distribution.
result Regression Prior Networks yield performance competitive with ensemble approaches on regression tasks.

Efficient neural network ensembles improve image classification reliability and uncertainty quantification.

problem Uncertainty in neural network predictions for industrial image classification.
method Investigated efficient neural network ensembles (snapshot, batch, multi-input multi-output) for image classification reliability and uncertainty quantification.
result Batch ensemble is a cost-effective and competitive alternative to deep ensembles, offering savings in training and test time.

Ensembles improve classifier performance by reducing bias, not variance.

problem Improving classifier performance through ensemble methods.
method Extended bias-variance decomposition for classification tasks, introducing dual reparameterization.
result Ensembling reduces bias in classifiers, contrary to the traditional view.

Packed-Ensembles improve uncertainty estimation in constrained hardware.

problem Hardware limitations restrict the size of ensembles and network capacity, degrading performance.
method Packed-Ensembles (PE) design and train lightweight structured ensembles by modulating encoding space and parallelizing into a single backbone.
result PE accurately preserves diversity and maintains performance on key metrics like accuracy, calibration, and out-of-distribution detection.

We propose and evaluate alternative ensemble schemes for a new instance based learning classifier, the Randomised Sphere Cover (RSC) classifier. RSC fuses instances into spheres, then bases classification on distance to spheres rather than distance to instances. The randomised nature of RSC makes it ideal for use in en…

2014-09-17abs ↗pdf ↗

SharpBalance improves deep ensemble performance by balancing sharpness and diversity.

problem Improving deep ensemble performance in both in-distribution and out-of-distribution scenarios.
method Introducing SharpBalance, a novel training approach that balances sharpness and diversity within ensembles.
result SharpBalance effectively improves the sharpness-diversity trade-off and ensemble performance in ID and OOD scenarios.

The motivation of this work is to improve the performance of standard stacking approaches or ensembles, which are composed of simple, heterogeneous base models, through the integration of the generation and selection stages for regression problems. We propose two extensions to the standard stacking approach. In the fir…

2014-03-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Ensembles of neural networks learn better by sharing information.

problem Improving performance of neural networks through collective learning.
method Modeling neural networks as socially interacting agents aiming to maximize their own performance and functional relations to others.
result Optimal collective performance emerges from local interactions between networks, leading to specialization and higher confidence.

Shallow trees in ensemble models make models more interpretable and sometimes better.

problem Lack of transparency in high-performing tree ensemble models.
method Developed an interpretation algorithm to convert tree ensembles into functional ANOVA representations. Proposed strategies to enhance interpretability.
result Shallow trees in ensemble models can lead to better generalization performance and improved interpretability.

Ensembles of models often yield improvements in system performance. These ensemble approaches have also been empirically shown to yield robust measures of uncertainty, and are capable of distinguishing between different \emph{forms} of uncertainty. However, ensembles come at a computational and memory cost which may be…

2019-04-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian Quadrature improves ensembling for neural networks with dispersed likelihood peaks.

problem Ensembling neural networks struggles with dispersed, narrow peaks in likelihood surfaces.
method Uses Bayesian Quadrature to construct weighted ensembles of architectures.
result Empirically outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in test likelihood, accuracy, and expected calibration error.

Single neural networks can match deep ensembles' benefits without the complexity.

problem The effectiveness and necessity of deep ensembles in neural network models.
method Demonstrated limitations of ensemble diversity and OOD performance in deep ensembles compared to a single larger model.
result A single neural network can replicate deep ensembles' benefits in uncertainty quantification and robustness.

E3^3 combines sparse MoEs and ensembles to improve model efficiency and performance.

problem Improving model efficiency and performance in machine learning.
method Combining sparse mixture of experts and ensembles, presenting Efficient Ensemble of Experts (E3^3).
result E3^3 achieves better accuracy, log-likelihood, few-shot learning, robustness, and uncertainty estimates than baselines.

An ensemble method enhances cryptocurrency trading strategies using deep reinforcement learning.

problem Improving generalization performance in stochastic cryptocurrency trading environments.
method Model selection and mixture distribution policy to ensemble deep reinforcement learning models.
result Improved out-of-sample performance compared to benchmarks.

Models obtained by decision tree induction techniques excel in being interpretable.However, they can be prone to overfitting, which results in a low predictive performance. Ensemble techniques are able to achieve a higher accuracy. However, this comes at a cost of losing interpretability of the resulting model. This ma…

2016-11-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Ensembles of models have been empirically shown to improve predictive performance and to yield robust measures of uncertainty. However, they are expensive in computation and memory. Therefore, recent research has focused on distilling ensembles into a single compact model, reducing the computational and memory burden o…

2020-01-14abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method selects models for ensemble learning to maximize mutual information, outperforming existing approaches.

problem Selecting models for ensemble learning to improve performance and reduce correlation issues.
method Formulate budgeted ensemble selection as maximizing mutual information, use Gaussian-copula to model correlated errors, propose a greedy mutual-information selection algorithm.
result Our method consistently outperforms strong baselines across multiple datasets.

Neural architecture search (NAS) is gaining more and more attention in recent years due to its flexibility and remarkable capability to reduce the burden of neural network design. To achieve better performance, however, the searching process usually costs massive computations that might not be affordable for researcher…

2019-10-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal allocation between explainable and black box models for high performance and explainability.

problem Balancing explainability and performance in model ensembles.
method Optimal allocation of observations between explainable and black box models to maximize ensemble performance and explainability.
result Learned allocations maintain high ensemble performance and explainability, sometimes outperforming individual models.

Deep ensembles outperform deep ensembles of Bayesian neural networks on in-distribution data.

problem Improving model calibration and uncertainty quantification in Bayesian Neural Networks.
method Systematic investigation of deep ensembles of Bayesian Neural Networks across various datasets and architectures.
result Deep ensembles consistently outperform deep ensembles of Bayesian neural networks on in-distribution data.

Deep neural networks have revolutionized many fields such as computer vision and natural language processing. Inspired by this recent success, deep learning started to show promising results for Time Series Classification (TSC). However, neural networks are still behind the state-of-the-art TSC algorithms, that are cur…

2019-03-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Tree ensembles like RF and GBT can be seen as kernels, improving regression and classification performance.

problem Improving kernel methods for tree ensemble based models.
method Investigation of RF and GBT kernels in simulation and real data.
result RF and GBT kernels are competitive to their respective ensembles in higher dimensions, particularly with noisy features.