A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Most high-dimensional estimation and prediction methods propose to minimize a cost function (empirical risk) that is written as a sum of losses associated to each data point. In this paper we focus on the case of non-convex losses, which is practically important but still poorly understood. Classical empirical process …
This report is an introduction to mathematical map colouring and the problems posed by Heawood in his paper of 1890. There will be a brief discussion of the Map Colour Theorem; then we will move towards investigating empire maps in the plane and the recent contributions by Wessel. Finally we will conclude with a discus…
Developed accurate empirical potentials for Si:H nanowires using multi-fidelity Gaussian process.
problem Accurate modeling of Si:H nanowires using fast but inaccurate empirical potentials and slow but accurate first-principle calculations.
method Employed multi-fidelity Gaussian process regression to integrate low-fidelity empirical potential data with high-fidelity first-principle calculations.
result Demonstrated the accuracy of developed empirical potentials for Si:H nanowires.
In this paper, we present a simple analysis of {\bf fast rates} with {\it high probability} of {\bf empirical minimization} for {\it stochastic composite optimization} over a finite-dimensional bounded convex set with exponential concave loss functions and an arbitrary convex regularization. To the best of our knowledg…
This paper studies convergence properties of multivariate distributions constructed by endowing empirical margins with a copula. This setting includes Latin Hypercube Sampling with dependence, also known as the Iman--Conover method. The primary question addressed here is the convergence of the component sum, which is r…
Recent results in Reinforcement Learning (RL) have shown that agents with limited training environments are susceptible to a large amount of overfitting across many domains. A key challenge for RL generalization is to quantitatively explain the effects of changing parameters on testing performance. Such parameters incl…
We investigate the historical volatility of the 100 most capitalized stocks traded in US equity markets. An empirical probability density function (pdf) of volatility is obtained and compared with the theoretical predictions of a lognormal model and of the Hull and White model. The lognormal model well describes the pd…
Improved bounds for discrete probability distribution estimation under the ℓ∞ norm.
problem Estimating discrete probability distributions under the ℓ∞ norm with improved bounds.
method Minimax bounds in expectation and high-probability tail bounds.
result Resolved open questions posed in Kontorovich and Painsky (JMLR, 2025), including a fully empirical tightest risk bound and identifying the worst-case extremal distribution.
Deep convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have been shown to be able to fit a random labeling over data while still being able to generalize well for normal labels. Describing CNN capacity through a posteriori measures of complexity has been recently proposed to tackle this apparent paradox. These complexity measures a…
According to theoretical models of valuing risky corporate securities, risk of default is primary component in overall yield spread. However, sizable empirical literature considers it otherwise by giving more importance to non-default risk factors. Current study empirically attempts to provide relative solution to this…
We give improved constants for data dependent and variance sensitive confidence bounds, called empirical Bernstein bounds, and extend these inequalities to hold uniformly over classes of functionswhose growth function is polynomial in the sample size n. The bounds lead us to consider sample variance penalization, a nov…
We extend the empirical results published in article "Empirical Evidence on Arbitrage by Changing the Stock Exchange" by means of machine learning and advanced econometric methodologies based on Smooth Transition Regression models and Artificial Neural Networks.
Importance sampling has become an important tool for the computation of tail-based risk measures. Since such quantities are often determined mainly by rare events standard Monte Carlo can be inefficient and importance sampling provides a way to speed up computations. This paper considers moderate deviations for the wei…
This paper studies the landscape of empirical risk of deep neural networks by theoretically analyzing its convergence behavior to the population risk as well as its stationary points and properties. For an l-layer linear neural network, we prove its empirical risk uniformly converges to its population risk at the rat…
We consider distributed convex optimization problems originated from sample average approximation of stochastic optimization, or empirical risk minimization in machine learning. We assume that each machine in the distributed computing system has access to a local empirical loss function, constructed with i.i.d. data sa…
Spectral features of the empirical moment matrix constitute a resourceful tool for unveiling properties of a cloud of points, among which, density, support and latent structures. It is already well known that the empirical moment matrix encodes a great deal of subtle attributes of the underlying measure. Starting from …
Addressing the ongoing examination of high-frequency trading practices in financial markets, we report the results of an extensive empirical study estimating the maximum possible profitability of the most aggressive such practices, and arrive at figures that are surprisingly modest. By "aggressive" we mean any trading …
An important task in computational statistics and machine learning is to approximate a posterior distribution p(x) with an empirical measure supported on a set of representative points {xi}i=1n. This paper focuses on methods where the selection of points is essentially deterministic, with an emphasis on achi…
We provide upper bounds of the expected Wasserstein distance between a probability measure and its empirical version, generalizing recent results for finite dimensional Euclidean spaces and bounded functional spaces. Such a generalization can cover Euclidean spaces with large dimensionality, with the optimal dependence…
The paper provides bounds for the empirical angular measure and applies them to improve statistical learning in extreme regions.
problem Estimating the angular measure in high-dimensional data with different distributions.
method Established bounds for the maximal deviations of the empirical angular measure from the true measure, using rank transformation and analyzing the most extreme observations.
result The bounds provide performance guarantees for statistical learning procedures in extreme regions, such as binary classification and anomaly detection.
The empirical NTK diverges from the NTK in classification problems during overtraining.
problem The divergence of empirical NTK from NTK in classification problems during overtraining.
method Demonstrated strictly positive definiteness of NTKs for FCNs and ResNets. Proved divergence of neural network parameters during training with cross-entropy loss.
result The empirical NTK does not uniformly converge to the NTK across all times on the training samples as the network width increases.